Tag: John Mayberry

Whoa boy

The last post suggested that the outfield defense for the Phillies has gotten really bad over the last three years, at least as measured by FanGraph’s UZR/150. Offensively, the Phillies have been really good in the outfield compared to the rest of baseball in recent years, at least until 2012, when things took a hard turn in the wrong direction. Here’s the wOBA for Phillie outfielders over the last eight years as calculated by FanGraphs as well as the rank of that mark among teams across both leagues:

Year wOBA MLB Rank
2005 .366 1
2006 .353 T-4
2007 .371 1
2008 .343 12
2009 .359 3
2010 .352 5
2011 .342 5
2012 .320 T-18

So, coming into 2012, in six of the last seven seasons, Phillie outfielders had combined to be in the top five among all MLB teams in wOBA. This year they finished in a three-way tie for 18th with the Cubs and Padres.

The Phillies led the league in wOBA for outfielders in 2005 and again in 2007. Abreu led the way in ’05, posting a wOBA of .379 over 719 plate appearances. Burrell was also very good offensively at .384 over his 669 plate appearances. Jason Michaels (.362 over 343) and Kenny Lofton (.359 over 406) were each surpisingly effective offensively that year. Burrell led the way in ’07, putting up a FanGraphs calculated wOBA of .392 in 684 plate appearances. Rowand was fantastic that year as well — .384 over 598 plate appearances. Werth got just 302 plate appearances with the Phillies, but put up an impressive .382 wOBA mark with the team.

Since 2007, the Phillies haven’t led all of baseball in the category. They had been in the top five of MLB teams in three of the past four years coming in to 2012.

In 2012, Hunter Pence was the only outfielder for the Phillies to get at least 50 plate appearances and put up a wOBA better than .320. Here’s how the outfielders looked from top to bottom for 2012 wOBA:

Player PA wOBA
Pence 440 .340
Pierre 439 .320
Nix 127 .317
Victorino 431 .317
Brown 212 .309
Schierholtz 73 .306
Mayberry 479 .303

Mayberry has to take a lot of the blame for dragging down the wOBA for the group in 2012. His wOBA of .303 was 137th of 171 players across both leagues with at least 450 plate appearances and way off of his 2011 pace of .368. In 183 more plate appearances than he had in ’11, Mayberry homered one less time.

Domonic Brown didn’t fare much better at .309. He did get a lot less chances to do much damage, though, with just 212 plate appearances. He wound up with numbers a little bit worse than his 2011 stats, in just about the same number of at-bats (210 plate appearances in 2011 and 212 in 2012). He’s hitting .196 against lefties for his career, which is going to be a problem if the Phillies want to play him every day.

Like Mayberry, Victorino got a ton of plate appearances for the Phillies and was pretty bad with the bat, putting up a wOBA of .317, which was a huge drop from his .368 mark in 2011 and well below career mark of .338. Between 2008 and 2011, Vicotorino was above .350 in three different seasons. Mayberry and Victorino posted the same .368 wOBA in 2011 and both were awful offensively for the Phillies in 2012.

Pierre’s .320 was his second-best mark since the end of his 2004 season with the Marlins. He ended the year just above his career mark of .317. In his 13-year career, he’s posted an OPS+ better than 100 just twice. 2012 with the Phillies wasn’t one of those times as he finished at 95. He didn’t get a lot of chances against lefties, just 69 plate appearances for the year, but the ones he got didn’t go very well as he went 12-for-63 (.190) with 12 singles and one walk.

Pence’s .340 was off his career mark of .352 and he ended the year overall at .323 after hitting .219 for the Giants in 248 plate appearances. .323 was the worst wOBA of his career.

So. The Phillies were bad. They had five outfielders get at least 200 plate appearances in 2012 and three of them (Victorino, Pence, Pierre) are gone. Of the other two, one, Mayberry, was terrible last year offensively and the other, Brown, has been bad offensively for two years straight. Ruf is certainly a big unknown with upside in terms of what he can do offensively, but the other two guys, lefties Nix and Schierholtz, aren’t. Schierholtz’s career wOBA of .315 isn’t likely to lead the Phillies much of anywhere and I’m not sure you want to put that many eggs in Nix’s career .307 basket either.

This suggests Torii Hunter has reached a two-year, $26 million agreement with the Tigers.

Ken Rosenthal tweets the Phillies met with BJ Upton earlier this week. Upton visited Atlanta yesterday and can’t wait to see how this all pans out.


And not just that, some of those guys haven’t even ever been on Hawaii Five-0

More today on eight of the potential center fielders whose names will be thrown about this off-season as the Phillies try to finalize their outfield. The table below shows their Baseball-Reference calculated oWAR per 600 plate appearances over the past three years and over their career as well as their FanGraphs calculated UZR/150 at center for their career and for any of the last three seasons in which they played at least 500 innings in center:

2010-2012 Career Career 2012 2011 2010
oWAR per 600 PA oWAR per 600 PA UZR/150 CF UZR/150 CF UZR/150 CF UZR/150 CF
Hamilton 5.19 4.51 -9.6 -26.3 <500 <500
Hunter 3.70 2.84 -0.5 <500 <500 -6.4
Upton 3.09 2.81 3.9 -3.2 1.6 1.9
Pagan 2.99 2.65 -0.8 -0.1 -16.1 13.3
Victorino 2.15 2.57 3.1 -2.4 5.7 2.8
Bourn 2.51 2.01 10.7 22.5 -6.2 20.6
Cabrera 3.22 1.97 -7.3 <500 -9.7 -25.2
Mayberry 1.75 1.56 -15.9 <500 <500 <500

Hamilton, Hunter, Cabrera and Mayberry really shouldn’t be getting too many defensive innings in center field.

Hunter has only played 8 2/3 innings in center field since the end of 2010. From 2006 to 2010, he played at least 800 innings in center field for five straight seasons, posting a negative UZR/150 at the position in each of the five seasons.

Hamilton sure can hit, but he’s posted a negative dWAR in four of the last five seasons. His career UZR/150 in left of 8.5 is a whole lot better than his career UZR/150 of -9.6 in center. Last year he put up a -26.3 in 687 innings in center for the Rangers.

Mayberry’s UZR/150 in center last year was -20.7.

Cabrera didn’t play an inning in center field in 2012, making 106 appearances in left for the Giants and 11 in right. He was bad defensively for the Royals in 1,265 2/3 innings in center in 2011 and terrible for the Braves in 385 innings in 2010.

Cabrera’s offensive production over the last three years is a lot better than it has been for his career. 3.22 oWAR per 600 plate appearances for the last three years, 1.97 for his career and 0.98 for his career before the start of the 2010 season. For 2005 to 2009, Cabrera got 2,148 plate appearances in which he combined for a total oWAR of 3.5 ((3.5/2148)*600=0.98).

Hamilton and Hunter could obviously help the Phillies at a corner outfield position, which is a place where the Phillies could use some help. I think that’s really, really unlikely given the combination of how much they are going to cost and the presence of Brown, Ruf, Schierholtz, Mayberry and Nix.

Bourn is the best defensive center fielder of this group by a wide margin. Upton and Victorino are way behind him. Pagan may have the strangest UZR/150 numbers of the group — he was great for the Mets in center in 2010, terrible for the Mets in center in 2011 and then put up a -0.1 for the Giants in 2012.

Compared to the previous post, Upton looks like a much better offensive player than Michael Bourn. The previous post looked at the numbers for four years, 2009 through 2012, while the first oWAR column in the table above reports on three years, 2010 through 2012. In 2009, Bourn hit 285/354/384 in his best offensive season in the last four years while Upton had his worst offensive season of the last four years, posting a 241/313/373 line.

Bourn’s career .201 oWAR per 600 plate appearances is a little frightening. He was just miserable offensively from 2006 to 2008, hitting 237/299/313 over 658 plate appearances for the Phils and Astros. Since the end of 2008, his oWAR per 600 plate appearances has been 2.66 over 2,708 plate appearances.

Here are the Baseball-Reference and FanGraphs calculations of total WAR for the last three years for each of the eight players:

bWAR ’12 bWAR ’11 bWAR ’10 bWAR ’10-’12 fWAR ’12 fWAR ’11 fWAR ’10 fWAR ’10-12
Hamilton 3.4 3.5 8.4 15.3 4.4 4.1 8.4 16.9
Hunter 5.5 3.4 2.7 11.6 5.3 2.6 3.7 11.6
Upton 2.6 2.8 1.0 6.4 3.3 4.1 4.1 11.5
Pagan 4.0 1.0 5.1 10.1 4.8 0.9 5.4 11.1
Victorino 2.4 5.2 2.8 10.4 3.3 5.9 3.8 13.0
Bourn 6.0 3.0 5.3 14.3 6.4 4.1 4.7 15.2
Cabrera 4.7 4.1 -0.5 8.3 4.6 4.2 -1.1 7.7
Mayberry 0.5 1.6 0.2 2.3 0.4 2.5 0.2 3.1

So here’s how the list of cumulative WAR over the past three seasons for those eight players goes using Baseball-Reference’s calculation:

  1. Hamilton, 15.3
  2. Bourn, 14.3
  3. Hunter, 11.6
  4. Victorino, 10.4
  5. Pagan, 10.1
  6. Cabrera, 8.3
  7. Upton, 6.4
  8. Mayberry, 2.3

And here’s the list using the FanGraphs calculation of WAR:

  1. Hamilton, 16.9
  2. Bourn, 15.2
  3. Victorino, 13.2
  4. Hunter, 11.6
  5. Upton, 11.5
  6. Pagan, 11.1
  7. Cabrera, 7.7
  8. Mayberry, 3.1

Those lists have some things in common:

  • Using both the Baseball-Reference and FanGraphs calculation, Hamilton is first, Bourn is second and Mayberry is eighth of the eight players in combined WAR for 2010-2012. Mayberry obviously played a lot less than the other seven guys, giving him less chances to accumulate WAR, but I think it’s also relevant that top table shows him at the bottom on oWAR per 600 plate appearances for the last three years and for his career and with the worst UZR/150 at center for the group
  • Both have Hunter and Victorino third and fourth, with Baseball-Reference showing Hunter ahead of Victorino and vice-versa for FanGraphs
  • Both lists think Victorino had a monster 2011 — his ’11 season is third-best on the FanGraphs list and fourth-best on the Baseball-Reference list
  • Both have Pagan, Cabrera and Upton in slots 5-7 with the players ordered differently. Pagan, Cabrera, Upton for Baseball-Reference and Upton, Pagan, Cabrera for FanGraphs
  • Both agree that the best of the seasons in the last three years was Hamilton’s 2010 and both agree the worst was Cabrera’s 2010

The bottom line for me is that four of those eight guys, Hamilton, Hunter, Cabrera and Mayberry, need to be disqualified from any search for a center field because they aren’t or shouldn’t be center fielders. That leaves four — Bourn, Upton, Pagan and Victorino. Of those four, WAR calculated by Baseball-Reference and FanGraphs suggests that, over the last three years, Bourn has been the best overall player and Victorino has been second-best. The sites disagree about Upton and Pagan — FanGraphs has Upton slightly ahead of Pagan in WAR for the three-year period while Baseball-Reference has Pagan with a big advantage over Upton over the last three seasons.

Biggest thing that came out of the post for me is that Shane Victorino might have been a little better than we thought. Sure, it was a little tough to appreciate his greatness while he was hitting 229/296/333 against righties last year, but maybe it was there.


Never tell me the odds!

Oh, but I will, Han.

Cliff Lee and Jimmy Rollins led the way last night as the Phils topped the Marlins 3-1 to win their seventh straight.

The game was scoreless in the top of the sixth when Rollins and Lee made errors on back-to-back plays, leading to an unearned run for the Marlins on a two-out single by Carlos Lee. Rollins didn’t wait long to atone for his error, leading off the bottom of the sixth with a single to right that broke up Johnson’s no-hitter. He was still at second with two outs, though, before Mayberry’s single to center brought him home and tied the game at 1-1. Pete Orr came up big in the bottom of the seventh, delivering a two-out pinch-hit single with the bases empty to give Rollins a chance with a man on. Rollins came through again, lining a two-run homer to right to put the Phils up 3-1. Aumont again shut the Marlins down in the eighth and Papelbon again shut them down in the ninth.

The bullpen was charged with two unearned runs in the second game of the set with the Marlins, but has not been charged with an earned run in their last six games. Over those six games the pen has thrown to a 0.00 ERA and an 0.86 ratio over 16 1/3 innings.

Going back to the start of August, the Phillies are 9-0 in their games in which they have scored three runs (including two of the three games against the Marlins).

That’s a whole lot of things. Really, really unlikely is one of them. They were 4-9 on the year in games in which they scored three runs before the start of August.

For the year, NL teams have a winning percentage of .415 in games in which they score three runs. Someone please check my math, but if a team had a 41.5% chance to win any game in which they score three runs, I think that would mean they have a 0.04% chance to go 9-0 in a given set of nine games in which they score three runs, yes?

The Phillies are 72-71 on the year after beating the Miami Marlins 3-1. The Phils sweep the three-game series and have won seven in a row for the first time this season. They are in third place in the NL East, 17 games behind the first-place Nats. They are three games out for the Wild Card and over .500 for the first time since June 3.

Baseball Prospectus Playoff Odds Report says 2.7% today, up from 1.0% yesterday. Only thing I know for sure is that if the odds triple every day, that’s good for the Phillies.

Lee got the start for the Phillies and went seven innings, allowing one run, which was unearned, on four hits and a walk. All four of the hits were singles and he struck out six.

Lee hasn’t allowed more than two earned runs in any of his last five starts. He’s 3-0 with a 1.32 ERA and a 1.09 ratio over those five outings and the Phillies have gone 4-1. He’s allowed three walks in 56 2/3 innings in his eight starts since the beginning of August.

He set the Marlins down in order in the top of the first, getting Gorkys Hernandez on a fly ball to center and Donovan Solano and Jose Reyes on ground balls to short.

Giancarlo Stanton and Carlos Lee singled back-to-back to start the second, putting runners on first and second for Justin Ruggiano. Lee struck Ruggiano out looking 2-2 and Ruggiano was ejected for arguing with the home plate ump. John Buck was the next hitter for the Marlins and he grounded to second. Utley made a diving play to field the ball, but had trouble getting the ball out of his glove. He finally did and Lee was forced at second for the second out. It left Miami with two down and runners on first and third for Donnie Murphy. Lee struck Murphy out swinging at a 3-2 pitch that Murphy thought he fouled off, ending the inning with both runners stranded.

Lot of drama there for a pair of strikeouts.

The pitcher Josh Johnson started the third with a single to left and moved up to second when Hernandez grounded softly to third for the first out. Solano grounded to Rollins for the second out and Reyes popped out to Howard to leave Johnson at second.

Lee threw a 1-2-3 fourth.

He struck out the side in the fifth, getting Buck, Murphy and Johnson.

With one out in the sixth, Solano hit a ball back up the middle. Rollins tried to handle it moving to his left, but didn’t field it cleanly for an error that put Solano on first. Reyes was next and he chopped a 1-0 pitch to the third base side of the mound. Lee fielded the ball moving towards third base and threw to second, but his throw was bad on the shortstop side of the bag and pulled Utley off the base. No out for the Phillies on the second error in two at-bats and the Marlins had runners on first and second with one out. Lee got Stanton on a fly ball to left for the second out with the runners holding. It brought Lee to the plate and he singled to right on the first pitch he saw. Brown might have had a chance to get Solano with a perfect throw, but he didn’t come up to one. He again took a bunch of tiny steps on the way to the ball and this time his throw wasn’t that good. It was strong and up the third base line. Solano scored easily to put the Marlins up 1-0 with two down and men on first and third. Lee got Austin Kearns to ground to Martinez to end the inning.

The Phillies make two errors in the frame and it winds up costing them just one run. Brown’s throw could have been a lot better and it sure looks like he needs to do a bunch of work on his footing when charging the ball before he throws. Would have been taken a really good throw to get Solano, though.

At the time, two errors in two batters looked like too many to make given that the Phillies didn’t have a hit in the game. Rollins would redeem himself before it was over.

It was 1-1 when Lee walked Buck to start the seventh. Murphy flew to right for the first out. Johnson hit for himself and tried to bunt Buck to second, but popped up to Martinez in foul territory for the second out. Hernandez flew to right for the third out.

Aumont pitched the eighth with the Phillies up 3-1. He walked Reyes with one out, but struck Stanton out swinging 0-2 for the second. Lee grounded to short to end the frame.

Stanton was 2-for-12 in the series with a home run and seven strikeouts.

Pitching for the second straight day, Aumont dropped his ERA for the year to 1.08 in his ninth appearance. He’s pitched in four games since Sunday, pitching in both games of the double-header and in games two and three of the set with the Fish.

Papelbon started the ninth with a two-run lead and hit the first batter he faced, Austin Kearns, with a 1-1 pitch. He struck Buck out swinging 1-2 for the first out, though, and got Dobbs looking 1-2 for the second. Lefty Bryan Petersen hit for the pitcher Brandon Webb and walked on four pitches, putting the tying run on base with two down and men on first and second for the righty Hernandez. Papelbon struck him out swinging 1-2 to end the game.

Papelbon was also pitching for the second straight day. He’s throw five scoreless innings over his last five appearances, striking out eight. Like Aumont, he pitched in both games of Sunday’s double-header and then in games two and three of the series with the Marlins.

Two scoreless innings for the pen in which they allow two walks and strike out four.

Aumont and Papelbon have both pitched two days in a row. And a lot recently. Papelbon threw 19 pitches in the game and Aumont 14.

The Phillies lineup against righty Josh Johnson went (1) Rollins (2) Pierre (3) Utley (4) Howard (5) Mayberry (6) Brown (7) Kratz (8) Martinez. Pierre in left against the righty. Kratz catches with Ruiz on the bench. Martinez at third with Polanco on the DL and Frandsen sidelined with a stress fracture in his leg.

Utley was hit by a pitch with two outs in the bottom of the first. Howard went down on a softly hit ball to the pitcher to end the inning.

Mayberry and Brown walked back-to-back to start the second, putting men on first and second for Kratz. Kratz struck out swinging 2-2 for the first out. Martinez was next and he grounded to first for the second, moving the runners up to second and third for Lee. Lee struck out swinging 2-2 to leave them there.

Johnson had thrown 40 pitches through the first two innings.

The Phillies went in order in the third, fourth and fifth.

They were still looking for their first hit off of Johnson when they started the sixth down 1-0. Rollins led off an chopped a 1-0 pitch past a diving Lee and into right field for a single. Pierre bunted him to second with the first out. Utley followed and walked on four pitches, putting two men on for Howard. Howard struck out swinging 2-2 for the second out. It brought Mayberry to the plate and he hit a 1-0 pitch into center for a single. Rollins scored to tie the game at 1-1. Hernandez threw to third trying to get Utley, but Utley slid in just safe, leaving the Phils with runners on the corners and two down in a tie game. Brown grounded to Lee with Lee throwing to second to force Mayberry and end the inning.

Second time in two days the Fish looked pretty comfortable pitching around Utley to get to Howard. Big strikeout for Howard for the second out, but Mayberry picks him up with a huge two-out single.

Rollins gets the inning started with a leadoff single to break up the no-hitter after making a big error in the top of the frame.

Kratz and Martinez went down to start the seventh. With Johnson still on the mound, Orr hit for Lee and singled to right. Orr stole second before Rollins lined a 2-0 pitch out to right for his second home run in two days, putting the Phils up 3-1. Pierre flew to left for the third out.

Huge two-out single for Orr gives Rollins a chance and Rollins comes through again.

Righty Ryan Webb pitched the eighth for Miami. Mayberry walked with two outs, but Brown flew to center to leave him at first.

Second walk in the game for Mayberry, who is suddenly a walking machine. He has walked 11 times in his last 54 plate appearances. Prior to those 54 plate appearances he had walked 18 times in 355 plate appearances for the year.

Rollins was 2-for-4 in the game with a two-run homer, which was the only extra-base hit for the Phillies. 5-for-11 with a walk and two home runs in the series. 249/307/423 on the year. 326/360/630 with four home runs in 50 plate appearances so far in September. He hit a big home run in game two of the set, broke up the no-hitter in the sixth inning last night and scored the first Phillies’s run, then hit the two-run homer that accounted for the other two runs the Phils scored.

Pierre 0-for-3. 3-for-7 with a double in the series. 9-for-22 (.409) so far in September. 306/347/368 for the year.

Utley was 0-for-2 with a walk. 4-for-9 with three walks and a double in the series. 254/362/449 for the season. 264/383/409 over his last 133 plate appearances.

Howard 0-for-4 and struck out twice. 1-for-12 in the series. 171/261/220 in 46 plate appearances so far in September. 227/308/415 for the year.

Mayberry 1-for-2 with two walks and an RBI in the game. 3-for-11 with a double and two walks in the series. 255/311/426 for the season. 299/378/496 in 156 plate appearances since Victorino and Pence were traded.

Brown 0-for-3 with a walk. 3-for-10 with two walks and a home run in the series. 292/393/458 over his last 28 plate appearances. 248/329/360 for the year.

Kratz was 0-for-3 and struck out twice. 0-for-6 in the series. 0-for-his-last-13. 211/250/395 over his last 84 plate appearances after hitting 333/400/800 in his 50 PA previous to that. 256/306/545 for the season.

Martinez was 0-for-3 in the game and 2-for-9 with two doubles in the series. 156/198/240. He’s a weird guy to start at third base every day if you’re trying to make the playoffs.

Tyler Cloyd (1-1, 4.24) faces righty Lucas Harrell (10-9, 3.83) tonight in Houston. Cloyd will be making his fourth start of the year and it will come on short rest after Cloyd threw 76 pitches in the second game of the double-header against the Rockies on Sunday. Lefties have hit 409/480/727 against Cloyd over his first three starts. Harrell faced the Phillies on May 14, allowing three runs (two earned) over 5 2/3 innings. He has a 2.06 ERA in his 11 starts at home and a 5.06 ERA in his 17 starts on the road.


Rockie solid

The Phillies continued to roll this weekend, sweeping the Rockies in a three-game set to get within two games of .500.

They won Friday’s opener 3-2 on a walkoff single by Schierholtz in the bottom of the ninth. Lee pitched into the seventh and a pinch-hit double by Nix in the bottom of that inning tied the game at 2-2. Schierholtz singled Rollins home with one out in the bottom of the ninth to get the Phillies the win.

Saturday’s game was rained out and played as part of a double-header yesterday.

The Phillies won the day game of the double-header 3-2. Hamels allowed a pair of runs on four hits in the top of the second to put the Phils in an early 2-0 hole. A two-run double by Howard in the bottom of the fourth tied the game at 2-2. Mayberry singled to left with two outs in the bottom of the ninth, plating Schierholtz to give the Phils a 3-2 win.

The Phillies flipped their recent script in the night game of yesterday’s double-header as they won without good starting pitching, scoring a ton of runs in the game with the help of five errors from the Rockies. An RBI-single by Martinez in the second gave the Phillies an early 1-0 lead, but Cloyd struggled in his third career start. He lasted just four innings, allowing four runs in a top of the fourth that featured a three-run homer by Chris Nelson. The Phils roared back with the help of some miserable defense by the Rockies, though. Howard drove in two unearned runs with a long single in the fifth, cutting the lead to 4-3. They pulled ahead with two more in the sixth, getting a home run from Wigginton to start the inning and another unearned run that came home on an infield single by Frandsen. 5-4. More bad defensive play from Colorado in the seventh kept the inning alive long enough for Ruiz and Schierholtz to deliver RBI-singles as the Phils plated two more unearned runs.

The bullpen was outstanding for the Phillies in the series, throwing 9 2/3 scoreless innings as the Phils came out on top in a pair of one-run games. In the night game of yesterday’s double-header, they threw five scoreless innings in which they allowed one hit and two walks after Cloyd departed after just four innings.

The Phillies are 69-71 on the year after beating the Colorado Rockies 7-4 in the second game of a double-header last night. The Phils sweep the series and are 8-2 over their last ten games. They are in third place in the NL East, 17 games behind the first-place Nationals. 24-14 since trading away Victorino and Pence. The Nationals are the only team in the NL with a better record since the end of the day on July 29 (the Nats are 25-14).

Cloyd got the start for the Phillies and went four innings, allowing four runs on eight hits and a walk. Two of the hits went for extra-bases, a double and a three-run homer. He struck out two.

After three starts, Cloyd has thrown to a 4.24 ERA with a 1.29 ratio. He’s walked just three batters in 17 innings, but opponents are hitting .279 against him. He has struck out 16.

Dexter Fowler was the first hitter of the game and he doubled to right. Cloyd got the next three to leave him at second, though, getting Charlie Blackmon on a fly ball to center for the first out, Jordan Pacheco on a fly ball to left for the second and Tyler Colvin on a popup to Utley for the third.

Chris Nelson singled off of Cloyd with one out in the second. DJ LeMahieu flew to right for the second out before Jonathan Herrera moved Nelson to second with a single to left. Cloyd struck the pitcher Drew Pomeranz out looking to leave the runners stranded.

The Phils led 1-0 when Cloyd started the third. Fowler led off with another hit, a single this time. Blackmon was next and grounded back to Cloyd. Cloyd went to Rollins to start a double-play that cleared the bases. Pacheco and Colvin followed that with back-to-back singles, putting runners on first and third for Ramon Hernandez. Hernandez singled to center, scoring Pacheco to tie the game at 1-1 with men on first and second for Nelson. Nelson hit the first pitch from Cloyd out to left, putting Colorado ahead 4-1. LeMahieu lined to Utley for the third out.

Third home run Cloyd had allowed in 15 2/3 innings. That one didn’t come at a good time. He allows four hits, three singles and a home run, in a row with two outs.

Cloyd walked Fowler with two outs in the fourth. Blackmon flew to left to leave Fowler at first.

De Fratus took over for Cloyd in the fifth and set the Rockies down in order.

Solid inning for De Fratus. He has now made three appearances for the Phillies on the year in which he has allowed no hits and two walks over 2 1/3 scoreless innings.

It was 4-3 when BJ Rosenberg struck Nelson and Herrera in a 1-2-3 sixth.

Rosenberg drops his ERA on the year to 11.37 with his 16th appearance. Lefties are on-basing .579 against him for the year, which should go near the top of his list of stuff to work on.

Lindblom started the seventh with the Phillies up 5-4. Righty Matt McBride hit for the pitcher Edgmer Escalona and flew to center for the first out. Lindblom walked Fowler and Fowler took second on a wild pitch before Lindblom walked Blackmon on four pitches. Lindblom got Pacheco to fly to center for the second out and Diekman came on to face the lefty Colvin. Righty Josh Rutledge hit for Colvin and grounded to short to end the frame.

Lindblom faces four batters and walks two of them before Diekman comes and has to get the righty Rutledge to get the Phils out of the jam.

Opponents are hitting just .167 against Lindblom in his 15 1/3 innings since he joined the Phils, but he has walked 13.

Huge out for Diekman to get the righty after the Rockies hit for Colvin. Like Lindblom, he’s walked way too many hitters in his time with the Phillies in 2012. He’s allowed 16 walks in 22 innings.

Up 7-4, Aumont threw a 1-2-3 eighth. He struck Nelson out swinging for the second out.

Aumont pitched in both games of the double-header, going 1 1/3 scoreless innings in the games combined to drop his ERA to 1.42 after seven appearances. He’s the guy whose walks we should really be worried about, but he hasn’t walked a batter in 4 1/3 innings over his last five appearances.

Papelbon was on for the ninth. He struck out the first two batters he faced before Fowler doubled to left. Lefty Jason Giambi hit for the lefty Blackmon and Papelbon got him on a fly ball to left to end the game.

Papelbon also pitched in both games of the double-header, getting the win in the afternoon and the save in the night game. Two scoreless innings on the day combined drops his ERA to 2.52 for the season. He’s allowed two earned runs in 21 2/3 innings over his last 22 outings.

Overall the pen went five scoreless innings in the game, allowing one hit (Fowler’s double off of Papelbon) and two walks while striking out six.

Aumont and Papelbon both pitched in two games yesterday. Papelbon threw 12 pitches in game two and Aumont threw nine. De Fratus threw 17 pitches in the game. Lindblom and Rosenberg each threw 16. Diekman threw eight.

The Phillies lineup against lefty Drew Pomeranz went (1) Rollins (2) Mayberry (3) Utley (4) Howard (5) Wigginton (6) Brown (7) Martinez (8) Lerud. Martinez at third with Frandsen sidelined with a stress fracture in his leg. Mayberry moves up to second in the order. Lerud catches the second game of the double-header with a lefty on the mound for Colorado.

Utley singled with two outs in the bottom of the first, but Howard struck out to leave him at first.

Wigginton doubled to left to start the bottom of the second. Brown struck out for the first out before Martinez singled to center, scoring Wigginton to put the Phils up 1-0. Lerud grounded into a double-play to set the Phillies down.

The Phils were down 4-1 when they hit in the third. Mayberry walked with two outs and moved up to second on a single by Utley. Howard flew to the left fielder Blackmon in foul territory to leave them both stranded.

With two outs in the fourth, Martinez reached on an error by Nelson at third. Lerud grounded to first behind him.

Righty Josh Roenicke started the fifth for Colorado. Pierre hit for De Fratus and grounded to short for the first out. Rollins fouled out to Nelson for the second. Mayberry was next and hit a ball to third that Nelson didn’t handle for an error. He moved up to second when Utley followed and blooped a single to left. Mayberry probably would have been picked off at second if Roenicke’s pickoff throw was handled. It wasn’t. It went into center and the runners moved up to second and third before Howard hit a ball off the wall in right. Both runners scored, cutting the lead to 4-3, but Howard was thrown out trying to stretch his single into a double.

Two-out error by Nelson opens the door to a pair of runs for the Phils on back-to-back singles. Mayberry was picked off at second, the Rockies just didn’t the ball and it kept the inning alive.

Wigginton homered off of Roenicke to start the sixth. 4-4. Brown flew to center for the first out before Martinez singled to center. Ruiz hit for Lerud and moved Martinez up to third with a single to left. Nix hit for Rosenberg and the lefty Matt Reynolds came in to pitch for him. Frandsen hit for Nix and reached on a dribbler towards third that went as an infield single. Martinez scored (5-4) and Ruiz moved up to second. Rollins loaded the bases with a single to left. Righty Edgmer Escalona came in to pitch for Mayberry. Lee ran for Frandsen at second and Mayberry struck out swinging for the second out. Utley grounded to third to leave the bases loaded.

Phils can’t get more after loading the bases with one out. Mayberry strikes out swinging 2-2 for the second out.

Righty Will Harris got Howard and Wigginton to start the seventh before Brown doubled to right. Martinez hit a ground ball to short that Herrera didn’t handle for an error that left men on first and third for Ruiz. Ruiz singled to right, scoring Brown (6-4) and moving Martinez to third. Schierholtz hit for Diekman and singled to right, scoring Martinez (7-4) and moving Ruiz to second. Rollins hit a ball to first that Pacheco didn’t handle for another error, loading the bases for Mayberry. Mayberry grounded to the pitcher to end the inning.

Two more errors from Colorado with two outs lead to two more unearned runs.

Righty Rafael Betancourt set the Phillies down in order in the eighth. Orr hit for Aumont and struck out swinging for the third out.

Rollins was 1-for-5 in the game and 3-for-14 with a walk in the series. He’s hitting 245/304/411 for the year. 5-for-his-last-26.

Mayberry was 0-for-4 with a walk. 2-for-9 in the series with five walks. He had the game-winning hit in game two of the set. 255/308/427 for the year. 302/378/508 in 143 plate appearances since Victorino and Pence were traded. He’s walked 15 times in those 143 plate appearances. Prior to the trades of Victorino and Pence he had walked 12 times in 253 plate appearances with a .269 on-base percentage.

Utley 3-for-5 in the game and 4-for-12 in the series with three walks and four singles. 247/350/445 on the year. He came into yesterday’s game 6-for-his-last-38 (.158).

Howard 1-for-5 with two RBI. 2-for-11 with a walk and a double in the series. 236/320/436 on the year.

Wigginton 2-for-4 with a double and a home run. 2-for-8 with a double, a home run and four strikeouts in the series. 235/308/381 on the year. 189/264/326 in 148 plate appearances since June 8.

Brown 1-for-4 with a double and a strikeout. 3-for-11 with a walk and a double in the series. 243/320/339 for the year. 179/281/250 in 32 plate appearances against lefties.

Martinez 2-for-4 with an RBI. He started all three games of the series and went 4-for-9 with an RBI. 149/196/218 for the season in 93 plate appearances. 182/240/264 in 327 puzzling career plate appearances, all with the Phillies.

Lerud 0-for-2 in the game and 2-for-10 on the season.

Kendrick (8-10, 3.96) faces lefty Wade LeBlanc (2-3, 2.72) tonight as the Phils play the Marlins. Kendrick has a 2.18 ERA in his 15 appearances since the start of July. His last seven appearances have been starts and he has gone 4-2 with a 2.95 ERA and a 1.03 ratio. LeBlanc spent much of the year at Triple-A and joined the Marlins early July. He pitched out of the pen at first, throwing to a 1.15 ERA in 11 appearances before joining the rotation. He’s made six starts on the year, throwing to a 3.51 ERA with a 1.35 ratio. In his 14 relief appearances for the year he’s thrown to a 1.37 ERA with an 0.97 ratio.


A series of fortunate events

Possible exception: Bruce homering every day. Things went well other than that.

Roy Halladay mowed the Reds down yesterday afternoon as the Phils topped the Reds 6-2 to take the series two games to one.

The Phillies pounded Cincinnati starter Mike Leake for the second time since mid-August in the game, scoring six runs and knocking him out of the contest in the top of the third. In his last two starts against the Phils, Leake has been charged with 13 runs in 6 2/3 innings.

Kratz hit a three-run homer as part of a four run top of the second to give the Phillies an early lead. Utley hit a two-run homer off of Leake in the top of the third to extend the lead to 6-0. Halladay allowed a run on two hits and a walk in the fourth. Bruce delivered his daily homer in the ninth, which came against Papelbon this time.

Bruce was 7-for-11 with a walk, two doubles and three home runs in the three-game set and drove in all six runs the Reds scored. He has homered four straight games. Mercifully, that’s someone else’s problem now (best of luck, Houston).

The Phillies are now 21-14 since trading away Victorino and Pence. They have lost just one of the last eight series they have played, going 16-10 in those games. Of the eight series, they’ve won five, lost one (the Mets) and split two four-game sets. They’ve been playing good teams, too, going 11-5 in that stretch against the Reds, Braves, Nats and Cardinals.

The Phillies are 66-71 on the year after beating the Cincinnati Reds 6-2 yesterday afternoon. The Phils take the series two games to one.

Halladay got the start for the Phillies and went 7 1/3 innings, allowing a run on eight hits and a walk. Three of the hits went for extra-bases, all doubles. He struck out five.

Joey Votto singled with two outs in the bottom of the first. Halladay got Ryan Ludwick to pop to Utley to end the inning.

The Phillies led 4-0 when Halladay set the Reds down in order in the second.

It was 6-0 when Halladay threw a 1-2-3 third.

Chris Heisey singled to left to start the fourth and Halladay walked Votto behind him. Ludwick was next and grounded into a double-play that left Heisey at third with two down for Jay Bruce. Halladay really wanted a close 2-2 pitch that was called a ball and probably wanted it more after Bruce doubled to right 3-2, scoring Heisey to make it 6-1. It brought Todd Frazier to the plate and Frazier flew to Mayberry to end the inning.

Bruce is a monster. 4-for-7 in the series with a walk and two homers coming into the game and 435/480/957 in 25 plate appearances against the Phillies for the year.

Dioner Navarro started the bottom of the fifth and reached on a ground-rule double to right-center. Didi Gregorius, a 22-year-old, left-handed hitting shortstop from the Netherlands appearing in his first big league game, was next and moved Navarro up to third with a ground out to Utley. Infielder Henry Rodriguez, a switch-hitter, hit for the pitcher Alfredo Simon and Halladay struck him out for the second out. Brandon Phillips flew to center to leave Navarro at third.

Halladay pitches around the leadoff double. Rodriguez can’t bring the runner home from third with one out as Halladay gets the big strikeout.

Names don’t get a lot better than Didi Gregorius, do they?

Votto singled to center with one out in the sixth. Halladay struck Ludwick out swinging 0-2 for the second out before Bruce doubled again, sending Votto to third. Frazier was next and Martinez made a very nice play at third, fielding the ball and then throwing to first. Howard made a nice play to handle the throw, retiring the side and ending the inning.

Martinez and Howard make a pair of nice plays to get Halladay an out that probably saves two runs.

Navarro singled to right to start the seventh. Halladay got Gregorius on a fly ball to center for the first out and lefty Xavier Paul hit for the pitcher Sam LeCure. Paul grounded into a double-play to set the Reds down.

Halladay started the eighth having thrown 93 pitches and struck Phillips out swinging 0-2 for the first out. Heisey was next and singled softly to center on the eighth pitch of his at-bat. Bastardo came on to face the lefty Votto and struck Votto out looking for the second out. Ludwick was next and Bastardo got the righty on a fly ball to right-center to end the inning.

The eighth inning and Bastardo have been miserable this year, but he came through against two good hitters that time including the righty Ludwick.

Over his last six appearances, Bastardo has thrown 5 2/3 scoreless innings in which he has struck out 12.

Papelbon started the ninth with a five-run lead, pitching for the first time since Sunday’s disaster in Atlanta. Bruce led off and hit an 0-2 pitch out to left. 6-2. Frazier followed that with a single to left. Papelbon struck Navarro out for the first out. Gregorius followed and grounded to second with Frazier forced at second for the second out. Righty Denis Phipps hit for the pitcher Pedro Villareal. Gregorius took second without a throw before Papelbon struck Phipps out to end the game.

Second straight bad outing in a row for Papelbon, although this one wasn’t nearly as bad as Sunday. In his last two appearances he has been charged with four runs on four hits (including two home runs) and a walk over 1 1/3 innings.

Overall the pen goes 1 2/3 innings in the game, allowing a run on two hits. Papelbon threw 18 pitches and Bastardo 15.

The Phillies lineup against righty Mike Leake went (1) Rollins (2) Pierre (3) Utley (4) Howard (5) Mayberry (6) Brown (7) Kratz (8) Martinez. Kratz catches the day game after catching the night game. Frandsen on the bench with Martinez playing third. Pierre in left with Brown in right and Schierholtz on the bench. Nix on the bench, too — not clear to me why Pierre gets to play so often against righties with Nix on the bench. Pierre can’t hit enough singles to make him a good offensive corner outfielder.

The Phillies went in order in the top of the first.

Howard and Mayberry singled back-to-back to start the second, putting runners on first and second for Brown. Brown singled into center, scoring Howard (1-0) and moving Mayberry up to second. Kratz was next and hit a 2-2 pitch out to left for a three-run homer, putting the Phillies up 4-0. Martinez, Halladay and Rollins went in order behind Kratz.

Home run number nine on the year for Kratz. He came into the game 8-for-his-last-35 (.229) with no walks.

Pierre led off the third with a walk and Utley followed him with a home run to center. 6-0. Howard struck out for the first out before Mayberry doubled high off the wall in left. That was it for Leake and righty Alfredo Simon came in to pitch to Brown. Brown was hit by a pitch, putting two men on again for Kratz. Kratz fouled out to Votto for the second out with the runners holding. Martinez grounded to first to end the frame.

Utley came into the game hitting .236 over his last 105 plate appearances with one home run. Home run number ten on the season for Utley.

Halladay started the fourth with a single to right, but Rollins hit into a double-play behind him and Pierre lined to short for the third out.

The lead was cut to 6-1 when Utley struck out to start the fifth. Howard was next and hit the ball well to left, but Ludwick took it for the second out. Mayberry flew to right to end the frame.

Righty Sam LeCure set the Phillies down in order in the sixth and again in the seventh. Halladay hit for himself and struck out to start the seventh having thrown 82 pitches.

Sean Marshall struck out Utley and Mayberry in a 1-2-3 eighth.

Righty Pedro Villareal started the ninth for the Reds and struck Brown out swinging for the first out. Kratz flew to right for the second out and Martinez to left for the third.

Rollins was 0-for-4 in the game and 2-for-12 with a double and a home run in the series. 246/305/417 for the year. He’s shown remarkable power since a rough start to the season. Through May 28 he was hitting 224/282/276 with eight extra-base hits (seven doubles) in 211 plate appearances. Since May 28 he’s hitting 258/317/493 in 385 plate appearances with 46 extra-base hits, including 16 home runs. His isolated power in those 385 plate appearances is .235. There are eight NL players with 425 or more plate appearances for the season and an isolated power that’s better than .235 (Rollins’s isolated power for the whole year is .171).

Pierre 0-for-3 with a walk. 2-for-7 in the series with a walk in the series. 299/342/360 for the season. His numbers for the year took a tumble in August when he hit 241/302/293 in 68 plate appearances. He’s 6-for-his-last-33 with six singles.

Utley 1-for-4 with a two-run homer and struck out twice.

Howard 1-for-4. 2-for-11 with two singles in the series. 239/324/446 for the year. 7-for-his-last-40 (.175). 200/254/369 against lefties for the year with 33 strikeouts in 71 plate appearances.

Mayberry 2-for-4 with a double. 3-for-10 with a double, two walks and a home run in the series. 256/301/430. Yesterday was the first time he has ended the day with an on-base percentage better than .300 for the year since he went 2-for-4 with a double on opening day. 308/364/521 in 129 plate appearances since Victorino and Pence were traded.

Brown 1-for-3 with a hit by pitch. 1-for-9 with a walk in the series. 240/319/337 for the year in 116 plate appearances. 1-for-his-last-20.

Kratz 1-for-4 with a three-run homer. 2-for-7 with a home run in the series. 287/333/611 for the year. There are 429 players across both leagues with at least 100 plate appearances for the season. Of those, his isolated power of .324 for the year is the best.

Martinez 0-for-4 in his only action of the series to drop his average on the year to .115. He made a nice defensive play at a big time to end the sixth. He’s 0-for-his-last-19 with a walk and hitting 115/169/192 for the season.

The Phillies are off today and face the Rockies at home tomorrow.


First in war, first in peace, first in the National League and a distant second in a not-so-meaningful series with the Phils

The Phillies got outstanding pitching this weekend as they swept the Nats in a three-game set. The Phils scored just 12 runs in the series, but held the Nationals to five, getting three solid starts and 6 1/3 scoreless innings from their bullpen.

Kendrick pitched into the seventh in game one as the Phils won 4-2. Rollins had two hits and drove in a pair for the Phillies.

Halladay was solid in game two and Mayberry drove in three as the Phils again won 4-2.

Yesterday Cliff Lee got his first win at home for the season, holding the Nats to a run over seven innings as the Phils won 4-1.

Kendrick, Halladay and Lee combined to throw to a 2.18 ERA in 20 2/3 innings in the series.

The Phillies didn’t get a ton of offense in the set, but Rollins was 5-for-10 with four RBI. Mayberry went 4-for-11 and drove in three.

The Phillies are 61-67 on the year after beating the Washington Nationals 4-1 yesterday. The Phils sweep the three-game series and in third place in the NL East, 16 1/2 games out of first. They’re 9 1/2 games out for the Wild Card and have won four in a row.

Lee got the start for the Phillies and went seven innings, allowing a run on seven hits. Three of the hits went for extra-bases, all doubles. He struck out five and didn’t walk a batter.

Ryan Zimmerman singled to center with two outs in the top of the first. Jayson Werth popped to Utley to leave Zimmerman stranded.

Adam LaRoche singled to center to start the second. Lee got Tyler Moore on a fly ball to right for the first out and Jesus Flores grounded into a double-play behind Moore.

Lee struck Steve Lombardozzi in a 1-2-3 third and Werth in a 1-2-3 fourth.

He struck out LaRoche to start the fifth before Moore doubled into the left field corner. Flores struck out swinging for the second out and Lee got Lombardozzi grounded to Utley to end the frame.

The Phillies were leading 3-0 when lefty Roger Bernadina, hitting for the pitcher Jordan Zimmerman, led off the sixth with a bunt single. Lee set the Nationals down in order behind him.

It was 4-0 when Werth led off the seventh. He hit a ball that Lee handled near the third base line, but Lee’s throw to first wasn’t handled. Werth had a single and Lee’s error allowed him to move up to second. LaRoche was next and he hammered a ball to right that everyone thought was out of the yard. He started his jog around the bases, but the ball was still in play. Werth and LaRoche were both just about at third when they figured out the play wasn’t over and LaRoche was tagged out easily. Reviews showed the call was right — the ball went off the very top of the fence and back into play. It left Washington with one out and Werth on third. Moore was next and doubled to left. Werth scored. 4-1. Flores flew to right and Lombardozzi lined softly to Utley to end the frame.

That could have been a lot worse.

Horst started the eighth. Bernadina led off and doubled to left. Espinosa was next and he grounded to short for the first out with Bernadina holding. Righty Ian Desmond hit for pitcher Tom Gorzelanny. Lindblom took over for Horst to face the righty. Lefty Chad Tracy hit for Desmond. Lindblom got Tracy to ground to short for the second out and struck out Ryan Zimmerman to leave Bernadina stranded.

Horst drops his ERA on the year to 0.96 by allowing a hit in a scoreless third of an inning. He has a 1.13 ratio to go with his ERA and has struck out 22 in 18 2/3 innings.

Lindblom was back for the ninth and set the Nats down in order, striking out Werth for the first out, getting LaRoche on a line drive to first for the second and striking out Moore to end the game.

With Papelbon having pitched three straight days, Lindblom goes five outs to get career save number one. He drops his ERA with the Phillies to 6.52.

Two scoreless innings in the game for the pen in which they allow one hit and strike out three.

Lindblom threw 13 pitches in the game and Horst three.

The Phillies lineup against righty Stephen Strasburg went (1) Rollins (2) Pierre (3) Utley (4) Howard (5) Mayberry (6) Nix (7) Frandsen (8) Kratz. Brown out of the starting lineup for the second day in a row as Nix starts in righty. Pierre in left against the righty and Kratz behind the plate.

Utley walked with two outs in the bottom of the first. Howard struck out swinging to leave him stranded.

Mayberry started the bottom of the second to start the second. Nix, Frandsen and Kratz went in order behind him.

Pierre walked with two outs in the third. Utley was next and flew to right for the third out.

Werth made an amazing play to retire Utley for the third out. It was a high fly ball to right and Werth just missed it. The ball went off the side of his glove and he caught it with his bare hand to retire Utley and end the inning.

The Phils went in order in the fourth.

Frandsen led off the fifth with a single to left and took second on a wild pitch. Kratz hit a ball softly into shallow center, but Harper made a nice driving catch for the first out. It brought Lee to the plate and he hit a ball over Harper’s head that landed on the warning track. Frandsen scored and the Phils led 1-0. Rollins was next and he hit a 231 pitch out to right for a two-run homer that put the Phils up 3-0. Pierre followed that with a single before Utley flew to center for the second out. Howard followed that with a walk, but Mayberry popped to second to leave both runners stranded.

Nice diving play in center by Harper on Kratz’s ball costs the Phillies a run. Home run number 15 on the year for Rollins.

Career stolen base number 586 of his career for Pierre ties him with Maury Wills for 19th all-time.

Lefty Tom Gorzelanny took over for Zimmerman to start the sixth. Nix led off and hit an 0-2 pitch out to right, putting the Phils up 4-0. Frandsen followed with a single, but Kratz hit into a double-play behind him and Kratz struck out for the third out.

Nix stays in the game and homers off of the lefty.

Rollins singled off of Gorzelanny to start the seventh and Pierre bunted him to second with the first out. Utley moved Rollins to third with a ground ball, but Howard struck out to leave him there.

Righty Drew Storen got Mayberry, Nix and Frandsen in order in the eighth.

Rollins was 2-for-4 in the game with a home run. 5-for-10 in the series with two walks and a home run. 244/303/407 for the season.

Pierre 1-for-2 with a walk and a stolen base. 1-for-6 in the series, which drops his average under .300. 299/342/363. 263/310/343 over his last 195 plate appearances.

Utley was 0-for-3 with a walk and 2-for-9 with two walks in the set. 249/357/452 for the year.

Howard 0-for-3 with a walk and two strikeouts. 2-for-11 with a walk and a double in the series. 3-for-his-last-18 and hitting 245/329/450 for the season.

Mayberry 1-for-4 yesterday. 4-for-11 with a home run and four RBI in the series. 242/281/407 for the year. 277/315/470 in 89 plate appearances since Victorino and Pence were traded. 242/281/407 for the season. Still has not walked against a left-handed pitcher this season in 132 plate appearances.

Nix 1-for-4 with a home run yesterday. First home run against a lefty for Nix since April 25, 2004 against Ron Villone. 2-for-6 with a walk and a home run in the series. 186/265/279 in 49 plate appearances since coming off of the DL. 258/330/438 for the year.

Frandsen 2-for-4 in the game and 3-for-10 with a walk in the series. 351/402/426 on the year.

Kratz 0-for-3 and left three men on base. He was 1-for-10 in the series and struck out four times. 291/352/646 for the season.

No game today. Mets tomorrow.


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