Tag: Carlos Ruiz

Dutch treat, but not for the Phillies

Mario Hollands made his major league debut last night at what seemed like a bit of a weird time, entering in the bottom of the ninth in a tie game to face Shin-Soo Choo, Elvis Andrus and Prince Fielder. Didn’t work out so well for the Phils as Choo and Fielder both walked. Choo scored from second on a walkoff single from Adrian Beltre off of B.J. Rosenberg to give the Rangers a 3-2 win.

It wasn’t the only odd choice by the Phillies in the game. Facing their first lefty of the year, they put lefties Domonic Brown and Cody Asche on the bench and Cesar Hernandez and Jayson Nix in their lineup.

Nix and Hernandez were fine in the game, better than fine, actually, going 3-for-7 with a double between them. What wasn’t fine was the Phillies base-running, which saw them picked off of second, doubled off of first and caught stealing in a game where they scored two runs and lost by one.

The bullpen has walked six in 6 2/3 innings over the first two games. The Hollands walk to Choo to start the ninth last night helped put Choo in position to score from second when Beltre singled. Papelbon and Bastardo have been good pitching in relief in the early going — the other three relievers that have appeared, Diekman, Hollands and Rosenberg, have combined to allow four runs on six hits and five walks over three innings (12.00 ERA and a 3.67 ratio).

The Phillies are 1-1 on the season after falling 3-2 to the Texas Rangers last night. The teams have split the first two games of the three-game set.

A.J. Burnett got the start for the Phillies and went six innings, allowing a run on seven hits and two walks. Two of the hits went for extra-bases, both doubles. He struck out three.

He allowed a leadoff single to Shin-Soo Choo in the bottom of the first. Choo was on the move when Elvis Andrus grounded to third, which allowed Choo to move up to second. Prince Fielder flew to center for the second out before Choo took third on a wild pitch. Adrian Beltre drew a walk, putting men on the corners with two down, but Burnett got Rios on a fly ball to center to leave both men stranded.

Wild pitch for Burnett in the frame. He’s been in the top ten in his league for six straight seasons and is the active MLB leader in wild pitches. Led the AL in wild pitches in 2011 with 25 and also in 2009 with 17.

Burnett walked Leonys Martin with two outs in the second. Robinson Chirinos grounded to third to end the inning.

He hit Choo with his first pitch in the third. Choo moved up to second when Andrus followed with a single to center, but Burnett got the next three to keep Texas off the board. Hernandez made a nice sliding play on a line drive hit by Rios of the third out.

Burnett has been in the top ten in his league in hit batters in 2007, 2009, 2010 and 2012. He hit 19 batters in 2010, which lead the AL that year.

Donnie Murphy reached on a softly hit infield single to third with one out in the fourth. Burnett got Martin and Chirinos behind him to set Texas down.

Fielder doubled to right with two outs in the fifth. Burnett got Beltre on a ball hit hard to center for the third out.

The Phillies led 2-0 when Burnett started the sixth. Rios led off with a double to right and scored when Mitch Moreland followed with a single to right. 2-1. Murphy was next and lined a ball to right, but Byrd made a nice diving catch and doubled Moreland off of first. Martin followed with a single and stole second before Chirinos grounded to third for the third out.

Fantastic play by Byrd helps hold the Rangers to a run. Big difference between two outs and nobody on and nobody out and men on first and third.

Diekman started the seventh having thrown 23 pitches the day before. Choo led off with a single and Andrus bunted him to second with the first out. Fielder was next and grounded to short for the second out with Choo moving up to third. Beltre was next and lined an 0-1 pitch into the right-field corner, scoring Choo. 2-2. Diekman walked Rios intentionally and righty Michael Choice hit for the lefty Moreland. Choice struck out looking to end the inning.

Two appearances, two bad results for Diekman. Pitched a brilliant sixth in game one, but came back for the seventh and faced righties Beltre and Rios, both of who reached base and later scored. The righty Beltre delivered the big blow against him in last night’s game.

Bastardo struck out Murphy and Chirinos in a 1-2-3 eighth. He was also pitching for the second straight day after 24 pitches on Monday.

25-year-old lefty Mario Hollands made his debut in the ninth. Choo led off and walked on four pitches. Andrus bunted him to second again with the first out. Fielder was next and the lefty drew a walk. Rosenberg came in to pitch to the righty Beltre lined a 1-1 pitch into right-center for a single, scoring Choo to give the Rangers a 3-2 win.

You probably would prefer to have a lefty there, but pitching to Choo, Elvis Andrus, and Prince Fielder isn’t really where Hollands would ideally make his first appearance. Came in to pitch to lefties and allowed both of them, Choo and Fielder, to walk. Got one guy out, the righty Andrus, who was trying to make an out.

Second awful outing for Rosenberg in two days as he faces one hitter and gives up the game-winner. Still hasn’t been charged with a run, but has allowed three hits and a walk so far while getting two outs.

The pen went 2 1/3 innings in the game, allowing two runs on three hits and three walks. They’ve walked six batters in 6 2/3 innings so far for the year. That’s too many and will make you lose.

Diekman, Bastardo and Rosenberg have all pitched two days in a row. Diekman threw 16 pitches last night, Bastardo 14 and Rosenberg three. Hollands has pitched one day in a row and threw 14 pitches last night.

The Phillie lineup against lefty Martin Perez went (1) Ben Revere (2) Jimmy Rollins (3) Chase Utley (4) Marlon Byrd (5) Ryan Howard (6) Carlos Ruiz (7) John Mayberry (8) Jayson Nix (9) Cesar Hernandez. That’s just terrible. Utley at DH with Hernandez at second. Nix at third with the lefty Asche on the bench and Nix at third. Mayberry in left with Brown on the bench against the lefty — glad to see Mayberry in the lineup, but that’s not the answer. Howard again plays defense in a DH game and hit fifth with Byrd cleanup.

The Phillies went in order in the top of the first.

Byrd started the second with a single, but the Phillies went in order behind him.

Nix singled to start the third, but was caught stealing by a wide margin when Hernandez swung through a pitch on a hit-and-run. Hernandez singled, but Revere and Rollins both struck out behind him.

The caught stealing ahead of the Hernandez single costs the Phils in the frame.

The Phils went in order in the fourth. Ruiz led off the fifth and reached on an error by Beltre at third. Mayberry followed and lined to Murphy at second with Ruiz doubled off of first. Nix struck out looking for the third out.

Not good base-running by Ruiz. Second time in three innings the Phils give away an out on the bases. They can’t afford to do that given that they had four base-runners on three singles and an error through five innings.

Hernandez led of the sixth with a double. Revere followed and bunted, safely reaching first as Hernandez moved up to third. Rollins followed with a single into center, scoring Hernandez (1-0), and moving Revere up to second. Utley flew to center for the first out before Revere was picked off of second for the second. Byrd followed with a single to center, putting men on first and second for Howard. Howard doubled to right, scoring Rollins (2-0) and moving Byrd up to third. Righty Jason Frasor came in to pitch to Ruiz and Ruiz grounded to short to end the frame.

Revere getting picked off of second in a close, reply aided play is the third out the Phillies gave away on the bases in four innings. Cost them at least one run in a game where they scored two. Byrd also fails to score from first on the two-out double by Howard.

The lead was cut to 2-1 when Frasor set the Phillies down in order in the seventh.

It was 2-2 when the Phillies faced lefty Neal Cotts in the eighth. Utley singled to right with two outs and took second on a wild pitch. The lefty Cotts walked the righty Byrd intentionally, but Howard struck out swinging to leave both runners stranded.

Big at-bat for Howard against a lefty late in a tie game. Didn’t end well. Byrd walked intentionally in front of Howard.

Righty Joakim Soria set the Phillies down in order in the top of the ninth. Brown hit for Mayberry and popped to short for the second out.

Revere 0-for-3 and struck out twice. Got picked off of second ahead of what would have been an RBI-single by Byrd. 3-for-9 with three singles so far.

Rollins 1-for-4 with an RBI and two strikeouts. 2-for-10 with five RBI.

Utley 1-for-4 with a strikeout. 4-for-10 with a double so far.

Byrd 2-for-3 with a walk. Made a fantastic diving catch to start a double-play in the sixth that allowed the Phils to hold Texas to a single run in the frame. Should have had an RBI with the single after Revere was picked off. 4-for-9 with a walk and a home run on the year. Looks really irritated and a little shocked on the field when things don’t go well for the Phillies. I assume he’ll get used to it.

Howard 1-for-4 with a double and an RBI. Struck out twice. Five strikeouts in nine at-bats, but a big hit last night and a 333/400/444 line so far.

Ruiz 0-for-4 and left three men on base. Got doubled-off of first in one of several base-running blunders for the Phils. 1-for-7 with two walks so far.

Mayberry 0-for-3 and struck out twice. 1-for-5 with a double and a walk. Excellent job by the Phillies of not playing him in center field.

Nix 1-for-4 and struck out twice. Got caught stealing on the missed hit-and-run by Hernandez. He’s a career .219 hitter with a 245/321/408 line against lefties.

Hernandez 2-for-3 with a double. Made a nice play on a Rios line drive to end the third. Excellent job by the Phillies of not playing him in center field.

Kendrick faces lefty Robbie Ross tonight. We’ll see who plays — let’s hope it doesn’t involve Nix and Hernandez.


But Kendrick wanted to feel good and he accomplished that — I think we can all agree that’s what’s most important here

The Phils were scheduled to play two split squad games yesterday afternoon — the game with the Tigers was rained out and they faced Masahiro Tanaka and the Yankees in the other. They took a 3-1 lead into the seventh inning in that game, but lost 4-3. Horst was charged with a run in the seventh and Aumont with two in the eighth.

Tanaka pitched well for New York, holding the Phils to a run on two hits over three innings. Freddy Galvis hit a solo homer off of him in the third.

Kyle Kendrick started the game for the Phils and went three innings, allowing a run on three hits and a walk while striking out two. He set New York down in order in the first and got the first two in the second before allowing a single to Kelly Johnson that was followed by a Brian Roberts walk. Mason Williams grounded to Ultey to end the frame. Ramon Flores homered off of him to start the top of the third and he allowed a one-out single to Derek Jeter two batters later, but retired the next two hitters to keep the Yankees from getting any more.

Kendrick had allowed two runs in three innings in his first spring start. After two outings he’s allowed four runs on five hits and four walks over five innings (7.20 ERA and a 1.80 ratio).

He had a 5.95 ERA and a 1.56 ratio over his last 18 starts to end 2013. Opponents hit .316 against him over those 101 1/3 innings. Started 2013 by throwing to a 3.12 ERA and a 1.19 ratio over his first 12 outings. Opponents on-based .292 against him in those outings.

So his first 12 starts were better than his last 18. Kendrick also came up with a memorable quote in talking about the home run he allowed to the 21-year-old Flores (Flores hit .260 at Double-A in 2013 with six home runs in 620 plate appearances): “It was the same pitch I froze [Brian] McCann on. With an A-ball kid, you can’t do that. But today I was just more aggressive. I was letting it go. I wanted to feel good, and I accomplished that.”

Really? Misquoted, maybe? Out of context, maybe, like he was remembering back to a church league softball game from his teen years or something? Can you give it to us in the language that it was originally spoken in so we can do our own due diligence to remove any chance of translation error? Something? Please?

Jonathan Papelbon pitched the fourth. He allowed a single and a stolen base, but kept his spring ERA at 0.00 with a scoreless frame. After striking out two in his inning, he has now allowed a hit over two scoreless innings while striking out two.

Mario Hollands allowed a two-out double to Jerer in the top of the fifth, but retired Mark Teixeira on a popup handled by the shortstop Galvis to end the frame. Hollands came back for the sixth and struck out Alfonso Soriano is a 1-2-3 inning.

Hollands had allowed one walk in two scoreless frames coming into the game. After three appearances, he’s thrown four scoreless innings in which he’s allowed one hit and one walk (0.00 ERA with an 0.50 ratio and three strikeouts in four frames). The 25-year-old lefty made 27 appearances (20 starts) between Clearwater and Reading in 2013, throwing to a 2.86 ERA with a 1.23 ratio. He’s pitched very well so far.

Jeremy Horst started the seventh, making his second official appearance having allowed two runs in an inning his first time out. Didn’t go especially well for him in this outing either as he faced seven hitters in the frame, allowing a run on a double, a single and two walks. He’s allowed four hits and four walks over two innings — 13.50 ERA and a 4.00 ratio. He’s going to have trouble maintaining an ERA under 14 if his ratio stays at or near 4.00 for too long.

Phillippe Aumont started the eighth, having pitched well his last time out after a rocky outing his first appearance. Three of the first four men he faced reached on a single, a double and a walk, which left men on the corners with one down and a run in. Flores flew to right for the second out, deep enough for the runner to score from third and put New York up 4-3. Aumont got Adonis Garcia to line to short to end the frame.

Four appearances for Aumont, two good and two bad. The overall numbers aren’t good. In four innings he’s allowed four runs (three earned) on three hits and three walks. That’s a 6.75 ERA and a 1.50 ratio. Opponents have hit just .214 against him, but he’s walked three in four innings coming off of a 2013 in which he walked 51 in 55 innings between the majors and minors.

The Phillies scored three runs in game, all of which came on solo home runs. Galvis homered off of the righty Tanaka. Carlos Ruiz and John Mayberry hit back-to-back homers off of righty Bruce Billings in the fifth.

Domonic Brown was the batter in front of Ruiz’s homer. He reached on a walk, but was caught stealing before Ruiz homered. There’s a thing you want to avoid if you can. You get more points that way.

Mayberry was 2-for-3 with a double and a home run, which was his second. 5-for-11 with a double, two home runs and an unlikely 455/455/1091 line. He started in center in the game. If the Phillies don’t know that they can’t play Mayberry in center field, they should. It obviously doesn’t matter in spring training games. It matters a lot in game you’re trying to win.

Galvis 1-for-3 with his first homer. 3-for-17 (.176) with a homer so far.

Ruiz 1-for-2 with his first home run. 3-for-10 with two walks, a home run and a 1.062 OPS. You know what’s good for your OPS? Having ten at-bats with one of them a home run.

Byrd had the other extra-base hit in the game for the Phils. He was 1-for-3 with a double to drop his average to .375. 6-for-16 with a double and a homer, still looking for his first walk.

Brown 0-for-1 with a walk and a caught stealing. 2-for-17 (.118) with five strikeouts.

Andres Blanco was 0-for-1 and made the game’s only error. He’s 0-for-8.

Frandsen 0-for-4. Asche 0-for-2. Utley 0-for-2. Utley is 2-for-14 with two singles (.143) and no walks. Asche 0-for-12. Frandsen 3-for-15 with three singles (.200).

Gwynn was 0-for-1 in the game and is 2-for-10 overall with a double.

Maikel Franco was 0-for-1. Really rooting for Franco, but it seems like there’s more excitement about his fantastic spring training than circumstances warrant given his miserable defense and 3-for-15 at the plate (200/294/200) so far.

The Phillies play Baltimore this afternoon with AJ Burnett expected to pitch.


With a little luck, though, the special teams could be something special

Fingers crossed. I’m especially excited about what they might do with the punting game.

The last couple of posts have been about declining WAR amongst the Phillie pitchers, but things aren’t going particularly swimmingly on the hitting side, either. Looking at the non-pitchers, Carlos Ruiz, Chase Utley, Ryan Howard and Jimmy Rollins have been the core of the hitters over the past seven years and all four are likely to impact the 2014 Phillies as well.

The news when it comes to the hitting core of the Phils isn’t good for two big reasons. The first is that the combined WAR produced by that core group of players is a) bad and b) getting worse. The second is that the total WAR accumulated by Phillie hitters other than that group of four is also a) bad (really atrocious in 2013) and b) getting worse.

Here are the WAR numbers for each of those four players, the four as a group and for the rest of Phillie hitters over the last seven seasons as calculated by Baseball-Reference:

’07 ’08 ’09 ’10 ’11 ’12 ’13
Total for 4 18.8 16.2 16.4 13.3 10.1 8.8 6.0
Ruiz 2.0 0.1 2.7 4.1 2.8 4.5 1.7
Howard 2.9 1.7 3.8 1.3 1.1 -1.1 0.6
Utley 7.8 9.0 8.2 5.8 3.7 3.0 3.5
Rollins 6.1 5.4 1.7 2.1 2.5 2.4 0.2
Rest of PHI hitters 14.4 12.6 12.6 10.2 5.9 8.1 -2.4
Top 3 other hitters Rowand 5.1 Victorino 4.3 Werth 4.5 Werth 5.8 Victorino 5.4 Pierre 2.0 Brown 2.5
Victorino 3.3 Werth 3.7 Victorino 3.7 Polanco 3.2 Pence 2.2 Victorino 1.5 Revere 0.8
Werth 3.0  Burrell 2.3 Ibanez 2.9 Victorino 3.1 Polanco 1.9 Kratz 1.4 Frandsen 0.5

The total bWAR for the group of Ruiz, Howard, Utley and Rollins topped out at 18.8 in 2007. In 2013 it was down for the fourth year in a row and was at 6.0.

Ruiz has had two years in which he posted a bWAR better than 2.8 — 2010 and 2012. In 2013 he was at 1.7 after averaging about 3.3 over the past three seasons.

Howard has had a bWAR of three of better once in the last seven seasons. Less than two in five of the last six years.

Utley has been in the threes in bWAR for three straight years, which is nice, but a drop from ’07 to ’09 when his bWAR range was 7.8 to 9.0 over a three-year span. From 2005 through 2009 he was over seven for five straight seasons.

Rollins hasn’t topped 2.5 in any of the last five years. From 2004 to 2008 he was in the range of 4.6 to 6.1 for five seasons in a row.

The other big problem for the Phils is that the guys other than the core four have been getting worse. A lot worse. Gone are Jayson Werth and Shane Victorino. Placido Polanco was one of the team’s top position players in 2010 and again in 2011. Domonic Brown had a nice year for the Phils in 2013, but the second best hitter outside of the big four for the Phils was Ben Revere. Revere’s bWAR of 0.8 was worse than the bWAR of the third-best non-Ruiz/Howard/Utley/Rollins hitter on the team in the past six years.


You wanna build a what?

For 2013, Baseball-Reference calculates the combined WAR for Phillie hitters at 3.7.

I’ll be here all week. Don’t forget to tip your waitress.

What? We have to do more?

There were 32 individual NL hitters last year with a bWAR better than 3.7. As you probably guessed, things aren’t exactly headed in the right direction for the Phils in this area — the team was first in bWAR for batters in 2009 after being second in ’08. They slipped to fifth in 2010 and have been in the bottom half of the league ever since. They were 14th in 2013, ahead of only the Marlins.

Here are the eight non-pitchers on the ’13 Phillies who have both a WAR calculated by Baseball-Reference that’s greater than zero and a WAR calculated by FanGraphs that’s greater than zero:

Player bWAR (NL Rank) fWAR (NL Rank)
Utley 3.5 (36) 3.9 (28)
Brown 2.5 (52) 1.6 (83)
Ruiz 1.7 (78) 1.4 (91)
Revere 0.8 (114) 0.9 (108)
Howard 0.6 (127) 0.4 (143)
Rollins 0.2 (170) 1.6 (85)
Quintero 0.2 (180) 0.4 (151)
Rupp 0.2 (181) 0.1 (199)

That’s not good. Using the FanGraphs data, for example, Domonic Brown has the second-best fWAR on the team at 1.6, which was 83rd best in the league.

Baseball-Reference’s guide on interpreting WAR suggests 5+ for an All-Star, 2+ for a starter, 0-2 for a reserve and less than zero replacement level. The Phillies had two hitters with a bWAR higher than two in 2013 and five of the eight players listed above have a bWAR less than one.

Humberto Quintero is a good bet not to be on the Phillies in 2014. Carlos Ruiz is a free agent that could be back, but I wouldn’t count on it. Ruiz not being back is a blow to the Phils — less because he was good last year and more because, by WAR calculated by Baseball-Reference and FanGraphs, he was the third or fourth-best non-pitcher on the Phillies last season despite on-basing .320 with five home runs

That leaves the Phils with six players on the ’14 team that had a positive WAR at both sites in ’13: Chase Utley, Domonic Brown, Jimmy Rollins, Ben Revere, Ryan Howard and Cameron Rupp.

Utley was clearly the best non-pitcher on the Phillies in 2013. He’s had a bWAR that’s ranged from 3.0 to 3.7 over the last three years and seems like a good bet to be in that range again in 2014. The problem is that he was the best non-pitcher on the Phils in 2013 and was about the 28th or 36th best non-pitcher in the 15-team league. That and there’s a pretty monster drop off behind him.

Again, Utley’s bWAR was 3.5. The total bWAR for all the hitters on the team was 3.7. Milwaukee was seventh in the NL in bWAR for hitters at 20.6 last year and the Padres were eighth at 20.3. So to get to about middle of the pack in the NL last year, the Phllies would have needed to add about 16.7 or so bWAR from their hitters, which is about 4.8 players with the 3.5 bWAR of their best hitter. Obviously it’s more complicated than that, because they couldn’t just add players without taking away some that contributed to their 3.7 bWAR in the first place, but the point is they’re a long way away from being in the middle of the pack in the NL.

Brown impressed with the bat in 2013, but he sure can’t play defense. Posted a positive bWAR for the first time in his career, but fWAR was a lot less impressed. Still, he seems like a good bet to get better and is one of a very few blocks the Phillies have to build on.

Rollins put up a bWAR of 0.2, the worst mark for any year in his career in which he’s gotten at least 100 plate appearances. Coming into the season, his bWAR range for the four previous seasons had been 1.7 to 2.5. If he bounces back, it might not be that high. His -1.0 dWAR was the worst mark for his career. FanGraphs had his UZR/150 at short at -2.7 coming off of positive marks for ten years in a row.

Revere is still young, still never going to walk and never hit for power. The Phillies will need him to be an elite defensive player if he’s going to be good and I’m not sure why you’d think that would happen. He wasn’t in 2013, posting the worst dWAR of his career at -0.4 despite less playing time than he had in the last two years. His UZR/150 in center as calculated by FanGraphs was negative for the second straight year as well. He did hit a monster 407/426/482 in his last 123 plate appearances before injury ended his season. I think he’ll probably be okay on the WAR fronts if he can keep that up. Even assuming he doesn’t, I don’t see center field as one of the biggest areas of concern for the Phillies, where they have a good chance to have a very cheap player who will make a positive contribution. If you want to worry, I’d go with right field, first base and catcher in that order. And cross your fingers about Cody Asche at third base.

Howard on-based .319 in 2013 and his isolated power (.199) dropped under .200 for the first time in his career. Over the last two years his average bWAR is -0.25 and his average fWAR is -0.35. Over his last four years his average bWAR is 0.48 and his average fWAR is 0.45.

The Phillies are due to pay Utley, Rollins and Howard a combined $51 million in 2014 and there’s a real chance only one of the three will put up a bWAR better than one. The trio made $46 million in 2013 with Utley the only player of the group with a bWAR better than 0.6. Per the table above, FanGraphs thought Rollins was a lot better than Baseball-Reference.

Cameron Rupp makes a surprise appearance on the list. Let’s hope for the best, but there are going to be some surprised folks out there if he proves to be more than a backup catcher. He also has 14 career plate appearances. Presumably the Phillies will add a catcher before the season starts, which will prevent them from going into the season with Kratz and Rupp handling the catching duties and, presumably, will mean Rupp starts the year somewhere other than on the active roster.


Rate hike

Questions yesterday about whether opposing hitters were more likely to walk in 2013 when Carlos Ruiz was catching for the Phils. That part’s easy — the answer is yes, they were. The harder part is how important that information is and I’m a lot less sure about that. In order to conclude anything, we’d need to look at more complete information about who was doing the pitching, the game situation and the quality of the hitters they were facing.

Still, the overall results were a little surprising to me. The Phillies used five catchers in 2013: Ruiz, Erik Kratz, Humberto Quintero, Cameron Rupp and Steven Lerud. Here’s the total number of plate appearances each caught and the team’s walk rate with them catching:

BF % of BF BB %
All PHI 6213 100 8.1
Ruiz 3251 52.3 9.0
Kratz 2060 33.2 7.5
Quintero 718 11.6 6.4
Rupp 116 1.9 6.0
Lerud 68 1.1 7.4
Not Ruiz 2962 47.7 7.2

So Ruiz caught 52.3% of the batters and during those plate appearances, Phillie opponents walked 9.0% of the time. The other four catchers caught 47.7% of the time and in those chances opponents walked in 7.2% of their plate appearances.

Here’s the breakdown for the three catchers other than Rupp and Lerud for the eight starting pitchers on the ’13 Phils that got at least eight starts.

Pitcher BF Ruiz Kratz Quintero
Hamels 905 61.8/5.9 26.4/5.9 11.8/2.8
Lee 876 55.0/4.1 39.2/3.2 5.8/2.0
Kendrick 800 38.8/4.2 55.1/6.8 6.1/8.2
Pettibone 437 52.6/10.0 21.3/7.5 26.1/7.0
Lannan 332 57.5/10.5 10.8/5.6 31.6/5.4
Cloyd 282 33.9/11.6 50.7/7.7 -
Halladay 282 50.0/16.3 15.2/11.6 34.8/8.2
Martin 190 66.8/15.7 24.7/10.6 -

So, looking, for example, at the top line, Ruiz caught 61.8% of the batters that Hamels pitched to in 2013 and those batters walked in 5.9% of their plate appearances. Quintero caught 11.8% of the batters Hamels faced in 2013 and those batters walked in 2.8% of their PA.

Cloyd and Martin both pitched to Lerud and Rupp. Those numbers aren’t included above.

Of the eight pitchers listed above, six of them pitched to all three of Ruiz, Kratz and Quintero. Of those six, five, everyone except for Kendrick, issued walks at the highest rate while pitching to Ruiz and the at the lowest rate when pitching to Quintero (for Hamels, the 5.9% to Ruiz is a little higher, 5.903, than his 5.9% to Kratz, which is 5.858).

The other of the six that pitched to all three was Kendrick. He walked batters at his lowest rate while pitching to Ruiz and at his highest while pitching to Quintero. It should be noted that Kendrick’s time pitching to Quintero was especially limited. Quintero was behind the plate for just 49 of the 800 batters that Kendrick faced (6.1%).

The other two pitchers on the list, Cloyd and Martin, didn’t pitch to Quintero, but each of them walked batters at a higher rate while pitching to Ruiz than they did to Kratz.

I think it’s hugely important to remember there are a lot of factors at play. For example, Roy Halladay and Ethan Martin each had very high walk rates for the season, regardless of who was catching them. Ruiz caught more than two-thirds of Martin’s innings and half of Halladay’s, which surely contributed to his walk rate being high relative to other catchers on the team. While the rate that each of those guys allowed walks was higher with Ruiz behind the plate, I still think it’s a leap to attribute much of anything to Ruiz without more complete information about the game situation and the quality of hitters the pitchers were facing.

If you look back at the last few years, it’s also not true to say that batters consistently walk more with Ruiz behind the plate than with someone else catching. It was in 2012, 7.1% for Ruiz and 6.2% for everyone else on the Phils, but in 2011 he was way under the walk rate with others catching (6.4% for Ruiz and 7.2% for everyone else). In both 2009 and 2010, the walk rate for hitters with Ruiz behind the plate was just about the same as the walk rate with anyone else behind the plate (6.8/6.9 in ’10 and 7.9/7.7 in ’09).


What would you think if I sang out of tune over and over for like a year and a half or so?

Roy Halladay is supposed to carry the Phillies, not the other way around. If you got to pick one guy who had to try to will himself to excellence when his body seemed unwilling, Halladay would probably be near the top of your list. I know he’d be near the top of mine. He tried to do that last night and couldn’t, though, and it took the whole team to pick him up as the Phils topped the Padres 10-5 for their fifth win in six games.

The offense exploded for the Phils in the game as they scored ten or more runs for the fourth time this season. The top four hitters in the lineup, Hernandez, Rollins, Utley and Ruiz, combined to go 9-for-13 with six walks and eight RBI. Ruiz and Hernandez were 6-for-7 with two doubles, three walks and five RBI.

Halladay took a 7-1 lead into the top of the fifth inning, but walked four straight batters in the frame before throwing the ball away when the next batter dribbled a ball towards third. After his exit with one out in the fifth, five Phillie relievers combined to throw 4 2/3 scoreless innings in which they did not allow a hit or a walk and struck out five.

The Phillies are 68-78 on the year after beating the San Diego Padres 10-5 last night. The Phils take the series two games to one and are in third place in the NL East, 20 games behind the Braves and nine behind the Nats.

Halladay got the start for the Phillies and went 4 1/3 innings, allowing five runs, four of which were earned, on four hits and five walks. Two of the hits went for extra-bases, a double and a solo home run. He struck out six.

5.06 ERA and a 1.50 ratio for Halladay in his four starts since returning to action. Opponents are hitting just .234 against him in those outings, but he’s walked 14 in 21 1/3 innings. Over his last two starts he’s walked ten in 10 1/3 innings. That obviously has not been part of his formula for success in the past. In his first two years with the Phillies, 2010 and 2011, he threw 484 1/3 innings and walked 65 batters (about 1.21 per nine innings). He’s walking about five batters per nine innings this year. He allowed another home run last night and has given up 12 in 55 1/3 innings for the year. In 2011, he threw 233 2/3 innings for the Phils and allowed ten.

Will Venable was the first hitter of the game in the top of the first and hit a 2-0 pitch out to right, putting San Diego up 1-0. Halladay hit Chase Headley with two outs, but struck Tommy Medica out swinging after Headley stole second to end the frame.

Twelfth home run Halladay has allowed on the year. He’s faced a similar number of righties and lefties (131 righties and 123 lefties) and allowed six to righties and six to lefties. Over his career he’s allowed home runs to about 2% of the batters he’s faced. This year he’s allowed home runs to about 4.6% of the righties and 4.9% of the lefties he’s faced.

Halladay started the second up 6-1. He kept San Diego off the board in the second, third and fourth. He allowed a walk in the second and a single in the third. Medica doubled to right to start the fourth, but Halladay set the next three batters down in order, striking two of them out.

Through four innings he had allowed a run on three hits, a walk and a hit by pitch while striking out six.

He started the fifth up 7-1 and things went bad. With one out, he walked four batters in a row. 7-2 with one down and the bases loaded for Medica. Medica dribbled a ball between third base and the mound. Halladay got on it quickly and threw to first, but wildly. Frandsen had no chance. Two runs scored on the throwing error (7-4), leaving the Padres with men on second and third and one out. De Fratus came in to pitch to the lefty Mark Kotsay and Kotsay flew to center, deep enough for both runners to move up a base. 7-5 with two outs and a man on third. Righty Jesus Guzman hit for the pitcher Tommy Layne and flew to Galvis in left for the third out.

Halladay walks four batters in a row and then makes a big throwing error. Did not look happy when Sandberg came for the ball. Between 2010 and 2011, there were four different months in which Halladay made at least five starts and didn’t walk four batters in the month (April and July of 2010 and June and July of 2011).

De Fratus faces two batters and gets them both, dropping his ERA on the year to 4.46. Righties are hitting 306/389/405 against the righy while he’s held lefties to a 163/327/349 line (he’s still walked 12.5% of the lefites he has faced, which is a lot).

Cesar Jimenez struck out two in a 1-2-3 sixth with the Phils up 9-5.

Jimenez has thrown 13 innings over 12 appearances for the Phillies and been charged with a run in just one of the 12. He allowed three runs in 1 2/3 innings against the Mets on August 29 and wasn’t charged with a run in the other 12. Opponents are hitting .196 against him and he hasn’t allowed a home run.

Martin threw a 1-2-3 seventh in his second career relief appearance. Headley lined pretty hard to short for the third out.

Martin has now faced six batters in relief and retired all six.

Rosenberg threw a 1-2-3 eighth with the Phils up 10-5.

Rosenberg was charged with four runs in 2 1/3 innings in his first two appearances on the year. Since then he’s thrown 11 1/3 scoreless innings with an 0.71 ratio in 13 outings. He’s allowed four hits in those 11 1/3 innings (opponents have hit .108 against him).

Diekman pitched the ninth. Venable reached on a two-out throwing error by Rollins, but Diekman got Alexi Amarista to ground to second to end the game.

Over his last 13 appearances, Diekman has thrown to an 0.71 ERA with an 0.55 ratio, allowing a run over 12 2/3 innings. He struck out one last night and has 20 strikeouts over his last 12 2/3 innings.

Just a fantastic job by the bullpen, which goes 4 2/3 scoreless innings after Halladay’s early exit in which they don’t allow a hit or a walk. They faced 15 batters and the only one to reach base reached on the Rollins error in the ninth.

The Phillie lineup against righty Tyson Ross went (1) Hernandez (2) Rollins (3) Utley (4) Ruiz (5) Ruf (6) Asche (7) Frandsen (8) Galvis. Galvis in left and Hernandez in center. They should have played Martinez in right, just to go with an all utility infielder outfield, but played Ruf there instead. Frandsen at first base against a righty. Not sure which is worst of those three — Galvis in left, Hernandez in center or Frandsen at first. We could probably go on about it for a long time. Let’s just say they are all areas where there’s some opportunity for improvement. Part of the glory of these games is that the Phillies can’t find a starting spot in the lineup for everyone. In this case it’s Mayberry on the bench against a righty, which is always a good sign. Or almost always a good sign. We usually take that you won’t be starting Galvis and Hernandez in the outfield for granted, but at this point all bets seem to be, to a really, really alarmingly large degree, off.

The Phillies were down 1-0 when they hit in the bottom of the first and were all over Ross, scoring six times. The first six batters for the Phils reached on four singles, a double by Ruiz and a walk by Asche. It left the Phils up 3-1 with the bases loaded for Frandsen. Frandsen struck out for the first out and Galvis struck out behind him for the second before Halladay walked, forcing Ruiz home. 4-1 with the bases still loaded for Hernandez. Righty Anthony Bass came in to pitch to Hernandez and Henandez doubled on a soft line drive into center. Two more runners scored and Halladay was thrown out easily at the plate to end the inning with the Phils up 6-1.

Ten batters for the Phillies in the inning. Six hits, including doubles by Ruiz and Hernandez, and two walks. Frandsen and Galvis both struck out with the bases loaded and less than two outs.

Ruiz singled off of Bass with two outs in the second, but Ruf struck out behind him.

The Phillies extended their lead to 7-1 in the third, plating another run on singles by Frandsen and Galvis and walks to Hernandez and Rollins. The walk to Rollins with the bases loaded forced Frandsen home.

Ruiz walked to start the fourth, but the Phillies didn’t score.

It was 7-5 when they hit in the fifth. They loaded the bases with one out on singles by Galvis and Hernandez and a walk to Rollins. Utley brought Galvis home from third with a fly ball to center for the second out. 8-5 with men on first and second for Ruiz with two down. Ruiz singled to left, plating Rollins. 9-5 with men on first and third for Ruf. Ruf struck out looking to end the inning.

Frandsen singled off of lefty Colt Hynes with one out in the sixth, but Galvis and Kratz went down behind him.

In the seventh, the Phillies loaded the bases again with one out on a single by Rollins, a stolen base, a walk to Utley, a passed ball that moved the runners to second and third and an intentional walk to Ruiz. It brought Ruf to the plate against righty Brad Brach and he popped to shallow left field, near the line. Amarista fell down catching the ball, which allowed Rollins to tag and score from third. 10-5. Asche struck out swinging to leave runners at first and second.

Righty Dale Thayer set the Phils down in order in the eighth.

Hernandez was 3-for-4 with a a double, a walk and two RBI. His line for the year is up to 293/359/362 after going 3-for-8 with two walks and a double in the three-game set. He’s hitting .358 against righties and .208 against lefties so far. Still just 64 plate appearances for the year.

Rollins 2-for-3 with two walks and an RBI. 246/316/340 for the year. 4-for-9 with three walks and a home run in the series. He has 18 walks in his last 91 plate appearances. He’s hitting .235 over those chances and on-basing .385.

Utley 1-for-3 with a walk and two RBI. 277/345/477 for the year. 2-for-6 with a walk and a double in the series. 348/380/478 over his last 50 plate appearances.

Ruiz 3-for-3 with two walks, a double and three RBI. 287/339/396 on the season. 4-for-7 with two walks and a double in the series. 300/352/424 in 240 plate appearances since the end of May.

Ruf 1-for-4 with an RBI and struck out three times. 251/349/492 for the year. 3-for-11 with a walk and a double in the series. 212/301/458 over his last 136 plate appearances.

Asche 0-for-4 with a walk and struck out three times. 1-for-11 with two walks and a home run in the series. 250/308/442 on the year. 1-for-his-last-19.

Frandsen 2-for-5. 239/307/358 on the year. 4-for-13 with a double in the series. He has started five games in a row for the Phillies at first base, which is just awful. What is it about Frandsen you’re trying to learn at this point? 205/255/305 against righties for the year.

Galvis 2-for-5 and struck out twice. 230/286/404 for the year. 5-for-12 with a double and a home run in the series. 10-for-his-last-21 with a double and two home runs. He’s started six games in a row for the Phils, including three in left field.

Kendrick (10-12, 4.51) faces righty Stephen Strasburg (7-9, 2.96) tonight. Kendrick has a 6.45 ERA over his last ten starts. Opponents have hit .329 against him in those outings and he’s allowed 72 hits in 53 innings. Over his last ten starts, Strasburg has allowed 39 hits in 61 2/3 innings while holding opponents to a .181 average. Righties are hitting 188/252/278 against him for the season.


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