Tag: Ross Gload

Dr no more

Good news, bad news for the Phils this week. The good news is the Phillies finally found the formula to snap their eight-game losing streak. The bad news is that it’s giving Roy Halladay a nine-run lead in the fourth inning.

On the bad news front, the Phils lost two of three, Ryan Howard had to be pinch-run for in the fourth inning of yesterday’s game and Bastardo still can’t get anyone out.

The Phillies are 99-60 on the year after losing two of three to the Mets this weekend.

The Phils lost twice on Saturday after Friday night’s game was cancelled due to weather.

In the first game of the double-header, RA Dickey took a no-hitter into the seventh and the Phils fell 2-1. Hamels pitched great, too, and the game was scoreless when Victorino broke up the no-no with a one-out double in the top of the seventh. He came around to score on a single by Howard, putting the Phils up 1-0. In the bottom of the seventh, pinch-hitter Val Pascucci tied the game at 1-1 with a solo shot to left. Lidge took over for Hamels in the bottom of the eighth and allowed the other New York run. Ruben Tejada singled with one out, stole second and scored on a double by Wright.

After allowing a run on two hits in the game, Lidge’s ERA was the same as his ratio for the year (1.56).

The Phils lost the second game on Saturday 6-3 to extend their losing streak to eight. RBI-singles by Valdez and Rollins gave starter Joe Blanton a 2-0 lead in the second. Gload knocked in Pence with a double in the third to extend the lead to 3-0. Herndon was on in relief to start the third, which turned out to be a nightmare for the Phils in which New York scored five times. With two outs and men on first and second, Willie Harris hit a fly ball that Pence dropped for an error that allowed both runners to score. 3-2 with a man on third. Herndon walked Wright before Kendrick relieved him. Nick Evans doubled to left. 3-3 with men on second and third. Josh Thole followed that by blooping a single to center that scored two more runs and made it 5-3. Jason Pridie started the bottom of the fourth with a double off of Kendrick that led to the sixth run for the Mets.

Rollins went a very welcome 3-for-5 in the game for the Phils.

Kendrick allowed two runs on four hits over 1 1/3 innings for the Phils. He has a 2.58 ERA 59 1/3 innings over his last 13 appearances. Lefties are hitting just 237/330/441 against him after hitting 312/367/535 against him in 2010.

Yesterday the Phils won 9-4. Pence hit a two-run homer in the first to put them up 2-0 and Ibanez added a sac fly later in the inning to extend the lead to 3-0. Utley knocked Ruiz in from second with a two-out single in the second to make it 4-0. Polanco doubled home Ibanez in the fourth, 5-0, and the Phils extended the lead to 9-0 in the fourth with help of RBI-singles by Pence and Howard and a two-run single from Ruiz. It was still 9-0 when Bastardo started the seventh. He struck out Justin Turner for the first out, but things got worse after that. Walk, two-run homer by Ronny Paulino, triple, single, wild pitch, walk, pulled for Worley. Worley got the last two outs of the inning with the lead cut to 8-3. Worley came back to start the eight and allowed another run when a leadoff single by Evans was followed by a double by Turner.

Remember when we were wondering if Bastardo was going to set the single-season record for batting average against? That’s less the focus at this point. Now it’s more about wondering if distributing protective headgear to the batter, catcher, home plate ump, base coaches and John Olerud is going to be enough to make people feel safe. Bastardo got one out in the game and was charged with three runs on three hits and two walks, raising his ERA for the year to 2.68. In nine appearances in September, Bastardo has thrown to a 12.79 ERA with a 2.53 ratio. Opponents have hit .346 against him in his 6 1/3 September innings. He has had seven bad appearances in a row since throwing 2 2/3 scoreless frames in two good outings to start the month.

Worley made his third relief appearance of the year in the game. He has thrown to a 3.18 ERA and a 1.41 ratio over 5 2/3 innings in relief.

Madson allowed two hits in a scoreless inning. He hasn’t allowed a run in 11 appearances in September, throwing 11 scoreless innings and striking out nine.

Halladay has a 1.70 ERA and a 1.05 ratio in his five starts in September.

The Phillies scored 13 runs in the three-game set, nine of which came in yesterday’s win.

Rollins was 3-for-4 yesterday and 6-for-12 in the series with a walk and six singles.

Utley 1-for-5 with a single and a walk yesterday. 2-for-8 with two walks and a double in the series.

Pence 3-for-5 with a walk, a triple and a home run yesterday. 3-for-10 with a triple and a home run in the series.

Howard 2-for-3 with an RBI yesterday and did not run the bases well yesterday before being pinch-run for in the fourth. Howard says that he would have stayed in the game if it were the post-season. He was 3-for-7 with three singles in the game.

Victorino was 1-for-6 with a double yesterday and left eight men on base. Leaving eight men on base is tough to do, especially when you don’t leave any on base in your first two at-bats. He struck out with men on first and second in the fourth (2). Grounded out with men on first and second in the fifth (4). Popped out with men on first and second in the sixth (6). Flew out with men on first and third in the eighth (8). 3-for-13 with two doubles in the series. He’s hitting 171/243/286 in September.

Ibanez 1-for-3 yesterday. 3-for-8 in the series. He’s on-basing .222 against left-handed pitching for the season.

Polanco 1-for-5 with a double yesterday and 1-for-9 in the set. 280/362/354 in September, but his numbers for the year are going to have trouble making up for the 220/278/265 he hit in 249 plate appearances from the start of May to the end of July.

Ruiz 4-for-4 with a walk yesterday. 5-for-8 in the series with five singles. 343/425/414 in September.

Mayberry ran for Howard yesterday and went 2-for-2 with a walk in the game. 2-for-9 with two walks in the series. 304/353/594 since the All-Star break.

Gload started the second game of Saturday’s double-header and went 2-for-3 with two doubles. He’s 6-for-his-last-19 with a walk and three doubles.

Cliff Lee (16-8, 2.38) faces righty Randall Delgado (1-1, 2.70) tonight in Atlanta.


Ross takes a Gload off of everyone’s mind

It has been a magical season for the Phillies so far in 2011. But not for everyone. Several key players have struggled overall despite the amazing success of the team. Last night two of the guys who have struggled made enormous contributions as the Phils topped the Braves 3-2 on a walkoff single by Gload to complete a three-game sweep.

Oswalt threw seven strong innings in the game for the Phils, throwing in the low 90′s coming off of two worrisome starts in a row. Coming into the outing, Oswalt had thrown to a 4.79 ERA over his last seven outings. He looked great last night, though, especially early as he started the game tossing five shutout innings in which he struck out six.

The Phils hit in the bottom of the ninth with the game knotted at 2-2. With one man out and men on first and second, Manuel called on Gload to hit against righty Peter Moylan and Gload delivered in a big way, ripping a ball down the right field line for a game-winner. It was a huge hit for Gload in a season where he has been slowed by a hip injury — he came into last night’s game just 5-for-his-last-39.

The Phillies are 91-48 after beating the Atlanta Braves 3-2 last night. With the win the Phils complete the three-game sweep of Atlanta and extend their lead over the Braves in the NL East to 10 1/2 games. They are 43 games above .500 for the first time in the history of the organization.

Oswalt got the start for the Phillies and went seven innings, allowing two runs on four hits and four walks. One of the hits went for extra-bases, a double. He struck out seven. Two of his last four starts have been very good.

Oswalt got Michael Bourn on a ground ball to second for the first out of the game. Martin Prado was next and hit a ball to short that Martinez muffed for an error. It put a man on first for Chipper Jones, but Chipper hit a ball back to the mound and Oswalt went to second as the Phils turned two.

Oswalt walked Brian McCann on a 3-2 pitch to start the second. He struck Dan Uggla out swinging for the first out and got Eric Hinske to fly to left for the second. Jason Heyward walked 3-2, though, and the Braves had runners on first and second for Alex Gonzalez. Oswalt struck him out on three pitches, getting him swinging to leave both runners stranded.

Oswalt started the third with a 1-0 lead. He struck out the pitcher Brandon Beachy for the first out and Michael Bourn for the second. Prado grounded to short to end the frame.

Oswalt struck Uggla and McCann both out swinging in a 1-2-3 fourth.

He walked Heyward with one out in the fifth. Gonzalez flew to right for the second out. Beachy hit a ground ball to short. Martinez fielded and looked to flip to Utley for the force, but Utley was already headed for the dugout. Martinez beat Heyward to second for the force to end the frame.

Bourn doubled to center to start the sixth. Prado tried to bunt him to third, but popped it up to Oswalt for the first out. Chipper was next and he singled into center, scoring Bourn to tie the game at 1-1. Oswalt struck McCann out for the second out before walking Uggla. Hinske popped out to Polanco in foul territory to leave both runners stranded.

Heyward started the seventh with a single to center and Gonzalez bunted him to second with the first out. Freeman was next and he singled into center, scoring Heyward to put Atlanta up 2-1. Bourn and Prado both flew to right to leave Freeman at first.

Bastardo started the eighth and Chipper singled to center to start the inning. McCann walked behind Jones, putting men on first and second for Uggla. Uggla hit a ground ball to third. Polanco fielded, stepped on third and threw to second to complete a double-play that left the Braves with two down and a man on first. Righty Matt Diaz hit for the pitcher Eric O’Flaherty and flew to right on a ball that Pence took in foul territory for the third out.

Bastardo keeps the Braves off the board with the help of the big double-play by Polanco, but doesn’t look fantastic. This comes off of his most recent outing on Saturday in which he walked the only two hitters he faced, so four of the last six batters he has faced in his last two outings have reached on three walks and a single. On the plus side, he does have a 1.66 ERA for the year and opponents are hitting .114 against him.

Madson pitched the ninth with the game tied at 2-2. Heyward led off with an infield single and Gonzalez bunted him to second with the first out. Freeman popped to short for the second and Bourn grounded to short to end the frame.

Madson has thrown 7 1/3 shutout innings over his last eight appearances. He was pitching for the second straight day and threw 11 pitches in the game. Bastardo threw 16 pitches.

The Phillies lineup against righty Brandon Beachy went (1) Victorino (2) Polanco (3) Utley (4) Howard (5) Pence (6) Ibanez (7) Ruiz (8) Martinez. Martinez at short with Rollins sidelined.

The Phils went in order in the first.

Howard and Pence both struck out to start the second, but Ibanez was next and he hit a 3-2 pitch out to right-center, putting the Phils up 1-0. Ruiz flew to right for the third out.

Martinez and Victorino struck out as the Phils went in order in the third.

Beachy set them down 1-2-3 again in the fourth.

Pence struck out for the first out as the Phils went in order again in the fifth.

The game was tied at 1-1 when the Phillies hit in the sixth. Victorino walked on four pitches with two outs and moved to third when Polanco followed with a single to right. Lefty Eric O’Flaherty took over for Beachy and hit Utley on the helmet with a pitch, loading the bases. Howard struck out swinging at a 2-2 pitch to end the inning and leave the bases loaded.

The original ruling was that Heyward had caught Polanco’s sinking line drive to right, but that was overruled and Fredi Gonzalez was ejected arguing. Looked like the ball was trapped by Heyward.

Down 2-1, the Phils went in order in the seventh.

With lefty Jonny Venters on the mound for the Braves, Mayberry hit for Martinez to start the eighth and singled to right. Valdez hit for Bastardo and bunted Mayberry to second with the first out. Victorino struck out swinging for the second out, but Polanco lined a single to right. Mayberry raced around third and came in to score as Heyward’s throw was way up the third base line, tying the game at 2-2. Francisco hit for Utley, who had been hit in the head with a pitch in the sixth, and drew a walk. Howard struck out swinging to leave the runners at first and second.

Big strikeout for Victorino after Mayberry gets bunted to second, but Polanco picks him up with the RBI-single.

Ibanez walked with one out in the ninth and moved to second when Ruiz followed with a single. With righty Peter Moylan on the mound for the Braves, Gload hit for Madson. He got behind 0-2, but hit a 1-2 pitch past Freeman and down the right field line. Would have been a double, but Ibanez scored to give the Phils a 3-2 win.

Victorino was 0-for-3 with a walk and three strikeouts. 2-for-11 with three walks in the three-game series. 300/379/523 for the year. 196/305/314 over his last 59 plate appearances. He’s high on the list of Phillies who look to me like they could use some rest.

Polanco 2-for-4 with a huge RBI. 5-for-12 in the series and twice hit by a pitch. 278/333/336 on the year. 236/293/270 in 329 plate appearances since the end of April.

Utley 0-for-2 and hit by a pitch. This says that Utley will not fly to Milwaukee. 3-for-12 with a triple and a home run in the series. 262/344/441 for the year. 206/264/363 over his last 110 plate appearances.

Howard was 0-for-4, struck out three times and left five men on base. 3-for-10 with three walks and a home run in the series. 262/368/570 over his last 125 plate appearances with ten home runs. He’s hitting 252/345/491 for the season.

Pence 0-for-4 and struck out twice. 4-for-11 with a walk and two doubles in the series. 308/363/484 for the year. 308/383/523 in 149 plate appearances with the Phillies. He’s now hit to the same .308 average with the Astros and the Phillies, but gotten on base more and hit with more power while with the Phils.

Ibanez 1-for-3 with a walk and a home run, which was the only extra-base hit of the game for the Phils (Gload was denied a double by winning the thing). 4-for-7 with a double, a walk, a home run and four RBI in the series after sitting against a righty in game one. He’s at 247/293/426 for the year. He’s walking in about 6.2% of his plate appearances this season, which is his worst rate since 1998.

Ruiz 1-for-4. 2-for-8 with a walk and two RBI in the series. 280/373/382 for the year. He’s hitting .250 at home and .309 on the road. He’s on-based .377 over his last 1,214 plate appearances.

Martinez 0-for-2 with a strikeout and an error. 0-for-7 with two walks in the series. 209/259/308 for the year.

Cole Hamels (13-7, 2.63) faces lefty Chris Narveson (10-6, 4.26) tonight in Milwaukee. Narveson has pitched well over his last seven outings, throwing to a 2.70 ERA. He hasn’t gone more than 5 1/3 innings in any of his last three starts. Hamels hasn’t allowed more than three runs in any of his last seven starts. His home runs are up a little of late — he allowed two in his last start and has given up four over his past 33 innings. He only allowed eight in 152 innings to start the season.


Nobody versus Jason

A lot of folks didn’t show up for the Phillies last night, and in some cases the no-shows were more literal than others. The starting pitcher Blanton was a late scratch, forcing Kendrick, who has been pitching out of the pen, into an unexpected start. Jason Giambi went nuts in the game, homering three times in the first five innings and driving in seven runs. The Phils, meanwhile, could muster nearly nothing offensively and fell 7-1, getting the one run they did score with the help of a four-out inning.

The Phils have now scored seven runs in their last five games.

The Phillies are 26-17 on the year after losing to the Colorado Rockies 2-1 last night. The team’s split the two-game series, but the Phils have lost five of their last six.

Kendrick got the start for the Phillies and went three innings, allowing five runs on seven hits and a walk. One of the hits went for extra-bases, a double. He struck out two.

Dexter Fowler led off the game with a single to center. Jonathan Herrera tried to bunt him to second, but popped it up to Ruiz for the first out. Carlos Gonzalez fouled out to Rollins for the second out before Tulowitzki singled into center, sending Fowler to third. That brought Giambi to the plate and he hit a 2-2 pitch out to right, putting Colorado on top 3-0. Seth Smith followed that with a walk before Jose Lopez grounded to second for the third out.

Kendrick threw a 1-2-3 second, striking out Chris Iannetta, getting the pitcher Jhoulys Chacin on a ground ball to third and Dexter Fowler on a ball hit out in front of the plate.

Gonzalez doubled with one out in the third, but Kendrick got Tulowitzki on a fly ball to left behind him. Giambi was next and hit a 1-1 pitch out to right. 5-0. Smith and Lopez followed with back-to-back singles, but Kendrick struck out Iannetta to leave them both stranded.

Baez pitched a 1-2-3 fourth.

He was back for the fifth with the lead cut to 5-1 and got Ryan Spilborghs on a ground ball to short for the first out. Tulowitzki was next and he hit a ground ball to third that Polanco didn’t handle for an error. It brought Giambi to the plate again and again he homered, this time hitting a 1-1 pitch out to right. 7-1. Smith singled behind him and went to third on a double by Lopez, but Baez struck Iannetta out swinging for the second out and got the pitcher Chacin to pop to Howard.

Mathieson pitched the sixth. Herrera singled with one out and moved up to second when Spilborghs followed and was hit by a pitch, but Tulowitzki flew to center for the second out and they finally got Giambi out, striking him out to leave both men stranded.

Smith singled to start the seventh with Mathieson still on the hill, but was thrown out by Gload trying to stretch it into a double. Lopez reached on an infield single, but Iannetta struck out again for the second and Chacin popped to Orr at second.

Mathieson allows three hits, but goes two scoreless innings. Smith trying to stretch his single and the throw by Gload helped him out a lot.

Stutes pitched the eighth. He allowed a one-out single to Herrera, but struck Spilborghs out behind him and got Tulowitzki on a fly ball to right for the third out.

Romero struck out Giambi and Smith to start the ninth before Lopez doubled. Iannetta flew to right for the third out.

Six innings for the pen in which they allow two runs, only one of which is earned, on eight hits and no walks. Plus they started Kendrick in the game, a guy who was in the pen to begin with. That’s not what the Phillies needed given they don’t have an off-day till June 2.

Kendrick threw 73 pitches in the game. Baez 40, Mathieson 40. Romero 19 and Stutes 18.

That’s all bad. Don’t know what the Phillies are going to do. But they’re going to have to do something. Halladay tonight helps, but they’ll need more. Nobody in the pen has thrown more than one day in a row, but you shouldn’t be looking for Kendrick, Baez or Mathieson in relief soon.

The Phillies lineup against righty Jhoulys Chacin went (1) Rollins (2) Martinez (3) Polanco (4) Howard (5) Gload (6) Ibanez (7) Ruiz (8) Orr. Gload starts in right against the righty with Mayberry and Francisco on the bench. He’s not an outfielder, but why not? Orr at second with the righty Valdez on the bench. Martinez in center again. For entertainment purposes, I really think they should have considered a third non-outfielder in left. Maybe Oswalt again.

Down 3-0, the Phillies went in order in the first and again in the second.

Ruiz blooped a single to left to start the third with the Phils down 5-0. Carlos Gonzalez strained his groin chasing after the ball and had to leave the game. He was replaced by Spilborghs. Orr followed that with a ground ball to first with Ruiz forced at second for the first out. Lee hit for Kendrick and struck out swinging for the second out. Rollins struck out to leave Orr at first.

No problem for me using Lee to pinch-hit there.

Polanco singled on a ball deflected by Chacin with one out in the fourth. Howard struck out swinging for the second out. Gload was next and he struck out swinging, too, but on a wild pitch from Chacin that allowed him to take first. Ibanez was next and delivered a ground-rule double to right-center with Polanco scoring from second to put the Phils on the board at 5-1 and Gload taking third. Ruiz popped to second to leave both runners stranded.

Again the Phils need help from the defense to put a run on the board.

Orr flew to center to start the fifth with the Phils down 7-1. Gload hit for Baez and grounded to first for the second out. Rollins followed with a walk and Martinez struck out swinging.

The Phils went in order in the sixth.

Ibanez started the seventh with a single to right. Ruiz followed with a ground out to first that moved Ibanez to second. Orr struck out swinging for the second out and, with Chacin still on the mound for Colorado, Mayberry hit for Mathieson and struck out to leave Ruiz at second.

Polanco singled with two outs in the eighth and took second without a throw. Howard grounded out to leave him there.

Gload started the ninth with a single to right, but Ibanez flew out behind him and Ruiz hit into a double-play to end the game.

One extra-base hit in the game for the Phils, the double by Ibanez. One walk (Rollins in the fifth).

Rollins was 0-for-3 with a walk in the game and 1-for-6 in the two-game set. He’s hitting 266/344/358 on the season. 184/200/263 over the last eight games.

Martinez was 0-for-4 in the game and 0-for-7 in the series. He’s hitting 194/237/194 for the year.

Polanco 2-for-4 in the game and 2-for-7 in the series. 335/337/427 for the year.

Howard was 0-for-4 with two strikeouts. 0-for-7 in the series, dropping his line on the year to 241/319/475. 132/233/340 over his last 60 plate appearances.

Gload was 1-for-4 with a strikeout in the game. He’s 2-for-his-last-10 and hitting 313/313/313 for the year (10-for-32 with ten singles and no walks).

Ibanez was 2-for-4 with a double in the game and 3-for-7 in the series. 339/350/542 in May and 233/287/349 on the season.

Ruiz was 1-for-4 and left four men on base. 2-for-6 in the series and 218/319/333 for the season. He was hitting 351/415/568 after going 2-for-4 against the Nats on April 14. He has hit 098/240/122 in 50 plate appearances since.

Orr 0-for-3 with a strikeout in his only action of the series. 230/299/279 on the season. 9-for-his-last-50. Valdez was 2-for-3 with a double in the series and is hitting 244/277/309 on the year.

Roy Halladay (5-2, 2.21) faces lefty CJ Wilson (4-2, 3.38) tonight as the Phils host the Rangers. Lefties are hitting just .212 against Wilson with two extra-base hits, both doubles, for the year. The Phillies are 0-2 in the last two games that Halladay has started. He has thrown a complete game in both of them. Righties are hitting .190 against him for the year.

The Phils put both Blanton and Victorino on the DL. The linked article suggests that Worley will likely replace Blanton but that Domonic Brown is not likely to replace Victorino.

Update: Brown was called up to replace Victorino.


Phils put a double-play whammy on Fish in Blanton’s return to the rotation

The Phils turned four double-plays in the first five innings last night in support of Joe Blanton’s return to the rotation. With the help of a nice game offensively and some weak defense from the Marlins, the Phils topped Florida 6-4 in the opener of a three-game set.

The top six hitters in the Phillies order combined for ten hits in the game. Ross Gload made his second start of the year in the outfield with a slumping Francisco on the bench and went 2-for-3 with a pair of RBI.

Blanton was credited with the win, but it wasn’t just the defense that helped him out. Worley gave the Phils three solid innings in relief and Madson nailed down his fourth save in a quiet ninth.

The Phillies are 23-11 on the year after beating the Florida Marlins 6-4 last night.

Blanton got the start for the Phillies and went five innings, allowing three runs on eight hits and two walks. One of the hits went for extra-bases, a double. He struck out two and has a 5.83 ERA after five starts this season.

He started the bottom of the first with a 1-0 lead. Chris Coghlan led off with a single and moved to second when Emilio Bonifacio grounded out on a ball hit out in front of the plate that Blanton handled and went to first on. Hanley Ramirez moved Coghlan to third with a single before Gaby Sanchez cleared the bases with a double, putting Florida up 2-1. Blanton walked Mike Stanton behind Sanchez, but got Greg Dobbs to hit into a double-play, with Howard fielding, throwing to second and Blanton taking the throw from Rollins at first, to end the inning.

Blanton struck John Buck out swinging to start the second before Omar Infante singled to left. Pitcher Javier Vazquez bunted Infante to second with the second out before Coghlan singled into left, scoring Infante to make it 3-1. Coghlan stole second before Bonifacio lined to center to leave him there.

He started the third with a 4-3 lead. Ramirez led off with a single, but Sanchez hit into a double-play behind him. Stanton singled to left before Dobbs flew to Victorino for the third out.

Buck started the fourth with a walk and Infante hit into a double-play behind him. Vazquez grounded to third for the third out.

Third double-play turned by the Phillies in three innings.

Coghlan reached on an infield single to start the fifth with the Phils up 6-3. Blanton struck out Bonifacio for the first out and got Ramirez to hit into a double-play behind him.

Worley started the sixth. Sanchez led off with a single to right and moved to second when Stanton grounded to Polanco for the first out. Dobbs hit a ball that Worley handled Sanchez was hung up, Worley threw to Rollins and Rollins threw to Polanco who tagged Sanchez out for the second out. Worley walked Buck in a nine-pitch at-bat, putting men on first and second for Infante. Infante flew to left to end the inning.

Worley walked Coghlan with one out in the seventh, but got the next two hitters behind him.

Worley got ahead of Sanchez to start the eighth, but Sanchez hit an 0-2 pitch out to left to cut the Phillie lead to 6-4. Worley struck out Stanton behind him, got Dobbs to pop to Valdez and struck out Buck looking for the third out.

Madson started the ninth with a two-run lead. Lefty Scott Cousins hit for the pitcher Randy Choate and reached on an infield single. Bryan Petersen followed with a ground ball to short. Cousins was forced at second for the first out with Petersen safe at first. Madson struck Coghlan out swinging 2-2 for the second out and got Bonifacio on a ground ball to second to end the game and earn his fourth save.

Four innings for the pen in which they allow one run on three hits and two walks. Worley threw 61 pitches (Blanton only threw 66), so don’t look for him anytime soon. Madson threw 13.

The Phillies lineup against righty Javier Vazquez went (1) Rollins (2) Victorino (3) Polanco (4) Howard (5) Ibanez (6) Gload (7) Orr (8) Schneider. The lefty Gload in right with Francisco, 1-for-his-last-20, on the bench. Ibanez hits fifth. The lefties Orr and Schneider in the lineup with righties Valdez and Sardinha on the bench.

Rollins led off the game and homered to center on a 3-1 pitch, putting the Phils up 1-0. Victorino and Polanco went down behind him before Howard doubled to right. Ibanez was next and lined a single into left, but Howard tried to score and was thrown out at home plate by a wide margin to set the Phils down.

Not a close play at the plate as the ball arrived well before Howard, who was tagged standing up.

Down 2-1, the Phils went in order in the second.

Blanton and Rollins singled back-to-back to start the third, putting men on first and second for Victorino. Victorino flew to center before Polanco singled to load the bases. Howard lined a single to right, moving everyone up a base and scoring Blanton to cut the lead to 3-2. Ibanez popped near the catcher on the infield fly rule for the second out. Gload was next and he singled between second and third. Rollins scored easily to put tie the game at 3-3 and Polanco held up about half way between third and home. Bonifacio in left threw the ball home and way over the head of the catcher Buck. Polanco took off for home, the ball bounced back to Buck and he tossed to Vazquez covering home plate. Polanco would have been out, but Vazquez dropped the ball, Polanco was safe and the Phils led 4-3. Orr grounded to second to leave the runners stranded.

Two misplays allow Polanco to score — first the throw goes over Buck’s head and than Vazquez drops the ball. Gload’s single should have been a routine ground ball to second, but Ramirez was playing close to second base on a weird shift. Rollins again is in the middle of the scoring for the Phils.

The Phils went in order in the fourth.

Victorino led off the fifth with a triple and came in to score when Polanco followed and flew to center, extending the lead to 5-3. Howard followed that with a walk and moved to third on a single by Ibanez. Gload was next and he singled to left, scoring Howard (6-3) and moving Ibanez to second. Orr struck out swinging for the second out and Schneider grounded to second.

The Phils went in order in the sixth. Martinez hit for Blanton and flew to center for the first out of the inning.

Polanco, Howard and Ibanez went in order in the seventh.

Mayberry, who had taken over for Gload in right in the bottom of the seventh, led off the eighth with a single to center. Orr struck out swinging for the first out before Mayberry stole second. He took third on a ground out to first by Schneider, but was left there when Worley hit for himself and struck out swinging.

Worley hits for himself with two outs, a man on third and the Phils up 6-3. He had thrown 49 pitches in the game.

Victorino walked with one out in the ninth and the Phils up 6-4. Polanco flew to right for the second out on a ball that Stanton caught, then mishandled for an error that allowed Victorino to take third. Lefty Randy Choate took over for righty Brian Sanches and Choate struck out Howard to leave Mayberry at third.

Rollins was 2-for-5 with his second home run of the year.

Victorino 1-for-4 with a walk and a triple. He’s on pace to hit 20 triples.

Polanco was 1-for-4 with an RBI. He has hit 250/270/281 in 32 at-bats in May so far.

Howard was 2-for-4 with a walk, a double and an RBI. He’s 4-for-his-last-11 with a double and a home run.

Ibanez was 2-for-4 with two singles to raise his average on the year to .222.

Gload was 2-for-3 with two RBI. He’s hitting 364/364/364 on the year — 8-for-22 with eight singles and no walks.

Orr was 0-for-4, struck out twice and left five men on base.

Schneider was 0-for-4 and left three men on base. He’s hitting .160 after 50 at-bats for the year.

Halladay (5-1, 2.19) faces righty Josh Johnson (3-1, 1.68) tonight. Johnson has allowed 26 hits in 48 1/3 innings on the season so far this year. He’s allowed more than one earned run in just two of his seven starts. He’s coming off his only bad outing of the year — he allowed five runs in 7 1/3 innings against the Cardinals in his most recent start. Halladay has only had one start on the season in which he allowed more than two runs, earned or unearned. He’s allowed four runs in 24 2/3 innings over his last three starts, throwing to a 1.46 ERA and an 0.81 ratio while striking out 32.

This suggests that Oswalt could rejoin the rotation on May 17.

The linked article also says that the off-day this Thursday will allow the Phils to skip their fifth starter on Friday and that Utley went 1-for-7 in extended spring training action on Monday.


Spread the Roy

In this article, Amaro suggests that the benefit the Phillies get from having the big three, Halladay, Hamels and Oswalt, in the rotation all year in 2011 may offset the offensive loss the Phils are going to suffer having lost Werth.

He says:

Let me put it to you this way: Having those three starters through a full season, I think, negates the difference in the production I think we’ll get from the combination of Ben [Francisco] and [Ross] Gload vs. Werth.

I think it’s tough to try and predict what the Phillies right fielders are going to do next year, mostly because we don’t know who they are going to be. I’m having trouble believing it’s going to be Francisco and Gload. If Ross Gload plays 40 games in the outfield next season he’ll be doing so for the first time in his career at age 35. He has one year of his career in which he has played more than 19 games in the outfield, and that was 2004. I’m not saying it’s not gonna happen, but it’s not gonna happen.

I think it’s pretty tough to predict accurately the number of runs the Phillies are going to allow in starts made by Oswalt next year. What we should be able to do, though, is look at the number of runs they allowed in his starts last year and figure out how many they would have saved in 2010 if he had made more starts and the number of runs the Phillies allowed in games he started and games he didn’t stayed the same.

The table below shows, for each of the Phillies starting pitchers who made at least ten starts, the number of runs the team allowed in their starts and the number of runs the team allowed in the games they didn’t start:

Starts Team RA Team RA
per start
Games not
started
Team RA
those games
Team RA
per game not started
Hamels 33 117 3.55 129 523 4.05
Halladay 33 90 2.73 129 550 4.26
Oswalt 12 25 2.08 150 615 4.10
Kendrick 31 148 4.77 131 492 3.76
Blanton 28 150 5.36 134 490 3.66
Moyer 19 91 4.79 143 549 3.84
Others 6 19 3.17 156 621 3.98
Total 162 640 3.95

So, for example, Hamels made 33 starts for the Phils in 2010. In those 33 starts, the Phillies (not just Hamels, but the relievers who pitched after him in those games as well) allowed 117 runs. That’s 3.55 runs per game. There were 129 games in the 2010 regular season that Hamels did not start. In those games the Phils allowed 523 runs or 4.05 per game.

Oswalt made 12 starts last year. If he had pitched a full season for the Phils, he would have made about 20 more. Based on his 2010 numbers as a Phillie, over 20 starts, Oswalt would have allowed about 41.7 runs. Over those same 20 starts, using the rate for 2010 at which the Phils allowed runs in games not started by Oswalt, they would have allowed about 82.0 runs (4.1 * 20). So, if the 2010 numbers played out over the extra 20 starts, the Phillies would have allowed 40.3 fewer runs on the season by giving 20 more starts to Oswalt.

That’s a ton. You don’t need great production in right field to get within 40.3 runs of what Werth produced in 2010, as good as he was.

So fantastic. No problem here. Bring on the suck in right field. Play anyone you want and we’ll all be fine. Right?

Not right. Oswalt was ridiculously fantastic with the Phils in 2010, throwing to a 1.74 ERA with an 0.90 ratio. In his 12 starts with the Phils, he was better than Halladay and Halladay won the Cy Young. Oswalt isn’t going to be nearly as good with the Phillies in 2011 as he was in 2010.

So, how many fewer runs might the Phillies allow thanks to a full season from Oswalt? I don’t know. But I think a lot less than 40.3 is a good guess.

Here’s a look at the numbers for Oswalt, Hamels and Halladay over 20 games based on the 2010 numbers:

Team RA
per 20 starts
Team RA
per 20 starts by other SP
Runs saved
Hamels 70.9 81.1 10.2
Halladay 54.5 85.3 30.7
Oswalt 41.7 82.0 40.3

The number of runs that the team allows in a game has a lot to do with factors out of the control of the starting pitcher — most important, of course, is how many runs that the team’s bullpen allows in games that pitcher starts. Again, if the Phillies replicated the numbers from 2010 in 2011 exactly, it suggests that they would allow about 40.3 fewer runs by giving Oswalt 20 more starts.

It also suggests that they would allow about 30.7 fewer runs by giving Halladay 20 more starts, though, and Halladay still won the Cy Young award last season. 30.7 is still a lot of runs, but the 10.2 runs saved number for 20 more starts for Hamels isn’t. If we’re going to guess Oswalt’s numbers for next year, I think we’re pretty safe saying that they are going to be closer than the 3.06 ERA and 1.18 ratio that Hamels put up than the 2.44 ERA and 1.04 ratio Halladay put up.

So, bottom line, how many fewer runs are the Phillies going to save in 2011 if they give Oswalt 20 more starts? I don’t know. Neither do you and neither does anybody, no matter what the bullpen does in the games that Oswalt starts. I do think it’s safer to say that it’s a lot closer to 10.2 than it is to 40.3, and if it turns out being anywhere near 10.2, the Phils are going to have trouble getting within 10.2 of the offensive runs created by Werth in 2010.

This says that the Phillies have reached an agreement with 33-year-old left-handed reliever Dennys Reyes and that the Phils will pay Reyes $1.1 million in 2011 with a $1.35 million club option for 2012.

Finally, in news of people you assumed you would never, ever need to have an opinion about, Luke Scott has given a memorable interview.


Committee working on Kendrick’s Hall of Fame induction speech disbands abruptly and without notice

Ditto for the committees working on the speeches for Bastardo, Herndon, Baez and Romero.

Kyle Kendrick was on a nifty little run coming into last night’s game. He had strung together three very nice starts in a row, throwing to a 1.86 ERA in those games as the Phils won all three. It ended with a thud last night, though, as he didn’t make it out of the fourth and was charged with six runs over 3 1/3 innings against the Dodgers.

The worse news is that the bullpen wasn’t any better. They allowed nine runs on ten hits and four walks over 5 2/3 innings. Thanks to the combo of bad starting pitching and bad relief pitching, the Phils managed to lose a game in which they scored nine runs. That’s tough to do. Since the start of the 2005 season the Phils are 132-4 in games where they’ve scored more than eight runs and 37-3 when scoring nine.

The game was also notable for the construction of the Phillies roster. The Phils gave John Mayberry’s roster to spot to Bastardo, which means they have 12 hitters and 13 pitchers active. They started last night’s game with four hitters (Schneider, Sweeney, Dobbs and Francisco) on the bench. Things didn’t work out well as Polanco and Ruiz both left early, Schneider had to stay in for a big at-bat late against a lefty and Hamels pinch-hit with two men on base for the final out of the game.

The Phillies are 62-50 on the year after losing to the Dodgers 15-9 last night. They are in second place in the NL East and 2 1/2 games behind the Braves.

Kendrick got the start for the Phillies and went 3 1/3 innings, allowing six runs on eight hits and two walks. Only five of the runs were earned and seven of the eight hits were singles. The other was a double. He struck out one and saw his ERA puff to 4.60.

Scott Podsednik started the game with a single and was running on the pitch when Ryan Theriot grounded out to short. It put a man on second with one out for Andre Ethier and Ethier singled into center, scoring Podsednik to put LA up 1-0. James Loney flew to center and Casey Blake popped to Ruiz to end the frame.

Jay Gibbons started the second with a single and moved to second when Jamey Carroll walked behind him. Brad Ausmus hit into a double-play and Kendrick struck the pitcher Vicente Padilla out to leave Gibbons stranded at third.

Theriot singled with one out in the third. Ethier followed that with an RBI-double that make it 2-0. Loney walked to put men on first and second. Blake hit a ground ball to third. Polanco fielded and threw to second to force Loney for the second out. With two down and men on first and third, Gibbons lined a single to right and Ethier scored. 3-0. Carroll grounded to short for the third out.

Kendrick continues to struggle against lefties. Ethier 2-for-2 with a double and two RBI through the first three innings. Werth made a really nice play on a line drive by Podsednik for the first out or the inning would have been worse.

Ausmus singled to center to start the fourth. Padilla was next and put down a bunt that was fielded by Kendrick. Kendrick threw to second, but Rollins didn’t handle the throw and was charged with an error. With nobody out and men on first and second, Podsednik singled to right to load the bases. Theriot hit a fly ball to right for the first out. It was deep enough for Ausmus to tag and score (4-0) and Padilla to take third. Bastardo came in to pitch to Ethier and Ethier singled to right. Padilla scored (5-0) and LA had men on first and second. Loney singled. Podsednik scored to make it 6-0 with Ethier taking second. Blake singled. Ethier scored (7-0) and Podsednik took third. Bastardo struck out the lefty Gibbons for the second out and got Carroll on a line drive to third to finally end the frame.

Not exactly a triumphant return for Bastardo in his first action since the middle of June. He faced five hitters and allowed single, single, single before getting a big strike out and a line out.

The lead was cut to 7-1 when Herndon threw a 1-2-3 fifth.

Perhaps still in shock at seeing a 1-2-3 frame, Manuel brought Herndon back to pitch the sixth with the LA lead cut to 7-4. Theriot singled and stole second before Ethier walked. Loney doubled to right, Theriot scored (8-4) and Ethier went to third. Blake hit a fly ball to right. Ethier tagged and scored (9-4) and Loney took third. Gibbons hit a 1-1 pitch out to right for a two-run homer. 11-4. Carroll grounded out for the second out before Ausmus hit a ball to short that Rollins didn’t handle for his second error of the game. Reed Johnson hit for the pitcher and popped to second for the third out.

Herndon has now allowed 52 hits in 37 1/3 innings on the year. Opponents are hitting .342 against him for the season.

Baez started the seventh with the Phillies losing 11-5. With one out, Theriot reached on an infield single on a ball that was deflected by Polanco. Ethier moved him to second with a single and the game was delayed for a brief ceremony celebrating his 1,000th hit of the game. Loney was next and hit a ground ball back to the mound. Baez fielded and threw to second for the second out. He walked Blake to load the bases. Righty Matt Kemp hit for the pitcher and singled to right. Theriot and Loney scored to make it 13-5. Baez got Carroll on a ground ball to third to set the Dodgers down.

Baez has a 7.88 ERA and a 2.19 ratio over his last 18 appearances.

Contreras pitched the eighth with the Phils down 13-7. He gave up a leadoff walk to Ausmus and then got the next three hitters.

Romero started the ninth. He hit Ethier with his first pitch, which at least spared us all another ceremony. Struck out Loney for the first out before Blake hit a two-run homer to left. 15-7. Then pitcher George Sherrill hit for himself and walked. Durbin entered the game and struck out Carroll and Ausmus to leave Sherrill at first.

That’s pretty awful. Romero has allowed runs in each of his last three appearances. In those games he has been charged with five runs on three hits (including two home runs), three walks and a hit batter. His ERA for the season has gone from 2.59 to 4.38. He has walked 23 batters in 24 2/3 innings.

The Phillies lineup against righty Vicente Padilla went (1) Rollins (2) Polanco (3) Gload (4) Ibanez (5) Werth (6) Brown (7) Ruiz (8) Valdez. Gload at first against the righty and Brown in right. Valdez plays second with Utley on the DL, making his 63rd start of the year.

Down 1-0, Gload singled with two outs in the first. Ibanez grounded to second for the third out.

Werth started the second with a single, but Brown hit into a double-play behind him. Ruiz flew to center for the third out.

Down 3-0, the Phils went in order in the third.

Polanco singled to start the fourth with the Phillies down 7-0. Gload flew to left for the first out before Ibanez walked. Werth walked as well and the bases were loaded for Brown. Brown flew to right for the second out. Polanco tagged and scored to cut the lead to 7-1. Ruiz struck out looking to leave the runners stranded on first and second.

Valdez singled to start the fifth. Schneider, who had taken over defensively for Ruiz in the top of the inning, flew to left for the first out before Rollins moved Valdez to third with a single. Polanco grounded to third with Valdez scoring to make it 7-2 and Rollins moving to second. Gload hit a 1-0 pitch out to right. 7-4. Ibanez grounded to first for the third out.

They were losing 11-4 when they hit in the sixth. Brown hit his first career homer with one out, connecting on an 0-1 pitch from Ronald Belisario to cut the lead to 11-5. Francisco hit for Herndon and grounded to first for the second out. Valdez grounded to short for the third.

They were down 13-5 when they hit in the seventh. With two outs and righty Carlos Monasterios on the mound, Dobbs hit for Polanco and singled to left. Gload followed that with his second homer of the game and the lead was cut to 13-7. Ibanez grounded to second for the third out.

This says that Polanco left the game because of left triceps tendinitis.

With two outs in the eighth and Monasterios still pitching, Sweeney hit for Contreras and reached on an infield single on a ball deflected by the pitcher. Valdez moved him to second with a single and lefty George Sherrill came in to pitch to Schneider. Schneider flew to center for the third out.

With Ruiz out of the game, the Phillies couldn’t hit for Schneider. They had used all of their hitters on the bench already anyway.

The Phils were down 15-7 when they hit in the ninth. Rollins led off with a single and Dobbs flew out behind him. Gload hit a ground ball to second and Rollins was forced at second for the second out. Ibanez singled and Werth walked and the bases were loaded for Brown. Brown doubled to left, scoring Gload and Ibanez to make it 15-9. Out of hitters, Hamels hit for Contreras and flew to left to end the game with runners stranded at second and third.

Ibanez gets a single off the lefty Sherrill in the inning for his only hit of the game.

Rollins was 2-for-5 and made two errors. 333/429/400 over his last seven games.

Polanco 1-for-3 with an RBI. He’s 13-for-35 (.371) in August.

Gload was 3-for-5 with two home runs and four RBI. 406/500/719 over 39 plate appearances since the end of the day on July 18.

Ibanez 1-for-4 with a walk. 360/446/550 over his last 111 plate appearances.

Werth was 1-for-3 with a single and two walks in the game. He’s hitting 393/500/631 over his last 104 plate appearances. After going 1-for-10 with seven strikeouts in the first two games against the Marlins he has gone 9-for-his-last-18 with two doubles, a homer and five walks.

Brown 2-for-4 with a double, a home run and four RBI. Still looking for his first walk after 38 plate appearances and on-basing .237.

Ruiz was 0-for-2. He’s 0-for-his-last-7 with four strikeouts.

Valdez 2-for-4.

Roy Oswalt (6-13, 3.50) faces righty Chad Billingsley (9-6, 3.82) tonight. Oswalt has a 4.38 ERA and a 1.46 ratio in his two starts with the Phils this season. Billingsley has allowed three runs in 27 2/3 innings over his last four starts, throwing to an 0.98 ERA and an 0.94 ratio.


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