Tag: Jayson Werth

Chase Utley, you are the walking man

In posts from last week I looked at the differences in the number of walks the Phillies drew in 2007, when they were the best team in the NL at drawing walks, and 2012, when their walk rate was 15th in the league.

In those posts I suggested there were four positions where the Phillies walked about the same number of times in 2007 as they had in 2012 — second base, right field, DH/pinch-hitter and pitcher.

At second base, Chase Utley’s walk rate of 11.9% in 2012 was higher than his walk rate of 8.2% in 2007. The problem was that Utley only got about 53.3% of the plate appearances at second in 2012. Galvis, Fontenot, Martinez and Orr combined to get the rest with Galvis getting about three times more than any of the other three. Galvis walked in just 2.8% of his 178 plate appearances as a second baseman for the Phils in 2012.

Like Jimmy Rollins, Utley has increased his walk rate in recent years.

Years PA BB%
2003-2008 3126 8.7
2009-2012 2014 11.6

The best year in recent history for the Phillies in terms of walks from their second basemen was 2009. Utley got about 94.1% of the PA for second basemen that year and walked in a career-high 12.8% of his chances. The team wound up at 12.4% at the position.

I can’t find a whole ton interesting about the walk rate of the pitchers or pinch-hitters/DHs. Phillies third baseman walked in a miserable 4.7% of their plate appearances in 2012, so it did seem worthwhile to check and make sure they walked more often than the pitchers. They did — the pitchers walked in 3.8% of their PA combined. In three of the last eight years, though, the pitchers for the Phils posted a walk rate near or above 4.7% for the season — they walked in 5.9% of their PA in 2006, 4.9% in 2008 and 4.6% in 2009.

That leaves us with the right fielders. In 2007 the right fielders for the Phillies walked in 9.0% of their plate appearances, which is just about the same as the 8.9% they walked in 2012. It’s been kind of a wild ride in between, though. Here are the walk rates for Phillies right fielders as a group over the last six seasons:

Year BB%
2012 8.9
2011 11.3
2010 11.4
2009 13.1
2008 9.4
2007 9.0

So, in 2012, the Phils RF wound up in about the same place they had been in 2007, but they had been up a lot higher than that in the years in-between.

In ’07, the Phillies got 743 PA in right. Of those, 482 (64.9%) went to Victorino and he walked in about 6.6% of them. Werth was the other major contributor — he walked in about 14.8% of his 223 plate appearances as a RF (about 30% of the team’s PA at the position).

Werth got the bulk of the PA from ’08 to ’10 as the walk rate at the position climbed. Werth walked in about 12.7% of his walks in those years combined.

In 2011, Ben Francisco, Domonic Brown and Hunter Pence all got around a third of the team’s PA in right field. All three walked a lot — Pence and Francisco each walked in about 11.1% of their chances and Brown walked in about 12.2% of his while playing right.

In 2012, Pence got about 64% of the Phillie plate appearances in right and walked in about 8.4% of them. Brown brought the number for the team up a little, getting about 22% of the PA in right and walking in about 11.3% of those chances.


They coulda been a contender . . . oh wait, they were a contender

Not long ago, the Phillies were pretty good defensively in the outfield compared to the rest of baseball. Not so much anymore. Here’s the UZR/150 for all Phillie outfielders combined for the last six seasons as calculated by FanGraphs and how it compares to teams across both leagues:

Year UZR/150 all PHI OF Rank MLB
2007 4.1 8
2008 8.0 7
2009 0.7 13
2010 -5.5 25
2011 -8.4 28
2012 -4.8 25

So, from 2007 through 2009, the Phillies were in the top half of teams defensively in the outfield across both leagues by UZR/150. Over the last three years they have been no better than 25th.

There’s only 30 teams out there, so being 25th or worse for three straight years counts as a problem. It’s arguable that the Phillies have had the worst outfield defense in baseball over the past three seasons. It’s kind of a pick ‘em between the Phils, Orioles and Mets.

Notably, ugly outfield defense or not, the Phillies went 199-125 in 2010 and 2011 combined. I think it’s safe to say they were good at other things.

Using Baseball-Reference’s dWAR, only twice in the past three seasons have the Phillies had a player who both played at least 100 outfield innings for the team in a season and posted a dWAR greater than zero for the year. Victorino did it both times, putting up a 0.5 in 1,150 innings in 2011 after putting up a 0.4 in 1,265 innings in 2010.

In 2007, Victorino (16.6 UZR/150 in the outfield, mostly right), Bourn (22.9 in about 300 innings, about 200 of which were in left) and Werth (30.5 in 446 innings in right, 127 2/3 innings in left and two in center) were all outstanding defensively. Rowand played more than 94% of the defensive innings in center field and posted UZR/150 in the outfield of 4.5. Burrell played just over 70% of the innings in left, dragging down the numbers for the team overall with his UZR/150 in the outfield of -29.6. Despite that they were still eighth-best in the category among all MLB teams.

In 2008, Victorino moved over from right, where he had been very good defensively, to center. He was very good there as well, playing about 82.5% of the innings in center with an UZR/150 in the outfield for the year of 5.8 — a little better than Rowand’s 4.5 from 2007. Werth and Jenkins combined to get about 90% of the innings in right in 2008 and were good defensively. Werth was great with an outfield UZR/150 mark of 28.5. Jenkins was very good, too, playing to an UZR/150 of 15.2 in 642 outfield innings. Burrell continued to be the guy in left, playing about 83% of the innings there. He was still bad defensively, -12.3 in the outfield for the year, but that was still a big improvement over his 2007 mark of -29.6. Overall, by UZR/150, the Phillies popped up to seventh-best across both leagues, their best mark for the six seasons presented in the table above.

In 2009, their UZR/150 dropped from 8.0 in the previous year to 0.7. Jenkins was gone and so was Burrell. The Phillies went Ibanez, Victorino and Werth from left to right on most days. Ibanez was a big improvement over Burrell in left, at least as calculated by UZR/150. He played about 77% of the innings in left and posted an UZR/150 for the year of 4.9 in the outfield, which was a huge improvement over the big negative numbers Burrell had put up in the two previous seasons. Victorino manned center and his numbers were way down as he oddly posted a UZR/150 for the year in the outfield of -5.6, which was, by far, the worst mark of his career. UZR/150 suggests that Werth didn’t have nearly the impact defensively he had in the two previous seasons, but he still put up a solid 4.4 for the year in the outfield. Overall, thanks to the replacement of Burrell with Ibanez, the Phillies had a huge change to improve on their overall numbers from 2008. Didn’t work out that way as both Victorino and Werth played a lot of innings and each found themselves off their pace from the previous year.

Things got worse in 2010 as the Phils dropped from thirteenth all the way to twenty-fifth. They still primarily went Ibanez, Victorino, Werth left to right. Victorino improved on his 2009 number, up to 2.8 for the year in his 1,265 1/3 outfield innings. But Werth and Ibanez were both worse. After five straight years of at least 575 outfield innings with an UZR/150 in the outfield of 4.4 or better, Werth’s UZR/150 in the outfield plunged to -7.8 over 1,342 innings. Ibanez, who had posted a 4.9 in 2009, saw his mark drop to -7.2. For the year, Victorino improved on his ’09 numbers, but Ibanez and Werth both saw theirs take a huge dive. The Phillies wound up near the bottom of the league in UZR/150 for their outfielders as a result.

2011 was a nightmare defensively for the Phillies in the outfield, the worst year of the six as their UZR/150 for all outfielders dropped to 28th in the league. Only the Mets and Orioles were worse — notably, the Mets were worse in large part because Angel Pagan was their center fielder and he was awful, posting a UZR/150 for the year in the outfield of -16.1. Ibanez was still the primary guy for the Phils in left and Victorino in center. Victorino was still good, putting up a 5.7 UZR/150 for the season. Ibanez went from real bad, -7.2, to terrible, posting a Burrell-like -21.8. Right field was shared by three guys in Pence, Brown and Francisco, all of who ended the year having played about 30% of the innings for the Phillies defensively in right. Pence played about 32.7%, Brown 30.5% and Francisco 30.1%. Pence was very good defensively for the Phils when he played, putting up an 8.6 for the year with the team. Brown and Francisco were both terrible — Brown’s mark for the year was -26.0 and Francisco’s was -16.1. For the season, Ibanez was terrible in left, Victorino solid in center and Pence, Brown and Francisco split right almost equally, with Brown and Francisco being atrocious while Pence was very good. Put it all together and the Phils were the 28th-best team in the league for UZR/150 in the outfield.

Things were still atrocious in 2012, if slightly improved from the two previous seasons. Pierre was the primary guy in left, getting about 55% of the innings. He was backed up by Mayberry, who got about 23% of the innings at the position. Pierre put up a better-than-expected mark of -0.4 and Mayberry was solid when playing left with a 5.4. Victorino was the primary guy in center until he was traded. He wound up playing about 60% of the team’s innings in center field for the season and posting an UZR/150 of 0.9. Mayberry took over the gig after Victorino was traded and was terrible, posting a -20.7 UZR/150 in center in 474 1/3 innings. Pence played most of the innings in right field for the Phils in 2012, about 62%, and was awful in right when he did play, posting an UZR/150 with the Phils of -13.5, well off his 2011 mark. Domonic Brown was the other guy to see a lot of time in right, playing about 21% of the defensive innings at the position. He was significantly better than he was in 2012, but still not good, putting up a UZR/150 of -7.9 for the year.

Looking to 2013, there are still big questions to be answered about the makeup of the Phillie outfield. The Phils appear to have five guys in-house in the mix in Brown, Mayberry, Schierholtz, Nix and Ruf. If you had to pick one of them, most fans would guess that Brown is the player of that group who is likely to play the most defensive outfield innings for the Phils in 2013. And we know he’s been a really bad defensive player so far in his career. I think we also know that Mayberry can put up some ugly defensive numbers in center field — he seems sure to do so if the Phillies give him that opportunity. Schierholtz and Nix have both been pretty good defensively over their careers in the outfield, although neither of them seem likely to see much time in center and it’s a little hard to believe the Phillies think they need to carry both left-handed backup outfielders going in 2013. Ruf is the other guy in that group — if he proves to be a good defensive outfielder in the majors it’s going to surprise a lot of people.

The Phillies finalized a one-year, $850,000 deal with Kevin Frandsen.

Many Marlins appear to be on the move to Toronto, including Jose Reyes, Josh Johnson and Mark Buehrle.

This suggests that Amaro kind of wishes that Ruf would have had more of an opportunity to play at the end of the year, but that Amaro understands Manuel playing Juan Pierre instead. Not sure I completely believe all of that.

At least now the Phillies have a good idea what Juan Pierre brings to the table.

It will be pretty interesting to see if Ruf can play left field — I think he’s going to get some chances to do so with the Phillies in 2013. I’m guessing he can’t in a think Pat Burrell kind of way. So let’s hope for 51 more home runs.


Top ten reasons the Phillies should get some new outfielders

Here are the best seasons for Phillie outfielders by total WAR as measured Baseball-Reference over the past ten years (2003-2012) as well as their NL rank for bWAR for hitters in that season:

Player Year bWAR bWAR rank NL batters
1 Abreu 2004 6.3 8
2 Victorino 2011 5.2 9
3 Abreu 2003 5.2 10
4 Rowand 2007 4.8 12
5 Werth 2010 4.3 17
6 Werth 2009 4.2 15
6 Victorino 2008 4.2 T-17
8 Werth 2008 3.6 T-23
9 Victorino 2009 3.5 T-23
10 Burrell 2005 3.4 T-26
10 Lofton 2005 3.4 T-26
10 Abreu 2005 3.4 T-26

Thanks to a three-way tie for the tenth spot, 12 different seasons appear on the list. Werth, Abreu and Victorino all appear three times each and Rowand, Burrell and Lofton each appear once.

Two of the top three seasons in which a Phillie outfielder has posted a bWAR better than 4.8 came a long time ago — two of the top three spots belong to Bobby Abreu and his ’03 and ’04 seasons.

Comparing that list to Friday’s post about potentially available center fielders, you’ll see there are a number of players whose 2012 season would have had them on the list had they been playing for the Phillies and put up the same bWAR. They include:

  • Michael Bourn’s 6.0 would have been second-best of any Phillie outfielder in the past ten seasons
  • Torii Hunter’s 5.2 would have also been second-best
  • Melky Cabrera’s 4.7 would have been fifth-best
  • Curtis Granderson’s 4.1 would have been eighth-best
  • Angel Pagan’s 4.0 would also have been eighth-best
  • Josh Hamilton’s 3.4 would have tied him for tenth-best

It seems like there may be a case to be made that the Phillies really haven’t had their share of monster bWAR seasons from their outfielders over the past ten years. For example, over the last ten years, the Phillies have had three seasons in which an outfield posted a bWAR better than 4.8. The Braves had three outfielders do it last year in Bourn (6.0), Heyward (5.5) and Prado (5.4).

This suggests that the Phillies are in talks with Cody Ross and that Ross is looking for $25 million over three years. This should work out great if the Phils can just convince everyone to replay the 2010 NLCS and get Ross to put up a 1.385 OPS for them instead of the Giants.

This suggests that issues between the Phillies and Scott Boras stemming from last year’s negotiations around Ryan Madson could impact a potential deal for Michael Bourn, a Boras client.

The article linked above suggests that Amaro said the backup catcher’s job is Erik Kratz’s to lose.

This article mentions the Phillies as a possible fit for Torri Hunter. This suggests the Dodgers are no longer pursuing Hunter.

This suggests the Phillies might be willing to pay Josh Hamilton the amount of money he wants, but not for the number of years he wants.


Sprechen sie ut oh?

There are several different ways to calculate WAR, but no matter which language you choose, the non-pitchers for the Phillies were cause for concern in 2012.

The table below shows the WAR by position for the Phillies over the past five seasons as calculated by FanGraphs. Next to each WAR is the NL Rank for the team that year at the position.

Please note: WAR as calculated by FanGraphs differs, often dramatically, from WAR as calculated by Baseball-Reference. The WAR values in the table below are from FanGraphs, but the WAR values discussed below the table come primarily from Baseball-Reference. Links to recent interesting articles on the differences between WAR as calculated by the two sites are at the bottom of the post.

Position ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08
C 7.1 (2) 2.6 (9) 5.3 (3) 3.3 (3) 2.2 (10)
SS 4.9 (2) 3.9 (4) 2.3 (10) 3.2 (6) 5.7 (4)
2B 3.7 (4) 3.4 (3) 6.7 (2) 7.5 (1) 8.2 (1)
CF 2.7 (10) 8.4 (2) 3.9 (12) 4.3 (8) 4.4 (7)
LF 2.8 (11) 1.2 (15) 2.4 (10) 4.6 (5) 2.8 (10)
3B 2.4 (11) 2.5 (10) 3.3 (7) 1.5 (11) 2.6 (11)
RF 1.2 (15) 2.2 (14) 6.2 (3) 5.9 (1) 5.7 (4)
1B -0.8 (16) 1.1 (13) 2.0 (10) 4.7 (5) 3.0 (7)

So there were three of the eight positions at which the Phillies were better than tenth in the 16-team National League.

Four seasons ago, in 2009, the Phillies were in the top half of the league at every position other than third base.

First the good:

At catcher, the Buster Posey-led Giants are the only team to put up a better overall WAR than the Phillies in 2012. The Phillies have been in the top three at the position in three of the last four years. In 2011, Ruiz recorded his worst dWAR of the five seasons (as calculated by Baseball-Reference) at 0.8. It was also his worst offensive season of the past three as he slugged just .383. In 2008, Ruiz was terrible offensively, hitting .219 in his 373 plate appearances as the Phils were tenth in the league at WAR at the position.

The Phils were also second in the league at FanGraphs-calculated WAR at short in 2012, topped only by the Nationals. There’s really only been one bad year for the team at the position over the last five seasons. In 2010, Rollins got less than 400 plate appearances for the only time in the last 12 seasons. Wilson Valdez fared okay trying to pick up the slack, but Juan Castro was a lot less impressive as he on-based .250 in his 101 plate appearances as a shortstop for the year. FanGraphs calculated WAR for Rollins for 2012 is much higher than Baseball-Reference’s. FanGraphs has him at 4.9, which ties him for 27th among non-pitchers across both leagues. Baseball-Reference calculates his WAR at 2.3, which ties him for 106th. The chart above reflects the FanGraph numbers, which suggest he was an elite player in 2012. Again, this is one of the three positions at which the Phillies were non-terrible in 2012 and there is disagreement about how good their primary player at the position actually was.

At second base, the Phillies have been in the top four for each of the past five years. Utley’s WAR as calculated by Baseball-Reference topped out at 8.8 in 2008. He’s likely never going back up there again, but his work at the position has been enough to keep the Phils in the top quarter of the NL over the last several years. Also, as a side note — in 2008, Utley and his 8.8 WAR (second-best in baseball) finished 14th in NL MVP voting. Howard’s WAR that year was 1.5 and he finished second. Pujols won it, and should have, but Utley should have been a lot higher than 14th.

After catcher, second and short, things get real ugly, real fast.

Center field was the next best position for the Phils in 2012 and they were tenth in the league there. Victorino was a monster in 2011, putting up a (Baseball-Reference) overall WAR of 5.2 in the best year of his career. He was way off that pace in 2012, though, and Mayberry was pretty bad after he left. The Phillies seem to have no in-house solution to what is now a big problem in center field.

Eleventh in left. Tenth or worse for the third straight year. 2009 is the only year of the last five that the Phillies have been non-terrible overall at the position. In ’09, Ibanez put up the best WAR (Baseball-Reference) of his last six seasons at 2.7. It was the only year of the last six where his dWAR has been better than -1 (it was -0.8). In 2010 he was bad for the Phillies and in 2011 he was terrible — a dWAR of -3.1 and an oWAR of just 0.1. Juan Pierre was the guy who got most of the time in left in 2012, the first year after Ibanez left. His overall WAR for the year was 1.9, good enough for fourth-best on the team among the non-pitchers, but not enough to lead the Phils anywhere better than eleventh.

They were also eleventh at third base, the fourth year of the last five in which they have been tenth or worse. Polanco was very solid in 2010, putting up a (Baseball-Reference) WAR of 3.1. In 2011, his dWAR stayed about the same as 2010 (1.2 in ’11, 1.4 in ’10), but his oWAR dropped from 1.9 to 0.7 as he hit 277/335/339 with just 19 extra-base hits in 523 plate appearances. Polanco got significant time at third in ’12, putting up an oWAR of 0, a dWAR of 0.4 and losing significant time to Kevin Frandsen. Frandsen’s WAR of 1.5 (in just 210 plate appearances) was good enough for fifth-best among the team’s non-pitchers, but not good enough to get the Phillies any higher than eleventh relative to the rest of the NL for the season at the position. Feliz got most of the time at third in ’08 and ’09, with some help from Greg Dobbs. Neither did a whole lot and the Phillies were eleventh at the position both years, although Feliz had a good year defensively in ’09, putting up a dWAR of 1.2. Feliz on-based .306 over 1,088 plate appearances for the Phils between 2008 and ’09.

You don’t have to study the right field numbers too carefully to see that the Phillies have struggled to replace Jayson Werth. Led by Werth, the Phils topped the NL in WAR at the position in 2009 and were third in 2010. He signed with the Nationals for the 2011 season and the numbers took a dive. Francisco got the gig to start ’11 and bombed in spectacular fashion, putting up an oWAR of 0.0 and a dWAR of -1.3 and losing the job. Hunter Pence played part of ’11 with the Phils and part of ’12. He posted negative dWARs in both years with better luck offensively. 2.2 (oWAR)/-0.3 (dWAR) in 2011 and 1.2/-1.1 in 2012. Domonic Brown hasn’t inspired a lot of confidence yet he can get the job done in right, either. So far for his career he has an UZR/150 of -21.7 in 871 innings in right to go with his overall batting line of 236/315/388.

First base may be the single biggest problem for the Phillies, where they have committed an enormous amount of money to Ryan Howard. They were 16th of 16 in the NL in 2012 and FanGraphs has them no better than tenth over the last three seasons. Howard was hurt in 2012, but he got 644 plate appearances in 2011 and 620 in 2010 and the Phils didn’t do better than tenth in either year. He has always been terrible at defense, over the last seven seasons his dWARs have ranged from -1 to -2.8, and thanks largely to that he has put an overall WAR better than three just twice in his career. In 2006 he hit 58 home runs with a WAR of 5.0. In 2009 he hit 45 with a WAR of 3.5. In 2012, his oWAR joined his dWAR in negative territory at -0.6. Wigginton was also miserable trying to pick up the slack at the position with Howard missing much of the season, hitting just 235/314/375 for the year with a UZR/150 at first of -8.5 (which is 30th among the 36 players across both leagues who played at least 450 innings at first in 2012).

This article talks about differences in the calculation of WAR by Baseball-Reference and FanGraphs. More on that subject here, as Jimmy Rollins appears on a list of the players whose WAR as calculated by FanGraphs differs dramatically from their WAR as calculated by Baseball-Reference.


No, you don’t understand: we really, really want a pitcher and not a belly-itcher

Here are the combined WAR, oWAR and dWAR for the non-pitchers for the Phillies over the past ten years as calculated by Baseball-Reference:

Year WAR oWAR dWAR
2012 15.0 14.0 1.0
2011 14.2 19.9 -5.4
2010 21.3 21.8 -0.6
2009 26.3 24.6 2.0
2008 27.3 20.3 7.0
2007 31.1 27.3 3.7
2006 20.0 21.6 -2.1
2005 27.7 18.8 8.9
2004 22.1 20.8 1.4
2003 25.8 24.0 2.1

So that’s bad, generally, although overall WAR for the non-pitchers actually improved from 2011 to 2012. Coming into the season, it had been down from the previous year for four straight seasons.

It was up in 2012 despite the fact that the oWAR for the team was worse than 2011 (14.0 in ’12 compared to 19.9 in ’11). It was the dWAR that improved dramatically, going from -5.4 in 2011 to 1.0 in 2012.

That’s where the good news ends, though. In both 2011 and 2012, the combined WAR for the non-pitchers was less than half of what it was in 2007. In 2007, the Phils were first in the NL in oWAR and second in dWAR.

In 2008, the team’s dWAR was 7.0, which was best in the NL. By 2010, the defense had slipped a lot and was down to -0.6. Howard put up a -2.3 dWAR that year and ugliness from Ibanez (-2.0) and Werth (-1.2) contributed as well. By 2011 the problem was even more dramatic as the team’s dWAR of -5.4 was third worst among the 16 NL teams. Again, Ibanez (-3.1) and Howard (-2.4) led the anti-charge, joined by Francisco (-1.3) and Brown (-1.2).

This Phils bounced back some in 2012. Ibanez and Francisco left. Brown got a little better. Howard played less and posted a dWAR of just -1, which was his best mark since 2005 (although Wigginton and Nix didn’t help much filling in for him at first). Freddy Galvis was solid defensively when he played.

The oWAR for the last ten seasons peaked in 2007 at 27.3. The Phillies led the NL in runs scored that year with 892. Their oWAR of 27.3 led the league and it wasn’t real close. The Mets were second at 22.7. Utley (5.9), Rollins (5.5), Rowand (4.5), Howard (3.2) and Burrell (3.0) all put up an oWAR of three or better that season.

The oWAR of 14.0 for the Phillies in 2012 was the lowest it has been since 2000, when the team’s oWAR for the year was an NL-worst 6.7. That was remarkable in that the Phillies had two players with an oWAR of 3.6 or better for the season — Abreu at 4.6 and Rolen at 3.6. The Phillies had ten players that year who got at least 100 plate appearances and put up a negative oWAR.


Kendrick confirms he is not Cy Young, putting at ease the minds of millions who found it suspicious they had never seen him and Young in the same place at the same time

Kyle Kendrick didn’t have much last night, allowing three home runs and five runs to the first eight batters he faced and leaving after just two innings and two batters. The Phillies made it almost all the way back from the 5-0 hole, though. De Fratus started the ninth with the Washington lead cut to 5-4, but was hit hard in the frame and the Nats went on to win 8-4.

Kendrick pointed out after the game that if he was awesome every start he’d be Cy Young. Not sure that’s true, actually, but if his point was that last night’s effort lacked awesomeness, I think we’re all on board.

The bullpen pitched very well until De Fratus ran into trouble in the three-run top of the ninth for the Nats. After Kendrick left after just two innings, Rosenberg, Lindblom and Horst combined to throw six scoreless frames in which they allowed a single and a walk and struck out six.

Former Phil Jayson Werth battled the fans all night, but wound up with the last laugh, singling home a pair of runs with two outs in the ninth to extend the Nationals lead.

The Phillies are 78-77 on the year after losing to the Washington Nationals 8-4 last night. They have lost three of their last four and are in third place in the NL East, 16 games out of first. They are 5 1/2 games out for the Wild Card and have seven left to play.

Kendrick got the start for the Phillies and went two innings, allowing five runs on five hits and two walks. Only four of the runs were earned. Three of the hits went for extra-bases, all home runs. He struck out one.

Kendrick has allowed 11 runs in 13 2/3 innings over his last three starts.

Jayson Werth was the first batter of the game and walked on five pitches. Bryce Harper was next and he hit the first pitch he saw from Kendrick out to center, putting the Nats up 2-0. Kendrick got the next three Washington hitters, getting Ryan Zimmerman on a ground ball to short for the first out, striking out Adam LaRoche for the second and getting Michael Morse on a fly ball to left for the third.

Ian Desmond led off the second and hit a 2-1 pitch out to left center. 3-0. Steve Lombardozzi was next and hit a ball to Utley that Utley didn’t handle for an error, putting Lombardozzi on first when Kurt Suzuki hit a 1-2 pitch out to left. 5-0. The pitcher John Lannan grounded to Rollins for the first out before Werth singled to center. Harper grounded to Howard with Werth forced at second for the second out. Harper stole second before Zimmerman grounded to second to end the frame.

Three home runs allowed by Kendrick to the first eight batters he faces.

LaRoche walked to start the third and moved to second on a single by Morse. That was it for Kendrick. Rosenberg took over and got Desmond to hit into a double-play. Lombardozzi lined to short to leave LaRoche at third.

Rosenberg started the fourth down 5-1. He walked Lannan with one out, but struck out Werth and Harper to leave the pitcher at first.

You want to avoid walking the pitcher when possible.

Rosenberg threw a 1-2-3 fifth with the lead cut to 5-2.

Rosenberg was fantastic in the game, getting a double-play in the third and allowing just one walk over three scoreless innings. Three innings is the longest outing of his career. He has thrown ten scoreless innings over his last seven appearances.

Lindblom set the Nats down in order in the sixth and again in the seventh.

Lindblom faces six batters and gets all six, dropping his ERA with the Phillies to 3.68 after 24 appearances. Opponents are hitting .175 against him since joining the Phils, but he has walked 15 in 22 innings. He has a 1.29 ERA over his last 14 appearances and has struck out 19 in 14 innings.

He was pitching for the second straight day and threw 29 pitches in the game.

Horst started the eighth with the Nats up 5-3. Zimmerman led off and singled to left. Horst struck LaRoche out swinging for the first out and got Morse to ground into a double-play behind him.

Horst faces three batters, allows a single then strikes out the lefty LaRoche and gets the righty Morse to ground into a double-play. He’s been charged with seven runs on the year over 27 innings, but only three of them have been earned. He’s had success against both righties and lefties in limited time with the Phils this year, so it seems like there are lots of reasons to expect significant contributions from him out of the pen in 2013.

De Fratus started the ninth with the Phillies down 5-4. Desmond led off and walked. Lefty Chad Tracy hit for the pitcher Tyler Clippard. Desmond stole second before Tracy grounded to short for the first out with Desmond holding. Suzuki was next and singled softly to left on a ball deflected by Pierre, moving Desmond up to third. De Fratus struck Espinosa out swinging for the second out before Suzuki stole second. It put runners on second and third for Werth and Werth singled into center, scoring both runners to extend the lead to 7-4. Bastardo came in to pitch to the lefty Harper and Harper tripled into the right field corner, scoring Werth to make it 8-4. Zimmerman struck out looking to leave Harper at third.

Werth was loudly booed during the game and especially in his ninth inning at-bat. While waiting in the on-deck circle, he faked throwing a foul ball to fans behind the Nationals dugout and then rolled the ball into the dugout. Flipped his bat dramatically after his two-run single, proving once and for all the wisdom of the seven-year, $126 million deal the Nationals gave him to hit .256.

De Fratus faced five batters in the game and they went walk, out, single, out single. Walking the leadoff man is never a good idea and it hurt De Fratus last night. All three of the guys who reached base against De Fratus in the game (Desmond walk, Werth and Suzuki singled) were right-handed. His line looked a little worse than it was cause of the two-out triple by Harper off of Bastardo that scored Werth, adding a third run to De Fratus’s line.

Like Lindblom, De Fratus was pitching for the second straight day. He threw to a 0.00 ERA over his first seven appearances with the Phillies, allowing two hits and three walks over six innings. In his last three appearances he has allowed four runs on four hits and a walk over 2 1/3 innings.

Bastardo faces two hitters in the game, allowing an RBI-triple to the lefty Harper before striking the righty Zimmerman out. Over his last 17 appearances, Bastardo has struck out 28 in 12 2/3 innings while throwing to a 1.42 ERA and an 0.95 ratio.

Overall the pen goes seven innings in the game, allowing three runs on four hits and two walks. Lindblom and De Fratus have each thrown two days in a row and both of them threw a lot of pitches last night. Lindblom threw 29 and De Fratus threw 27. Rosenberg was pitching for the first day in a row and threw 42 pitches in the game.

It seems like Rosenberg would surely be unavailable tonight and Lindblom and De Fratus at least questionable. Could be an issue if Cloyd doesn’t go nine. That’s a joke, but he went eight his last time out. So we’ll see.

The Phillies lineup against lefty John Lannan went (1) Rollins (2) Mayberry (3) Utley (4) Howard (5) Ruiz (6) Brown (7) Ruf (8) Frandsen. Ruf starts in left for the second game in a row, both of which came with lefties on the mound for the Nats.

Down 2-0, the Phillies went in order in the bottom of the first.

They started the second down 5-0. Howard led off and was hit by a pitch. The next three Phils went in order.

Frandsen doubled to left to start the third. Rosenberg was next and bunted. The catcher Suzuki fielded the ball and threw it into left field in an effort to get Frandsen at third. That proved to be ineffective. Frandsen scored, cutting the lead to 5-1, and Rosenberg was safe at first on the error. Rollins flew to center for the first out before Mayberry moved Rosenberg up to second with a single. Utley was next and he singled, loading the bases for Howard. Howard struck out and Ruiz grounded to the pitcher to keep the Phillies from getting more.

Howard really isn’t so good against lefties these days. One out and the bases loaded would have been a nifty time not to strike out.

With one out in the fourth, Ruf hit a ball down the third base line. Zimmerman made a nice play to record the out, though, fielding and making a long throw to first in time to get Ruf for the second out. It cost the Phillies a run, cause Frandsen was next and he hit a 2-1 pitch into center for a triple, his second extra-base hit in two at-bats. Rosenberg was next and he dribbled a ball back up the middle that went for a single. Frandsen scored to cut the lead to 5-2. Rollins grounded to third to end the inning.

Zimmerman’s play on the ball hit by Ruf costs the Phillies a run. The ball Frandsen hit to center should have been caught. It was fairly deep, but Harper turned the wrong way going back on it and couldn’t recover.

Frandsen has monster numbers against lefties for the year and they got better thanks to 2-for-2 with a double and a gift triple off of Lannan in his first two at-bats last night. He’s now at 429/462/592 against lefties for the year.

Lannan set the Phils down in order in the fifth.

Ruiz walked to start the sixth. Brown struck out behind him for the first out. Righty Ryan Mattheus came in to pitch to Ruf and got him to ground into a double-play to end the inning.

Mattheus got Frandsen and Schierholtz, hitting for Lindblom, to start the seventh before Rollins lined a 3-1 pitch out to right. That cut the lead to 5-3. Mayberry struck out swinging for the third out.

Utley doubled to right off of righty Tyler Clippard to start the eighth. Howard struck out swinging for the first out before Utley took third on a wild pitch. Ruiz walked, putting two men on for Brown. Brown got to hit against the righty Clippard and hit a 2-2 pitch well to right. Werth took it on the warning track for the second out, though. Utley scored, cutting the lead to 5-4. Ruf followed and singled softly to right, moving Ruiz up to third. Pierre ran for Ruf at first. Clippard struck Frandsen out swinging 1-2 to leave the runners at the corners.

Brown didn’t miss by much. Howard strikes out against the righty for a big first out.

The Phillies were down 8-4 when righty Drew Storen set them down in order in the ninth. Nix hit for Bastardo and struck out swinging for the first out.

Rollins 1-for-4 with his 23rd homer of the year. He’s 1-for-his-last-18. 249/322/486 with 21 homers over his last 438 plate appearances.

Mayberry 1-for-5. 2-for-his-last-18 with seven strikeouts.

Utley 2-for-4 with a double. He made an error in the second that led to an unearned run when Suzuki followed with a homer. 305/423/463 in September.

Howard 0-for-3 and struck out twice. 7-for-his-last-41 (.171) with 16 strikeouts.

Ruiz 0-for-2 and walked twice. 5-for-his-last-32 (.156).

Brown 0-for-3 with two strikeouts and an RBI. His line against lefties for the year is down to 140/245/256.

Ruf 1-for-4 and grounded into a double-play. Zimmerman made a nice play on his ball in the fourth to take away what might have been another hit. 3-for-9 with a home run so far for the year. Phils face another lefty today in Gio Gonzalez, so Ruf seems like a good bet to get another start.

Frandsen 2-for-4 with a double and a triple, both off the lefty Lannan. Had a big chance against the righty Clippard in the ninth and struck out for the third out.

Cloyd (2-1, 3.86) faces lefty Gio Gonzalez (20-8, 2.84) tonight. Cloyd was fantastic in his last outing, needing just 88 pitches to hold the Mets to a run over eight innings. Lefties are still hitting an ugly 295/380/523 against him for the year. Gonzalez has allowed more than two earned runs once in his last eight starts (he allowed three in the other). Opponents are hitting just .204 against him for the year.


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