Tag: justin de fratus

Season on the blink

The Phillies never got it figured out in 2012, losing their final game yesterday in fitting fashion as the Nats topped them 5-1. Lee made a quality start and took the loss. The pen gave up a pair of runs in the eighth inning and Utley, Howard and Rollins combined to go 0-for-4 in the game with Rollins and Howard sidelined with injuries.

They end 2012 having won 21 fewer regular season games than they won in 2011.

Jimmy Rollins seems unfazed, coming up with this gem after the game that suggests the Nats would have finished second had the Phils been healthy: “It’s all come together for them. So that’s great for them. But with us being healthy, you know, they’re still second place. But we weren’t [healthy].”

Huh?

I’m having a lot of trouble understanding how the Phillies being healthy would have helped the Braves finish ahead of the Nationals.

I’m not even sure that’s what he meant.

Just so we’re all on the same page: The Phillies played baseball for about three hours on 162 different occasions in 2012. That’s a lot of baseball. It showed that they weren’t especially good relative to the teams they were playing against.

They weren’t especially good at scoring runs or preventing them.

They finished 17 games behind the best team in their division.

They paid Halladay, Howard, Utley and Rollins about $66 million to hit a combined 245/324/427 and throw to a 4.49 ERA over 25 starts.

Most fans would agree they have one young impact player in the organization, at least in terms of hitters. He hit .235 for the year and finished the season with numbers very similar to his disappointing 2011 season.

There are some problems here. The expensive core is getting old and looking older than they are. The Phils have close to no chance or replacing them or coming close to replacing them with players currently in the organization. Getting healthy would help, but if you think that’s the only thing the Phillies need, I think you might want to look again.

The Phillies have finished the 2012 season at 81-81, losing 5-1 to the Washington Nationals in yesterday’s final game of the year. The Phils end the year in third place, 17 games out of first and seven games out for the Wild Card. The Nats take the series two games to one.

Lee got the start for the Phillies and went six innings, allowing three runs on eight hits. Six of the hits went for extra-bases — three doubles, a triple and two home runs.

He set the Nationals down in order in the bottom of the first. Pierre made a fantastic play for the second out on a ball hit by Mark DeRosa, reaching up and over the fence to take away a home run.

Michael Morse doubled to left to start the second, but Lee set the Nats down in order behind him to leave Morse at second.

Jayson Werth tripled to center with two outs in the third. Lee got DeRosa on a fly ball to center to leave Werth stranded.

He started the fourth up 1-0. Ryan Zimmerman led off and hit a 1-2 pitch out to right. 1-1. Morse and Tyler Moore doubled back-to-back. 2-1 with nobody out and Moore at second. Lee got Ian Desmond on a foul out to Ruiz for the first out, then struck out Danny Espinosa and Jesus Flores back-to-back to leave Moore stranded.

Ugly start to the frame as the Nats go home run, double, double with their first three hitters.

Through four innings, Lee had allowed three doubles, a triple and a home run and given up just two runs.

Werth singled with one out in the fifth, but Lee got DeRosa and Zimmerman behind him.

Lee struck Morse out to start the sixth before Moore homered 3-2, extending the Washington lead to 3-1. Desmond followed with a single, but Lee struck Espinosa and Flores out back-to-back behind him at first.

De Fratus threw a 1-2-3 seventh. Switch-hitter Steve Lombardozzi hit for pitcher Christian Garcia and flew to right for the first out. Werth popped to third for the second and DeRosa grounded to second for the third.

Three up, three down for De Fratus. He allows five runs on the year over 10 2/3 innings in 13 appearances. Three of the five runs he allowed came in a single outing. He ends the year with a 3.38 ERA and a 1.12 ratio. Righties hit just 130/231/130 against him in 26 plate appearances.

Papelbon started the eighth. Zimmerman led off and walked. Bryce Harper ran for him at first. Morse was next and Papelbon got ahead of him 0-2 before Morse fouled off five pitches, then hit a 1-2 offering out to right-center for a two-run homer. 5-1. Papelbon struck Moore out swinging for the first out and righty Tyson Brummett came on to face Desmond. Desmond singled to left and moved up to second when Espinosa singled to right. It put men on first and second with one out for Flores. Brummett struck him out swinging for the second out. Lefty Chad Tracy hit for the pitcher Sean Burnett and Brummett struck him out swinging 2-2 to end the frame.

Papelbon faces three hitters and they go walk, homer strikeout. He was fantastic this year, ending with a 2.44 ERA and a 1.06 ratio. He came into yesterday’s appearance with an 0.59 ERA and an 0.88 ratio in 30 2/3 innings over his last 31 appearances.

28-year-old Tyson Brummett faces four batters in his debut, allowing singles to the first two before registering back-to-back strikeouts to leave the runners stranded.

Overall the pen goes two innings in the game, allowing two runs on three hits and a walk while striking out three.

Everyone should be well-rested of their next appearance.

The Phillies lineup against righty Edwin Jackson went (1) Pierre (2) Frandsen (3) Utley (4) Ruiz (5) Brown (6) Ruf (7) Schierholtz (8) Martinez. Mayberry on the bench with Schierholtz in center. Pierre plays left with Ruf at first for the sidelined Howard. Martinez starts at short for the sidelined Rollins.

The Phillies went in order in the top of the first.

Ruf walked with two outs in the second and moved to third on a ground-rule double down the left field line by Schierholtz. Martinez grounded to short to leave the runners at second and third.

Frandsen singled with two outs in the third. Utley grounded to second to set the Phillies down.

Ruiz started the fourth with a double and moved up to third when Brown grounded out for the first out. Ruf was next and he flew to center, deep enough for Ruiz to tag and score, putting the Phillies up 1-0. Schierholtz singled to center before Martinez flew to left to end the frame.

The Phillies were down 2-1 when they hit in the fifth. Lee and Pierre struck out back-to-back to start the inning before Frandsen doubled to left. Utley was next and hit the ball well, but Moore handled the line drive at first to leave Frandsen stranded.

Jackson set Ruiz, Brown and Ruf down in order in the sixth.

Schierholtz lined a double to right, his second double of the day, to start the seventh. Martinez flew to left for the first out. Nix hit for Lee and struck out swinging for the second. Righty Christian Garcia came in to face Pierre and got Pierre on a fly ball to center to leave Schierholtz stranded.

Lefty Sean Burnett set the Phillies down in order in the eighth.

Lefty Gio Gonzalez pitched the ninth with Washington up 5-1. Brown fouled out to third for the first out. Ruf struck out swinging 1-2 for the second out. Wigginton hit for Schierholtz and drew a walk. Martinez flew to left and the season was over.

Pierre was 0-for-4 and struck out twice yesterday in his only action of the series. Made a great catch in the first to take a homer away from DeRosa. He finishes the year at 307/351/371.

Frandsen 2-for-4 with a double. 6-for-13 with three doubles in the series. 338/383/451 in 210 plate appearances for the season.

Utley 0-for-4. 0-for-11 with a walk in the series. 256/365/429 for the year. Hit 215/324/355.

Ruiz 1-for-4 with a double. 1-for-8 with a double and a walk in the series. He was hitting 353/413/596 for the year at the end of the day on July 16. 250/345/390 in 116 plate appearances after July 16. Still ends the year at 325/394/540, which is the best year of his career with the bat by a wide margin.

Brown 0-for-4 in the game and 3-for-12 with a double in the series. He plans to have an MRI on his right knee today — let’s hope it reveals 120 ground outs to second that can be removed with a simple and safe surgical procedure. Ends the year at 235/316/396. 196/288/333 against lefties for the season.

Ruf 0-for-2 with a walk and two strikeouts. 3-for-8 with two walks, a triple, two home runs and five RBI in the three-game set. He also struck out five times. 333/351/727 for the year in 37 plate appearances.

Schierholtz 3-for-3 with two doubles. He finishes at 257/321/407 for the year. 273/319/379 with the Phillies in 73 plate appearances. He came into the game hitting 238/290/317 for the year with the Phillies over 70 plate appearances.

Martinez 0-for-4 and left five men on base. 2-for-11 with a strikeout in the series. 174/208/252 for the year.

No game today.

Stadium Journey recently published a new review of Citizens Bank Park.


Kendrick confirms he is not Cy Young, putting at ease the minds of millions who found it suspicious they had never seen him and Young in the same place at the same time

Kyle Kendrick didn’t have much last night, allowing three home runs and five runs to the first eight batters he faced and leaving after just two innings and two batters. The Phillies made it almost all the way back from the 5-0 hole, though. De Fratus started the ninth with the Washington lead cut to 5-4, but was hit hard in the frame and the Nats went on to win 8-4.

Kendrick pointed out after the game that if he was awesome every start he’d be Cy Young. Not sure that’s true, actually, but if his point was that last night’s effort lacked awesomeness, I think we’re all on board.

The bullpen pitched very well until De Fratus ran into trouble in the three-run top of the ninth for the Nats. After Kendrick left after just two innings, Rosenberg, Lindblom and Horst combined to throw six scoreless frames in which they allowed a single and a walk and struck out six.

Former Phil Jayson Werth battled the fans all night, but wound up with the last laugh, singling home a pair of runs with two outs in the ninth to extend the Nationals lead.

The Phillies are 78-77 on the year after losing to the Washington Nationals 8-4 last night. They have lost three of their last four and are in third place in the NL East, 16 games out of first. They are 5 1/2 games out for the Wild Card and have seven left to play.

Kendrick got the start for the Phillies and went two innings, allowing five runs on five hits and two walks. Only four of the runs were earned. Three of the hits went for extra-bases, all home runs. He struck out one.

Kendrick has allowed 11 runs in 13 2/3 innings over his last three starts.

Jayson Werth was the first batter of the game and walked on five pitches. Bryce Harper was next and he hit the first pitch he saw from Kendrick out to center, putting the Nats up 2-0. Kendrick got the next three Washington hitters, getting Ryan Zimmerman on a ground ball to short for the first out, striking out Adam LaRoche for the second and getting Michael Morse on a fly ball to left for the third.

Ian Desmond led off the second and hit a 2-1 pitch out to left center. 3-0. Steve Lombardozzi was next and hit a ball to Utley that Utley didn’t handle for an error, putting Lombardozzi on first when Kurt Suzuki hit a 1-2 pitch out to left. 5-0. The pitcher John Lannan grounded to Rollins for the first out before Werth singled to center. Harper grounded to Howard with Werth forced at second for the second out. Harper stole second before Zimmerman grounded to second to end the frame.

Three home runs allowed by Kendrick to the first eight batters he faces.

LaRoche walked to start the third and moved to second on a single by Morse. That was it for Kendrick. Rosenberg took over and got Desmond to hit into a double-play. Lombardozzi lined to short to leave LaRoche at third.

Rosenberg started the fourth down 5-1. He walked Lannan with one out, but struck out Werth and Harper to leave the pitcher at first.

You want to avoid walking the pitcher when possible.

Rosenberg threw a 1-2-3 fifth with the lead cut to 5-2.

Rosenberg was fantastic in the game, getting a double-play in the third and allowing just one walk over three scoreless innings. Three innings is the longest outing of his career. He has thrown ten scoreless innings over his last seven appearances.

Lindblom set the Nats down in order in the sixth and again in the seventh.

Lindblom faces six batters and gets all six, dropping his ERA with the Phillies to 3.68 after 24 appearances. Opponents are hitting .175 against him since joining the Phils, but he has walked 15 in 22 innings. He has a 1.29 ERA over his last 14 appearances and has struck out 19 in 14 innings.

He was pitching for the second straight day and threw 29 pitches in the game.

Horst started the eighth with the Nats up 5-3. Zimmerman led off and singled to left. Horst struck LaRoche out swinging for the first out and got Morse to ground into a double-play behind him.

Horst faces three batters, allows a single then strikes out the lefty LaRoche and gets the righty Morse to ground into a double-play. He’s been charged with seven runs on the year over 27 innings, but only three of them have been earned. He’s had success against both righties and lefties in limited time with the Phils this year, so it seems like there are lots of reasons to expect significant contributions from him out of the pen in 2013.

De Fratus started the ninth with the Phillies down 5-4. Desmond led off and walked. Lefty Chad Tracy hit for the pitcher Tyler Clippard. Desmond stole second before Tracy grounded to short for the first out with Desmond holding. Suzuki was next and singled softly to left on a ball deflected by Pierre, moving Desmond up to third. De Fratus struck Espinosa out swinging for the second out before Suzuki stole second. It put runners on second and third for Werth and Werth singled into center, scoring both runners to extend the lead to 7-4. Bastardo came in to pitch to the lefty Harper and Harper tripled into the right field corner, scoring Werth to make it 8-4. Zimmerman struck out looking to leave Harper at third.

Werth was loudly booed during the game and especially in his ninth inning at-bat. While waiting in the on-deck circle, he faked throwing a foul ball to fans behind the Nationals dugout and then rolled the ball into the dugout. Flipped his bat dramatically after his two-run single, proving once and for all the wisdom of the seven-year, $126 million deal the Nationals gave him to hit .256.

De Fratus faced five batters in the game and they went walk, out, single, out single. Walking the leadoff man is never a good idea and it hurt De Fratus last night. All three of the guys who reached base against De Fratus in the game (Desmond walk, Werth and Suzuki singled) were right-handed. His line looked a little worse than it was cause of the two-out triple by Harper off of Bastardo that scored Werth, adding a third run to De Fratus’s line.

Like Lindblom, De Fratus was pitching for the second straight day. He threw to a 0.00 ERA over his first seven appearances with the Phillies, allowing two hits and three walks over six innings. In his last three appearances he has allowed four runs on four hits and a walk over 2 1/3 innings.

Bastardo faces two hitters in the game, allowing an RBI-triple to the lefty Harper before striking the righty Zimmerman out. Over his last 17 appearances, Bastardo has struck out 28 in 12 2/3 innings while throwing to a 1.42 ERA and an 0.95 ratio.

Overall the pen goes seven innings in the game, allowing three runs on four hits and two walks. Lindblom and De Fratus have each thrown two days in a row and both of them threw a lot of pitches last night. Lindblom threw 29 and De Fratus threw 27. Rosenberg was pitching for the first day in a row and threw 42 pitches in the game.

It seems like Rosenberg would surely be unavailable tonight and Lindblom and De Fratus at least questionable. Could be an issue if Cloyd doesn’t go nine. That’s a joke, but he went eight his last time out. So we’ll see.

The Phillies lineup against lefty John Lannan went (1) Rollins (2) Mayberry (3) Utley (4) Howard (5) Ruiz (6) Brown (7) Ruf (8) Frandsen. Ruf starts in left for the second game in a row, both of which came with lefties on the mound for the Nats.

Down 2-0, the Phillies went in order in the bottom of the first.

They started the second down 5-0. Howard led off and was hit by a pitch. The next three Phils went in order.

Frandsen doubled to left to start the third. Rosenberg was next and bunted. The catcher Suzuki fielded the ball and threw it into left field in an effort to get Frandsen at third. That proved to be ineffective. Frandsen scored, cutting the lead to 5-1, and Rosenberg was safe at first on the error. Rollins flew to center for the first out before Mayberry moved Rosenberg up to second with a single. Utley was next and he singled, loading the bases for Howard. Howard struck out and Ruiz grounded to the pitcher to keep the Phillies from getting more.

Howard really isn’t so good against lefties these days. One out and the bases loaded would have been a nifty time not to strike out.

With one out in the fourth, Ruf hit a ball down the third base line. Zimmerman made a nice play to record the out, though, fielding and making a long throw to first in time to get Ruf for the second out. It cost the Phillies a run, cause Frandsen was next and he hit a 2-1 pitch into center for a triple, his second extra-base hit in two at-bats. Rosenberg was next and he dribbled a ball back up the middle that went for a single. Frandsen scored to cut the lead to 5-2. Rollins grounded to third to end the inning.

Zimmerman’s play on the ball hit by Ruf costs the Phillies a run. The ball Frandsen hit to center should have been caught. It was fairly deep, but Harper turned the wrong way going back on it and couldn’t recover.

Frandsen has monster numbers against lefties for the year and they got better thanks to 2-for-2 with a double and a gift triple off of Lannan in his first two at-bats last night. He’s now at 429/462/592 against lefties for the year.

Lannan set the Phils down in order in the fifth.

Ruiz walked to start the sixth. Brown struck out behind him for the first out. Righty Ryan Mattheus came in to pitch to Ruf and got him to ground into a double-play to end the inning.

Mattheus got Frandsen and Schierholtz, hitting for Lindblom, to start the seventh before Rollins lined a 3-1 pitch out to right. That cut the lead to 5-3. Mayberry struck out swinging for the third out.

Utley doubled to right off of righty Tyler Clippard to start the eighth. Howard struck out swinging for the first out before Utley took third on a wild pitch. Ruiz walked, putting two men on for Brown. Brown got to hit against the righty Clippard and hit a 2-2 pitch well to right. Werth took it on the warning track for the second out, though. Utley scored, cutting the lead to 5-4. Ruf followed and singled softly to right, moving Ruiz up to third. Pierre ran for Ruf at first. Clippard struck Frandsen out swinging 1-2 to leave the runners at the corners.

Brown didn’t miss by much. Howard strikes out against the righty for a big first out.

The Phillies were down 8-4 when righty Drew Storen set them down in order in the ninth. Nix hit for Bastardo and struck out swinging for the first out.

Rollins 1-for-4 with his 23rd homer of the year. He’s 1-for-his-last-18. 249/322/486 with 21 homers over his last 438 plate appearances.

Mayberry 1-for-5. 2-for-his-last-18 with seven strikeouts.

Utley 2-for-4 with a double. He made an error in the second that led to an unearned run when Suzuki followed with a homer. 305/423/463 in September.

Howard 0-for-3 and struck out twice. 7-for-his-last-41 (.171) with 16 strikeouts.

Ruiz 0-for-2 and walked twice. 5-for-his-last-32 (.156).

Brown 0-for-3 with two strikeouts and an RBI. His line against lefties for the year is down to 140/245/256.

Ruf 1-for-4 and grounded into a double-play. Zimmerman made a nice play on his ball in the fourth to take away what might have been another hit. 3-for-9 with a home run so far for the year. Phils face another lefty today in Gio Gonzalez, so Ruf seems like a good bet to get another start.

Frandsen 2-for-4 with a double and a triple, both off the lefty Lannan. Had a big chance against the righty Clippard in the ninth and struck out for the third out.

Cloyd (2-1, 3.86) faces lefty Gio Gonzalez (20-8, 2.84) tonight. Cloyd was fantastic in his last outing, needing just 88 pitches to hold the Mets to a run over eight innings. Lefties are still hitting an ugly 295/380/523 against him for the year. Gonzalez has allowed more than two earned runs once in his last eight starts (he allowed three in the other). Opponents are hitting just .204 against him for the year.


Cueto day for the young pitchers as the Phils top the Reds

Soft-throwing Tyler Cloyd has more than a few doubters he’s going to have to convince if he’s going to stick around in the Phillies rotation. So far, so good. After a decent start against the Mets in his first outing, Cloyd was fantastic yesterday, outpitching Johnny Cueto and holding the Reds to a run on four hits over seven innings as the Phillies topped the Reds 4-2.

Cloyd gave up a solo home run to Jay Bruce in the bottom of the third, putting the Phillies in an early 1-0 hole. Lerud and Cloyd singled back-to-back with two outs in the top of the fifth, though, giving Rollins an unexpected chance and Rollins hit a three-run homer to right, putting the Phils up 3-1. Mayberry extended the lead to 4-1 with a solo homer of his own in the sixth. Justin De Fratus made his first appearance with the team in a scoreless frame in the bottom of the eighth. Phillippe Aumont allowed a run on two hits in the bottom of the ninth, but still managed to nail down his first career save.

Cloyd struck out nine Reds in the game, throwing mostly in the mid-80s. After two starts he has a 2.77 ERA and 14 strikeouts in 13 innings. Righties have hit .167 against him.

The Phillies are 65-70 on the year after beating the Cincinnati Reds 4-2 yesterday. The Phils are 8-3 in their last 11 games.

Cloyd got the start for the Phillies and went seven innings, allowing a run on four hits and no walks. Two of the hits went for extra-bases, a double and a home run. He struck out nine.

He set the Reds down in order in the bottom of the first.

Cloyd struck Ryan Ludwick out for the first out in the bottom of the second. Jay Bruce was next and Cloyd’s 1-0 pitch to the lefty was in the middle of the plate. Bruce hammered it out to right, putting the Reds up 1-0. Cloyd struck Todd Frazier out for the second out and got Scott Rolen on a fly ball to center for the third.

Two strikeouts in the frame for Cloyd around the long ball for Bruce.

He struck out the pitcher Johnny Cueto and Zack Cozart in a 1-2-3 third.

Ludwick doubled with two outs in the fourth and the Reds still up 1-0. Cloyd struck Bruce out swinging 1-2 to leave Ludwick on second.

The Phillies led 3-1 when Cloyd started the fifth. Frazier led off with a single, but Cloyd struck Rolen out swinging for the first out. Ryan Hanigan went down on a popout handled by Lerud in foul territory for the second out. Cueto struck out swinging to leave Frazier at first.

Up 4-1, Cloyd threw a 1-2-3 sixth.

Ludwick reached on an infield single to start the seventh. Cloyd struck Bruce out swinging for the first and Frazier looking for the second. Rolen hit the ball well to left, but Nix took it on the warning track to end the inning.

Justin De Fratus started the eighth, making his first appearance of the year. He got Hanigan on a ground ball to short for the first out. Righty Denis Phipps hit for the pitcher JJ Hoover and De Fratus walked him, but Cozart was next and De Fratus got him to ground to third and the Phillies turned the double-play to end to turn the Reds away.

De Fratus gets it done against the bottom of the Cincinnati order in his first chance of the year. He was very good in the minors this season, throwing to a 2.10 ERA with an 0.82 ratio in 25 2/3 innings, mostly at Triple-A.

Aumont started the ninth inning looking for the first save of his career. Drew Stubbs led off and grounded to Utley for the first out, but Brandon Phillips followed that with a single to center. Ludwick was next and hit a ball in the hole between third and short. Rollins made a nice play, moving to his right to field the ball, then jumping and throwing to second to nip Phillips for the second out. It brought Bruce to the plate with two down and Ludwick at first before Ludwick took second without a throw. Aumont got ahead of Bruce 1-2, but Bruce hit a 2-2 pitch back up the middle and into center for a single. Ludwick scored and it was 4-2. It brought Frazier to the plate as the tying run. Aumont got ahead of him 0-2 and then threw three straight balls. Frazier chopped a 3-2 pitch on the third base side of the mound and Aumont made a nice play to get to the ball and throwing strong to first to get Frazier and end the game.

Aumont gets the call for the save after 20 miserable pitches for Papelbon on Sunday against the Braves. The run Aumont allowed was the first he has been charged with in four appearances with the Phils.

Two innings for the bullpen in which they allow a run on two hits and a walk. Aumont threw 25 pitches in the game and De Fratus 13.

The Phillies lineup against righty Johnny Cueto went (1) Rollins (2) Pierre (3) Utley (4) Howard (5) Mayberry (6) Brown (7) Frandsen (8) Lerud. Brown returns to the lineup to start in the right, making his first start since August 28. Lerud gets career start number two behind the plate.

Pierre singled with one out in the top of the first, but Utley grounded out behind him for the second out and Howard struck out swinging for the third.

Frandsen singled with two outs in the second, but Lerud grounded to short to set the Phillies down.

Brown hit the ball hard in the inning, but Cozart made a nice play at short for the second out.

Down 1-0, the Phillies went in order in the third.

Mayberry struck out as the Phils went in order in the fourth.

Lerud and Cloyd singled back-to-back with two outs in the fifth. It brought Rollins to the plate and he hit the first pitch from Cueto out to right-center for a three-run homer, putting the Phils up 3-1. Pierre singled, but was left on first when Utley flew to left for the third out.

Back-to-back two-out singles from Lerud and Cloyd give Rollins an unexpected chance to hit in the frame. Home run number 17 on the year for Rollins.

With one out in the sixth, Mayberry hit an 0-1 pitch out to left. 4-1. Brown lined softly to second for the second out before Frandsen singled again. Lerud grounded to first to end the frame.

Cueto set the Phillies down in order in the seventh.

JJ Hoover struck out Mayberry in a 1-2-3 eighth.

Righty Logan Ondrusek set Brown, Frandsen and Lerud in order in the ninth.

Rollins was 1-for-4 with a three-run homer. 6-for-13 with two home runs so far in September. He has 16 home runs in his last 373 plate appearances.

Pierre 2-for-4. He’s 6-for-his-last-30 with six singles.

Utley was 0-for-4 to drop his average for the year to .242. He’s 3-for-his-last-23 (.130).

Howard 0-for-4 and struck out twice. 5-for-his-last-33 (.152).

Mayberry was 1-for-4 with his 14th home run. 306/355/523 in his 121 plate appearances since Pence and Victorino were traded. 10-for-his-last-21 (.476).

Brown 0-for-4 in his return to the lineup. He’s 0-for-his-last-15.

Frandsen 2-for-4. 9-for-his-last-22. His isolated power for the year of .064 is a little better than Pierre’s (.062) but not as good as Polanco’s (.070).

Lerud 1-for-4 with a big single ahead of the Rollins homer. 2-for-8 on the year.

Kendrick (8-9, 4.01) faces righty Mat Latos (11-4, 3.79) tonight. Kendrick has a 2.09 ERA in his 14 appearances since the end of June, seven of which have been starts. 4-0 with a 1.23 ERA over his last four starts. Latos threw to a 4.77 ERA in his first 15 starts of the year. Over his last 17 outings, he’s thrown to a 2.70 ERA and opponents have hit .208 against him.


Little help here?

Cole Hamels has been pretty fantastic over the past two seasons, making 65 appearances (64 starts) in which he threw to a 2.92 ERA with a 1.08 ratio. He’s gotten just 26 wins over those 65 appearances, though, and part of the reason for that is that the Phils just haven’t scored a lot of runs in the games he has started.

Here’s how the runs the Phillies scored have broken down by starting pitcher over the past three seasons:

Starts Runs R/S Games not started R in GNS R per GNS (RS/GS)/(R/GNS)
Hamels 96 393 4.09 390 1912 4.90 84%
Blanton 67 362 5.40 419 1943 4.64 117%
Halladay 65 299 4.60 421 2006 4.76 97%
Kendrick 48 247 5.15 438 2058 4.70 110%
Lee 44 179 4.07 442 2126 4.81 85%
Moyer 44 212 4.82 442 2093 4.74 102%
Oswalt 35 146 4.17 451 2159 4.79 87%
Happ 26 131 5.04 460 2174 4.73 107%
Worley 23 123 5.35 463 2182 4.71 113%
Myers 10 51 5.10 476 2254 4.74 108%
Martinez 9 52 5.78 477 2253 4.72 122%
Park 7 35 5.00 479 2270 4.74 106%
Bastardo 5 29 5.80 481 2276 4.73 123%
Lopez 5 36 7.20 481 2269 4.72 153%
Figueroa 1 3 3.00 485 2302 4.75 63%
Carpenter 1 7 7.00 485 2298 4.74 148%
Total 486 2305 4.74

So, for example, the table says that over the past three years, Hamels has started 96 games in which the Phillies have scored 393 runs. That’s 4.09 runs per game. Over the same three years, the Phillies have played 390 games that Hamels didn’t start. In those games, the Phillies scored 1,912 runs, which is about 4.90 runs per game. Finally, the column on the far right for Hamels suggests that in the games Hamels started the Phillies scored about 84% of the runs per game than they did in the games he did not.

There are nine pitchers who have started more than 20 games for the Phils over the past three years. Of those, Blanton, Worley, Kendrick, Happ and Moyer have seen the team score more runs per game in the games they started than the games they did not.

For Halladay, Oswalt, Lee and Hamels, the Phils have scored fewer runs in the game they started than the games they did not.

Of the more than 20 starts group, Blanton and Hamels are the guys at the extremes. 5.40 runs per game for Blanton (117% of the runs the Phils have scored in the games he hasn’t started since the end of 2008) compared to 4.09 for Hamels (84%).

Official Spring Training action got underway this weekend with the Phils and Yankees squaring off twice.

The Yankees won Saturday’s game 8-5. Kevin Frandsen and Pence both homered for the Phils. Tyson Gilles was 2-for-3 with a double.

Hamels started for the Phils and allowed a run on a bloop RBI-double by Ibanez over two innings. Bush followed and allowed a run on a solo homer over two frames. Willis, Qualls and Stutes all allowed runs for the Phils — that trio combined to give up six runs on seven hits and two walks over three innings. Qualls allowed three runs in his frame.

The Phils made four errors yesterday as the Yanks topped them 7-4.

Halladay allowed a run in two innings. Piniero charged with three runs over two innings, only one of which was earned. Phillippe Aumont allowed three runs on four hits in an inning, but only one run was earned. Martinez made two errors in the game and Wigginton one. Brown dropped a fly ball in left with some discussion of whether he dropped it while he was transferring the ball from his glove after a catch.

Pence homered for the second straight day. Brown was 2-for-4 with a triple. Freddy Galvis started at short and went 2-for-4 with a double.

The Phils play the Yankees again today with Blanton scheduled to pitch. Talk of Martinez’s errors yesterday and today’s lineup here. Kevin Frandsen seems like a good guy to keep an eye on in the early going — the linked article suggests he will start at second today.

Ryan Howard is in a walking boot and there is no timetable for his return.

This article points out that former Phillie Travis d’Arnaud was great at Double-A last year, hitting .311 with 21 home runs. You know who else is great? Roy Halladay.

This says Jose Contreras looked good throwing on Sunday and that Justin De Fratus has been cleared to play catch.

Also, if you’re looking to support the Phillies, use this Promotional Code and get great discounts on jerseys.


Thing three

Remember this? About a year ago I wrote a post that said that despite the fact that in 2010 Hamels had a walk rate that was worse than Halladay, Moyer, Blanton, Oswalt, Kendrick or Lee, his walk rate still wasn’t awful if you compared him to other NL pitchers who made 30 starts in 2010.

In 2011, one of the things Hamels did well was reduce his walk rate. He walked 44 in 216 innings, or 1.83 per nine innings. It was the first time in his career he had walked fewer than two hitters per nine innings. That includes his time in the minors. Hamels’s overall walk rate in the minor leagues was about 3.31 batters per nine innings and he wasn’t under two for any full year in the minors.

Hamels lowered his walk rate against both left and right-handed batters in 2011, but the results were more impressive against lefties. Coming into 2011, Hamels had walked about 6.0% of the right-handed batters he had faced for his career and about 7.9% of the left-handed batters. In 2011, he walked about 5.2% of the righties and 5.1% of the lefties.

Here’s what the chart for 2011 looks like — again, it’s the walk rate per nine innings of NL pitchers who started at least 30 games:

Pitcher

Walks per nine

Rank BB/9

Roy Halladay
Cliff Lee
Cole Hamels
Ricky Nolasco
Kyle Lohse
Madison Bumgarner
Daniel Hudson
Bronson Arroyo
Clayton Kershaw
Chris Carpenter
Hiroki Kuroda
Ian Kennedy
Jaime Garcia
R.A. Dickey
Javier Vazquez
Tim Hudson
Brett Myers
Ted Lilly
Shaun Marcum
Matt Cain
Yovani Gallardo
Chris Capuano
Tim Stauffer
Randy Wolf
Joe Saunders
Matt Garza
Mat Latos
Anibal Sanchez
Mike Pelfrey
Wandy Rodriguez
Derek Lowe
Bud Norris
Tim Lincecum
Jake Westbrook
Ryan Dempster
John Lannan
Chad Billingsley
Jhoulys Chacin
James McDonald
Group total

1.35
1.62
1.83
1.92
2.01
2.02
2.03
2.04
2.08
2.09
2.18
2.23
2.31
2.33
2.34
2.34
2.38
2.38
2.56
2.56
2.56
2.56
2.57
2.80
2.84
2.86
2.87
2.93
3.02
3.25
3.37
3.39
3.57
3.58
3.65
3.70
4.02
4.04
4.11
2.64

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20
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23
24
25
26
27
28
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39
-

Halladay one, Lee two and Hamels three.

That’s a change from 2010, when it went Halladay one, Hamels 14 and Lee in the American League. Had Lee not been in the American League in 2010, he wouldn’t have been on the chart anyway cause he didn’t make 30 starts. Had the 2010 chart shown NL pitchers who made 30 starts and guys name Cliff Lee, regardless of their league or number of starts, Lee would been at the top of the list in terms of fewest walks per nine, right above Halladay. In 2010, Lee made 28 starts in which he threw 212 1/3 innings while walking 18. That’s a silly 0.76 walks per nine.

If you’re having trouble following any of this, is pretty much goes like this: Halladay and Lee really don’t walk much of anyone and probably won’t in 2012, either. And Hamels got a whole lot better at not walking anyone in 2011.

This article about how the Phillies evaluate players and don’t evaluate players is, um, memorable. Seriously, if they’re not relying on advanced metrics that suggest Polanco belongs on the field because of his defense, it’s hard to understand how they would let him play. On the other hand, if math is the enemy it does go a long way towards explaining letting Wilson Valdez and Michael Martinez combine to get 534 plate appearances in 2011. On the other, other hand, if they’re going to keep leading all of baseball in wins every year, they might just wanna keep up the good work.

This suggests that Contreras is not expected to appear in the first week of games, but could get into a game shortly after that.

The article linked above suggests there is increasing pessimism about Justin De Fratus’s right elbow.

Phils play the Yankees three times in the next three days, Saturday, Sunday and Monday.

Find your Philly jerseys for great prices at Amazon with coupons.


The company he kinda keeps

Point for today is that John Mayberry has hit home runs at a high rate with the Phils over the past two years.

Between 2010 and 2011, John Mayberry got 309 plate appearances with the Phillies in which hit to a 276/343/527 line with 27 walks, 77 hits and 17 home runs. In those plate appearances, he walked in 8.74% of his plate appearances, got a hit of any kind in 24.92% and homered in 5.5%.

Looking back at 2011, there were 355 players who got at least 200 plate appearances across both leagues. Of those, how many did at least as well in each of those three categories (ie, walked 8.74% of pa or better, got a hit in 24.92% or better and homered in 5.5% or better)? The answer is three.

Player BB% H% HR%
Matt Kemp 10.74 28.30 5.66
Albert Pujols 9.37 26.57 5.68
Mike Napoli 13.43 27.31 6.94

And how about among the 346 players that got 200 plate appearances in 2010? Four.

Player BB% H% HR%
Albert Pujols 14.71 26.14 6.00
Miguel Cabrera 13.73 27.78 5.86
Joey Votto 14.04 27.31 5.71
Paul Konerko 11.41 27.10 6.18

So it’s a rather exclusive group of offensive players. What makes it so hard to get into? The home runs.

For each of the two seasons, here’s the percentage of players with at least 200 plate appearances that got walks, hits and home runs at the same rates Mayberry has with the Phils over the last two years as a percentage of plate appearances:

2010 2011
% of 200 PA players who walked in 8.74% or more of PA 46.5 39.4
 . . . got hits in 24.92% or more of PA 27.7 30.1
. . . hit home runs in 5.5% or more of PA 3.5 3.9

Nearly half of the players with 200 plate appearances in 2010 walked enough to make the list. Between a quarter and a third in both 2010 and 2011 got enough hits. But less than 4% in each season hit home runs at the rate Mayberry did in 2010 and 2011 combined.

Notably, Mayberry himself doesn’t make the cut in either of the two years, only in the two years combined. In 2010 he only got 13 plate appearances. In 2011, he got enough plate appearances, enough walks and enough hits, but homered in about 5.1% of his plate appearances (15 homers in 296 plate appearances).

In 2011, there were 14 players who got at least 200 plate appearances and hit home runs in 5.5% or more of their plate appearances. Kemp, Pujols and Napoli had all three of the hits, walks and homers. Nelson Cruz, Chris Heisey and Brent Lillibridge had the home runs but not the walks or hits. Adrian Beltre had the home runs and the hits but not the walks. Seven players, Prince Fielder, Curtis Granderson, Mark Teixeira, Jose Bautista, Mark Reynolds, Mike Stanton and Andruw Jones, had the homers and the walks but not the hits.

In 2010, four players had all three: Pujols, Cabrera, Votto and Konerko. There were eight players with the homers but not each of the other two categories. Stanton and Edwin Encarnacion missed on both walks and hits. Josh Hamilton got the hits but not the walks. And five players, Bautista, Adam Dunn, Russell Branyan, Jim Thome and Andruw Jones, got the homers and the walks but not enough hits.

Jose Contreras threw a bullpen session yesterday, did “fine” and “threw very, very well.” The same article says that Chad Qualls has arrived in camp and that Justin De Fratus, who has had some recent tightness in his right elbow, started to long toss.

Brad Lidge sounds less than thrilled with what happened between him and the Phillies in the off-season in this piece.

Gary Sheffield worked with Domonic Brown on Brown’s hitting over the winter.

Shane Victorino, who will be a free agent after the season, says he loves Philadelphia and there have been no discussions about a new contract with the Phils yet.


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