Tag: kevin frandsen

Little help here?

Cole Hamels has been pretty fantastic over the past two seasons, making 65 appearances (64 starts) in which he threw to a 2.92 ERA with a 1.08 ratio. He’s gotten just 26 wins over those 65 appearances, though, and part of the reason for that is that the Phils just haven’t scored a lot of runs in the games he has started.

Here’s how the runs the Phillies scored have broken down by starting pitcher over the past three seasons:

Starts Runs R/S Games not started R in GNS R per GNS (RS/GS)/(R/GNS)
Hamels 96 393 4.09 390 1912 4.90 84%
Blanton 67 362 5.40 419 1943 4.64 117%
Halladay 65 299 4.60 421 2006 4.76 97%
Kendrick 48 247 5.15 438 2058 4.70 110%
Lee 44 179 4.07 442 2126 4.81 85%
Moyer 44 212 4.82 442 2093 4.74 102%
Oswalt 35 146 4.17 451 2159 4.79 87%
Happ 26 131 5.04 460 2174 4.73 107%
Worley 23 123 5.35 463 2182 4.71 113%
Myers 10 51 5.10 476 2254 4.74 108%
Martinez 9 52 5.78 477 2253 4.72 122%
Park 7 35 5.00 479 2270 4.74 106%
Bastardo 5 29 5.80 481 2276 4.73 123%
Lopez 5 36 7.20 481 2269 4.72 153%
Figueroa 1 3 3.00 485 2302 4.75 63%
Carpenter 1 7 7.00 485 2298 4.74 148%
Total 486 2305 4.74

So, for example, the table says that over the past three years, Hamels has started 96 games in which the Phillies have scored 393 runs. That’s 4.09 runs per game. Over the same three years, the Phillies have played 390 games that Hamels didn’t start. In those games, the Phillies scored 1,912 runs, which is about 4.90 runs per game. Finally, the column on the far right for Hamels suggests that in the games Hamels started the Phillies scored about 84% of the runs per game than they did in the games he did not.

There are nine pitchers who have started more than 20 games for the Phils over the past three years. Of those, Blanton, Worley, Kendrick, Happ and Moyer have seen the team score more runs per game in the games they started than the games they did not.

For Halladay, Oswalt, Lee and Hamels, the Phils have scored fewer runs in the game they started than the games they did not.

Of the more than 20 starts group, Blanton and Hamels are the guys at the extremes. 5.40 runs per game for Blanton (117% of the runs the Phils have scored in the games he hasn’t started since the end of 2008) compared to 4.09 for Hamels (84%).

Official Spring Training action got underway this weekend with the Phils and Yankees squaring off twice.

The Yankees won Saturday’s game 8-5. Kevin Frandsen and Pence both homered for the Phils. Tyson Gilles was 2-for-3 with a double.

Hamels started for the Phils and allowed a run on a bloop RBI-double by Ibanez over two innings. Bush followed and allowed a run on a solo homer over two frames. Willis, Qualls and Stutes all allowed runs for the Phils — that trio combined to give up six runs on seven hits and two walks over three innings. Qualls allowed three runs in his frame.

The Phils made four errors yesterday as the Yanks topped them 7-4.

Halladay allowed a run in two innings. Piniero charged with three runs over two innings, only one of which was earned. Phillippe Aumont allowed three runs on four hits in an inning, but only one run was earned. Martinez made two errors in the game and Wigginton one. Brown dropped a fly ball in left with some discussion of whether he dropped it while he was transferring the ball from his glove after a catch.

Pence homered for the second straight day. Brown was 2-for-4 with a triple. Freddy Galvis started at short and went 2-for-4 with a double.

The Phils play the Yankees again today with Blanton scheduled to pitch. Talk of Martinez’s errors yesterday and today’s lineup here. Kevin Frandsen seems like a good guy to keep an eye on in the early going — the linked article suggests he will start at second today.

Ryan Howard is in a walking boot and there is no timetable for his return.

This article points out that former Phillie Travis d’Arnaud was great at Double-A last year, hitting .311 with 21 home runs. You know who else is great? Roy Halladay.

This says Jose Contreras looked good throwing on Sunday and that Justin De Fratus has been cleared to play catch.

Also, if you’re looking to support the Phillies, use this Promotional Code and get great discounts on jerseys.


Can’t we do both?

The past few posts have looked at a couple of areas where John Mayberry has been outstanding over the past two seasons — since he’s joined the Phils, Mayberry has hit home runs at a very high rate and also seen a large percentage of his hits go for extra-bases given his batting average.

On area where he’s a little off early in his career is the number of walks he’s drawing for a guy who has hit homers at such a high rate. For his career, Mayberry now has 369 plate appearances in which he has hit 21 home runs, which is 5.69% of his plate appearances. He has walked in just 29 of his 369 plate appearances, though, which is just 7.86%. And that percentage is low for a guy hitting home runs at that rate.

Here are the walks and home run rates of the ten players in either league from 2011 who got 200 plate appearances and homered in at least 5.69% of them (sorted by the number of plate appearances):

PA BB HR
Curtis Granderson
Mark Teixeira
Jose Bautista
Albert Pujols
Mark Reynolds
Adrian Beltre
Mike Napoli
Chris Heisey
Andruw Jones
Brent Lillibridge
Group Total
691
684
655
651
620
525
432
308
222
216
5004
12.30%
11.11%
20.15%
9.37%
12.10%
4.76%
13.43%
6.17%
13.06%
7.87%
11.53%
5.93%
5.70%
6.56%
5.68%
5.97%
6.10%
6.94%
5.84%
5.86%
6.02%
6.06%

Ten players hit home runs in at least 5.69% of their plate appearances in 2011. That group combined to get 5,004 plate appearances in which they walked 577 times, which is 11.53%. Of the ten, Mayberry’s career walk rate of 7.86% is better than just two of the members of the group, Beltre and Heisey, and about the same as Lillibridge’s.

In 2010 there was nobody who got 200 plate appearances, homered in at least 5.69% of them and walked in less than Mayberry’s career rate of 7.86% of plate appearances.

PA BB HR
Jose Bautista
Jim Thome
Paul Konerko
Albert Pujols
Miguel Cabrera
Adam Dunn
Russell Branyan
Andruw Jones
Edwin Encarnacion
Joey Votto
Group
Total
683
340
631
700
648
648
428
328
367
648
5421
14.64%
17.65%
11.41%
14.71%
13.73%
11.88%
10.75%
13.72%
7.90%
14.04%
13.13%
7.91%
7.35%
6.18%
6.00%
5.86%
5.86%
5.84%
5.79%
5.72%
5.71%
6.24%

Encarnacion was close, but still managed to top the Mayberry’s walk rate by a small margin.

It’s important to remember that Mayberry’s walk rate was terrible in 2009, when he walked twice in 60 plate appearances in his first action in the majors. Since 2009 it has been a lot better. In 2010 and 2011 combined, Mayberry walked in 27 of his 309 plate appearances, which is about 8.74%.

Over the last two year’s, Mayberry’s walk rate is already above his walk rate while in the minor leagues, so I’m not sure how much we should expect it to rise. It’s still just a tiny number of chances for Mayberry at the major league level, but in the chances he’s had he has hit the ball out of the yard with alarming frequency — both compared to the rest of baseball and compared to his own numbers in the minors.

This article from the Phillies web site says that Roy Oswalt is very interested in returning to the Phils. Sounds good to me.

This article suggests that Oswalt may be looking to skip the early part of the year and join a team around midseason.

Kevin Frandsen, who ruptured his Achillies in March, 2008, suggests it might take a year to a year and a half to fully recover from that injury in this article.

The same article linked above seems to suggest that Rich Dubee thinks that Jake Diekman has a better fastball than his fellow lefty Antonio Bastardo.

It also says that Justin De Fratus remains sidelined with a sore right elbow.

There’s not much about Utley’s ongoing issues with his right knee that sound very good.


All about the Benjamin

Ben Francisco put an exclamation point on his fantastic spring training yesterday, hitting a three-run homer as the Phils topped the Astros 7-6 to end their Grapefruit League schedule. Francisco came into camp looking to show he could be the everyday guy in right field for the Phils this season and pounded the ball, posting a 385/467/677 line over 65 at-bats. His 1.144 OPS was the best among Phillies that got at least 10 plate appearances.

Ben Francisco’s full name is Louis Ben Francisco. So, when you get right down to it, it’s really not all about the Benjamin (unless it’s all about someone else).

Nate Bump got the start for the Phillies in the game and allowed a run on eight hits and a walk over five innings. Baez walked one in a scoreless sixth and Contreras got one out in the seventh before Derrick Loop (really!) took over for him. Loop, Michael Sisco and Ebelin Lugo finished out the game for the Phils. They combined to allow five runs in 2 2/3 innings, with Lugo and Loop both charged with runs and Cisco throwing a scoreless frame.

Contreras threw just one pitch in the game because the mound was wet due to heavy rain.

Victorino 2-for-3 and drove in a pair of runs.

Castillo was 1-for-2 with a double and a walk. 4-for-19 (.211) with four walks with the Phils, Martinez 0-for-1. Young 0-for-1. Mayberry 0-for-3 with two strikeouts. Gload was the DH in his continuing effort to demonstrate he’s not a right fielder.

The Phils went 20-13 in official spring games and will play the Pirates tonight and Wednesday in Citizens Bank Park. Oswalt is expected to start. Hamels will start on Wednesday with Blanton likely to throw a few innings in relief.

Utley says his goal is to be back by the All-Star break. Amaro says he won’t go on the 60-day DL.

The article linked above says that Michael Stutes will be with the team for the two games with the Pirates, but isn’t likely to start the year with the Phils.

This says the Phillies have signed Kevin Frandsen to a minor league deal. The righty Frandsen has played every position in the majors except catcher and center field, posting a 243/302/335 career line over 626 plate appearances. He turns 29 in May.


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