Tag: Eric Gagne

Empty nest syndrome

Phillies batters hit with the bases empty in about 56.1% of their plate appearances in 2009 and in those plate appearances they drove in 16.2% of the runs that the Phillies scored. For the eight Phillies regulars, here’s the percentage of their plate appearances that came with the bases empty and the percentage of the runs they drove in last year that came with the bases empty:

  % of PA with bases empty % of RBI with bases empty
Rollins 66.2 14.3
Victorino
62.1 9.7
Ruiz 59.1 11.6
Feliz 56.0 6.1
Werth 55.6 21.2
Utley 54.0 21.5
Ibanez 53.8 21.5
Howard 49.6 14.9

So of those eight, Rollins, Victorino and Ruiz got a higher percentage of their plate appearances with the bases empty than was the average for the team. Werth , Utley and Ibanez were the only three who had a higher percentage of their RBI come with the bases empty than was average for the team.

If Rollins at the top of the list and Howard at the bottom of the list maintained those percentages over a season in which they both got 650 plate appearances, Rollins would get about 430 plate appearances with the bases empty and Howard would get about 322. That’s 108 more times at the plate with the bases empty for Rollins.

The Phillies are trying to avoid arbitration hearings with Blanton, Ruiz and Victorino. This suggests that Blanton was offered $7.5 million and is seeking $10.25, Victorino was offered $4.75 million and wants $5.8 million and Ruiz is looking for $2.5 million and was offered $1.7 million.

This suggests that reliever Eric Gagne was expected to have a tryout with the Phillies yesterday afternoon. The righty Gagne turned 34 in January. He didn’t pitch in the majors in 2009 after a weak season with the Brewers in 2008. He made 17 starts for the Quebec Capitales in the independent CamAm league in ’09 and threw to a 4.65 ERA with a 1.38 ratio in 102 2/3 innings, which, when translated from the French, likely proves to be impressive, or, more likely, not impressive or somewhere in-between. Either way, he was really good in 2003 and if there’s some way the Phillies can capitalize on that I’m all for it.


Nothing like a cold pitcher of Brewer

The post-season rosters haven’t been set yet, but here’s a look at what some of the guys that could be pitching out of the Milwaukee pen over the next few days have done this season and in September:

   
2008

September, 2008

Player
L/R IP ERA Ratio K IP ERA Ratio K
Eric Gagne R 46.1 5.44 1.47 38 11.2 3.09 0.94 10
Salomon Torres R 80.0 3.49 1.45 51 12.2 8.53 2.05 7
Guillermo Mota R 57.0 4.11 1.40 50 10.1 2.61 1.06 8
C Villanueva R 108.1 4.07 1.31 93 15.1 2.35 1.17 16
Seth McClung R 105.1 4.02 1.41 87 16.1 1.10 1.04 17
Brian Shouse L 51.1 2.81 1.17 33 5.0 7.20 1.40 1
Mitch Stetter L 25.1 3.20 1.30 31 2.2 6.75 1.88 2

McClung actually made one start in September — along with Gagne, Villanueva and Mota, he has nice numbers this month.

Torres was hit hard twice in his last six appearances, both times by the Cubs, and has the numbers to prove it. On Saturday he gave up three runs on three hits without getting an out. On September 18 he was charged with four runs in an inning in Chicago.

The issue of who is going to get out Howard and Utley (and presumably Stairs and Jenkins off the bench) could be a big one this series. Both Shouse and Stetter at first glance appear to have pretty solid numbers for the season and miserable numbers for September. Not to be forgotten is how fragile those numbers for the month are given how few innings each of them has pitched. Settler has been charged with runs in just one of his seven appearances this month. Shouse was charged with a run or more in two of his seven appearances.

Opponents are hitting just .165 against Stetter, but he has walked 19 in 25 1/3 innings.

And here’s the Phillies:

   
2008

September, 2008

Player
L/R IP ERA Ratio K IP ERA Ratio K
Brad Lidge R 69.1 1.95 1.23 92 12.2 0.71 1.34 17
Ryan Madson R 82.2 3.05 1.23 67 14.0 0.64 0.93 17
Chad Durbin R 87.2 2.87 1.32 63 11.2 6.94 1.89 5
Clay Condrey R 69.0 3.26 1.51 34 8.2 1.04 1.15 4
Rudy Seanez R 43.1 3.53 1.45 30 7.0 2.57 0.86 5
JC Romero L 59.0 2.75 1.34 52 6.0 7.50 2.00 5
Scott Eyre L 25.2 4.21 1.17 32 6.1 4.26 1.11 8

Manuel will surely rely on Madson, Durbin, Romero and Lidge with the game on the line. The Phillies wouldn’t have won 92 games and probably wouldn’t be in the playoffs without the contributions they got from Durbin and Lidge this season. But Durbin has been terrible of late. It sure feels like Lidge has been shaky recently, too, but that may just be because we’ve never seen much of anything go wrong with him in a Phillies uniform. His numbers sure weren’t shaky in September.

Unbelievable month for Madson, which didn’t get the recognition it deserves. Seventeen strikeouts in 14 innings while yielding just a single earned run.

Seanez and Condrey probably won’t be on the mound if the outcome is in question and Manuel has any other choice. Both have pitched well, though.

As a Phillies fan, the guy I’m most scared of out of the pen these days is Durbin. Romero is 1A — another guy that had just an amazing year and helped get the Phillies where they are. Fifty-two strikeouts in 59 innings. He may be worn down a bit, though. Over his last ten appearances he’s gotten more than one out without being charged a run just twice.

Lidge, Madson and Durbin both pitched last on Saturday. Romero last pitched on Friday. Those guys are the core of the pen and that’s a lot of rest for some pitchers who needed a lot of rest. Hopefully it was enough.

It appears now that JA Happ will be on the roster to pitch out of the pen, perhaps costing Seanez his spot. Happ threw to a 3.69 ERA in 31 2/3 innings for the Phils this season. He appeared in eight games, making four starts. He struck out 26 with a 1.33 ratio. He was very good down the stretch, throwing 18 2/3 innings in September with a 2.41 ERA and a 1.07 ratio.

Burrell hurt his back in batting practice today. His status for tomorrow is unknown. That’s a big deal if he misses game one, but not quite as big a deal as it would be if Yovani Gallardo wasn’t right-handed.


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