Tag: michael stutes

Peeee-ew

Another miserable game for the Phillies last night as they made five errors on their way to a 6-2 loss to the Yankees. Cliff Lee allowed five runs over 2 2/3 innings — only two of the runs were earned as the Phillies made four errors in the less than three innings he was in the game.

For the spring, Halladay and Lee have now combined to make eight starts in which they’ve thrown to 6.45 ERA and a 1.66 ratio and allowed six home runs in 22 1/3 innings.

The bullpen pitched well in the game as Stutes, De Fratus and Durbin combined to toss four scoreless frames.

Darin Ruf hit his first spring homer, a solo shot off of righty David Aardsma in the sixth. 1-for-3 on the day ups his line to 200/317/371.

Mayberry was 2-for-3 with two singles. He’s hitting 261/320/370.

Brown 1-for-3 with an RBI to drop his average to .395.

Revere 0-for-4. He’s hitting 340/367/426. Frandsen 0-for-4 to drop him to 324/359/649.

Quintero is hitting .231 after going 0-for-3.

Inciarte 0-for-1 with a strikeout. 4-for-14 with three walks and four singles has him at 286/444/286. Jermaine Mitchell walked in his only plate appearance and stole a base. 5-for-10 with two walks, three extra-base hits, three stolen bases and a 500/583/1.000 line.

Five errors in the game for the Phils. Josh Fields started at third and made one. Quintero, Utley, Lee and Stutes had the others.

Lee started the game for the Phillies and went 2 2/3 innings, allowing five runs on six hits and two walks. Only two of the runs were earned.

Kevin Youklils doubled off of Lee with two outs in the first. The inning should have been over when the next batter, Juan Rivera, hit a ball to third, but an error by Josh Fields kept the frame alive for Ben Francisco to deliver a two-run double. Lee walked back-to-back hitters with two outs in the second before Ichiro singled home the third run (which was earned). Lee allowed a run on three singles in the third and another run scored on an error by Utley on a throw from Quintero that Utley didn’t handle. Lee left with two outs and runners on first and third. Miner took over and struck Jeter out looking to keep things from getting worse.

Lee has made four starts in which he’s thrown to a 5.56 ERA and a 1.68 ratio over 11 1/3 innings. Opponents have hit .294 against him.

Miner followed Lee, allowing a run over 1 1/3 innings to drop his ERA to 10.13.

Stutes was next and pitched well, tossing two shutout innings. He allowed a two-out single in the fifth and then threw a pickoff throw away for the fifth error of the game for the Phils, but got a fly ball to center for the third out to leave the runner stranded. He allowed a leadoff walk in the sixth, but got out of the frame with the help of a double-play.

4.50 ERA with a 1.50 ratio for Stutes. He’s walked four in six innings, but has not allowed a home run.

De Fratus threw a 1-2-3 seventh. His results are getting less terrible. He has his ERA down to 6.43 and his ratio at 1.43. He hasn’t allowed a home run, but has struck out just two in his seven innings.

Durbin struck out two in a 1-2-3 eighth, dropping his ERA to 7.20. Opponents are hitting .368 against him in five innings.

Aaron Cook is expected to pitch against the Pirates this afternoon.

Delmon Young continues to rehab and hopes are he will be with the Phillies by the start of May.

Rich Dubee says that Halladay is fine physically. If that’s the case it sure seems like his non-physical problems are significant.


Papelbon lends his leadership skills to the Detroit offense

Unusual choice. The Phils got crushed yesterday in a game most memorable for Jonathan Papelbon’s outing. Papelbon was charged with six runs over two-thirds of an inning and surrendered monster three-run home run to Miguel Cabrera.

The Tigers won the game 10-1. The Phillies have lost two of three so far and played to a tie in the other.

The Phils didn’t have an extra-base hit in the game. Howard was the offensive MVP of the contest, going 2-for-2 with a sac fly to plate the team’s lone run. Josh Fields, Galvis and Betancourt had the other three singles. Darin Ruf went 0-for-2 with a strikeout and is 0-for-8 so far. Inciarte walked in his only chance and has a 1.000 on-base percentage and an OPS of 2.000 after four plate appearances (1-for-1 with three walks). He’s been on base four more times than Ruf and has one at-bat.

There’s no way they could carry Inciarte to start the season, I hear you cry? Oh, there’s a way. 324 plate appearances for Michael Martinez over the last two years. Freddy Galvis, John Mayberry, Ty Wigginton and Placido Polanco all started on opening day in 2012 and the Phillies gave Juan Pierre 439 plate appearances for the season. Wilson Valdez got 663 plate appearances for the Phils in 2010 and 2011 combined.

So there’s a way. Just while we’re talking about it, Yuniesky Betancourt is 3-for-6 in the early going.

Things started out well enough on the pitching side. Lee and Cloyd threw the first four innings with each tossing a pair of scoreless frames.

Aumont was the other Phillie pitcher who was good in the game. He started the seventh with the Phils down 8-1 and set the Tigers down in order.

Papelbon getting hammered was the big surprise for the day. He started the fifth and faced nine hitters, getting two outs and allowing six runs on two walks, three singles and a pair of home runs. The three-run homer that Cabrera hit was the second Papelbon had allowed in the frame and came with one out and men on first and second. It went unusually far. Alfredo Simon bailed Papelbon out, facing one batter and getting a ground out to end the frame.

Stutes made his spring debut in the sixth and allowed a pair of runs. He walked the leadoff man, got the next two, but then allowed a walk and a two-run triple.

Valdes gave up a run on back-to-back doubles in the eighth, then returned for the ninth and allowed another run on a solo homer.

In yesterday’s game, left-handed pitchers threw seven of the nine innings for Detroit. In those seven innings, the Phillies scored a run on four singles and three walks. This article points out the problems the Phils might have with lefties this year. They didn’t have a lot of success against righties in yesterday’s game, either. Detroit righties threw two scoreless innings in which they allowed one single and struck out two.

Kendrick is expected to pitch this afternoon when the Phils face the Yankees.


The third men

The walk rate for Phillie third baseman in 2012, when the Phils were 15th in the league in walk rate, was worse than it was in 2007, when Phillie hitters overall drew more walks than any other team in the league. The bigger problem, though, is that the team’s walk rate at the position is just terrible and has been for years.

For the last six seasons, here’s the percentage of plate appearances in which the Phillies third basemen have drawn walks, the average for the league at the position and the team’s rank in the NL for walks drawn by third basemen:

Year PHI 3B BB% NL AVG 3B BB% NL Rank BB @ 3B
2012 4.7 8.1 16
2011 7.8 7.5 7
2010 5.6 8.5 15
2009 5.6 9.1 16
2008 6.7 8.9 14
2007 8.7 9.0 10

So that’s bad. Four of the last five years the Phillies have been 14th or worse in 16-team NL in walk rate at third base. 2011 was the only year in the last six they’ve been non-terrible. Polanco led the way that season, walking in 8.0% of his plate appearances as a third baseman. That was the best walk rate of his career and well above his career-average of 5.5%.

In 2012, the Phillies walked in just 4.7% of their plate appearances at third, their worst mark of any of the last six miserable years (at least for walking at the position). They drew just 32 walks for the season, which was less than any other NL team.

Polanco got about 47% of the plate appearances at third for the Phillies in 2012 and walked in about 5.1% of them. Frandsen got about 30% of the chances and walked in about 3.9% of those. Wigginton, Fontenot, Martinez, Orr and Luna combined for the other plate appearances at the position and walked in about 5.2% of them.

Michael Young looks to be the guy for the Phils at third in 2013. In 2012, he walked in about 5.1% of his plate appearances, not much better than the 4.7% of PA the Phils walked in during 2012. There’s a good chance a 5.1% walk rate for the Phillies at the position would likely still have them 16th in the NL in total walks at third in 2013. The two teams that were within striking distance for the Phils in 2012 were the Rockies and Astros — both of those team saw their third basemen walk in about 5.3% of their plate appearances.

Finally, Michael Young’s career walk rate is about 6.6%. If he managed to walk in about 6.6% of his plate appearances during 2013 and got all of the Phillie chances at third, the team would likely be around 13th at the end of the year (at least based on 2012 results).

Juan Cruz is not yet in camp due to what Amaro suggests is a communication issue.

This suggests that Michael Stutes is feeling well.

Update: Juan Cruz and the Phillies have apparently decided to “part ways.”


Maybe we should try asking him to play both corner outfield positions

The most recent post suggested that there are two positions where the total number of walks the Phillies drew in 2012, when they were terrible at drawing walks overall, was better than it was in 2007, when the Phillies were very good at drawing walks. One was center field and the other was shortstop.

Shortstop for the Phils is all about Jimmy Rollins and has been for years. He got about 95% of the team’s plate appearances as a shortstop in 2012 and just over 99% in 2007. For years we had been pleading with Jimmy Rollins to improve his walk rate. Not sure everybody noticed, but he did.

Through the end of the 2009 season, J-Roll had one year in his career in which he walked in 8% or more of his plate appearances (9.3% in 2008). Over the last three years his lowest walk rate is 8.9%. Here are his career numbers through 2009 and for 2010-2012:

PA BB%
2000-2009 6512 7.2
2010-2012 1724 9.3

From 2003 to 2007, the Phillies were either first or second in the NL in walk rate in every season. Rollins was the everyday guy at shortstop, walking in the same 7.2% of his plate appearances as his career mark for walk rate going into 2010.

So even when the Phillies were an elite walking team, they didn’t draw a ton of walks at the position. They’re no longer an elite group of walkers, but they are getting more walks from short because Rollins has improved his rate.

Center field is the other position where the Phils drew more walks in 2012 than they did in 2007. Again, the issue there is that their walk rate in center was pretty low in 2007. Rowand was miserable at drawing walks in 2006, walking in just about 4.1% of his plate appearances in center. He got better in ’07, getting the vast majority of the PA at the position and walking in about 6.9% of his chances to help get the team’s rate up to 7.0%. Led by Victorino, the team has been in the 8% range over the past four years and were at 8.5% in 2012. Victorino walked in just 8.1% of his PA with the Phils in ’12, his worst mark since 2008, but the Phils got up to 8.5% at the position with some unexpected help from Mayberry. You probably don’t think of Mayberry as a walk machine, but he walked in about 9.7% of his 227 plate appearances as a center fielder in 2012.

Delmon Young is coming off of surgery on his right ankle. Amaro suggests that he might not be able to play in games competitively until the middle of March in this article. The same article suggests that Valdes and Stutes could both be near 100%.


It takes two (preferably less than two, actually)

The pitching the Phillies got last night in San Francisco wasn’t fantastic, but it wasn’t all that awful, either. Joe Blanton had a rough start and wound up allowing four runs over five innings, but the pen was strong after that and the Phils held the Giants to just four runs in the game.

That proved to be too much for a Phillies team that has yet to win a game in which they’ve allowed more than two runs. After 11 games, there is only one member of the 2012 Phils with more than five plate appearances for the year with an OPS of .780 or better (Pence is at .915).

The Phillies are 5-6 on the year after falling to the San Francisco Giants 4-2 last night. The teams have split the first two games of the series.

Blanton got the start for the Phillies and went five innings, allowing four runs on 11 hits. Three of the hits went for extra-bases, a double and two triples. He didn’t walk a batter and struck out two.

He has now made three appearances on the year, two starts and one relief outing, and thrown to a 4.26 ERA with a 1.34 ratio. In 12 2/3 innings, he has walked just one batter, but allowed 16 hits. Opponents are hitting .308 against him.

Switch-hitter Angel Pagan led off the bottom of a scoreless first and lined a single into center. Switch-hitter Melky Cabrera was next and he tripled down the first base line and into the corner. Pagan scored to put the Giants up 1-0. Switch-hitter Pablo Sandoval was next and he grounded out to second with Cabrera scoring to make it 2-0. Righty Buster Posey singled before Blanton struck lefty Aubrey Huff out looking for the second out. Lefty Nate Schierholtz was next and he singled softly into left, moving Posey up to second. Lefty Brandon Crawford grounded to second to leave both runners stranded.

Another rough first inning for a Phillie starter. The Phils have an 8.18 ERA in the first inning so far this season, having allowed ten earned runs in 11 innings. Opponents are hitting .400 against them in the first.

Blanton got switch-hitter Emmanuel Burriss to ground out to start the second and pitcher Madison Bumgarner on another grounder before Pagan tripled to center. Cabrera grounded out to leave Pagan at third.

Huff and Schierholtz singled back-to-back with two outs in the third, but Blanton got Crawford on a ground ball to first to leave them both stranded.

The lead was cut to 2-1 when Burriss started the bottom of the fourth with an infield single. Bumgarner bunted him to second with the first out, but Pagan popped out and Cabrera struck out swinging to leave him at second.

Sandoval doubled to center to start the fifth and moved to third on a single by Posey. Huff went down on a popup to Rollins for the first out, but Schierholtz followed with a single into right that scored Sandoval (3-1) and moved Posey up to second. Posey stole third before Crawford grounded back to the pitcher. Blanton went to second, but the Phils were unable to get more than one out. Schierholtz was forced at second, Posey scored (4-1) and Crawford was safe at first. Ruiz threw Crawford out trying to steal second to end the inning.

Kendrick started the bottom of the sixth with the Phillies down 4-2 and set Burriss, Bumgarner and Pagan down in order.

He was back for the seventh. Sandoval and Posey singled back-to-back with one out, putting runners on first and second. Huff popped out to shortstop before Kendrick walked Schierholtz on four pitches, loading the bases for Crawford. Kendrick quickly got ahead of Crawford 0-2 and struck him out swinging 3-2 to leave all three runners stranded.

Kendrick dropped his ERA on the year to 1.92 with two scoreless frames. He’s has walked three in 4 2/3 innings so far, though, which is too many.

Stutes started the eighth and walked the leadoff man Burriss 3-2. Lefty Brandon Belt flew to left for the first out before Burriss stole second. Pagan flew to right for the second out before Cabrera struck out looking to leave Burriss at second.

Stutes, like Kendrick, also has a 1.93 ERA for the season, having allowed one earned runs in 4 2/3 innings. He has also walked three batters in 4 2/3 innings, which is too many for him as well.

You really, really want to try to avoid walking Emmanuel Burriss to start an inning given that he has one extra-base hit since the end of 2009. His isolated power since the end of 2009 is .006. One extra-base hit, a double, in 184 plate appearances. Kudos to the Phillies, though, for fighting the impulse to snap him up and start him in left field.

Kendrick and Stutes combined to throw three scoreless innings in the game, allowing two hits and two walks. Kendrick likely will be unavailable tonight after throwing 39 pitches in the game. Stutes threw 19 pitches in the game.

The Phillies lineup against lefty Madison Bumgarner went (1) Victorino (2) Polanco (3) Rollins (4) Pence (5) Wigginton (6) Mayberry (7) Ruiz (8) Galvis. Victorino hits leadoff against the lefty with Wigginton at first and Mayberry in left. Victorino needs to hit lower in the order given his success against lefties. Polanco is a really bad two-hitter, but it’s not as awful against lefties as it is against righties.

Victorino was the first batter of the game and hit a ball up the middle that Crawford didn’t handle moving to his left for an error. Polanco was next and he got sawed off hitting a ball back to the mound. Bumgarner fielded it and threw to second, where again Crawford didn’t handle it. Everyone was safe and Bumgarner was charged with an error for a low throw that Crawford should have handled. Rollins was next and he grounded into a double-play, putting Victorino on third with one out. Pence popped to first to leave him there.

Five outs for the Phils and no runs, who don’t score after putting men on first and second with nobody out. Miserable start to the game for Crawford defensively, flubbing his first two touches in the game.

Down 2-0, Wigginton walked to start the second. Mayberry popped to second for the first out before Ruiz moved Wigginton up to second with a single. Galvis was next and lined to short with Wigginton doubled off of second to end the frame.

Again the Phillies hit into a double-play and again they fail to score, this time after putting runners on first and second with one out.

Victorino doubled to left with one out in the third and stole third as Polanco struck out swinging. Rollins struck out swinging to leave him there.

Again, I don’t really think you want Victorino hitting behind the pitcher all that much against lefties.

Pence led off the fourth and homered to left, cutting the San Francisco lead to 2-1. The Phils went in order behind him.

Galvis started the fifth with a single to right and Blanton bunted him to second with the first out. Victorino popped to short and Polanco grounded to short to leave Galvis stranded.

Again no run for the Phils, this time after putting a man on second with one out.

Rollins started the sixth with a single to center with the Phils down 4-1. He took second on a wild pitch before Pence was hit by a pitch, putting runners on first and second with nobody out. Wigginton singled to left on ball deflected by Crawford, loading the bases. Mayberry popped to first with the runners holding for the first out. Ruiz was next and flew to left for the second, with Rollins tagging from third and scoring to cut the lead to 4-2. Galvis grounded to short to set the Phillies down.

One run for the Phils after loading the bases with nobody out. Mayberry can’t come through, popping out for the first out. He ends the game hitting .219 for the season with no walks and one double.

Pierre, double-switched into the game in the bottom of the sixth, led off the seventh and singled into center. Righty Clay Hensley took over for Bumgarner and struck Victorio for the first out. Polanco flew to center for the second before Pierre stole second. Rollins struck out swinging to leave him at second.

Pierre does his job trying to get the rally started, but the Phils go quietly behind him. Three stolen bases on the year with one ugly caught stealing of third that was rather unnecessary. One of the three times he was safe he was really out, but if he’s going to be safe 75% of the time that might be the best we can hope for. I’m guessing he’s not going to be safe 75% of the time before it’s over.

Righty Sergio Romo set down Pence and Wigginton to start the eighth. Thome hit for Kendrick and flew to right for the third out.

Seems a little odd to me that Thome hits there with the Phillies down by two runs and nobody on base. Whether it’s Romo or Casilla, the Giants seem sure to be throwing a righty in the ninth and looking ahead there seems like a big chance to hit for Galvis in the ninth as the tying run if Ruiz can get on base to start the frame.

The righty Casilla got Ruiz and Galvis on ground balls to start the ninth before singled. Victorino hit a ball hard to short, but Crawford made a very nice diving play to get the ball and throw to first to end the game.

Crawford starts the game out with some awful defense and ends it with a great play.

Victorino was 1-for-5 with a double and left three men on base. That’s just his second extra-base hit of the year. The Phillies could use some more thump out of him, no matter where he hits in the order.

Polanco was 0-for-4 with a strikeout and four men left on base. He’s hitting .179 with one walk for the season, which isn’t what you’re looking for from either your two-hitter or your third baseman.

Rollins 1-for-4 with a single and two strikeouts. He has struck out in four of his last eight plate appearances. He has just one extra-base hit, a double, through 48 plate appearances.

Pence was 1-for-3 with his second home run of the year. He’s 5-for-his-last-11 and leads the team with seven RBI for the season.

Wigginton 1-for-3 with a walk. He’s 4-for-his-last-12 with two walks, a double and a home run. So far this year, the average walk percentage for NL hitters is about 8.5% of plate appearances. The Phillies only have two players at 8.5% of PA or higher — Wigginton (12.0%) and Nix (14.3%). Wigginton’s career walk percentage is 7.3% and Nix’s is 5.7%.

Mayberry 0-for-3 with four men left on base. Pierre is hitting .346 after going 2-for-2 in the game.

Ruiz was 1-for-3 with an RBI. Still hitting just .222 since going 4-for-6 in the first two games of the year.

Galvis 1-for-4 with a single to up his average for the year to .229.

Cliff Lee (0-1, 3.46) faces righty Matt Cain tonight (1-0, 3.00). Lee allowed a run over six innings in his first start of the year, which came against the Pirates. He had a rough first inning in his other start, allowing three runs in the top of the first to the Mets, but was solid after that as he allowed four runs over seven innings overall. Cain allowed five runs over six innings in his first start, but was brilliant in his other outing on the year. His last time out he faced the Pirates and threw a complete game one-hitter. He didn’t walk a batter and struck out 11.


News bittersweet as Phils win, but pleas to extend Spring Training by like 120 games or so fall on deaf ears

Phils topped the Pirates 7-2 last night in their final game before opening the regular season on Thursday. They end their official Spring Training games with a 14-16-4 mark.

Hamels started the game for the Phillies and was fantastic, throwing four shutout innings in which he allowed three hits, no walks and struck out five. In seven Spring Training starts, Hamels threw to a 2.93 ERA with a 1.19 ratio.

Bastardo started the fifth, throwing on back-to-back days. He faced three batters, got two of them and allowed a single to the other. Herndon took over with two outs and a man on first and allowed a double and a single to the first two men he faced before getting a strikeout to end the inning.

Bastardo ends Spring Training with an 0.81 ratio, but a 4.15 ERA. I feel pretty sure that if he keeps throwing to an 0.81 ratio, his ERA is going to be a whole lot better than 4.15. Last year, for example, his ratio was 0.93 and his ERA 2.64.

Herndon finishes with a 3.31 ERA and a 1.29 ratio. Opponents hit .288 against him, but in 16 1/3 innings he struck out 14 and walked just two.

Valdes threw a 1-2-3 seventh. Qualls threw a 1-2-3 eighth. Papelbon threw a 1-2-3 ninth.

Valdes will not make the team despite a 1.32 ERA and an 0.88 ratio and 14 strikeouts in 13 2/3 innings.

Qualls 4.22 ERA and 1.03 ratio. Opponents hit just .179 against him, but he walked four in 10 2/3 innings.

Papelbon finishes with a 3.86 ERA and a 1.29 ratio. He held opponents to a .229 average, but walked five in 11 2/3 innings.

Polanco was 1-for-3 in the game and hit a three-run homer in the fifth. He ends Spring Training at 429/478/571.

Galvis had another extra-base hit, doubling in his only at-bat. 280/295/476 in 82 at-bats. He led the team with 14 RBI.

Nix also doubled in what was an awful spring for him. He was 1-for-4 with a double in the game and winds up at 208/300/264.

Ruiz was 1-for-2 with a double. 479/500/771 in 48 at-bats. .771? Yup. 23-for-48 with eight doubles and two home runs.

Mayberry ends his ugly spring with a good day, going 1-for-3 with a double and a walk. 203/259/304. He gets a big do-over starting on Thursday — he and the Phils could both use it, cause they’re going to need him to not hit .203 with no power.

We’ll probably be seeing a lot of Wigginton in the early going, too. He was 0-for-1 last night to drop his line to 185/260/246.

Roy Halladay faces lefty Erik Bedard on Thursday.

Joe Savery made the team and so did Pete Orr. Podsednik (309/377/455) and Luna (302/351/528) did not. Neither did Raul Valdes.

Valdes was significantly better than his fellow lefty Savery this Spring Training. Valdes threw 13 2/3 innings with a 1.32 ERA and an 0.88 ratio while striking out 14. Savery threw to a 3.48 ERA with a 1.45 ratio and struck out nine in 10 1/3 innings.

Pierre winds up outhitting Podsednik. 377/433/426 in 61 at-bats for Pierre and 309/377/455 in 55 at-bats for Podsednik.

This says Stutes and Herndon will start the year with the Phils.

That makes 25.

Hitters (13): Ruiz, Schneider, Thome, Mayberry, Wigginton, Galvis, Orr, Rollins, Polanco, Nix, Pierre, Victorino, Pence.

Pitchers (12): Halladay, Lee, Hamels, Blanton, Worley, Kendrick, Papelbon, Savery, Bastardo, Qualls, Stutes, Herndon.


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