Tag: Raul Valdes

Dr no

The 2012 season didn’t start badly for Roy Halladay. Just the opposite, actually. He threw eight shutout innings on opening day and ended April with a 1.95 ERA over five starts. Things didn’t start to take their dramatic turn in the wrong direction until May.

At least we now know that 2013 won’t go the same way as 2012 for Halladay. Cause last nice he made his first appearance of the year and was horrid, needing 40 pitches to get through the first on his way to allowing five runs in 3 1/3 innings as the Braves pounded the Phils.

Halladay has a 5.50 ERA over his 21 starts since the beginning of May, 2012. In those starts he’s allowed 136 hits, including 20 home runs, in 122 2/3 innings. Twenty is too many home runs to give up in 122 2/3 innings even if you’re not Roy Halladay.

The Phillies are 0-2 on the year after losing to the Atlanta Braves 9-2 last night.

Halladay got the start for the Phillies and went 3 1/3 innings, allowing five runs on six hits and three walks. Two of the hits went for extra-bases, both home runs. He struck out nine. Striking out nine in 3 1/3 innings is usually the sign of a good outing. This wasn’t one of those times.

Andrelton Simmons was the first hitter of the game for Atlanta and Halladay struck him out swinging for the first out in the bottom of the first. Jason Heyward was next, though, and Heyward singled to right. Justin Upton followed and hit a 1-2 pitch out the opposite way to right-center for his second home run of one game and one at-bat, putting Atlanta up 2-0. Freddie Freeman followed with a walk before Halladay struck BJ Upton out swinging for the second out. Dan Uggla was the next hitter and Halladay walked him, putting runners on first and second for lefty Juan Francisco. Francisco singled to right, scoring Freeman to make it 3-0 as Uggla moved up to third. Halladay struck Evan Gattis out swinging 1-2 to end the inning.

Three runs in the frame for the Braves on three hits, two singles and a home run, and two walks. Halladay threw 40 pitches in the inning, which is more than what would be ideal.

He struck out the side in the second, getting pitcher Paul Maholm looking and Simmons and Heyward both swinging.

Freeman blooped a single the opposite way to left field with one out in the third. He went to second on a wild pitch before BJ Upton struck out for the second out. Halladay walked Uggla, but got Francisco on a ground ball to first to end the inning.

Gattis led off the fourth and hit a 1-1 pitch just out to left. 4-0. Halladay struck out Maholm for the first out before Simmons singled into center. Valdes came in to pitch to the lefty Heyward and walked him 3-2, then walked the righty Justin Upton 3-2 as well, which loaded the bases for Freeman. Freeman lined a ball into left-center that split the gap and rolled to the wall, clearing the bases and putting Atlanta up 7-0. Valdes struck out BJ Upton and Uggla back-to-back to set Atlanta down.

Gattis’s homer just barely made it out, eluding Brown as he jumped for it at the wall. Valdes gives up back-to-back walks and both of the runners score on the Freeman double. He walked one of the last 36 batters he faced in 2012. Halladay leaves the game with one out and a runner on first and Simmons scores on the Freeman double.

Gattis flipped his bat and his ball just barely cleared the fence. Not saying the Phils don’t have bigger fish to fry. I’m just saying.

Valdes came back and set the Braves down in order in the fifth.

He goes 1 2/3 innings in the game, allowing two runs on one hit, the Freeman double, and two walks.

Bastardo pitched the sixth. He walked Justin Upton with two outs, but got Freeman looking to leave Upton stranded.

Adams struck out BJ Upton and Juan Francisco in a 1-2-3 seventh.

First appearance as a Phillie for Adams. Is it too much to ask him to go nine? Every day?

Papelbon made his ’13 debut in the eighth. He got the first two before Simmons singled. Heyward was next and hit a 3-1 pitch out to right, making it 9-2.

The pen goes 4 2/3 innings in the game, allowing four runs on three hits and three walks. Valdes threw 40 pitches in the game and surely can’t pitch tonight. Papelbon 22, Bastardo 18 and Adams eight.

Last night was the first of eight games in eight days for the Phils, so they have seven more before an off-day. Hopefully they won’t have to wait too long for one of the starters to get an out in the sixth inning, or the bullpen numbers are going to get even uglier. The bullpen has a 7.04 ERA through two games. They’re obviously way better than that, but they are lacking a long man, which is something you don’t want to be lacking if your starters are going to average about four innings a game and you have to play the next seven days in a row.

Kendrick and Lannan aren’t real good candidates to go deep into games, either. The Phillies have three candidates to pitch deep into games and two of them just pitched badly. So let’s hope we see Cliff Lee pitching well for a long time tonight.

The Phillie lineup against lefty Paul Maholm went (1) Revere (2) Rollins (3) Utley (4) Howard (5) Young (6) Brown (7) Mayberry (8) Kratz. Revere again leads off, this time against a lefty, with Rollins still hitting second. The lefty Brown stays in the lineup and plays left. Mayberry in right, which makes a lot more sense against a lefty than it did a righty on Opening Day. I think it’s unlikely that Revere will lead off against lefties very often this season.

Rollins doubled to left with one out in the top of the first. Utley followed him and struck out swinging for the second out, but Howard was next and drew a walk as Rollins stole third, putting runners on the corners for Young. Young grounded to short to leave the runners stranded.

Brown and Mayberry singled back-to-back to start the second with the Phillies down 3-0. It put men on first and second for Kratz and Kratz grounded into a double-play. Halladay struck out swinging to leave Brown at third.

Brown starts the inning with a hit off of the lefty, which is nice to see even if nothing comes of it.

Rollins singled to left with one out in the third. Utley flew to center for the second out and Howard struck out looking to leave Rollins at first.

Rollins 2-for-2 with a single, a double and a stolen base through two and a half innings.

Brown lined a single to left with one out in the fourth. Mayberry was next and hit a ball that Francisco didn’t handle for an error, which again put two men on for Kratz. Kratz struck out for the second out. Halladay hit for himself and struck out to leave both runners stranded.

Again Kratz goes down after Brown and Mayberry get on board. Halladay had thrown 79 pitches in the game. He would face three batters in the bottom of the fourth, getting one out and allowing a single and a homer. You can’t really hit for Roy Halladay in the fourth, but if you’re playing on paper and you know he’s going to face three hitters in the bottom of the inning and get one out, you might want to consider it.

Down 7-0, the Phillies went in order in the fifth.

Young singled to center with one out in the sixth. Brown was next and grounded to first for the second out with Young moving up to second. Righty Cory Gearrin came in to pitch to Mayberry and walked him, putting men on first and second for Kratz. Kratz went down swinging to leave the runners stranded.

Again Kratz with Brown on second and Mayberry on first. In the second he hit into a double-play to end the inning. In the fourth he struck out with one out and men on first and second. Sixth he struck out to end the inning with two men on. Six men left on base through six innings.

Kudos to Mayberry for drawing the walk against the righty.

Righty Christhian Martinez started the seventh for Atlanta. Nix hit for Bastardo and singled to right. Revere was next and moved Nix up to second with a single. Rollins flew to right for the first out before Utley doubled into the right field corner, clearing the bases and getting the Phils on the board at 7-2. Luis Avilan came in to pitch to Howard and struck him out for the second out. It brought Young to the plate and he hit a dribbler on the first base side of the mound. Avilan popped off the mound, sliding to get the ball and threw to first. The ball hit Young and Young was called out for running out of the base line.

Really weird call you don’t see very often. Young was just about on the line when the ball hit him. Utley would have scored from second when the ball got away from Young, so it cost the Phillies a run. Avilan made a fantastic sliding play to make it close at first. Tired of him.

Righty Anthony Varvaro got Brown, Mayberry and Kratz in order in the eighth.

The Phils were down 9-2 when Vavaro set them down in order in the ninth. Galvis hit for Papelbon and struck out swinging for the first out.

Revere was 1-for-5 in the game. He’s 2-for-9 with a walk and a stolen base so far.

Rollins 2-for-5 with a double. 3-for-10 with a stolen base after two games.

Utley 1-for-4 with a double, two RBI and two strikeouts. 4-for-9 with three extra-base hits and five of the team’s seven RBI.

Howard 0-for-3 with a walk and struck out twice. 0-for-8.

Young 1-for-4. 1-for-6 with two walks.

Brown 2-for-4. 3-for-7 with three singles and a walk. 2-for-4 against lefties in the very early going.

Mayberry 1-for-3 with a walk. 2-for-7 with a double and a walk after two games. Walked against a righty last night after doubling off of righty Jordan Walden in game one of the set.

Kratz was awful at the plate, going 0-for-4 with two strikeouts and leaving six men on base in the first six innings. 1-for-8 with three strikeouts so far.

Cliff Lee faces righty Kris Medlen tonight in game three of the set. Lee threw to a 4.79 ERA in his six spring starts. He made two starts against Atlanta in 2012 and both of them were very good as he allowed one earned run in 15 innings between the two outings. Medlen was outstanding in 2012, throwing to a 1.57 ERA with an 0.91 ratio over 138 innings in 50 appearances, 12 of which were starts. He had an 0.97 ERA in his 12 starts. Opponents hit .191 against him and he walked ten in 83 2/3 innings while striking out 84.


Phillies fans cannot understand how even a tiny particle of Freddy Galvis got into their left field

The Phillies pounded Tampa Bay yesterday, winning 10-1 on a day in which they started Freddy Galvis in left field and Galvis played very well, handling left and delivering two hits, including a two-run homer.

The pitching was fantastic for the Phils as they held the Rays to three hits and two walks. Valdes, Stutes, Horst, Bastardo and Papelbon all pitched well for the Phillies.

It was a little hard to notice with all the Freddy Galvis starting in left field going on.

There are a whole bunch of reasons you don’t want to ever see Freddy Galvis starting in left field for the Phillies in a game that matters. One is that he has a career on-base percentage of .292 in the minors. Another is that he has a career on-base percentage of .254 in the majors. A third would be that he’s not an outfielder.

He went 2-for-4 with three RBI in the game, hitting a two-run homer in the fifth and delivering an RBI-single in the sixth. He’s hitting 300/319/586 with 12 extra-base hits in 73 plate appearances. He’s tied with Howard for the team lead in extra-base hits.

Just monster power for Galvis this spring. His isolated power is at .286, which is nutty. Only one player in the National League with 50 or more plate appearances ended 2012 with an isolated power of .286 or better — Giancarlo Stanton was at .318. Galvis’s isolated power in 2,179 plate appearances in the minor leagues is .075. In 200 plate appearances in the majors it’s .137.

Tiny number of at-bats, of course, and if they ask you if that’s likely to go down from here you want to say yes. Several Phils have delivered a higher isolated power than Galvis this spring, including Brown, Howard and Pete Orr.

Frandsen 1-for-4 with a double and three RBI. 283/306/517.

Brown had three hits, going 3-for-4 with a pair of doubles. 373/429/675.

Quintero 2-for-4 with a double and an RBI to raise his spring average to .296 (8-for-27 with a double). He’s been bad defensively, but he’s a very good defensive player and I will be surprised if he’s not the backup catcher.

Howard 2-for-4 with a pair of singles. 338/369/675.

Revere led off and was 0-for-3 with a walk to drop his average to .316. Rollins is hitting .286 and on-basing .429 after going 1-for-4 with a single.

Inciarte was 0-for-1 and is hitting 250/357/292.

Valdes started the game for the Phils was fantastic, striking out five while allowing a run on two hits over three innings. He struck out two in a 1-2-3 first and another two in a 1-2-3 second. He allowed a run on a single and a double in the third.

Valdes allowed four home runs over his first 7 1/3 innings pitched this spring, but has been much better since. After 17 1/3 innings he has now thrown to a 4.15 ERA with an 0.92 ratio. He’s allowed two earned runs over his last ten innings, which is a 1.80 ERA. Again, his ratio with the Phillies in 2012 was 0.74. He allowed 18 hits in 31 innings and opponents hit .168 against him. I think the Phillies would be making a big mistake if they didn’t carry him to start the season.

Stutes took over for the Phils in the fourth. He allowed a one-out walk, but got the next hitter to ground into a double-play.

7.36 ERA and a 1.73 ratio for Stutes. He has walked nine in 11 innings.

Horst followed Stutes and was good as well, allowing a single over two scoreless innings.

Like Valdes, Horst struggled early. He has been even better since. After five innings, Horst had a 14.40 ERA and had allowed four home runs. He hasn’t allowed an earned run in ten innings since and now has a 4.80 ERA and a 1.27 ratio for the spring.

Bastardo started the eighth and got the two men he faced before leaving the game.

4.32 ERA and a 1.20 ratio for Bastardo. Opponents have hit .212 against him.

Papelbon pitched the ninth. He struck out the first two batters he faced on six pitches before getting Mike Fontenot to line to third and end the game.

9.82 ERA and a 1.50 ratio for Papelbon. Like Valdes and Horst, he’s been a whole lot better recently after a miserable start. Papelbon allowed eight earned runs in his first 1 2/3 innings pitched — since then he’s thrown 5 2/3 scoreless frames.

Colby Shreve threw a scoreless inning in the game and Steven Inch faced one batter (who he retired to end the eighth).

Cole Hamels is expected to start this afternoon as the Phils face the Tigers.

This article from the Phillies web site suggests Horst and Valdes are front-runners for two of the remaining bullpen spots and Aumont has the edge over Stutes for the other.

This suggests that Pete Orr and Inciarte could be competing for the final spot on the bench. Orr is hitting 308/308/615 in 28 at-bats this spring (8-for-26 with a triple, two home runs and no walks).

This article talks about who the sixth starter for the Phillies is now that they’ve cut ties with Rodrigo Lopez and Aaron Cook. The answer is probably Tyler Cloyd. Who the sixth starter is seems to be important given the combination of Kendrick being the fourth starter and the lack of certainty around Halladay.


I’m okay and you’re okay and not just that — we both look like we have about the same chance as winning the NL Cy Young Award this season

Just about any scenario that envisions a return to glory for the Phillies in 2013 requires us to imagine Roy Halladay returning to his dominant self. That hasn’t happened this spring and it sure didn’t happen yesterday. Throwing in the mid-80s, Halladay was rocked by the Tigers, allowing seven runs over 2 2/3 innings as the Phils fell 10-6.

Halladay says he’s okay, but none of the quotes anyone’s come up with since the outing inspire a lot of confidence.

Lost in the Halladay hammering yesterday was that Horst and Valdes both pitched great for the Phillies. Horst struck out one in 1 1/3 scoreless frames in which he did not allow a hit or a walk. Valdes was even better, striking out four in three scoreless innings.

Revere was 3-for-3 with two doubles and scored three runs, upping his spring line to an impressive 372/400/465. Even an isolated power of .093, which is where he is now, would be a fantastic development for Revere. I think we should assume he’s not going to keep hitting .372. It probably is safe to assume he might walk in about 4.3% of his plate appearances, though.

Betancourt also had two hits, going 2-for-4. He’s hitting .379. Not sure what the Phillies are going to do with Betancourt, but also not sure why they would have brought him in if they were just going to let him go if he lit things up in spring training.

Utley hit his first home run of the spring, a two-run shot off of righty Luis Marte. 179/343/321 in 28 at-bats for the spring.

Howard was 1-for-3 with a double. 333/356/714. Leads the team in home runs (4), RBI (12) and strikeouts (12).

Inciarte 1-for-2 with a single. He’s 4-for-13 with three walks and four singles. Mitchell 1-for-1 with a double. 5-for-10 with a walk, a double and two triples. The Phillies should let him play as long as it take for him to stop leading the team in OPS.

Michael Young 0-for-4 to drop his average to .333. He’s second on the team in RBI behind Howard with nine. Nine RBI over 41 plate appearances would have him on a pace to drive in about 132 runs over 600 plate appearances. That might not even happen.

Kratz and Brown both 0-for-3. Kratz is hitting .190. Brown’s line drops to 400/489/675.

Halladay started the game for the Phillies and was terrible, allowing seven runs in 2 2/3 innings. He walked the first batter of the game, Quentin Berry, in the top of the first. Berry stole second and scored on a one-out single. Don Kelly hit a two-run homer off of Halladay in the second. Three of the first four men that Halladay faced in the fourth reached on a walk, a double and a hit by pitch (Kelly) before Ramon Santiago hit a grand slam. Halladay got the next batter after the slam and was replaced by Horst. Horst retired Berry to end the third.

Overall, Halladay went 2 2/3 innings, allowing seven runs on six hits and four walks and hit one batter. He’s now made four starts, throwing to a 7.36 ERA and a 1.64 ratio while striking out nine in 11 innings. After four walks yesterday he’s walked six in 11 innings and opponents are hitting .279 against him. In 2010 for the Phillies, Halladay pitched 250 2/3 innings in which he walked 30. So his walk rate in yesterday’s start wasn’t as good as it had been during the 2010 season.

Horst pitched well in the game. After getting the final out of the third, he came back to throw a scoreless fourth in which he hit one batter but didn’t allow a hit or a walk. He drops his ERA to 9.82 and his ratio to 1.77 with the outing.

Diekman struck out two in the fifth, but also allowed a single and a two-run homer. He came back to pitch the sixth and allowed another run on a pair of doubles.

Overall, Diekman went two innings on the day, allowing three runs on four hits, three of which went for extra-bases, and no walks. He has now struck out 13 in eight innings for the spring, but thrown to a 5.63 ERA while opponents hit .290 against him.

Valdes followed Diekman and was fantastic, throwing three shutout innings in which he struck out four. He allowed one runner on one hit, a leadoff single to start the seventh.

Valdes has thrown 10 1/3 innings this spring and leads the team with 15 strikeouts. 5.23 ERA with an 0.97 ratio. He was hammered in his early starts, giving up four early home runs that have hurt his numbers, but I think the Phillies would be making a mistake not to start the year with him on the team. Even if it means three lefties with Bastardo, Horst and Valdes. His ratio in 31 innings with the Phillies last year was 0.74. If you throw to a ratio under one for long enough, it’s the kind of thing that can help a team.

The Phillies play the Yankees tonight in their first night game of the spring with Lee expected to pitch.

Rollins went 2-for-5 as the Phils topped Puerto Rico 7-1 in the World Baseball Classic. USA plays the Dominican Republic on Thursday night. Insert your own Cole Hamels joke here.

Canada has been eliminated from the World Baseball Classic, which means Phillippe Aumont has rejoined the Phillies. Aumont offers some criticism of Sebastian Valle’s conduct during the brawl between Mexico and Canada in the linked article.


Hicks Aarons it out against the Phils

Aaron Hicks homered off of three different Phillie pitchers yesterday as the Twins topped the Phils 10-6. The Phils led 6-1 after three innings but couldn’t hold on. Valdes and Minor were charged with seven runs between them in the seventh and eighth innings combined.

Ruf hit a two-run double for the Phillies in the bottom of the second. A much needed 2-for-4 on the day with three RBI ups his line to 185/313/259 with just two walks and two extra-base hits, both doubles, in 32 plate appearances.

Galvis started at short and had the only other extra-base hit for the Phils, a triple. He was 1-for-5 in the game. Slugging .519 this spring.

Young and Mayberry both 2-for-3. Mayberry also drew a walk to raise his line to 281/343/438 after a slow start. Young’s continued hot hitting has his average up to .310.

Brown and Kratz 2-for-4. Kratz is hitting .200 without a walk in 15 at-bats. Brown is at 400/514/767. Leads the team in walks and runs scored and is tied for Howard with the home run lead at three. Brown has scored 13 runs this spring while no other Phillie has scored more than seven.

This article talks about nice defensive plays made by Young, Brown and Utley in the game.

Lee started the game for the Phillies. He gave up a leadoff homer to the first batter he faced before retiring the next three to end the first. He allowed two hits and a walk in a scoreless second and threw a 1-2-3 third. He started the fourth, allowing another solo home run, this time with one out. He got the second out and was replaced by Horst.

Overall, Lee went 3 2/3 innings in the game, allowing two runs on four hits and a walk while striking out five. Both of the runs scored on solo homers. 5.19 ERA with a 1.27 ratio over three starts. Ten strikeouts in 8 2/3 innings.

Horst allowed a walk before getting the final out of the fourth. He came back to pitch the fifth and allowed a run on a solo homer.

Again Horst doesn’t pitch well. The spring started out well for him and has fallen apart a little over his last couple outings. His numbers at this point are ugly — 14.40 ERA with a 2.60 ratio. In five innings he’s allowed four home runs.

Valdes allowed a single single before striking out the side in the sixth. He returned for the seventh and gave up a leadoff walk, which was followed by yet another homer by Aaron Hicks (his third of the day — Lee, Horst and Valdes). Valdes struck the next hitter out for the first out of the frame and was replaced by Kyle Simon.

Valdes’s numbers are better than Horst, but they’re still really bad. 7.36 ERA with a 1.23 ratio. Like Horst, he’s allowed four home runs. He’s struck out a team-high 11 in 7 1/3 innings.

Simon got the last two outs in the seventh. He has now allowed a run in 2 1/3 innings over four appearances.

Miner started the eighth and faced six batters, getting one out, walking two and allowing four singles before getting pulled. He wound up charged with five runs on three hits and two walks over a third of an inning. Fields made an error at first after Miner left that meant that one of his five runs was unearned.

Miner has a 12.71 ERA for the spring and opponents have hit .370 against him.

Savery got the last two outs in the eighth, allowing one runner to reach on Fields’s error. He came back and allowed two singles in a scoreless ninth.

Savery hasn’t been charged with a run in his three appearances, allowing four hits and a walk over 4 1/3 innings while striking out four (0.00 ERA and a 1.15 ratio).

Kendrick is expected to start against the Rays this afternoon. Papelbon will not pitch as scheduled and may pitch Saturday.

USA plays Mexico today in the World Baseball Classic.


Ten runs rule

The Phillies won again this afternoon, scoring ten runs to beat the Yankees 10-5.

The Phils have won three of their last four and scored 20 runs in the last two games, winning 10-5 on back-to-back days. They got a bunch of help from the Yankees in today’s game as New York made four errors that led to six unearned runs.

Ten hits in the game for the Phillies. Nine singles and a double by Rollins. Rollins was 1-for-2 with two walks, a double and a pair of RBI. Galvis also saw some time at short, going 1-for-2 with an RBI and raising his spring average to .357.

Galvis is also the unlikely team leader in strikeouts with five.

Cody Asche was the only Phil with more than one hit, going 2-for-2 with a pair of singles to up his spring average to .333 (3-for-9 with a double and a walk).

Mayberry was 1-for-3 with a walk and drove in three runs, which ties him with Howard for the team lead in RBI at five. Howard 0-for-3. Brown 0-for-1 and walked three times, which raises his on-base percentage to .600 after 20 plate appearances.

Ruf was the DH and went 1-for-4 with two strikeouts and a walk, upping his average to .188.

Halladay started the game and went 2 1/3 innings, allowing a run on three hits and a walk. He kept the Yankees off the board in the first two innings. In the bottom of the first, New York loaded the bases on two singles and a walk, but Halladay struck out Melky Mesa to leave them loaded. Halladay threw a 1-2-3 second and faced two men in the third, allowing a one-out double to Francisco Cervelli. Cesar Jimenez took over for Halladay and struck two guys out, but also allowed a pair of hits, including a single that scored Cervelli with the run charged to Halladay.

4.15 ERA and a 1.15 ratio for Halladay after two starts and 4 1/3 innings. He’s struck out five.

Jimenez has allowed three hits over 1 2/3 innings, but hasn’t yet been charged with a run.

Aumont pitched the fourth, allowing a two-out single, but keeping the Yankees off the board. Aumont has now allowed one hit in two scoreless innings while striking out two over two appearances.

Then came Papelbon and Valdes. Neither of them pitched well and each of them were coming off a rough outing to start the spring.

Papelbon allowed a walk and a single to the first two hitters he faced before yielding a two-run double off the top of the wall in left. He allowed two runs on two hits and a walk in the frame, which dropped his ERA to 43.20. His ratio is 6.00 — seven hits, including two home runs, and three walks over 1 2/3 innings.

Valdes allowed a run on a solo homer to start the sixth before striking out the next three hitters to end the frame. He was back for the seventh and gave up another solo shot, this one coming with two outs. He’s now allowed three solo home runs in four innings over two appearances.

Rodrigo Lopez pitched the final two innings and was good again, allowing two singles and a walk while keeping New York off the board. That’s five scoreless innings for Lopez now with a 0.00 ERA, an 0.80 ratio and four strikeouts.

Cliff Lee is expected to pitch tomorrow when the Phils face the Blue Jays. Lee was very good in his first start, allowing a walk in two scoreless innings.


The murky dozen

Here was the most recent guess about the pitchers who start the year with the team, which came in this post at the end of January:

Other candidates
1 Halladay (R) P Aumont (R)
2 Lee (L) T Cloyd (R)
3 Hamels (L) J De Fratus (R)
4 Kendrick (R) M Schwimer (R)
5 Lannan (L) M Stutes (R)
6 Papelbon (R) BJ Rosenberg (R)
7 Adams (R) E Martin (R)
8 Bastardo (L) J Pettibone (R)
9 JC Ramirez (R)
10 Z Miner (R)
11 J Cruz (R)
12 A Cook (R)
R Lopez (R)
J Friend (R)
K Simon (R)
J Horst (L)
R Valdes (L)
J Diekman (L)
J Savery (L)
M Robles (L)
C Jimenez (L)
A Morgan (L)

There have been some developments since then. The biggest is that Chad Durbin was signed and appears to be a lock to be a righty out of the pen. Juan Cruz and the Phillies have parted ways, presumably because Durbin appears to be a lock to be a righty out of the pen. JC Ramirez was DFA’ed and then sent to Triple-A. And the Phillies signed two lefties who are unlikely to see time with the big league club soon, David Newmann and Corey Young.

So I add Durbin to the list and removed Cruz. Ramirez will still be in camp as an NRI, although he seems like a long shot to start the year with the team, he’s still in the right-hand column of other candidates.

Other candidates
1 Halladay (R) P Aumont (R)
2 Lee (L) T Cloyd (R)
3 Hamels (L) J De Fratus (R)
4 Kendrick (R) M Schwimer (R)
5 Lannan (L) M Stutes (R)
6 Papelbon (R) BJ Rosenberg (R)
7 Adams (R) E Martin (R)
8 Bastardo (L) J Pettibone (R)
9 Durbin (R) JC Ramirez (R)
10 Z Miner (R)
11 A Cook (R)
12 R Lopez (R)
J Friend (R)
K Simon (R)
J Horst (L)
R Valdes (L)
J Diekman (L)
J Savery (L)
M Robles (L)
C Jimenez (L)
A Morgan (L)

So nine slots now filled. Five starters and four relievers. Of the relievers, they have a closer, a setup guy and one lefty.

Assuming 12 pitchers to start the year, they have three open spots.

Last time I guessed I had them with eight filled slots and gave the last four to Horst, Aumont, Valdes and De Fratus, which left the Phils with three lefties in the pen and no true long man.

One big question with the current staff is whether Chad Durbin can pitch more than one inning or if the Phillies will use him to do so. Durbin was very good in 2012, arguably the best he had been since ’08 with the Phils, but didn’t go more than an inning a whole lot of times. Durbin got more than three outs in three of his 76 appearances for Atlanta in ’12. He threw more than 25 pitches in a game in four of 76. In 2008, the Phillies had Durbin throw more than 25 pitches in 18 of 71 appearances. On May 18, 2008, Durbin threw 66 pitches in relief of Kendrick after Kendrick exited after just one inning.

But it’s not 2008 anymore. And I would guess we aren’t going to see Durbin go more than an inning very often. So I’d say they still don’t have a long guy out of the pen.

I really have trouble seeing the Phillies not carry Horst to start the year given his performance in 2012 (he threw to a 1.15 ERA with a 1.12 ratio and 40 strikeouts over 31 1/3 innings).

I think that gets them to ten and leaves them with two slots open. I see Aumont, De Fratus, Stutes and Valdes as the guys with the best chances to fill the remaining slots. Aumont seems to have the biggest upside of the group. De Fratus has been fantastic in the minors in recent years. Stutes will need to prove he’s healthy, but was a big contributor for the 2011 Phils. Valdes threw to a 2.90 ERA with an 0.74 ratio for the Phils in 2012.

Aumont’s upside potential makes me feel like there’s some separation between him and the rest of the candidates. So I’ll put him in the eleventh spot. I think the last spot is a total tossup. Valdes would give the Phillies three lefties, so I’ll go with De Fratus once again.

That gives us 12 pitchers: Halladay, Lee, Hamels, Lannan, Kendrick, Papelbon, Adams, Durbin, Bastardo, Horst, Aumont and De Fratus.

Ben Revere wants to get on base more.

This article talks about depth in the starting rotation beyond the top five starters. It’s not real good.

Former Phillie hitting coach Greg Gross comments on some past and current Phillie hitters in this article.


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