Tag: Marlon Byrd

Irreversible errors

Atlanta 8, Phillies 1. Cliff Lee got the start and pitched well, but the Braves scored five runs charged to Papelbon in the seventh inning, all of which were unearned thanks to another Maikel Franco error. That’s not to suggest that Papelbon pitched well.

Franco and Ryan Howard combined to make two errors in the game and have combined for five overall.

The Phillies scored one run on five singles and a double in the game.

Lee got the start for the Phillies and went 3 2/3 innings, allowing two runs on three hits and a walk while striking out five. Jason Heyward was the first batter of the game and homered on Lee’s second pitch. Lee struck out the side in the second and worked around a Ryan Howard error in the third. In the fourth he got the first two before allowing a single to Chris Johnson. Mario Hollands replaced him and allowed a home run to the first man he faced, Dan Uggla, with Johnson scoring a run charged to Lee.

4.15 ERA and a 1.04 ratio for Lee after three starts and 8 2/3 innings. He’s pitched better than that ERA — Hollands allowing a home run after he surrendered a two-out single is the kind of thing that will hurt your ERA when you’ve thrown 8 2/3 innings. Ten strikeouts.

Hollands allowed the home run to Uggla in the fourth, then allowed a double to Gerald Laird before getting the final out of the frame. He allowed a single and a walk in a scoreless fifth and a walk in a scoreless sixth.

Overall he went 2 1/3 innings, allowing a run on three hits and two walks. He struck out two.

Not a good day for Hollands coming off of three good ones. He came into the day with a 0.00 ERA and an 0.50 ratio after three appearances and four innings. 1.42 ERA and a 1.11 ratio after today. Five strikeouts in 6 1/3. Again, gave up a two-run homer to the first batter he faced with one run charged to Lee.

Jonathan Papelbon started the seventh. Coming into the appearance he had allowed one hit in two scoreless innings over two outings. Tyler Greene was the first batter he faced and Greene reached on a throwing error by Franco at third base, Franco’s third in official spring action. After Franco’s error, Papelbon faced eight hitters before getting out of the inning. Three singled and he walked one before Tommy La Stella hit a three-run double.

Overall, Papelbon was charged with five runs in the inning on four hits and a walk. None of the runs were earned due to Franco’s error.

Papelbon keeps his zero ERA despite allowing five runs in the frame. He has a 2.00 ratio, having allowed five hits and a walk over three innings.

Ken Giles started the eighth with a 4.50 ERA and a 2.00 ratio over his two official outings. He allowed a single and a walk, but struck out the other three hitters he faced. Keeps his ratio at 2.00 and drops his ERA to 3.00. Three walks in his three innings.

Justin De Fratus threw a 1-2-3 ninth to drop his ERA to 2.25 and his ratio to 1.00. No walks and four hits in four innings.

One run on six hits for the Phillies. Reid Brignac singled Mayberry home in the eighth.

Brignac 1-for-1 with an RBI to up his average to .143.

Marlon Byrd had the only extra-base hit in the game for the Phillies. He was 1-for-2 with a walk and a double to up his line to 375/400/583.

Utley, Abreu, Franco and Mayberry had the other singles for the Phils. Utley upped his average to .158 with the 1-for-3 day. Mayberry has a 389/389/833 line after 18 at-bats. Franco is hitting 200/259/200 after going 1-for-3. Abreu is 3-for-20 (.150) after going 1-for-2 with a walk. He’s on-basing .370.

Revere 0-for-3, Rollins 0-for-3, Brown 0-for-3. Revere 240/269/240. Rollins is hitting .133 and Brown is 2-for-22 (.091) with two singles.

Howard 0-for-2 with a walk to drop his average to .182.

Atlanta again tomorrow with David Buchanan expected to pitch.


Phillie pitchers don’t manage a lot of O’s against the Orioles

One, actually. You know who they might have asked about that? Baltimore pitchers. I’m sure they would be happy to help. Cause when we work together, everybody wins.

Everybody didn’t literally win today. Just the Orioles.

Baltimore 15, Phillies 4. Burnett allowed four in the third and Gonzalez followed that up by allowing four in the fourth. Those weren’t good moments, but to suggest they were all that went wrong might leave you with an incomplete picture.

A.J. Burnett started the game for the Phils and went three innings, allowing six runs on seven hits and a walk.

He allowed a one-out double to Nick Markakis in the top of the first, but got the next two. J.J. Hardy singled to left on a ball deflected by Asche at third with two outs in the second. Lefty Ryan Flaherty was next and hit a 1-1 pitch out to center. Burnett got Jemile Weeks on a fly ball to center to end the inning. Baltimore scored four runs in the third, all earned. Burnett faced ten batters in the frame. He got three out, hit two, walked one and allowed singles to the other four.

Burnett gave up a home run in the second, but excelled at preventing home runs in 2013, allowing just 11 in 191 innings. That rate of 0.52 per nine innings was fourth best in the NL. His ’13 rate of allowing the long ball was much better than it had been over his career. In 2013, he allowed 11 home runs to 801 batters, which is about 1.37% of the batters he faced. Coming into 2013 he had allowed home runs to about 2.39% of the 9,230 batters he had faced (he also spent six full seasons pitching in the DH-loving AL).

12.60 ERA and 1.80 ratio for Burnett over his two starts. He allowed a run on one hit and no walks over two innings in his other start.

Miguel Gonzalez was next and got hammered. Markakis tripled to right on his first pitch of the frame and it went on from there. He wound up allowing four runs in the inning on four hits (three singles and the triple) and two walks. One of the runs scored on a wild pitch.

16.88 ERA and a 4.50 ratio for Gonzalez in his first two outings, both of which have been awful. He’s walked six and allowed six hits in 2 2/3 innings.

I’ve heard it suggested that Gonzalez needs mound time. I believe the people who think that are right. Not real sure he’s going to be getting a whole lot more mound time in settings where you and I can easily see him pitch, however. Long way to go, but he’s looked like a big, expensive mistake in the early going. If the results are going to be this ugly, the team might decide they’re better off being seen by fewer people. There seemed to be some pretty significant concerns before we saw him pitch in a game. Seeing him pitch in a game hasn’t helped.

Michael Stutes pitched the fifth and allowed two runs on a double, a single and a walk. Howard made an error in the frame. Stutes has been charged with seven runs in three innings in his three appearances.

David Buchanan was next, making his case for early starts after two solid innings in his first appearance. He allowed a leadoff double to Flaherty and Flaherty scored on a two-out single by David Lough.

3.00 ERA and an 0.67 ratio for Buchanan after two times out.

Ken Giles pitched the seventh. He had allowed one hit in a scoreless frame in his only official outing. He gave up a run on a hit and two walks in the frame. Steve Pearce and Quentin Berry were the first two batters he faced and they reached on a single and a walk. Pearce would score on a sac fly by Caleb Joseph. Giles retired former Phil Delmon Young in the frame — Young pinch-hit for
Nelson Cruz and flew to right for the first out.

4.50 ERA and a 2.00 ratio for Giles after two innings over two appearances.

Cesar Jimenez pitched the eighth. He allowed a leadoff homer to Jonathan Schoop, but retired the next three.

Third appearance for the 29-year-old lefty Jimenez. 3.86 ERA and a 1.50 ratio (six hits and a walk) over 4 2/3 innings.

The Phillies scored four runs in the game. Howard doubled Brown home in the fourth and scored when Byrd followed with a single. Cameron Rupp hit a solo homer in the seventh off of righty Alfredo Aceves. Ruf homered off of Aceves in the eighth.

Five home runs for the Phils in the last two games.

Rupp was the only Phillie with more than one hit. 2-for-3 with a solo homer. 3-for-10 with a home run so far. Homered 14 times in 355 plate appearances between Double-A and Triple-A in 2013.

Ruf hits his second spring homer in his only at-bat. 6-for-19 (.316) with three walks and two home runs.

Howard 1-for-3 and struck out twice, but raised his average to .188. 3-for-16 with three singles. Made one of two Phillie errors. Andres Blanco made the other, which was his second error in two days.

Byrd 1-for-3 with an RBI to drop his average to .368.

Asche 1-for-3 with a double and a walk. Struck out twice. 1-for-15 so far and hitting .067. The lefty doubled off of righty Miguel Gonzalez, but not the one who pitched for the Phillies.

Domonic Brown was 0-for-2 with a walk. 2-for-19 (.105) with two singles and five walks.

Revere 0-for-3 (.278), Rollins 0-for-2 with a walk (.222), Abreu 0-for-3. Abreu is 2-for-15 (.133) with two singles and five walks.

Roberto Hernandez is expected to pitch against the Astros tomorrow.


First thud

The Phillies saw their first official spring action today, falling 4-3 to Toronto in a game called due to rain after the top of the seventh.

Roberto Hernandez started the game, seeing his first action for the Phils having thrown to a 5.03 ERA over his last 146 appearances in regular season action. He went two innings, allowing two runs on four hits and no walks. Jose Bautista hit a solo homer off of him in the first and he allowed another run on back-to-back doubles to start the second. Both of the doubles were off the wall, the first, by righty Brett Lawrie, was off the top of the wall and nearly out of the yard.

Seems a good a time as any to point out that Hernandez has allowed 46 home runs over his last 302 1/3 innings pitched, which is about 1.37 per nine innings. Nobody on the Phillies who threw 65 or more innings in 2013 allowed more than one home run per nine innings. Among the guys with at least 65 innings, Lee had the worst rate at 0.89 per nine innings. The righty Bautista got Hernandez in the first, but lefties hit 305/369/537 against the righty Hernandez in 2013 with 17 home runs in 315 plate appearances.

Phillippe Aumont pitched the third, coming off of a 2013 effort in which he walked 51 in 55 innings between the minors and majors. He walked the two first batters he faced and the Blue Jays scored two runs charged to him in the inning on a single, two walks and a wild pitch.

Righty Jeff Manship, who has struggled to retire hitters at the major league level, struck out two in a 1-2-3 fourth and kept the Blue Jays off the board in the fifth as well. One hit, a single, in two scoreless innings for Manship as he strikes out three and gets Bautista to ground into a double-play. The less good news is the career 6.42 ERA and a 1.62 ratio for the 29-year-old righty in 116 1/3 career innings. Righties have hit 329/375/556 against him for his career.

Bastardo pitched the sixth. He allowed a two-out triple to righty Moises Sierra, but retired Dioner Navarro on a fly ball to center to leave Sierra at third.

25-year-old righty Kevin Munson, a Rule 5 pick (be afraid, be very afraid), pitched the seventh. Chris Getz bunted for a single to start the frame with Maikel Franco fielding and throwing it away for an error that left Getz at second with nobody out. The Blue Jays bunted the runner to third with the first out, but Munson struck Kevin Pillar out with one down and the man on third. He walked Anthony Gose before getting Dan Johnson to line to short to leave runners on the corners.

Two hits and a walk in the frame, but Munson keeps Toronto from scoring with the help of the big strikeout with a runner on third and one out. He struck out 66 in 54 2/3 innings between Double-A and Triple-A in 2013.

The offense plated three runs in the game — two in the bottom of the first on RBI-singles by Howard and Byrd and the third in the bottom of the fifth when a one-out walk to Tony Gwynn, Jr was followed by a Ronny Cedeno double.

A day after singling and homering off of lefties in an intrasquad game, Howard lined an RBI-single into center off of lefty JA Happ in the bottom of the first. He flew to left in his other at-bat.

Abreu was at DH for the Phils and went 0-for-1 with two walks.

Cedeno’s double in the fifth after the Gwynn walk was the only extra-base hit of the game for the Phils. Cedeno 1-for-1 with a double and Gwynn 0-for-0 with a walk.

Byrd 1-for-2 with an RBI-single and a strikeout.

Ruf walked in his only appearance.

Revere 1-for-2 with a single and Rollins 0-for-1 with a walk.

Brown 1-for-3 with an infield single and a strikeout.

Utley 0-for-2, Asche 0-for-2, Ruiz 0-for-2.

Franco 0-for-1 with the game’s only error at third.

Blue Jays again tomorrow with Cliff Lee and Ethan Martin expected to pitch for the Phils.


Let’s just say we’re all number one and be done with it

Quick — coming into 2010, who was the last Phillie other than Jimmy Rollins to get a hundred plate appearances in a season as the number one hitter in the lineup? I would have guessed Shane Victorino, but I would have been wrong. Marlon Byrd proves to be the answer. In 2004, Byrd got 181 plate appearances as the leadoff hitter for the Phils and put up a 215/293/307 line. Since then, Jason Michaels, Aaron Rowand and Shane Victorino had all led the Phils in non-Rollins top of the order plate appearances without ever getting 100 plate appearances in a single season.

This year has been a different story, though. Rollins and Victorino have gotten nearly equal time leading off for the Phils. Victorino has hit 279/339/488 in 310 plate appearances and Rollins has posted a 243/326/373 line in 313 plate appearances.

The table below looks at their numbers while batting #1 in the order for 2010. It shows the percentage of plate appearances in which they got a single, walked or were hit by a pitch, the percentage of plate appearances in which they doubled or tripled and the percentage of plate appearances in which they hit a home run. It also shows their career numbers while hitting #1 in the order and the numbers for all MLB #1 hitters for 2010.

 
PA

% PA 1B/BB/HBP

% PA 2B or 3B

% PA HR

Victorino, 2010

310

24.2

6.1

3.5

Rollins, 2010

313

25.9

4.8

1.9
All
#1, MLB ’10

4582

26.0

5.1

1.6
         

Victorino, Career as #1

514

23.9

5.3

2.7

Rollins, Career as #1

5358

23.7

7.1

2.5

So, in 2010, Rollins has been a lot more likely to get on base via a single, walk or hit by pitch than Victorino, but a lot less likely to deliver an extra-base hit. Again, Victorino and Rollins have almost the same number of plate appearances hitting #1 in the order. They both have 12 doubles for the year, but Victorino has hit seven triples and 11 home runs and Rollins has three triples and six home runs.

When you compare the numbers to the MLB averages for 2010, Victorino delivers even more power and reaches via a single, walk or hit by pitch even less.

While hitting first this year, Victorino is hitting .279 and on-basing .339. Rollins is hitting .243 and on-basing .326. Despite that, Rollins has still been more likely to deliver a hit (any hit, not just a single) or walk (32.3% of his PA) than Victorino (31.9% of his PA). Victorino has been way more likely to get a hit (25.5% of his PA) than Rollins (21.4%) and the hits he gets are better and go for more bases, but Rollins has walked at a much higher rate and the difference between the percentage of plate appearances in which Rollins has walked (10.9%) and Victorino has walked (6.5%) is larger than Victorino’s advantage in getting hits.

For years we have been imploring Jimmy Rollins to walk more. What seems to have gone without notice is that he has. The problem is that he has stopped getting hits at the same time, especially extra-base hits.

Here is the percentage of plate appearances in which Rollins has gotten a walk, single, double or triple and home runs in 2010 compared to the rest of his career (everything above this in the post referred only to numbers hitting #1 in the order — the numbers from now on refer to production anywhere in the order):

  % BB % 1B % 2B or 3B % HR
2010 10.4 15.0 4.8 1.9
Before 2010 7.2 15.9 6.8 2.2

So again, his walk rate is up huge in 2010 compared to the rest of his career. Coming into 2010 he walked about 7.2 times per 100 plate appearances. In 2010 he has walked about 10.4 times per 100 plate appearances, which is about 144.4% of his career number coming into the year. The rest of the numbers are way down, though, and the one that is down the most is the percentage of plate appearances where he is delivering a double or a triple.


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