Tag: run support

Support report

As well as he pitched last night, Joe Blanton didn’t need a lot of help from the Phillies offense. He got it, though, getting big blasts from Howard and Werth. Based on his history with the Phils, you have to believe that Blanton goes to the mound expecting the Phils are going to put a lot of runs on the board — he has benefited from tremendous run support in his time with the team.

In 23 games this season, the Phillies have scored 135 runs. That’s about 5.87 runs per game. Not all their starting pitchers have benefited equally from the offense. In 2008, the Phillies scored about 4.93 runs per game. Here’s the average number of runs the Phillies have scored in games started by starting pitcher for 2009 and 2008:

Pitcher Runs
scored per start 2008
Runs
scored per start 2009
Moyer 5.21 7.80
Myers 4.33 4.40
Hamels 4.61 4.50
Blanton 5.62 6.80
Park - 5.50

In both 2008 and 2009, the Phillies have scored fewer runs than their team average overall for the year in games started by Myers and Hamels. For Blanton and Moyer they have scored more runs than their average in both years. Moyer has gotten fantastic run support in 2009, the Phillies have scored 30 runs over his last three games. After scoring none in his first start of the year, the Phils have put up 9, 11, 13 and six over his last four starts.

More important, or at least more useful, than the total number of runs a team has scored in games started by a particular pitcher is how regularly they score a large number of runs in games started by a pitcher (because if a team’s going to score 24 runs over three starts by a starter, the starter is better off if they score eight runs three times than score 22 in the first game and one in each of the next two).

Here’s how the categories below shape up for 2009:


Pitcher

0 to 3 RS

%

4 to 7 RS

%

More than 7

%

Moyer
1
20.0
1
20.0
3
60.0

Myers
2
40.0
2
40.0
1
20.0

Hamels
2
50.0
2
50.0
0
0.0

Blanton
2
40.0
1
20.0
2
40.0

Park
0
0.0
4
100.0
0
0.0

Total
7
30.4

10

43.5
6
26.1

So, for example, if you compare Blanton and Park for 2009, the Phillies have scored more runs overall in the games started by Blanton. In five of his starts they have put up 13, 12, 2, 1 and now six runs. That’s an average of 6.8 per game, which is better than the 5.87 per game the Phils have scored on average. On the other hand, it’s pretty hard to win a game when you score two runs or one run — the Phils lost both of those starts by Blanton. Park, on the other hand, has gotten 7, 5, 6 and four runs in his four starts and the Phillies have gone 3-1. Overall he’s received just 5.5 runs of support per start, which is worse than both Blanton’s mark and the team’s average for the year. What he hasn’t had is the two starts with the very low run support than makes it very hard to win (or, for that matter, the two starts with the very high run support, which makes it very hard to lose).

Here are how the categories broke down for 2008 for the four guys in the ’09 rotation that pitched for the Phils last year (by percentages of their starts that fall into each category):

Pitcher 0 to 3
runs scored
4 to 7
more than
7
Moyer 36.4 39.4 24.2
Myers 43.3 43.3 13.3
Hamels 39.4 45.5 15.2
Blanton 30.8 38.5 30.8
       
Whole team 36.4 44.4 19.1

Myers seems to have the best case for lack of support. The Phillies have scored more than seven runs in a game he has started five times since the start of 2008 (he has made 35 starts). As I mentioned above, they’ve done it three times in the last four starts made by Moyer. They’ve also scored more than seven in six of the 18 starts than Blanton has made as a Phillie.

Chan Ho Park has apparently lost his freedom from his thoughts. That doesn’t sound good. He’s made it a little hard for him to escape freedom from Phillies fans’ thoughts as well.


Support report

I modified the Start Log to include the number of runs the team has scored by pitcher that started the game.

Here’s a look at how many games have been started by pitcher, the team’s record in those games, the number of runs the Phillies scored in those games and the runs scored per start for each of the pitchers:


Pitcher

Starts

Team record

Runs Scored

RS/G
Hamels 31 18-13 (.581) 146 4.71
Moyer 30 19-11 (.633) 155 5.17
Kendrick 29 17-12 (.586) 170 5.86
Myers 28 12-16 (.429) 118 4.21
Eaton 19 8-11 (.421) 75 3.95
Blanton 11 7-4 (.636) 62 5.64
Happ 2 2-0 (1.000) 7 3.50

Overall for the year, the Phils have scored 733 runs in 150 games. That’s about 4.89 runs per game.

The Phils are 17-12 in the 29 games started by Kendrick, but that’s got a lot to do with how many runs they’ve scored with him on the mound. They did score 20 against the Cards on June 13 with Kendrick starting, but even if you take that game out of the equation they still scored 150 runs in 28 starts or about 5.36 runs per game.

Blanton has also enjoyed tremendous offensive support when he’s been on the mound.

Myers and Eaton, not so much.


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