Tag: luis castillo

Walk like some other man

Either that or find some power.

At this point in his career, Ben Revere has 1,064 career plate appearances and an isolated power of .045. He has hit to a .278 average with a .323 slugging percentage (.323 minus .278 gives you .045, his isolated power).

As I mentioned in the previous post, that’s really an alarming lack of power.

So. Is it possible to be an above average offensive player with an isolated power that low? Below .050?

Yes. It just doesn’t happen very often. And when it does happen, it happens to guys who walk a lot more than Revere has to this point.

The table below shows the players who have put up an isolated power of .050 or worse of the past eight seasons over at least 400 plate appearances, their wOBA as calculated by FanGraphs and average wOBA for that season.

Year Player ISO wOBA Average wOBA
2012 B Revere .049 .300 .315
2012 J Carroll .049 .299 .315
2011 J Pierre .049 .296 .311
2011 B Revere .042 .278 .311
2011 C Getz .032 .274 .311
2010 J Carroll .048 .327 .321
2010 C Figgins .047 .298 .321
2010 R Theriot .043 .286 .321
2010 J Kendall .041 .280 .321
2010 J Pierre .041 .302 .321
2010 C Izutris .038 .249 .321
2010 E Andrus .036 .298 .321
2009 W Taveras .045 .252 .329
2009 L Castillo .043 .334 .329
2008 W Taveras .046 .277 .318
2008 C Izturis .046 .286 .318
2008 J Pierre .045 .296 .318
2008 C Figgins .042 .316 .318
2007 No players - - -
2006 J Kendall .047 .321 .332
2005 J Kendall .050 .304 .326

So the table lists 20 seasons for players over the last eight years in which the player has gotten 400 plate appearances with an isolated power of .050 or worse. Of those 20 seasons, there are only two in which the player had a wOBA for that year that was better than average. Jamey Carroll had an isolated power of .048 in 2010 with a .327 wOBA in 2010. Luis Castillo had an .044 isolated power in 2009 with a wOBA of .334.

Carroll hit .291 for the Dodgers in 2010. Castillo hit .302 for the Mets in 2009. Revere hit .294 for the Twins last year, and .326 in the minors. So .291 or .302 in 2013 is certainly possible. We know from their isolated power marks that Carroll and Castillo didn’t hit for power in those seasons. The way they got their wOBA up above average was by walking more.

But how much more?

PA OBP – AVG BB % of PA BB
Carroll ’10 414 291/379/339 .088 51 12.3
Castillo ’09 580 302/387/346 .085 69 11.9
Revere ’11 481 267/310/309 .043 26 5.4
Revere ’12 553 294/333/342 .039 29 5.2

So, for example, in 2010, Jamey Carroll got 414 plate appearances in which he put up a 291/379/339 line. He had .088 points of on-base percentage if you subtract his .379 on-base percentage from his .291 average. He walked 51 times, which was 12.3% of his plate appearances.

As you can see, for each of those years, the percentage of plate appearances in which Castillo and Carroll walked was more than twice as high as it was in either of Ben Revere’s last two seasons with the Twinkies.

Also notable is that for both Carroll and Castillo, their walk rate for the given year (’10 for Carroll or ’09 for Castillo) is higher than their walk rate for their career. Carroll drew walks in 12.3% of his plate appearances, which was higher than his 9.9% for his career. Castillo’s 11.9% is higher than his career mark of 10.7%.

This article suggests that Manuel downplayed the notion of needing a late-inning defensive replacement for Young and might also avoid hitting lefties Revere, Utley and Howard all in a row in his lineup.


Luis, Luis, oh, baby, me gotta go

The roster for opening day appears to be set, Luis Castillo is gone and the Phils will start their quest for a championship with an offense that includes Wilson Valdez, Pete Orr, Michael Martinez and John Mayberry.

Castillo was released yesterday.

It’s hard not to be at least a little discouraged about the offense and the surprising, to me at least, release of Castillo. Castillo sure seems to have bigger upside for 2011 than any of Valdez, Orr or Martinez. Valdez, who looks to be the everyday second baseman for the Phils for long time, has a career line of 240/289/326, turns 33 in May and never had 150 plate appearances in a season coming into last year.

Yesterday the Phils lost to the Pirates, falling 4-1 to end their spring with a 21-14 mark.

Hamels started and allowed two runs on four hits over three innings. He ends the spring with a 6.67 ERA and a 1.41 ratio in seven starts. Pedro Alvarez hit a two-run homer off of him — Hamels allowed six in 27 innings, which is a lot too many. Allowing home runs at that rate, you would allow about 44.4 over 200 innings.

Blanton also pitched in the game, allowing a run on four hits over three innings. 3.19 ERA and a 1.19 ratio for Blanton, who walked just four in 31 innings.

Kendrick threw a scoreless inning and Juan Perez and Bastardo combined to pitch the ninth, with Perez charged with a run on three hits before Bastardo got the last out of the frame.

The Phils had two hits in the game, a triple by Orr and a single by Rollins. It’s the fifth triple of the spring for Orr.

Martinez went 0-for-2 to drop his line to 233/250/356 in 73 at-bats. I don’t understand what he did to make the team. He must be one electric defensive player.

Mayberry 0-for-1 and Delwyn Young 0-for-2.

Halladay faces Brett Myers tomorrow in a game that counts.

The opening day roster for the Phillies looks like it will include 13 hitters and 12 pitchers.

Hitters: Ruiz, Howard, Valdez, Rollins, Polanco, Ibanez, Victorino, Francisco, Schneider, Gload, Martinez, Mayberry and Orr.

Pitchers: Halladay, Lee, Oswalt, Hamels, Blanton, Madson, Contreras, Baez, Herndon, Kendrick, Romero and Bastardo.

Young is the guy who looked like he had a real chance but didn’t make the team. He started strong, but ended spring with a 258/303/389 line in 62 at-bats.

Rollins will bat third for the Phillies with Victorino hitting leadoff. Over the last two seasons, Rollins has hit 248/304/406 in 1,119 plate appearances.


Neck check

Day one of the Luis Castillo experiment is over and the best news is that Roy Oswalt lived through it. Oswalt was hit in the neck with a line drive off the bat of Manny Ramirez in yesterday’s game, but was able to walk off the field on his own and appears to be okay. Castillo, meanwhile, went 0-for-4, hitting the ball hard once but lining out and handling two defensive chances at second.

Yesterday the Phils fell to the Rays, losing 4-1.

Oswalt started the game for the Phillies and went three innings, allowing three runs on four hits. He started the fourth and gave up a leadoff home run to Evan Longoria before Manny smashed a ball back to the mound that hit Oswalt near the right ear. He left the game and was replaced by David Herndon.

Oswalt has now made four starts in which he’s thrown to a 4.61 ERA with a 1.17 ratio. In 13 2/3 innings, he’s walked just one batter and struck out 13.

Herndon threw two scoreless innings and was followed by Mathieson and Bastardo. Each threw a scoreless inning, but Mathieson walked the bases loaded in the sixth. Madson pitched the ninth and allowed a run on two singles and a double.

Mathieson now has a 2.00 ERA and a 1.00 ratio after seven appearances. In nine innings he’s struck out nine and allowed just three hits, but walked six.

The guys in the bullpen have been rather impressive at preventing the long ball this spring. Baez, Herndon, Madson, Mathieson, Zagurski, Contreras, Romero and Bastardo have combined to throw 67 1/3 innings without allowing a home run. Lidge has allowed one in his five innings. Were the bullpen to have that kind of success at preventing home runs over the course of the regular season, they would wind up with some impressive numbers. In 2010, Phillies relievers allowed 37 homers over 421 innings, which would be about 6.4 over 72 1/3 innings.

Martinez was the only Phillie with more than one hit. He went 2-for-4 with two singles. Rollins was 1-for-3 with a double and Orr 1-for-3 with a triple. Barfield again played center and was 0-for-3. Young 1-for-1 and Mayberry 0-for-1.

Hamels faces the Twins today.


On the range

All eyes on Luis Castillo this afternoon as the Phils face the Rays, giving fans a chance to see just how much speed and defensive range the 35-year-old Castillo has lost. We won’t know anything for sure from a single game, but one thing is for sure and that’s that there will be a whole lot more people who have an opinion on the matter before the day is done.

Yesterday the Phils beat the Blue Jays 5-4 to improve to 17-9 in official spring action.

Lee started the game for the Phils and went six innings, allowing a pair of runs on four hits and two walks. Rajai Davis led off the bottom of the first with a triple that led to the first run and Juan Rivera hit a solo homer off of him in the third. Lee has a 4.74 ERA and a 1.21 ERA through five spring starts.

Kendrick and Romero followed Lee and each threw a scoreless inning. Kendrick has allowed 15 hits in 13 innings this spring, but walked just one. Romero has a 2.57 ERA and a 1.43 ratio in seven innings.

Baez started the ninth with a 5-2 lead and allowed singles to the first three men he faced, making it 5-3 with men on first and third before getting Ryan Budde swinging for the first out. Corey Patterson followed that with another single and it was 5-4 with men on first and second. Baez got Jonathan Diaz to hit into a double-play to end the game. He has now thrown to a 2.53 ERA with a 1.22 ratio in 10 2/3 innings.

Ibanez hit a three-run homer in the first to give the Phils an early lead. It was the only extra-base hit of the day for the Phils. Francisco was 3-for-3 in the game.

Mayberry 0-for-3 with two strikeouts. 278/350/630 in 54 at-bats. Orr 0-for-1 to drop his line to 316/316/553 in 38 at-bats. Barfield played center field and went 1-for-4. 325/356/450 in 40 at-bats. He has seen recent action at both third and center, positions he doesn’t really play. Martinez was 1-for-3 with a single and an RBI. 278/298/444. Young was 0-for-1 and has seen his line fall all the way to 280/321/380 as his at-bats have dropped off significantly.

The Phillies didn’t draw a walk in the game.

Oswalt will start today’s game.

Lidge allowed a hit in a scoreless inning in a minor league game yesterday and may pitch in an official spring game tomorrow.


No minors issue

The Phillies will use the next nine games to decide whether Luis Castillo will start the year with the team or be released. In the article linked above, Amaro says, “He’s not going to the minor leagues.”

This says that Castillo hasn’t arrive in camp yet, that he won’t play today and isn’t in tomorrow’s lineup, either.

Halladay was fantastic yesterday as the Phils topped the Red Sox 4-1. He allowed a run on five hits and three walks over 7 2/3 innings, dropping his spring ERA to 0.48. In 18 2/3 innings, he’s allowed one run on 12 hits and six walks.

Madson finished the game for the Phils, allowing a single in 1 1/3 scoreless innings. He has allowed two runs on six hits and two walks over 8 1/3 innings (2.16 ERA and an 0.96 ratio).

The Phils didn’t have an extra-base hit in the game. Barfield was 1-for-4 with two RBI. Martinez 0-for-3 with an RBI. Orr and Delwyn Young were both 0-for-1.

Victorino and Ibanez collided in the outfield in the fifth inning, with Victorino getting the worst of it. He says he’s okay.

Mark Teixeira is mad at Ben Francisco after Francisco tried to knock the ball out of his glove in Sunday’s game.

Jose Contreras is the latest injured Phillie. He will be sidelined for “a few days” with a corneal abrasion.

Update: Castillo arrived in camp around 1:30 this afternoon and is expected to play tomorrow.


Luis, Luis

This article from the Phillies web site says that the team has agreed to a minor league deal with Luis Castillo and suggests that Castillo won’t necessarily start the year with the team.

A healthy Castillo can help the Phils. A Castillo who’s slow with no range can’t. You have to think he had options and picked a team where he thought he would get to play. We’ll see.

Yesterday the Phils couldn’t figure out CC Sabathia and fell to the Yankees, losing 8-1 to fall to 15-9 in official spring action.

Blanton started the game for the Phils and allowed four runs on eight hits over 6 1/3 innings. He has a 4.09 ERA and a 1.27 ratio over five starts. In 22 innings, he’s walked just four but allowed 24 hits.

Bastardo followed Blanton and allowed a run in 2/3 of an inning on a single and a double. 1.59 ERA with a 1.06 ratio over 5 2/3 innings for Bastardo for the spring. Contreras followed Bastardo and went an inning, allowing a run on two hits. 2.57 ERA and a 1.00 ERA for Contreras in seven innings over six appearances. Zagurski pitched the ninth and was charged with two runs, both unearned with the help of a Valdez error, on a double and a single. 1.13 ERA and a 1.00 ratio for Zagurski. He’s struck out 11 in eight innings.

Rollins was 3-for-3 with a solo homer for the only run the Phillies scored. Michael Martinez went 0-for-4 and is now hitting 292/320/479 after 48 at-bats. Orr 0-for-1, 333/333/583 in 36 at-bats. Delwyn Young was 0-for-1 and is at 292/333/396 in 48 at-bats. Mayberry 0-for-4 to drop his spring line to 294/368/667 in 51 at-bats. Barfield saw some time in left field and went 0-for-1. He’s at 344/378/500 in 32 at-bats.

Martinez, Orr and Barfield all have better numbers for the spring at this point than Young does.

Hamels struggled again on Saturday, but the Phils got three homers and topped Baltimore 7-5.

Hamels got pounded. He went 3 2/3 innings, allowing five runs on seven hits and three walks to raise his spring ERA to 6.23. He’s now walked eight in 17 1/3 innings.

Baez threw 2 1/3 scoreless innings in relief of Hamels, dropping his ERA to 0.93. In 9 1/3 innings, he’s allowed a run on five hits and four walks. Mathieson threw a scoreless seventh and has a 2.25 ERA and an 0.75 ratio in eight innings over six appearances. Herndon followed that with two scoreless innings to drop his ERA to 3.52. He has a 1.30 spring ratio.

Mayberry hit a two-run homer in the second. Victorino had a three-run blast in the fifth and Eric Kratz added a solo shot in the seventh. Barfield 0-for-3 with a walk. Orr 1-for-3. Martinez 1-for-2. Delywn Young 0-for-1 with an RBI.

On Friday, Tuffy Gosewich delivered a walkoff two-run single with two outs in the ninth to give the Phils a 3-2 win over the Pirates.

Oswalt started the game for the Phillies and went six innings, allowing two runs, which were both unearned. He allowed five hits and didn’t walk a batter. Oswalt has now thrown to a 3.38 in three starts for the spring, but four of the eight runs he has allowed have been unearned. Contreras, Romero and Madson all threw scoreless innings after Oswalt’s exit.

Orr went 3-for-4 with a double in the game. Martinez went 0-for-2, but drew a pair of walks, which were his first of the spring. Time to stop hoping Martinez doesn’t make the team and start hoping he can produce offensively. Walking every now and again is a good place to start.

Brian Schneider returned to the team for Friday’s game.

In this article, Manuel won’t say that he won’t start Gload in right field on opening day. I think he won’t.

This says that Lidge and Polanco will be ready for opening day and that Lidge’s bullpen session yesterday went well.


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