Tag: Jack Taschner

JA don’t go awa

Every now and again you hear a rumor that the Phillies might trade JA Happ as part of a package to get starting pitching. Whether that’s a good idea or not probably depends on the pitcher you’re trading for and what else you have to give up. Happ has been fantastic in ’09, though, arguably the best pitcher on the team so far this season.

There are 11 pitchers on the Phillies who have thrown at least 20 innings for the team this season (nothing in this post includes results from last night’s game). For the six categories below, for each of those 11 pitchers there’s a “Yes” in his cell if he has been better than Happ in the category this year and a “No” in the cell if he has been worse than Happ in the category this year:

Better than Happ this year?

Player

ERA

Ratio

H/9

BB/9

SO/9

XBH/9

Blanton

No

No

No

Yes

Yes

No

Hamels

No

No

No

Yes

Yes

No

Moyer

No

No

No

Yes

No

No

Myers

No

No

No

Yes

Yes

No

Park

No

No

No

No

Yes

No

Durbin

No

No

Yes

No

Yes

No

Madson

No

No

No

No

Yes

Yes

Condrey

No

No

No

No

No

Yes

Lidge

No

No

No

No

Yes

No

Taschner

No

No

No

No

No

No

Bastardo

No

No

No

Yes

Yes

No

So, for example, Blanton has a worse ERA, worse ratio, worse hits per nine and has allowed more extra-base hits per nine innings, but has better rates for strikeouts and walks.

Nobody in the group has a better ERA or ratio than Happ. Only Durbin has been better at preventing hits. Opponents are hitting .230 against Happ and .219 against Durbin (they’ve actually hit just .228 against Madson, but Happ’s hits per nine innings rate is better). Happ doesn’t strike people out and his walk rate is too high — he has walked 3.38 per nine, which is worse than the mark for the other guys on the list who have started games for the Phils other than Park.

If Happ hasn’t been the best pitcher on the staff this season it has to be somebody. Who could it be? I don’t think it can be anyone who hasn’t thrown 20 innings. I don’t think it could be anybody that has started games, because Happ has a ratio that’s better and an ERA that’s at least a run better than anyone who has started at least three games for the Phils this year. Moyer is the only guy on the team with more wins, but Moyer’s ERA is 5.72.

Lidge and Taschner both have ERAs over five. That leaves Durbin, Madson and Condrey. Condrey has walked hitters more regularly and struck them out less regularly than Happ has, and lots of guys on the team have better rates than Happ in those categories. Durbin has been better at getting strikeouts and preventing hits, but his walk rate isn’t just worse than Happ it’s a whole lot worse. Opponents are hitting just .219 against Durbin, but they’re on-basing .346.

I think the guy with the second-best case on the team is Madson. But I think Happ has been better.

  IP ERA Ratio H/9 BB/9 SO/9 XBH/9
Madson 41.7 3.24 1.25 7.78 3.46 9.29 2.16
Happ 80.0 3.04 1.20 7.43 3.38 6.41 2.70

Madson has fantastic strikeout numbers that Happ can’t match. He’s also been the best pitcher on the team of the guys who have thrown at least 20 innings at preventing extra-base hits. He didn’t allow a home run on the year until June 18 (none in his first 33 appearances). Still, Happ has been better at preventing hits and walks, his ERA is better and he’s thrown almost twice as many innings.

I’ll do an update later this morning to the Happ/Madson table to reflect the two strong innings that Madson threw last night.

You can still vote for Victorino for the All-Star team at the Phillies web site. Voting ends today at four.

This says that there are players in the Phillies minor league system that the team would not trade to get the best player in the Major Leagues. It also says that they are Kyle Drabek, Jason Knapp and Dominic Brown. I find both elements of that tough to believe — it’s a little easier for me if you add the stipulation that the hypothetical best player in the Major Leagues also has an enormous contract. I would be surprised if it was not the case that the Phils were willing to trade one or more of the three players listed above for someone who was not the best player or even the second-best player in the Major Leagues if he didn’t have a huge contract.

This says that Ibanez may play in two games in the series with Pittsburgh this weekend and that Condrey will start a rehab assignment soon.

Update: Here’s Madson and Happ after two scoreless innings from Madson in last night’s game:

  IP ERA Ratio H/9 BB/9 SO/9 XBH/9
Madson 43.7 3.09 1.19 7.42 3.30 9.07 2.06
Happ 80.0 3.04 1.20 7.43 3.38 6.41 2.70

In the top chart, Madson hops ahead of Happ in hits per nine innings and walks per nine innings. It’s still almost twice as many innings pitched for Happ, though.


The Phils are a team of necessity — and if they can’t find any necessity they’re happy to make their own

The Phillies dubbed themselves a “team of necessity” last season and this year has brought a marked lack of necessity. The Mets have been riddled with injuries and nothing has forced the Phils to separate themselves from New York and the other teams in a weak NL East. And they didn’t. And now they’ve done it for so long they have some company atop the division.

You hear a whole lot of bashing of the NL East this year. And with good reason. The other teams at least have an excuse. The Mets have had to overcome ridiculous injuries and there aren’t a whole lot of people who thought the Marlins, Braves or Nationals had a huge chance to take the division in the first place. It’s harder to find an excuse for the Phillies.

The next post won’t be till Monday, so here’s the recap of the first two games with the Braves.

The Phillies are 39-36 on the season after dropping the first two games of a three-game set in Atlanta in miserable fashion. The are in first place in the NL East, a half game ahead of the second-place Marlins and two games ahead of the injury-plagued Mets.

The Phillies lost the first game of the series 5-4. Blanton went just five innings and left with the Phils down 3-2. Homers by Mayberry and Feliz put the Phils up 4-3 in the eighth, but Atlanta tied the game at 4-4 in the bottom the eighth with an unearned run that scored with the help of errors by Madson and Werth. The Phils made three errors in the game. The Braves won the game against Park in the bottom of the tenth — Park got the first out and then allowed three straight singles.

The Phillies got two hits yesterday, singles by Bako and Victorino, and lost 11-1. Hamels was awful for his second straight start — he allowed seven runs over four innings. The pen allowed four runs in four frames after he left.

Hamels and Blanton combined to throw to a 9.00 ERA with a a 2.44 ratio over nine innings in the first two games of the set.

Blanton went five innings in game one, allowing three runs on eight hits and three walks. Not a good outing for Blanton, but he had a 3.62 ERA in his six June starts.

Hamels allowed seven runs on nine hits and two walks over four innings in game two. He didn’t allow a home run in the game, giving up seven singles and two doubles. He struck out just one. It’s two bad starts in a row for Hamels. He’s allowed 11 earned runs in 8 2/3 innings over his last two starts.

The bullpen went 8 1/3 innings in the first two games of the series, throwing to a 3.24 ERA and a 1.56 ratio. They allowed six runs, only three of which were earned, on ten hits and three walks. In the first game Madson was charged with a run on a hit and two walks over 2/3 of an inning before Park took the loss in the tenth. Walker allowed two home runs last night and Taschner gave up two unearned runs in the bottom of the eighth with the game already out of reach.

Romero entered game one in the eighth with two outs, men on first and third and the score tied at 4-4. He got Brian McCann on a popup to Utley to end the inning. He came back to start the ninth with the score still tied and got the only two men he faced before Park came on to pitch to righty Jeff Francoeur.

Taschner started the bottom of the eighth yesterday with the Phillies down 9-1. The first man he faced reached on an error by Feliz. He got the next two before allowing a walk and two singles that plated two runs for the Braves and made the score 11-1. He struck Matt Diaz out with two men on to end the inning.

Both runs charged to Taschner were unearned because of the error by Feliz He didn’t pitch well, though. He has been charged with runs in four of his last five appearances and his ERA has gone from 3.74 to 5.20. He has a 1.95 ratio on the season and has allowed 20 walks in 27 2/3 innings. That’s not a typo — he really has walked 20 in 27 2/3 innings on the year.

Escalona pitched the seventh inning last night with the Phillies down 9-1. He allowed a one-out single, but got the next two.

He’s made six appearances on the season for the Phils — one, on June 13 against the Red Sox, was bad, but the other five have been impressive.

Park entered the ninth inning of game one with two outs and the score tied at 4-4 to pitch to Francoeur. Francoeur flew to right to end the inning. Park came back to start the tenth and struck out the first hitter before back-to-back singles and a throw to third put men on second and third with one out. Prado singled to left to give Atlanta a 5-4 win.

Durbin started the sixth inning of game one with the Phillies down 3-2. He pitched the sixth and the seventh, keeping the Braves off the board and allowing just one single.

Madson started the eighth inning of game one with a 4-3 lead. He got the first two outs before walking Gregor Blanco. Madson made an error trying to pick Blanco off, allowing the runner to move to second where he scored on a Martin Prado double to tie the game at 4-4. Prado went to third on another error when Werth mishandled the wall and Madson walked Chipper Jones intentionally. Romero came in to pitch to McCann with two outs and men on first and third.

Walker relieved Hamels yesterday in the fifth with nobody out and a man on first, the Phillies down 6-1. Two of the next four hitters he faced homered, putting the Phillies down 9-1. He got the pitcher Jair Jurrjens on a ball hit back to the mound to end the inning.

He came back to throw a 1-2-3 sixth.

The runs he allowed last night were the first charged to him on the season.

Lidge did not pitch in the first two games of the series.

Nobody in the pen has pitched two days in a row. Walker threw 29 pitches last night and Taschner 21.

The Phillies scored five runs in the first two games of the series.

Rollins was 0-for-8 with a walk. His last hit came on June 18 and he’s at 205/250/319 for the season.

Victorino 2-for-8 with two singles and a walk. 295/362/440 for the season. The .362 on-base percentage is nice to see. He’s had a little bit of a power drought recently — no extra-base hits in his last 29 at-bats.

Utley went 2-for-8 with a homer in the first two. 301/428/560 on the year.

Howard 2-for-8 with a double. 256/328/535.

Werth 0-for-6 with three walks. 265/363/484 on the year.

Dobbs started in left in each of the first two games. He went 1-for-5 with a double and a walk. 228/284/418 for the year. He has walked once since the game against the Nats on May 30.

Feliz went 3-for-6 with a home run and a walk. 292/337/420 on the year. The walk in the first game of the set means he ends June with three walks in 99 at-bats for the month.

Ruiz started game one and was 0-for-4. 243/349/378. After the first game in June he had a .430 on-base percentage for the season, but hit just .174 with a .250 on-base percentage in June.

Mayberry was 1-for-2 with a home run in the series. He’s hitting 231/268/590 for the year with four home runs in 39 at-bats.

Bruntlett was 0-for-1 to drop his line for the year to 134/208/194.

Coste was 0-for-1 and is hitting 250/348/390.

Stairs was 0-for-1 and is at 291/426/491 on the year. He has just one extra-base hit since May 27, a double, which has dropped his slugging percentage from .633 to .491.

Bako started last night and was 1-for-4 in the first two games of the set. He’s 2-for-7 with the Phillies. I’m hoping Escalona gets to stay when Lopez is activated. Not optimistic.

Rodrigo Lopez will start tomorrow night’s game against the Mets. In 13 starts at Triple-A he’s thrown to a 3.91 ERA with a 1.35 ratio. He’s allowed a lot of hits, 83 in 71 1/3 innings, but not too many walks (13) or home runs (4). Over his last three starts he’s allowed two earned runs in 21 innings (0.86 ERA) with a 1.00 ratio.


At least last time they did that nifty thing where they played in a mud pit and the game took two days

It wasn’t quite as entertaining this go-round.

It’s a little hard to watch the Phillies play the Rays without thinking back to 2008 and the World Series. It’s also a little hard to think back to 2008 without wondering what exactly it is that’s wrong with the Phillies. And the answer is that there’s more than one thing wrong. They aren’t playing well. They don’t hit well and don’t pitch well. They make absurd mental mistakes that we’ve almost never seen from the team. They don’t notice as the batter who just walked runs to second. They forget how many outs there are on a fly ball and cost the team a run by getting doubled-off of first. They flip the ball to the wrong base a little too late, keeping an inning alive.

The Phillies are 37-33 on the season after losing two of three to Tampa Bay. They are in first place in the NL East, but lead the Mets by a half game and are just one game ahead of the Marlins. They have lost eight of their last nine and ten of their last twelve.

The Phillies pounded the Rays 10-1 in the first game of the series. The Phils scored six times in the first inning, getting a three-run homer from Mayberry. Moyer pitched very well, allowing just one run over six innings. Walker and Escalona came on after Moyer and gave the Phils three innings of scoreless relief.

Tampa Bay took game two 7-1, but things were a lot closer than that before the Rays blew the game open late. Blanton pitched very well, but Matt Garza shut down the Phils. Tampa started the top of the eighth with a 2-1 lead — they should have been kept off the board in the frame, but a Rollins misplay with two outs and the bases loaded kept them alive. They went on to score five times in the inning.

The Phils lost game three 10-4. They jumped out to a 4-0 lead in the top of the first, but Bastardo gave back three in first and three more in the second before leaving in the fourth inning with a shoulder problem. It made for a long day for the pen. They were called on to throw 4 1/3 innings and allowed four runs.

Awful pitching from the Phils in the series. In 25 innings they threw to a 6.48 ERA with a 1.48 ratio. They allowed 32 hits and walked 14.

They got two good starts, one from Moyer and one from Blanton, and an awful start from Bastardo. As a group the three threw 16 2/3 innings to a 4.86 ERA and a 1.56 ratio.

Moyer went six innings in game one, allowing a run on five hits, two singles and three doubles, and three walks. Four of his last five starts have been good. He’s allowed just three home runs in his last 31 innings after allowing 13 over 48 1/3 innings to start the season.

Blanton allowed two runs over seven innings in game two, giving the Phils their fourth-straight quality start. He struck out ten while allowing six hits and two walks. He has been fantastic recently. Over his last six starts he has a 2.75 ERA and a 1.14 ratio over 39 1/3 innings. He’s gone seven innings in four of his last six starts.

Bastardo was unimpressive in game three as the Phils gave him an early lead and he gave it right back. He allowed six runs over 3 2/3 innings on seven hits, including two home runs, and three walks. Over his last three starts he has allowed 14 earned runs in 11 2/3 innings (10.80 ERA) with a 1.80 ratio. Even if he was healthy enough to make his next start you would have to wonder if the Phils would have been ready to give someone else a try.

The relief pitching was atrocious. 9.72 ERA with a 2.40 ratio in 8 1/3 innings. They didn’t allow a home run, but gave up 14 hits and six walks. Walker and Escalona were very good in game one, but Romero and Park got hit hard in game two and Durbin in game three. Taschner also allowed a run on two hits and a walk in game three.

Romero entered game two in the bottom of the eighth with the Phils down 2-1 after BJ Upton doubled off of Blanton to start the frame. He gave up a single to send Upton to third, bringing up Willy Aybar with nobody out. Aybar hit a fly ball to Stairs in left for the second out and Stairs threw Upton out tagging from third. Crawford held second. Romero hit Carlos Pena with a pitch and then walked Ben Zobrist, loading the bases with two down. Park relieved Romero to pitch to the righty Burrell.

Awful outing for Romero, but he would have gotten out of it with his ERA unscathed if the inning had ended when Park got Burrell to ground to Rollins. He didn’t, as it turned out, and Romero was charged with three earned runs in the game.

Through the appearance he had walked 11 in 9 2/3 innings this season.

Taschner pitched the seventh inning of game three with the Phillies down 9-4. He allowed a triple a walk and a double in the frame and was lucky to give up just one run in the inning.

Over his last four appearances Taschner has allowed seven earned runs on 12 hits and four walks. That’s a 12.60 ERA and a 3.20 ratio. He’s not pitching very well.

Escalona lowered his ERA for the season to 3.38 with a 1-2-3 in the ninth inning of game one with the Phils up 10-1.

He’s pitching a whole lot better than Taschner, but lost his spot on the roster when Lidge returned.

Durbin entered game three yesterday in the bottom of the fourth with two outs, men on first and second and the Phils down 6-4. He struck Burrell out to get out of the inning. He came back for the fifth and got the first two before allowing two singles and a walk to load the bases. He struck out Dioner Navarro to leave the runners stranded. He returned for the sixth. Tampa Bay loaded the bases on a double and two walks. With two outs and the bases full, Tyler Walker relieved Durbin with the bases full and Jason Bartlett at the plate. Walker allowed back-to-back singles, so all three runners scored with the runs charged to Durbin.

Durbin has been charged with runs in each of his last three appearances, allowing five runs in four innings.

Park entered game two in the bottom of the eighth with two outs, the bases loaded and the Phils down 2-1. He got Burrell to hit a ground ball to short, but the ball was slowly hit and Rollins’ toss to second was not in time to force Ben Zobrist. Rollins almost surely would have had Burrell if he had gone to first. 3-1 with the bases loaded. Jason Bartlett followed and blooped a two-run single to right. 5-1. Gabe Gross was next and he doubled to right, driving in two more runs to make it 7-1, but was thrown out going for third to end the inning.

Walker pitched the seventh and eighth innings of game one with a 10-1 lead. He allowed three singles but no runs.

He also pitched in game three, entering in the bottom of the sixth with two outs, the Phils down 6-4 and the bases loaded to face Bartlett. He allowed an RBI-single to Bartlett and Aybar followed with a two-run single that made it 9-4. Victorino threw Aybar out at second to end the inning.

Another outing for Walker where the runs he helps allow are charged to another pitcher. He has a 0.00 ERA and a 1.60 ratio with the Phils in five appearances.

Madson pitched the eighth inning of game three with the Phillies down 10-4. He allowed a single and walk but kept the Rays off the board.

Lidge took Escalona’s roster spot for game three but did not pitch.

Nobody in the pen has thrown more than one day in a row. Durbin threw 54 pitches last night and Taschner 35, so I would guess you won’t be seeing either of them tonight.

The Phillies scored 15 runs in the three-game series.

Rollins made a great play in game one and a miserable play in game two. In game one he made a great catch on a ball off the catwalk. With two outs and the bases loaded in the bottom of the eighth in game two, Burrell hit a slow ground ball to short. Rollins had time to get Burrell at first, but instead underhanded to second and the runner beat it out, allowing a run to score. The Rays blew the game open from there.

He didn’t start last night. 0-for-9 in the series. 0-for-his-last-19. He’s hitting 211/254/328 for the year.

Victorino was 2-for-10 with three walks in the series. 300/366/456 for the year.

Utley was 4-for-11 with a double and a home run in the series. He’s hitting 300/430/555 for the season. One home run in his last 51 at-bats.

Howard was 2-for-11 with two doubles and three RBI. 254/329/551. He has one home run in his last 37 at-bats.

Werth grounded into a big double-play in game two of the set. With the Phils down 2-0, Matt Garza walked the bases loaded to start the fourth inning. Werth came to the plate and swung at the first pitch, hitting a ground ball to third that the Rays turned into a third to home to first double-play. 3-for-11 with a home run in the series. He’s at 257/344/460 for the year.

Feliz was 2-for-11 with two singles in the series. 289/332/398. He’s 4-for-his-last-35 with four singles. He has one walk since May 23 and has gotten 112 at-bats since May 23.

Mayberry started the first game of the series and was 2-for-5 with a home run in the set. 320/346/760 in 25 at-bats on the year.

Coste played first base in game one with Howard at DH. 1-for-5 in the series. 242/337/396 for the year.

Ruiz caught all three games of the series and went 1-for-10 with a single and four strikeouts. 248/359/391 for the season.

Bruntlett started at shortstop yesterday with Rollins on the bench. He’s not really the guy you want starting against a righty like Sonnanstine, what with the career .276 on-base percentage against righties. 0-for-4 with a strikeout in the series. 145/234/218 for the year.

Dobbs played first base in games two and three. 3-for-8 with three singles in the set. His line is up to 233/288/425 on the season. He’s hitting 343/333/657 in June without a walk.

Stairs started in left in game two and threw Upton out trying to tag and score from third in the bottom of the eighth inning with the Phillies down 2-1. He also started in left in game three. 2-for-5 with a double in the series. 288/431/500 in 52 at-bats for the season. He’s on pace to get 120 at-bats for the year.

Bako did not play in the series and is 1-for-3 with the Phils on the season.

Burrell played for Tampa Bay in the series. 3-for-11 with a double, a home run and four RBI. He’s hitting 243/354/324 on the season. Coming into the series he hadn’t had an extra-base hit since May 2 against the Red Sox.


Really?

Seriously? He really threw that 1-2 pitch there? Swept by the Orioles? Lost six in a row? Lost eight of nine? 13-22 at home? Yes, yes, yes, yes and yes.

If nothing else, at least the little-home-stand-that-couldn’t is finally over. Good riddance. Things have gotten just plain ugly and hard to believe as the Phillies struggle in a whole lot of different ways. The team seems stuck in a fog they can’t find there way out of. Most recently the fog featured the Baltimore Orioles pummeling them this way and that as the O’s swept a three-game set in Philadelphia.

It sure looked like Ryan Howard, struggling most of the weekend with flu-like symptoms that had him in and out of the hospital, had snapped the team out of its collective funk with a pinch-hit three-run homer in the bottom of the seventh in game two that put the Phillies up 5-3. That illusion lasted for one full inning, before Madson gave up three runs on two homers in the top of the ninth. Madson has allowed three home runs in his last two appearances after not allowing any in his first 34.

The finale yesterday was almost as bad. It featured Cole Hamels and the Phils squaring off against a guy who came into the game with a 5.42 ERA and sat atop the American League in home runs allowed. Hamels pitched great, but not great enough for a Phillies team that suddenly has a lot of problems scoring runs. Baltimore took the game 2-1 to complete the sweep.

The Phillies are 36-31 on the season after being swept by Baltimore in a three-game set. They remain in first place in the NL East and are two games ahead of the Mets. They have lost six in a row.

Baltimore won game one 7-2. Werth put the Phils up 2-0 with a two-run double in the first, but the Phillies got four more hits the rest of the game. Bastardo went deep into the game, throwing seven innings and allowing four runs on just five hits without walking a batter. Bastardo left with the Phils down 4-2, but the O’s broke the game open against Taschner with three runs in the top of the ninth.

Game two was a little tough to take. The Phils went into the bottom of the seventh down 3-0. They got it to within 3-2 when Ryan Howard, unable to start after being in the hospital the night before with a high fever, came off the bench to deliver a pinch-hit three-run homer. The 5-3 lead stood in the top of the ninth when Madson came on to close. Greg Zaun hit a solo homer to cut it to 5-4. Madson had Brian Roberts down 1-2 with two outs and a man on first when Roberts hit a horrible pitch from Madson out to right-center to put Baltimore up 6-5. That was how it ended.

The Phillies lost 2-1 yesterday. Hamels pitched very well. Dobbs, starting at first again, put the Phils up 1-0 with a solo homer in the bottom of the fourth. The O’s tied it up at 1-1 in the top of the sixth with a double, a stolen base and a single. Hamels allowed another run in the top of the eighth when Robert Andino led off with a double and came around to score on a single by Roberts. The Phils should have tied the game in the bottom of the eighth, but Rollins was called out at first and Victorino followed with a two-out double that would have tied things up. Victorino was left stranded when Utley grounded back to the pitcher and the Phils went down in order in the bottom of the ninth.

The Phillies got good starting pitching in the series and miserable work from their bullpen. Overall they threw 27 innings in the series with a 5.00 ERA and a 1.52 ratio.

The starting pitching was not the problem. The Phils got three good starts in the set and all three pitchers went at least six innings. As a group the three went 21 innings with a 3.43 ERA and a 1.33 ratio. In 21 innings they walked just four and did not allow a home run.

Bastardo pitched well in game one. He went seven innings and allowed four runs on five hits and no walks. Three of the five hits went for extra-bases, all doubles. He’s made four starts so far and just one of them is bad, the game where he walked three in the first and Boston scored five runs with the help of three errors before rain forced him from the game.

Happ allowed two runs over six innings in game two, but with a lot of base-runners. He allowed ten hits, eight singles and two doubles, and four walks.

Hamels went eight innings in game two, allowing two runs on nine hits (seven singles and two doubles). He struck out ten and did not walk a batter. He’s allowed one home run over 28 innings in four June starts.

The bullpen was terrible in the series. Taschner gave up three runs in the first game to make a close game not close anymore. Durbin allowed a run in game two before Madson got hammered in the ninth. As a group the relievers threw six innings in the series, pitching to a 10.50 ERA with a 2.17 ratio. They allowed three home runs in six innings.

Romero did not pitch in the series.

Taschner pitched the eighth and ninth innings of game one. He kept Baltimore off the board in the top of the eighth, but in the ninth he allowed three runs as the O’s extended their lead from 4-2 to 7-2.

He has a 5.26 ERA and a 1.87 ratio for the season. Six runs on ten hits and three walks over four innings in his last three appearances.

Durbin started the seventh inning of game two, taking over for Happ with the Phils down 2-0. The first three hitters he faced all reached on singles. Durbin got the next two, but then walked Roberts to force in a run and make it 3-0 Baltimore. He struck out the next hitter to leave the bases loaded.

Park pitched the eighth inning of game two with the Phillies up 5-3. He set the O’s down in order, striking out two.

He also pitched the ninth inning yesterday with the Phillies down 2-1. He faced four hitters. He got three out and the other reached on an error by Dobbs.

Over his last seven appearances Park has been charged with one earned run over eleven innings. Eight hits, two walks, thirteen strikeouts.

Condrey did not pitch in the series.

Madson started the ninth inning of game two with the Phillies up 5-3. Zaun homered with one out to make it 5-4. Oscar Salazar bounced a two-out single into right. Madson got ahead of Roberts 1-2 and Roberts homered to right-center to put Baltimore up to stay at 6-5. Terrible pitch by Madson, who left the ball in a terrible place given the count.

Walker didn’t pitch in the series.

Park is the only guy in the pen who has pitched two days in a row. The Phillies don’t play today, so you would assume he will be available for tomorrow’s game.

The Phillies scored eight runs in the three-game set.

Rollins went 0-for-10 with three walks in the series. He’s hitting 217/261/338 for the year. .217?

Victorino was 5-for-9 with three doubles and three walks in the set. 304/365/465 for the season. He’s hitting 338/430/515 in June.

Utley was 1-for-12 with a double. 297/428/547. He’s 2-for-his-last-19.

Howard started game one and was out after that with flu-like symptoms with the exception of the monster pinch-hit home run in game two. 1-for-4 with a walk and a homer. 257/332/558.

Werth was 2-for-12 with a double and two RBI. He’s hitting 256/343/456 for the year. 247/320/408 against righties, which is a problem if you’re going to play every day as a corner outfielder. The Phillies actually have some bigger problems that Werth’s splits against righties, though.

Feliz was 0-for-11. He’s hitting 294/339/409 after going 2-for-his-last-24 with two singles. He has walked once in his last 101 at-bats. That sounds like something that would have to be made up, but that’s sadly not the case.

Mayberry started in left in game one. He was 2-for-6 with a double in the series. 6-for-20 with the Phils on the year with two doubles and two home runs.

Ruiz started games one and three was 1-for-8 with a single in the series. 260/377/415.

Coste was 0-for-3 in the series and is hitting 244/343/407 for the year.

Bruntlett was 0-for-2 with two strikeouts. 157/250/235 for the season.

Dobbs started at first in games two and three. He was 3-for-6 with a home run in the series. 215/278/431 for the year, but 4-for-his-last-7 with two home runs.

Stairs started in left in game two. 2-for-8 in the set and at 277/424/489 for the year.

Bako started at catcher in game two. He was 1-for-2 in the series and is 1-for-3 with the Phils on the year.

Finally, I would like to note that I almost titled today’s post I-guess-I-picked-the-wrong-week-to-quit-sniffing-glue (in homage to Airplane!), but had the feeling I had used that headline before. Turns out I had, almost exactly one year ago today. The Phillies had just been swept by the Angels and had lost five in a row.


Perfect storm of suck proves to be too much for Phils to handle

The Phils can’t win at home and can’t beat the AL, so we probably should have guessed there would be some hide-your-eyes-ugly moments when the Blue Jays came to town. There were. Maybe even a few more than expected.

There are a whole lot of things going wrong for the Phillies even besides their problems at home and against the AL. Ibanez is on the DL. Condrey can’t get anyone out, almost literally. Madson, who the Phils are counting on to close with Lidge on the DL, has faltered late in the game in two straight appearances. Three of the five starting pitchers in the rotation have very little chance to pitch deep into games. The bullpen pitches badly and way too much — over the last 11 games the starting pitchers have gotten an out in the seventh inning once.

The Phillies are 36-28 after being swept by the Blue Jays. They are in first place in the NL East and three games ahead of the second-place Mets. The Phils are 13-19 at home on the year and 7-17 against the AL in the regular season since the start of 2008.

The bullpen imploded late in game one and Toronto won 8-3 in ten innings. Hamels left after six with a 3-2 lead thanks to a two-run homer from Werth in the bottom of the inning. The lead held till the ninth when Madson came on to try and nail down the save, but the Blue Jays quickly loaded the bases on two singles and an intentional walk before Madson walked Lyle Overbay to force in the tying run. Madson managed to get the next two hitters to leave the bases loaded, but Condrey was charged with five runs in the top of the tenth with some help from Tyler Walker.

Jamie Moyer was hit hard in game two, which was unfortunate given that the Phillies scored one run. Werth hit a solo shot in the fourth to get the Phils within 4-1, but Moyer left down 6-1 with nobody out in the seventh. Toronto added a run off of Durbin in the seventh and won the game 7-1.

The Phillies lost game three 8-7. Mayberry, Rollins and Werth all hit early home runs to help give the Phils a 5-3 lead when Blanton started the sixth. But Blanton didn’t pitch well, allowing his second home run of the game and getting just one out in the sixth. Blanton left with the Phils still on top at 5-4, but Toronto got a run off of Park in the top of the seventh to tie things up. Condrey was miserable in the eighth with the help of a big error from Feliz. Condrey didn’t get an out and was charged with two runs that put the Blue Jays up 7-5. The Phillies tied it up at 7-7 in the bottom of the eighth with the help of a pinch-hit home run from Dobbs, but Rod Barajas started the ninth with a home run off of Madson that would prove to be the game-winner.

The Phillies got miserable pitching in the series. The team threw 28 innings and posted a 7.07 ERA and a 2.14 ratio. They allowed seven home runs, walked 19 and gave up 41 hits. They didn’t hit well, but even if they had they would have had a lot of trouble winning with pitching like that.

Their starting pitching was a little better than the relief pitching, but still very bad. The worse news is that the Phillies started their three pitchers that they need to be able to rely on with the two young guys, Happ and Bastardo, not throwing. In the three starts, Hamels, Moyer and Blanton combined to put up a 6.23 ERA and a 1.79 ratio. None of the group got an out in the seventh inning. In the 17 1/3 innings they allowed five home runs and 26 hits but walked just five.

Hamels allowed two runs on seven hits and two walks over six innings in game one. Back-to-back uninspiring starts from the Phils’ ace. He hasn’t walked more than two hitters in a game this season.

Moyer was hit hard in game two, allowing six runs over six innings on ten hits and two walks. He has a 6.35 ERA for the season. He allowed two home runs and two walks in the start after allowing one homer and no walks in his previous three starts combined.

Blanton went just 5 1/3 in game three and was charged with four runs on nine hits and a walk. He had made four straight starts without being charged with more than three runs in a start. His ERA for the year is up to 5.28.

The overworked bullpen was atrocious in the series. 8.44 ERA. 2.72 ratio. In 10 2/3 innings they allowed 15 hits and 14 walks. 14 walks in 10 2/3 innings is more than you should allow. Romero walked four in 1 2/3 innings. Madson three in two innings. Condrey walked three and got just one out in his two appearances.

Taschner pitched the eighth inning of game two with the Phils down 7-1. He allowed a one-out walk but got the next two hitters. He’s pitched just three innings in June, which is not enough given the circumstances.

Romero started the eighth inning of game one with the Phils up 3-2. He walked the bases loaded but got Scutaro and Hill to leave all three men stranded.

He came into game three in the top of the seventh with the Phils up 5-4 with one out and a man on second. The first three men he faced reached on two singles and a walk. The first single scored the runner from second and tied the game. With the bases loaded and one out, Romero got the next two to keep the game tied.

Lots of walks for Romero, who has now walked ten in nine innings.

Walker made his first appearance for the Phillies in game one, He entered in the tenth with one out, the bases loaded and the Phils down 5-3. The first man he faced hit a sac fly. 6-3. Rod Barajas was next and he cleared the bases with a double to make it 8-3. Walker got the pitcher to set Toronto down. Walker’s line for the game — 2/3 inning, one hit, no runs — looks a lot better than his actual contribution.

He also pitched in game two. He entered in the top of the ninth with the Phils down 7-1. He gave up a leadoff single but got the next three.

Pitched in game three, too. He entered in the top of the eighth with nobody out, the bases loaded and the Phils down 7-5. The first batter he faced flew to right and Mayberry made a fantastic throw to nail Vernon Wells at home as he tagged and tried to score. He walked the next batter to load the bases again, but got Raul Chavez on a ground ball back to the mound to leave the runners stranded.

Durbin started the seventh inning of game one with a 3-2 lead. He allowed a two-out walk before striking out Adam Lind to end the frame.

He also pitched in game two, coming in for Moyer in the top of the seventh with the Phils down 6-1 and nobody out. He faced four hitters in the inning and allowed a run on a solo homer to Rolen.

Park took over for Blanton in game three, entering with one out in the sixth, the Phillies up 5-4 and men on first and second. He struck out the first man he faced, walked the second to load the bases and then struck out Hill to end the frame.

Park came back to start the seventh. He got the first man he faced before Scott Rolen doubled to right. Romero relieved him to pitch to Lind.

Condrey started the tenth inning of game one with the score knotted at 3-3 and got mauled. He got the first hitter before allowing back-to-back singles. Rolen was next and put Toronto up 4-3 with a single to right. Condrey walked Lind to load the bases and then walked Rios to force in a run and make it 5-3. Tyler Walker took over for Condrey with the bases loaded and one down — all three runners would come around to score.

He started the eighth inning of game three with the score tied at 5-5. He was charged with two runs in the inning and didn’t get an out. He allowed two singles and a double, walked one batter and another reached on an error by Feliz. He left with nobody out and the bases loaded, the Phils down 7-5.

You’ve got to be worried about Condrey. The Feliz error hurt a lot, but that doesn’t account for six hits and three walks over 1/3 of an inning. He hasn’t made a ton of appearances in June, just seven, but pitched three days in a row June 11, 12 and 13 including multiple innings on June 11 and you have to wonder just how sore his sore back is.

Madson started the ninth inning of game one with a 3-2 lead. He gave up back-to-back singles to start the inning and, with men on second and third, walked Lind intentionally to load the bases. He struck Alex Rios out for the first out before walking Overbay to force in the run that tied the game at 3-3. He got the next two hitters with the bases loaded to get out of the frame.

He came into game three in the top of the ninth with the game scored at 7-7. Barajas led off with a home run to put Toronto up 8-7. Madson walked the next hit before getting a strikeout and a double-play.

First home run of the year allowed by Madson.

Despite all the use of the pen, Walker is the only reliever who has pitched more than one day in a row. He has pitched three days in a row and is almost surely not available tonight.

The Phillies scored 11 runs in the three-game series, seven of which were scored yesterday.

Rollins was 5-for-13 with two doubles and a home run in the series. He draw walk yesterday, which was his first walk in June. He’s hitting 225/263/350 for the season.

Utley was 4-for-11 with three walks an RBI in the series. Three of the hits came in game one. 308/441/567 for the year. He’s hitting 344/468/609 in June but with just one extra-base hit, a double, in his last 25 at-bats.

Werth hit third in game one with lefty Ricky Romero on the mound, then sixth in game two and fifth in game three after Ibanez went on the DL. He hit a home run in every game of the series, going 3-for-13 with three homers and five RBI. He’s hitting 261/350/466 for the year.

Howard was 3-for-12 with two walks and seven strikeouts in the set. 257/331/552. After on-basing .320 in May he’s on-basing .308 in June. His strikeout rate has gone up every month of the season so far — he struck out in about 22.2% of his plate appearances in March and April, about 30.4% of his plate appearances in May and about 34.6% of his plate appearances so far in June.

Ibanez went on the DL after the second game of the series and Mayberry took his roster spot. He was 0-for-8 with a walk in the series. 312/371/656 for the season. If he slugs .656 for the whole year it would be a career high. He has hit just .254 in June with a .299 on-base percentage, but thanks to five doubles and five home runs he’s slugging .571.

Victorino hit sixth in game one and second in the other two games. He was 5-for-10 with five singles and three walks in the set. 295/351/451 for the year.

Feliz was 2-for-13 with two singles in the series. He has walked once in his last 90 at-bats. 308/354/419 for the year.

Ruiz caught games one and three of the series. 0-for-6 with a walk in the series. 270/391/435 for the year. He’s hitting .194 with one extra-base hit in June.

Coste started game two and was 1-for-4 in the series. 253/354/422 for the year.

Bruntlett was 0-for-1 in the series and is hitting 163/259/245 for the year.

Dobbs was 1-for-2 with a home run in the series. 186/258/373 for the season.

Stairs was 0-for-1 in the set and is at 282/451/538 for the year.

Bako did not play. He never plays. 0-for-1 since joining the Phils.

Mayberry was on the roster for game three and started in right. He made a great throw to nail a runner at the plate and hit a home run. 2-for-5 with a homer in the game. 4-for-14 with a double and two home runs with the Phils this season.


Home moan

The Phillies continue to demonstrate their problems at home and it’s a quite a show. In the series with the Blue Jays they’ve struggled to score runs, but overall for the season their bigger problems have been with pitching.

The chart below compares the rate of runs allowed per nine inning for the 12 Phillies pitchers who have faced at least 25 hitters at home and on the road this season (nothing in this post includes results from last night’s game):

  R/9 Home R/9 Away R/9 at
Home over R/9 Away
Eyre 7.71 0.96 8.0
JA Happ 5.24 2.20 2.4
Madson 3.00 1.47 2.0
Condrey 4.26 2.40 1.8
Blanton 5.94 4.37 1.4
Moyer 6.82 5.40 1.3
Durbin 4.86 4.19 1.2
Myers 4.75 4.59 1.0
Hamels 4.42 4.85 0.9
Park 5.96 6.57 0.9
Lidge 7.43 8.53 0.9
Taschner 4.50 5.40 0.8

So, for example, Scott Eyre has allowed 7.71 runs per nine innings at home and 0.96 runs per nine innings on the road and has allowed about eight times the runs per nine innings at home that he has on the road. At the bottom of the list, Hamels, Park, Lidge and Taschner have all allowed runs at a lower rate at home this season than they have on the road.

How many hitters you face both at home and away is obviously important to the teams overall numbers. So, for example, it has hurt the Phillies numbers at home more that Blanton is allowing about 1.4 times as many runs per nine innings at home than it has that Condrey is allowing 1.8 times as many because Blanton throws more innings than Condrey.

As a team the Phillies have been worse at home in many areas. Here’s a look at the rate they’ve allowed runs, hits, walks, extra-base hits, home runs and struck batters out per nine innings at home and on the road:

  R/9 H/9 BB/9 SO/9 XBH/9 HR/9
Home 5.49 9.84 4.16 7.41 3.64 1.62
Away 4.27 8.85 3.02 6.86 3.12 1.31
Home/Away 1.29 1.11 1.38 1.08 1.17 1.24

So the Phillies pitchers are striking out more hitters at home, but they are also allowing more runs, hits, walks, extra-base hits and home runs. The areas where they have the most dramatic difference between what they are doing at home and on the road are in walks and home runs.

For the 12 Phillies pitchers who have faced at least 25 hitters both at home and on the road this season, here’s the percentage of batters at home they’ve faced who have homered or walked and the percentage of batters away they’ve faced who have homered or walked:

  Away Home
 
% HR

% BB

% HR

% BB

Madson

0.0

2.9

0.0

12.9

Eyre

0.0

11.4

7.4

18.5

Happ

2.7

6.4

4.9

16.5

Condrey

1.6

12.5

4.1

6.8

Blanton

3.3

7.9

5.6

6.9

Durbin

3.5

12.8

2.8

15.3

Park

2.6

12.1

1.9

8.7

Myers

7.9

6.5

4.4

8.1

Moyer

3.4

4.1

6.0

6.6

Hamels

3.1

3.9

4.3

5.5

Taschner

6.7

13.3

0.0

15.8

Lidge

6.6

11.5

4.8

11.1

All 12 of the pitchers can then be put into one of these four categories:

Better at home in both categories Better (or same) away in both categories
   
Park Eyre
Lidge Happ
  Moyer
  Hamels
  Madson
   
Higher % of batters have homered against him at home, but lower % of batters have walked Higher % of batters have walked against him at home, but lower % of batters have homered
   
Condrey Durbin
Blanton Myers
  Taschner

Madson hasn’t allowed a home run all season either at home or away.

Update: The Phillies put Ibanez on the DL with a strained groin and called up Mayberry.

More update: Madson has allowed a home run now.


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