Still on one-run games. For me the bottom line is this: whether it cost the Phillies in one run games last year or not, the Phillies need to keep their best hitters in the game as long as they can because they need to score a whole ton of runs to win. And if they don’t they don’t have much of a chance.

In 2007 they were 0-25 in games when they scored less than three runs.

If they scored less than four runs they still had almost no chance. They were 4-41.

In games when they scored six runs or less they were 43-71 (although they were 39-30 when they scored four, five or six runs).

In games when they scored more than six runs they were 46-2.

Here’s how their wins and losses break down for 2007 based on the number of runs that they scored:


Runs

W-L

Cumulative W-L
0 0-3 0-3
1 0-8 0-11
2 0-14 0-25
3 4-16 4-41
4 11-12 15-53
5 13-9 28-62
6 15-9 43-71
7 6-0 49-71
8 13-2 62-73
9 10-0 72-73
10 4-0 76-73
11 6-0 82-73
12 2-0 84-73
> 12 5-0 89-73

When the Phils are up 3-2 or 5-4 or whatever in the sixth what they need to do isn’t figure out how they’re going to stop the other team from scoring a run for the next three innings. Cause they’re not going to. What they need to do is figure out how they’re gonna score five more runs. And that’s going to take letting the best hitters they have hit.

Yesterday the Phils beat the Blue Jays 15-7 to improve to 11-13 in spring training.

Cole Hamels got the start and allowed five runs over 5 1/3 innings on nine hits and two walks. Four of the hits went for extra-bases, two doubles, a triple and a home run. His spring ERA puffs to 7.12. Condrey followed Hamels and allowed two runs on four hits over 1 2/3 innings. All four hits were singles and he also walked one. His ERA is up to 4.50. Gordon allowed one hit, a single, in the eighth but struck out the side. Gary Knotts allowed a single in a scoreless tenth.

Jason Donald led the way offensively for the Phils. He was 2-for-3 with two home runs and six RBI. Utley was 2-for-2 with a walk and a home run. Helms was 1-for-2 with a two-run homer. His line is up to 289/372/474 on the spring. Ruiz keeps up his hot pace, he was 2-for-5 with two doubles. Bruntlett continued to slide. His average is down to .196 after an 0-for-4 with two strikeouts and a walk. Snelling was 0-for-3. He has hit .229 with three extra-base hits in 47 plate appearances.

Phillies play the Yankees tonight.

On Saturday Chad Durbin pitched three perfect innings against Detroit before the game was called due to rain.

Francisco Rosario was put on the DL with a strained right shoulder, which ensures he won’t be on the opening day roster.

Lidge threw 16 pitches in a minor league game yesterday. Having trouble seeing him being ready for opening day, but we’ll see.

The Phils reassigned Casey Smith to minor league camp on Saturday.