Tag: Kyle Kendrick

Ryan Braun hits like eight home runs, but there were a lot of things that we learned about the collector, about the collection process, about the way that the entire thing worked that made us very concerned and very suspicious about what could have actually happened

Brutal, ugly game yesterday as the Brewers bombed the Phils 10-4 in the Phillie home opener. Ryan Braun hit three home runs and drove in seven runs for Milwaukee. Kendrick and Lincoln were both awful. So was the defense, especially at third and in center field, as the Phillies made three errors in the game and another big misplay in center that went for a hit.

The Phillies are 3-4 on the year after losing 10-4 to the Milwaukee Brewers in their home opener yesterday afternoon.

Kyle Kendrick got the start for the Phillies and went five innings, allowing six runs on nine hits and two walks. Only four of the runs were earned. Four of the hits went for extra-bases, two doubles and two home runs. He struck out three.

Kendrick was outstanding in his first start against the Rangers, allowing a run over seven innings. Less outstanding yesterday. 3.75 ERA and a 1.42 ratio after two outings. Lefties are 5-for-13 (.385) against him so far.

Jean Segura singled to center with one out in the top of the first, but Segura was caught stealing and Ryan Braun grounded to short for the first out.

Kendrick started the second up 1-0 and allowed a run on a double by Jonathan Lucroy with one out that was followed by a two-out single by Mark Reynolds. 1-1. Scooter Gennett followed Reynolds with a single that put men on first and second, but Kendrick got pitcher Kyle Lohse on a fly ball to center to end the frame.

Carlos Gomez doubled to left to start the third. Jean Segura was next and bunted, but Kendrick mishandled the bunt for an error that left men on first and second for Braun. Braun homered to left, putting Milwaukee up 4-1. Later in the frame, with two outs and a man on first, Reynolds reached on a throwing error by Asche. It put men on first and second for Gennett and Gennett hit a high bloop into shallow center field that somehow dropped in front of a diving Ben Revere for a single. Reynolds scored to make it 5-1. Kendrick retired Lohse on a ground ball to second to set the Brewers down.

Miserable defense for the Phillies in the inning. Kendrick makes an error on the bunt, Asche makes a throwing error and Revere is not charged with an error when Gennett’s ball somehow drops in center. That one was in the air for a long, long time.

Braun homered to right center with two outs and nobody on, making it 6-1.

It was 6-2 when Kendrick started the fifth. He allowed a leadoff single to Lucroy. He got the next two and with two down and Khris Davis on second, Kendrick intentionally walked Gennett to pitch to Lohse. Lohse grounded to short for the third out.

If we’re voting, I’m voting for trying to get the eight-hitter Gennett out with two outs and a man on second in the fifth inning of a game you’re losing by four runs.

B.J. Rosenberg pitched the sixth with the Phils down 6-3. Segura singled with one out and was caught stealing again with two down to end the frame.

Ruiz throws Segura out twice, once in the first and once in the sixth.

Davis singled off of Rosenberg with two outs in the seventh and the Milwaukee lead cut to 6-4. Reynolds was next and reached on an error by Revere in center, allowing Davis to score. 7-4 with Reynolds on second and two outs. Mario Hollands came in to pitch to the lefty Gennett. Righty Rickie Weeks hit for Gennett and went down on a fly ball to center for the third out.

Rosenberg goes 1 2/3 innings, allowing an unearned run, thanks to the Revere error, on two hits and no walks.

After three appearances, Rosenberg has a 0.00 ERA and a much more telling 2.57 ratio. Opponents are hitting .455 against him.

Hollands faces one hitter in the game, retiring Weeks to drop his ERA to 3.86. He’s been really good since a miserable outing on Opening Day against the Rangers. In three outings since his first appearance, he’s faced six hitters over two innings without allowing a hit or a walk.

Brad Lincoln pitched the eighth and the Brewers broke it open with three more runs. Gomez doubled to left with one out and Lincoln hit Segura behind him, bringing Braun to the plate with two men on. Braun hit Lincoln’s first pitch out to left-center for a three-run homer that made it 10-4. Lucroy doubled off of Lincoln with two outs, but Davis flew to center for the third out.

Lincoln returned for the ninth. He allowed a leadoff double to Reynolds, but retired the next three.

Miserable day for Lincoln, who allows three runs on four hits over two innings. Braun hits the three-run homer off of him in the eighth. 11.57 ERA after two appearances and 2 1/3 innings. He hasn’t walked a hitter, but opponents are hitting .417 against him. Righties 4-for-9 against the righty with three doubles, a home run, a 1.111 slugging percentage and a 444/500/1.111 line.

The pen goes four innings in relief of Kendrick, allowing four runs, three earned, on six hits. Ugly day after a fantastic series for the relievers in Chicago. Lincoln threw 39 pitches in the game and Rosenberg 30.

The Phillie lineup against righty Kyle Lohse went (1) Ben Revere (2) Jimmy Rollins (3) Carlos Ruiz (4) Ryan Howard (5) Marlon Byrd (6) Domonic Brown (7) Cesar Hernandez (8) Cody Asche. Chase Utley out with the flu, so Cesar Hernandez starts at second and hits seventh. Carlos Ruiz hits third despite not having any hits against righties for the season — he comes into the game 0-for-11 against right-handed pitching.

Ruiz walked with two outs in the bottom of the first and moved to third when Howard followed with a double to center. Byrd was next and hit a ball hard at Segura at short, which Segura did not handle for an error. Ruiz scored to put the Phils up 1-0 and Howard took third. Brown walked to load the bases for Hernandez, but Hernandez struck out swinging 1-2 to end the inning.

It was 1-1 when the Phillies hit in the second. Asche led off with a walk and Rollins walked with two outs, but Ruiz flew to right to leave men at first and second.

They trailed 5-1 when they hit in the third. Brown singled with two outs, but Hernandez flew to right to set the Phillies down.

Revere singled with two outs in the fourth and the Phillies down 6-1. Rollins was next and blasted a 3-2 pitch off the wall in right, plating Revere to cut the lead to 6-2. Ruiz flew to left to end the inning.

First XBH for Rollins since the grand slam on Opening Day.

Brown walked with two outs in the fifth and moved to second when Hernandez followed with a single to right. Asche was next and lined a 1-0 pitch into right-center for a single, scoring Brown (6-3) and moving Hernandez to third. Mayberry hit for Kendrick and struck out swinging to end the inning.

This one seems simple to me. Kyle Lohse is right-handed. John Mayberry is right-handed. John Mayberry can’t hit right-handed pitching. John Mayberry has been fantastic as a pinch-hitter early in the season, but he’s been fantastic as a pinch-hitter against left-handed pitching. You don’t want to use him in a big spot against a right-handed pitcher. He doesn’t have a hit against a right-handed pitcher yet this year. He’s a career 227/294/371 hitter against righties.

Revere tripled off of lefty Zach Duke to start the sixth and scored when Rollins followed with a single to left. 6-4. The Phillies went in order behind Rollins.

First extra-base hit of the year for Revere and it comes against a lefty. Career isolated power against lefties of .045.

The Phillies were down 7-4 when they hit in the seventh. Lefty Will Smith walked Hernandez with one out, but Asche struck out behind him. Nix hit for Hollands and lined to third for the third out.

Mayberry didn’t hit against the lefty in the seventh cause he hit against the righty in the fifth. Two men on in the fifth, but the problem there is he doesn’t have much of a chance to get a hit.

Righty Brandon Kintzler set the Phillies down in order in the eighth with Milwaukee up 10-4.

Righty Jim Henderson struck out Howard and Brown in a 1-2-3 ninth.

Revere was 2-for-5 with a triple. He’s 7-for-his-last-19 (.368).

Rollins 2-for-4 with a walk, a double and two RBI.

Ruiz 0-for-4 with a walk. Still doesn’t have a hit against a right-handed pitcher. 0-for-14 against righties for the year.

Howard 1-for-5 with a double and struck out twice. 1-for-his-last-10. On-basing .200 against lefties for the year.

Byrd 1-for-5 with an RBI. 2-for-his-last-17.

Brown 1-for-3 and walked twice. On-basing .529 against righties for the year. 7-for-his-last-14 with four walks.

Hernandez 1-for-3 with a walk to up his average to .375 (3-for-8 with a double).

Asche 1-for-3 with a walk. 3-for-18 since a 3-for-4 day on Opening Day.

Roberto Hernandez (1-0, 3.38) faces righty Matt Garza (0-1, 1.13) tonight. Hernandez allowed just three hits and a walk over 5 1/3 innings while holding the Cubs to two runs in his first start of the year. Garza had fantastic numbers in his first start as he allowed a run on two hits and a walk over eight innings while striking out seven Braves.


At least he wasn’t making his Major League debut

Baby steps. Maybe soon they can get down to two errors a game and go from there.

The Phillies got fantastic starting pitching for the second straight game last night, but Jonathan Papelbon allowed three in the bottom of the ninth and Texas topped the Phils 4-3.

Kendrick and Burnett combined to allowed two runs in 13 innings over the last two games (1.38 ERA with a 1.15 ratio) and the Phillies lost both games. They led each of the games after six innings.

In those games, the bullpen allowed five runs in 3 2/3 innings (12.27 ERA and a 3.27 ratio). For the year, Phillie relievers have allowed eight walks in 7 2/3 innings. Five of the guys in their pen (Papelbon, Hollands, Diekman, Bastardo and Rosenberg) have each appeared twice. All of them except for Bastardo have been awful. The other two, Brad Lincoln and Justin De Fratus, have yet to appear.

The Phillies made three errors in last night’s game. In game two of the set, they made three major base-running mistakes.

After scoring 14 runs on Opening Day, they’ve scored five in the last two days, losing both games by one run in walkoff fashion.

The Phillies are 1-2 on the year after losing 4-3 to the Texas Rangers last night. Texas takes the three-game set two games to one.

Kyle Kendrick got the start for the Phillies and went seven innings, allowing a run on five hits and a walk. One of the hits went for extra-bases, a triple. He struck out four.

He allowed back-to-back singles to Shin-Soo Choo and Elvis Andrus to start the bottom of the first with the Phillies up 1-0. A throwing error by Brown allowed Andrus to take second, leaving Texas with nobody out and men on second and third. Kendrick miraculously kept them off the board, however. He struck lefty Prince Fielder out swinging for the first out. Adrian Beltre was next and hit a ball that Kendrick didn’t handle for another error. Choo tried to score from third, but was tagged out after a long rundown. Two outs and Andrus on third for Alex Rios. Rios flew to center to set the Rangers down.

Ugly inning for the Phils. They allow two hits and make two errors. Lucky to keep the Rangers from scoring. Brown fails to excel defensively in the early going of his first start in left.

Kendrick threw a 1-2-3 second, striking out J.P. Arencibia for the second out. Up 3-0, he stuck Choo out swinging in a 1-2-3 third.

Kendrick walked Fielder to start the fourth and gave up a one-out single to Rios, putting men on first and second for Mitch Moreland. Moreland grounded into a double-play to end the inning.

Kendrick set the Rangers down in order in the fifth. Choo reached on a Jayson Nix error to start the sixth, but Kendrick got the next three.

Moreland tripled to center with one out in the seventh and scored on a two-out single by Leonys Martin. Righty Michael Choice hit for righty Josh Wilson and Kendrick got Choice on a fly ball to right for the third out.

Just a fantastic outing for Kendrick. He goes seven innings and allows one run, working around three errors against a strong Texas offense. From the second through the sixth he allowed one single and one walk.

Mario Hollands looked great throwing a 1-2-3 eighth, getting Choo, Andrus and Fielder on a popup and two ground balls.

Hollands was working for the second straight day after an ugly outing in his debut in game two of the set.

Papelbon started the ninth up 3-1. Beltre led off with a single and took third on a Moreland double with one out. Lefty Jim Adduci hit for the righty Arencibia and singled softly to third. Beltre scored. 3-2 with men on first and third and one down. Martin was next and singled up the middle. 3-3 with men on the corners. Martin took second on defensive indifference before Donnie Murphy walked to load the bases for Choo. Papelbon got ahead of Choo 1-2, but walked him on a 3-2 pitch that wasn’t very close, forcing Adduci in to give Texas a 4-3 win.

Seven hitters for Papelbon in the game. He gets one out and allows four hits, three singles and a double, and walks two. He apparently didn’t care a lot for where the middle infielders were playing on the Martin single. Isn’t going to second-guess anyone, though, obviously. Sounds like a good plan.

Papelbon was really good last year. Seems likely to be really again this year. He has a ridiculous contract, but that’s not his fault. Didn’t have a good night last night.

The pen goes 1 1/3 innings in the game, allowing three runs on four hits and two walks. Hollands has pitched for two days in a row and threw ten pitches in the game. Papelbon 21.

The Phillie lineup against lefty Robbie Ross went (1) Ben Revere (2) Carlos Ruiz (3) Chase Utley (4) Ryan Howard (5) Marlon Byrd (6) Domonic Brown (7) John Mayberry (8) Cody Asche (9) Jayson Nix. The All-Star left fielder Brown finally makes a start in left. Ruiz hits second against the lefty. Mayberry at first with Howard DHing. Rollins away for the birth of a child with Nix at short. Asche at third against the lefty. Mayberry at first against the lefty with Howard DHing is my favorite part about this lineup. Brown and Asche on the field against a lefty is my second favorite part. Don’t know why you would hit Howard fourth against the lefty Perez and fifth against the lefty Ross the next day, but I’m not sure how much it matters, either.

The Phils jumped out to a 1-0 lead in the top of the first on a Ruiz double followed by an Utley single. Howard and Byrd both struck out looking behind Utley.

Mayberry and Asche singled back-to-back with one out in the second, but Nix grounded into a double-play.

Asche singles to left off the lefty. It looked a little like a ground ball to where you would expect the third baseman to be, but he’ll take it. Second time in three games that Asche got a hit into left field by hitting a ball where you would usually expect a third baseman.

Ruiz walked with one out in the third and took second on a wild pitch before Howard hit a 1-1 pitch out to center. 3-0. Byrd grounded to short for the third out.

Howard homers against the lefty. 2-for-9 (.222) against lefties so far with a double and a home run. Five strikeouts. OPSing .973 overall.

Mayberry walked with one out in the fourth and Nix reached on catcher’s interference with two outs. Revere grounded to third to set the Phillies down.

Ruiz singled to start the fifth and took second on a two-out single by Byrd. Brown grounded to short to end the frame.

Second straight inning the Phils put their leadoff man aboard and do not score.

Nix singled to right off of righty Shawn Tolleson with two outs in the sixth. Tolleson got Revere on a ground ball to second for the third out.

Revere went 0-for-5 with three men left on base in the game.

Lefty Pedro Figueroa walked Utley with one out in the seventh. Howard lined to first with Utley doubled-off to set the Phils down.

It was 3-1 when the Phillies hit in the eighth. Brown singled to right off of righty Seth Rosin with one out and took second on a passed ball before Mayberry grounded out to third. Asche flew to right to end the frame.

Rosin set Nix, Revere and Ruiz down in order in the ninth.

Revere 0-for-5 in the game. 3-for-14 (.214) with three singles in the three-game set.

Ruiz 2-for-4 with a double and a walk. 3-for-11 (.273) with a double and three walks in the series.

Utley 1-for-3 with a walk last night and 5-for-13 (.385) with a double and a walk in the series.

Howard 1-for-4 with a two-run homer off the lefty Ross. Struck out twice. 4-for-13 (.308) with a double, a home run, one walk and seven strikeouts in the set. That’s a great series for Howard and he can strike out as much as he wants if he’s going to OPS .973.

Byrd 1-for-4 in the game and 5-for-13 (.385) with a walk and a home run in the series. Made a remarkable diving catch in game two to start a double-play.

Brown 1-for-4 with an error and two strikeouts. Is not yet the best defensive outfielder in the game. 2-for-10 (.200) with two singles in the set.

Mayberry 1-for-3 with a walk. 2-for-8 with a double and two walks in the series. 500/600/750 in four plate appearances against lefties and 0-for-4 with a walk against righties. Hit against lefties. Don’t play center field. Repeat.

Asche 1-for-4 with a strikeout. 4-for-8 (.500) with a walk, a double and a home run in the series. 500/556/1000. But can he maintain that pace over 162 games? Time will tell. Only lost one of three starts in the set to Jayson Nix.

Nix 1-for-3 with a single and an error. Has started 66.7% of the Phillie games this season. 2-for-7 (.286) with two singles.

The Phils are off today and face the Cubs in Chicago tomorrow afternoon.


But Kendrick wanted to feel good and he accomplished that — I think we can all agree that’s what’s most important here

The Phils were scheduled to play two split squad games yesterday afternoon — the game with the Tigers was rained out and they faced Masahiro Tanaka and the Yankees in the other. They took a 3-1 lead into the seventh inning in that game, but lost 4-3. Horst was charged with a run in the seventh and Aumont with two in the eighth.

Tanaka pitched well for New York, holding the Phils to a run on two hits over three innings. Freddy Galvis hit a solo homer off of him in the third.

Kyle Kendrick started the game for the Phils and went three innings, allowing a run on three hits and a walk while striking out two. He set New York down in order in the first and got the first two in the second before allowing a single to Kelly Johnson that was followed by a Brian Roberts walk. Mason Williams grounded to Ultey to end the frame. Ramon Flores homered off of him to start the top of the third and he allowed a one-out single to Derek Jeter two batters later, but retired the next two hitters to keep the Yankees from getting any more.

Kendrick had allowed two runs in three innings in his first spring start. After two outings he’s allowed four runs on five hits and four walks over five innings (7.20 ERA and a 1.80 ratio).

He had a 5.95 ERA and a 1.56 ratio over his last 18 starts to end 2013. Opponents hit .316 against him over those 101 1/3 innings. Started 2013 by throwing to a 3.12 ERA and a 1.19 ratio over his first 12 outings. Opponents on-based .292 against him in those outings.

So his first 12 starts were better than his last 18. Kendrick also came up with a memorable quote in talking about the home run he allowed to the 21-year-old Flores (Flores hit .260 at Double-A in 2013 with six home runs in 620 plate appearances): “It was the same pitch I froze [Brian] McCann on. With an A-ball kid, you can’t do that. But today I was just more aggressive. I was letting it go. I wanted to feel good, and I accomplished that.”

Really? Misquoted, maybe? Out of context, maybe, like he was remembering back to a church league softball game from his teen years or something? Can you give it to us in the language that it was originally spoken in so we can do our own due diligence to remove any chance of translation error? Something? Please?

Jonathan Papelbon pitched the fourth. He allowed a single and a stolen base, but kept his spring ERA at 0.00 with a scoreless frame. After striking out two in his inning, he has now allowed a hit over two scoreless innings while striking out two.

Mario Hollands allowed a two-out double to Jerer in the top of the fifth, but retired Mark Teixeira on a popup handled by the shortstop Galvis to end the frame. Hollands came back for the sixth and struck out Alfonso Soriano is a 1-2-3 inning.

Hollands had allowed one walk in two scoreless frames coming into the game. After three appearances, he’s thrown four scoreless innings in which he’s allowed one hit and one walk (0.00 ERA with an 0.50 ratio and three strikeouts in four frames). The 25-year-old lefty made 27 appearances (20 starts) between Clearwater and Reading in 2013, throwing to a 2.86 ERA with a 1.23 ratio. He’s pitched very well so far.

Jeremy Horst started the seventh, making his second official appearance having allowed two runs in an inning his first time out. Didn’t go especially well for him in this outing either as he faced seven hitters in the frame, allowing a run on a double, a single and two walks. He’s allowed four hits and four walks over two innings — 13.50 ERA and a 4.00 ratio. He’s going to have trouble maintaining an ERA under 14 if his ratio stays at or near 4.00 for too long.

Phillippe Aumont started the eighth, having pitched well his last time out after a rocky outing his first appearance. Three of the first four men he faced reached on a single, a double and a walk, which left men on the corners with one down and a run in. Flores flew to right for the second out, deep enough for the runner to score from third and put New York up 4-3. Aumont got Adonis Garcia to line to short to end the frame.

Four appearances for Aumont, two good and two bad. The overall numbers aren’t good. In four innings he’s allowed four runs (three earned) on three hits and three walks. That’s a 6.75 ERA and a 1.50 ratio. Opponents have hit just .214 against him, but he’s walked three in four innings coming off of a 2013 in which he walked 51 in 55 innings between the majors and minors.

The Phillies scored three runs in game, all of which came on solo home runs. Galvis homered off of the righty Tanaka. Carlos Ruiz and John Mayberry hit back-to-back homers off of righty Bruce Billings in the fifth.

Domonic Brown was the batter in front of Ruiz’s homer. He reached on a walk, but was caught stealing before Ruiz homered. There’s a thing you want to avoid if you can. You get more points that way.

Mayberry was 2-for-3 with a double and a home run, which was his second. 5-for-11 with a double, two home runs and an unlikely 455/455/1091 line. He started in center in the game. If the Phillies don’t know that they can’t play Mayberry in center field, they should. It obviously doesn’t matter in spring training games. It matters a lot in game you’re trying to win.

Galvis 1-for-3 with his first homer. 3-for-17 (.176) with a homer so far.

Ruiz 1-for-2 with his first home run. 3-for-10 with two walks, a home run and a 1.062 OPS. You know what’s good for your OPS? Having ten at-bats with one of them a home run.

Byrd had the other extra-base hit in the game for the Phils. He was 1-for-3 with a double to drop his average to .375. 6-for-16 with a double and a homer, still looking for his first walk.

Brown 0-for-1 with a walk and a caught stealing. 2-for-17 (.118) with five strikeouts.

Andres Blanco was 0-for-1 and made the game’s only error. He’s 0-for-8.

Frandsen 0-for-4. Asche 0-for-2. Utley 0-for-2. Utley is 2-for-14 with two singles (.143) and no walks. Asche 0-for-12. Frandsen 3-for-15 with three singles (.200).

Gwynn was 0-for-1 in the game and is 2-for-10 overall with a double.

Maikel Franco was 0-for-1. Really rooting for Franco, but it seems like there’s more excitement about his fantastic spring training than circumstances warrant given his miserable defense and 3-for-15 at the plate (200/294/200) so far.

The Phillies play Baltimore this afternoon with AJ Burnett expected to pitch.


Third time plucky

Phils topped the Tigers 10-6 this afternoon for their first spring victory.

Kyle Kendrick started the game for the Phils and got hit hard in the first, allowing three runs on two walks, a single and a three-run double by Nick Castellanos. He allowed a leadoff walk and uncorked a two-out wild pitch in the second, but kept the Tigers off the board.

The Phils came into the game with starters Cliff Lee and Roberto Hernandez having allowed three runs in four innings pitched in their starts combined. Kendrick goes two innings, allowing three runs on two hits, three walks and a wild pitch. So after three games, the starters have allowed six earned runs in six innings on eight hits and three walks (9.00 ERA with a 1.83 ratio).

Kendrick made 30 starts last year and walked more than two in five of them. Walked three in two innings today.

Righty Sean O’Sullivan struck out two in a 1-2-3 third. He came back for the fourth and retired the first two before hitting Luis Exposito with a pitch. O’Sullivan retired the next hitter on a popup to Hernandez at second to end the frame.

O’Sullivan suddenly seems like he has a shot for some early starts, given the combination of injury questions around pitchers like Hamels, Martin and Pettibone and the miserable early opinions around Gonzalez. The 26-year-old righty had a 6.14 career ERA over 193 2/3 innings in the majors before throwing to a 3.96 ERA in 25 innings for the Padres in 2013. He had a 1.80 ratio to go with his 3.96 ERA last year — 31 hits and 14 walks as opponents on-based .393 against him. He didn’t pitch very well, 3.96 ERA or not. Pitched well today, throwing two scoreless innings without allowing a hit or a walk while striking out three.

Aumont pitched the fifth, coming off of a miserable outing his first time out and set the Tigers down in order.

Luis Garcia made his first official appearance in the sixth and allowed three runs on two singles and a double. Only one of the runs was earned due to a Reid Brignac error at short.

Cesar Jimenez threw a 1-2-3 seventh in his first official appearance and followed that up by setting the Tigers down in order in the eighth. The 29-year-old lefty walked ten in 17 innings for the Phils last year, which is a lot. Had a 0.00 ERA and an 0.89 ratio in nine innings through his first eight appearances and a 7.88 ERA and a 2.00 ratio over eight innings his last 11 times out (and walked seven in those eight innings). Did a better job at preventing walks at Triple-A, throwing to a 3.12 ERA and a 1.31 ratio while walking 26 in 66 1/3 innings.

Justin De Fratus made his first appearance in the ninth. He allowed back-to-back singles to the first two batters he faced before striking out the next three to end the game with runners on first and second.

De Fratus struck out 42 in 46 2/3 innings for the Phils last year. Walking 25 was the problem and it led to a 1.50 ratio to go with his 3.86 ERA. Walk rate of 2.0 per nine innings in 424 1/3 innings in the minors and 4.8 in 61 1/3 innings in the majors. I would guess his walk rate will go down in 2014.

The Phillies scored eight runs in a bottom of the third that featured three walks, two singles, a hit-by-pitch, a Tiger error and a three-run homer by J-Roll.

Rollins’s shot came off of righty Jose Valdez with two outs in the third. He was 1-for-1 with a home run and two walks in the game.

Gwynn started the game in center for the Phillies and went 0-for-3 with a walk. He’s 0-for-3 with two walks so far. Think we should be following what he does offensively and especially defensively when playing center given the Phils seemingly neverending problem trying to backup center field. Things I know for sure: 1) John Mayberry is really, really not the answer 2) Cesar Hernandez, a backup infielder, really, really is not the answer. The Phils have so many problems it’s hard to feel like backup center fielder should go near the top of the list. I think there’s potential for a moral victory here, though.

Utley started at second and went 1-for-3.

Franco started at third and was 0-for-1 with a walk and no errors. He’s seen action in all three official games and gone 0-for-5 with two errors and two walks.

Byrd 2-for-3 with two singles and 3-for-5 with an RBI in the early going.

Howard 0-for-3 and struck out twice. 1-for-5 with a single so far.

Brown 0-for-3 with a walk and an RBI. 1-for-6 overall.

Ruiz 0-for-1 with a walk and an RBI. 0-for-3.

Lou Marson doubled to start the bottom of the eighth, which led to a Phillie run. He was 1-for-1 with a double on the day in his first action.

Ruf 1-for-3 with a single that drove in a run in the second inning. 1-for-3 with two RBI on the day. 2-for-6 with two walks so far.

Yankees tomorrow.


Rate hike

Questions yesterday about whether opposing hitters were more likely to walk in 2013 when Carlos Ruiz was catching for the Phils. That part’s easy — the answer is yes, they were. The harder part is how important that information is and I’m a lot less sure about that. In order to conclude anything, we’d need to look at more complete information about who was doing the pitching, the game situation and the quality of the hitters they were facing.

Still, the overall results were a little surprising to me. The Phillies used five catchers in 2013: Ruiz, Erik Kratz, Humberto Quintero, Cameron Rupp and Steven Lerud. Here’s the total number of plate appearances each caught and the team’s walk rate with them catching:

BF % of BF BB %
All PHI 6213 100 8.1
Ruiz 3251 52.3 9.0
Kratz 2060 33.2 7.5
Quintero 718 11.6 6.4
Rupp 116 1.9 6.0
Lerud 68 1.1 7.4
Not Ruiz 2962 47.7 7.2

So Ruiz caught 52.3% of the batters and during those plate appearances, Phillie opponents walked 9.0% of the time. The other four catchers caught 47.7% of the time and in those chances opponents walked in 7.2% of their plate appearances.

Here’s the breakdown for the three catchers other than Rupp and Lerud for the eight starting pitchers on the ’13 Phils that got at least eight starts.

Pitcher BF Ruiz Kratz Quintero
Hamels 905 61.8/5.9 26.4/5.9 11.8/2.8
Lee 876 55.0/4.1 39.2/3.2 5.8/2.0
Kendrick 800 38.8/4.2 55.1/6.8 6.1/8.2
Pettibone 437 52.6/10.0 21.3/7.5 26.1/7.0
Lannan 332 57.5/10.5 10.8/5.6 31.6/5.4
Cloyd 282 33.9/11.6 50.7/7.7 -
Halladay 282 50.0/16.3 15.2/11.6 34.8/8.2
Martin 190 66.8/15.7 24.7/10.6 -

So, looking, for example, at the top line, Ruiz caught 61.8% of the batters that Hamels pitched to in 2013 and those batters walked in 5.9% of their plate appearances. Quintero caught 11.8% of the batters Hamels faced in 2013 and those batters walked in 2.8% of their PA.

Cloyd and Martin both pitched to Lerud and Rupp. Those numbers aren’t included above.

Of the eight pitchers listed above, six of them pitched to all three of Ruiz, Kratz and Quintero. Of those six, five, everyone except for Kendrick, issued walks at the highest rate while pitching to Ruiz and the at the lowest rate when pitching to Quintero (for Hamels, the 5.9% to Ruiz is a little higher, 5.903, than his 5.9% to Kratz, which is 5.858).

The other of the six that pitched to all three was Kendrick. He walked batters at his lowest rate while pitching to Ruiz and at his highest while pitching to Quintero. It should be noted that Kendrick’s time pitching to Quintero was especially limited. Quintero was behind the plate for just 49 of the 800 batters that Kendrick faced (6.1%).

The other two pitchers on the list, Cloyd and Martin, didn’t pitch to Quintero, but each of them walked batters at a higher rate while pitching to Ruiz than they did to Kratz.

I think it’s hugely important to remember there are a lot of factors at play. For example, Roy Halladay and Ethan Martin each had very high walk rates for the season, regardless of who was catching them. Ruiz caught more than two-thirds of Martin’s innings and half of Halladay’s, which surely contributed to his walk rate being high relative to other catchers on the team. While the rate that each of those guys allowed walks was higher with Ruiz behind the plate, I still think it’s a leap to attribute much of anything to Ruiz without more complete information about the game situation and the quality of hitters the pitchers were facing.

If you look back at the last few years, it’s also not true to say that batters consistently walk more with Ruiz behind the plate than with someone else catching. It was in 2012, 7.1% for Ruiz and 6.2% for everyone else on the Phils, but in 2011 he was way under the walk rate with others catching (6.4% for Ruiz and 7.2% for everyone else). In both 2009 and 2010, the walk rate for hitters with Ruiz behind the plate was just about the same as the walk rate with anyone else behind the plate (6.8/6.9 in ’10 and 7.9/7.7 in ’09).


One direction

Still on walks and how far Phillie pitchers fell in 2013 coming off of four straight years in which they were either the best or second-best team in the league at preventing walks.

Here’s the percentage of batters Phillie pitchers walked in each of the last five seasons and the rank of that percentage relative to the rest of the NL:

2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
All PHI 8.1 (9) 6.7 (1) 6.7 (1) 6.8 (1) 7.8 (2)
NL Avg 7.8 8.0 8.2 8.6 9.1

From 2009 to 2011, the percentage of batters that Phillie pitchers walked was best in the NL three times and second-best the other. In 2013, the NL shrunk from 16 teams to 15 and the 8.1% of batters faced by the Phils was ninth-best in the league.

Looking at the numbers above, the year of the five in which the Phils were most dominant in preventing walks relative to the rest of the NL was 2010. That year they walked 6.8% of the batters they faced in a year in which the average NL pitcher walked 8.6% of the batters they faced. The Phillies still had the best rate of preventing walks in each of the next two seasons, but not as dramatically as they had in 2010.

Over the last five seasons, the year in which the Phillies issued their lowest number of total walks was 2011. They walked 404 that year. In 2013, they walked, 506, 102 more than they had in 2011. 506 is about 125% of 404.

Here’s their numbers for percentage of batters walked by their starters in each of those years along with the same number for all NL starting pitchers:

2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
PHI SP 6.8 5.4 5.1 5.6 6.5
NL Avg SP 7.4 7.4 7.5 8.0 8.3

In each of the five years, including 2013, the rate at which the Phillie starting pitchers walked batters was better than the NL average.

Notably also is that the percentage of batters walked for starting pitchers has trended down over the past three seasons. The Phillie starters walked a similar percentage of batters in 2009 and 2013, 6.5% in ’09 and 6.8% in ’13, but this was much more impressive in 2009 as the overall rate of walks issued by starters in the league was much higher.

Unlike the starters, the relievers have walked a higher percentage of batters than league average in recent years:

2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
PHI RP 10.8 9.9 10.5 9.7 10.4
NL Avg RP 8.7 9.4 9.5 9.7 10.5

As with the starters, percentages of batters walked for the relievers are down in recent years in the NL. In each year 2010 through 2013, NL relievers combined to walk a lower percentage of batters in the season than they had the year before. Not so for the Phillies. In 2013, Phillie relievers walked 10.8% of the batters they faced, the highest mark for any of the five years, while the league average for relievers was 8.7%, the lowest mark of any of the five years for the league.

The 10.8% of batters that the Phillie relievers walked in 2013 is miserable — the worst mark for any NL bullpen for the season. Only one other team, the Cubs, saw their relievers walk more than 9.4% of the batters they faced. The Chicago bullpen walked about 10.2% of the batters they faced in 2013.

Over the last five years, the starters have been very good at preventing walks and the relievers haven’t. In 2013, the starters were close to league average at preventing walks and the relievers were hideous. From 2009 through 2012, the Phils starters were way better than league average at preventing walks while in 2013 they were just a little better. The relievers, on the the other hand, have been average or worse than average in each of the last five years and got a lot worse at preventing walks in 2013 than they had been in any of the past four seasons.

Halladay, Hamels and Lee have obviously been a huge part of that. In 2013, Halladay’s turn from a guy who pitched a ton of innings with a tiny walk rate to someone who walked many clearly hurt the team. Looking back at the last five years, I don’t think we want to forget Blanton or Moyer, either. In 2012, Blanton threw 133 1/3 innings for the Phils and walked just 18, giving him a rate of preventing walks for the year that was better than Halladay, Hamels or Lee. In 2010, Moyer walked just 4.4% of the batters he faced in his 111 2/3 innings, a rate just higher than the 3.0% of the hitters Halladay walked and way below the league average of 8.6%.

In 2013, the results were pretty ugly. The Phillies used 27 pitchers for the year. Here’s the list of players who threw a pitch for the Phils last year who walked a percentage of batters lower than the NL average:

IP BB%
Kyle Kendrick
Cole Hamels
Raul Valdes
Jonathan Papelbon
Cliff Lee
John McDonald
182
220
35
61.7
222.7
0.3
5.9
5.5
5.3
4.3
3.7
0.0

Six players for the team with a walk rate better than league average by percentage of batters faced walked.

One of the six is non-pitcher John McDonald, who didn’t walk any of the three hitters he faced for the year.

Another, Raul Valdes, had a miserable year in which he threw to a 7.46 ERA, allowing seven home runs in his 35 innings while opponents hit .300 against him.

Kyle Kendrick dropped his walk rate below his career average. That’s the good news. The bad news is that he allowed way more hits than he had over the two previous years and righties posted a 318/359/453 line against him.

Twenty-one of 27 pitchers from 2013 walked a higher percentage of batters than the league average. Here they are:

IP BB%
Casper Wells
Luis Garcia
Phillippe Aumont
Ethan Martin
Cesar Jimenez
J.C. Ramirez
Roy Halladay
Zach Miner
Joe Savery
Justin De Fratus
Mauricio Robles
Antonio Bastardo
Chad Durbin
Michael Stutes
B.J. Rosenberg
Mike Adams
Jake Diekman
Jeremy Horst
Tyler Cloyd
Jonathan Pettibone
John Lannan
0.7
31.3
19.3
40
17
24
62
28.7
20
46.7
4.7
42.7
16
17.7
19.7
25
38.3
26
60.3
100.3
74.3
37.5
16.7
13.7
13.7
13.2
12.9
12.8
12.8
12.8
12.0
12.0
11.7
11.1
10.7
10.5
10.3
9.8
9.8
8.9
8.7
8.1

A couple of those guys, especially Antonio Bastardo and Jake Diekman, pitched a bunch of innings for the Phils and were good despite a higher than average walk rate. I think it’s safe to say they were the exception rather than the rule.

Roman Quinn, the 20-year-old shortstop prospect, has ruptured his right Achilles tendon and is out indefinitely.

This suggests the Rockies have interest in signing Ruiz.


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