Tag: Brad Lincoln

Ryan Braun hits like eight home runs, but there were a lot of things that we learned about the collector, about the collection process, about the way that the entire thing worked that made us very concerned and very suspicious about what could have actually happened

Brutal, ugly game yesterday as the Brewers bombed the Phils 10-4 in the Phillie home opener. Ryan Braun hit three home runs and drove in seven runs for Milwaukee. Kendrick and Lincoln were both awful. So was the defense, especially at third and in center field, as the Phillies made three errors in the game and another big misplay in center that went for a hit.

The Phillies are 3-4 on the year after losing 10-4 to the Milwaukee Brewers in their home opener yesterday afternoon.

Kyle Kendrick got the start for the Phillies and went five innings, allowing six runs on nine hits and two walks. Only four of the runs were earned. Four of the hits went for extra-bases, two doubles and two home runs. He struck out three.

Kendrick was outstanding in his first start against the Rangers, allowing a run over seven innings. Less outstanding yesterday. 3.75 ERA and a 1.42 ratio after two outings. Lefties are 5-for-13 (.385) against him so far.

Jean Segura singled to center with one out in the top of the first, but Segura was caught stealing and Ryan Braun grounded to short for the first out.

Kendrick started the second up 1-0 and allowed a run on a double by Jonathan Lucroy with one out that was followed by a two-out single by Mark Reynolds. 1-1. Scooter Gennett followed Reynolds with a single that put men on first and second, but Kendrick got pitcher Kyle Lohse on a fly ball to center to end the frame.

Carlos Gomez doubled to left to start the third. Jean Segura was next and bunted, but Kendrick mishandled the bunt for an error that left men on first and second for Braun. Braun homered to left, putting Milwaukee up 4-1. Later in the frame, with two outs and a man on first, Reynolds reached on a throwing error by Asche. It put men on first and second for Gennett and Gennett hit a high bloop into shallow center field that somehow dropped in front of a diving Ben Revere for a single. Reynolds scored to make it 5-1. Kendrick retired Lohse on a ground ball to second to set the Brewers down.

Miserable defense for the Phillies in the inning. Kendrick makes an error on the bunt, Asche makes a throwing error and Revere is not charged with an error when Gennett’s ball somehow drops in center. That one was in the air for a long, long time.

Braun homered to right center with two outs and nobody on, making it 6-1.

It was 6-2 when Kendrick started the fifth. He allowed a leadoff single to Lucroy. He got the next two and with two down and Khris Davis on second, Kendrick intentionally walked Gennett to pitch to Lohse. Lohse grounded to short for the third out.

If we’re voting, I’m voting for trying to get the eight-hitter Gennett out with two outs and a man on second in the fifth inning of a game you’re losing by four runs.

B.J. Rosenberg pitched the sixth with the Phils down 6-3. Segura singled with one out and was caught stealing again with two down to end the frame.

Ruiz throws Segura out twice, once in the first and once in the sixth.

Davis singled off of Rosenberg with two outs in the seventh and the Milwaukee lead cut to 6-4. Reynolds was next and reached on an error by Revere in center, allowing Davis to score. 7-4 with Reynolds on second and two outs. Mario Hollands came in to pitch to the lefty Gennett. Righty Rickie Weeks hit for Gennett and went down on a fly ball to center for the third out.

Rosenberg goes 1 2/3 innings, allowing an unearned run, thanks to the Revere error, on two hits and no walks.

After three appearances, Rosenberg has a 0.00 ERA and a much more telling 2.57 ratio. Opponents are hitting .455 against him.

Hollands faces one hitter in the game, retiring Weeks to drop his ERA to 3.86. He’s been really good since a miserable outing on Opening Day against the Rangers. In three outings since his first appearance, he’s faced six hitters over two innings without allowing a hit or a walk.

Brad Lincoln pitched the eighth and the Brewers broke it open with three more runs. Gomez doubled to left with one out and Lincoln hit Segura behind him, bringing Braun to the plate with two men on. Braun hit Lincoln’s first pitch out to left-center for a three-run homer that made it 10-4. Lucroy doubled off of Lincoln with two outs, but Davis flew to center for the third out.

Lincoln returned for the ninth. He allowed a leadoff double to Reynolds, but retired the next three.

Miserable day for Lincoln, who allows three runs on four hits over two innings. Braun hits the three-run homer off of him in the eighth. 11.57 ERA after two appearances and 2 1/3 innings. He hasn’t walked a hitter, but opponents are hitting .417 against him. Righties 4-for-9 against the righty with three doubles, a home run, a 1.111 slugging percentage and a 444/500/1.111 line.

The pen goes four innings in relief of Kendrick, allowing four runs, three earned, on six hits. Ugly day after a fantastic series for the relievers in Chicago. Lincoln threw 39 pitches in the game and Rosenberg 30.

The Phillie lineup against righty Kyle Lohse went (1) Ben Revere (2) Jimmy Rollins (3) Carlos Ruiz (4) Ryan Howard (5) Marlon Byrd (6) Domonic Brown (7) Cesar Hernandez (8) Cody Asche. Chase Utley out with the flu, so Cesar Hernandez starts at second and hits seventh. Carlos Ruiz hits third despite not having any hits against righties for the season — he comes into the game 0-for-11 against right-handed pitching.

Ruiz walked with two outs in the bottom of the first and moved to third when Howard followed with a double to center. Byrd was next and hit a ball hard at Segura at short, which Segura did not handle for an error. Ruiz scored to put the Phils up 1-0 and Howard took third. Brown walked to load the bases for Hernandez, but Hernandez struck out swinging 1-2 to end the inning.

It was 1-1 when the Phillies hit in the second. Asche led off with a walk and Rollins walked with two outs, but Ruiz flew to right to leave men at first and second.

They trailed 5-1 when they hit in the third. Brown singled with two outs, but Hernandez flew to right to set the Phillies down.

Revere singled with two outs in the fourth and the Phillies down 6-1. Rollins was next and blasted a 3-2 pitch off the wall in right, plating Revere to cut the lead to 6-2. Ruiz flew to left to end the inning.

First XBH for Rollins since the grand slam on Opening Day.

Brown walked with two outs in the fifth and moved to second when Hernandez followed with a single to right. Asche was next and lined a 1-0 pitch into right-center for a single, scoring Brown (6-3) and moving Hernandez to third. Mayberry hit for Kendrick and struck out swinging to end the inning.

This one seems simple to me. Kyle Lohse is right-handed. John Mayberry is right-handed. John Mayberry can’t hit right-handed pitching. John Mayberry has been fantastic as a pinch-hitter early in the season, but he’s been fantastic as a pinch-hitter against left-handed pitching. You don’t want to use him in a big spot against a right-handed pitcher. He doesn’t have a hit against a right-handed pitcher yet this year. He’s a career 227/294/371 hitter against righties.

Revere tripled off of lefty Zach Duke to start the sixth and scored when Rollins followed with a single to left. 6-4. The Phillies went in order behind Rollins.

First extra-base hit of the year for Revere and it comes against a lefty. Career isolated power against lefties of .045.

The Phillies were down 7-4 when they hit in the seventh. Lefty Will Smith walked Hernandez with one out, but Asche struck out behind him. Nix hit for Hollands and lined to third for the third out.

Mayberry didn’t hit against the lefty in the seventh cause he hit against the righty in the fifth. Two men on in the fifth, but the problem there is he doesn’t have much of a chance to get a hit.

Righty Brandon Kintzler set the Phillies down in order in the eighth with Milwaukee up 10-4.

Righty Jim Henderson struck out Howard and Brown in a 1-2-3 ninth.

Revere was 2-for-5 with a triple. He’s 7-for-his-last-19 (.368).

Rollins 2-for-4 with a walk, a double and two RBI.

Ruiz 0-for-4 with a walk. Still doesn’t have a hit against a right-handed pitcher. 0-for-14 against righties for the year.

Howard 1-for-5 with a double and struck out twice. 1-for-his-last-10. On-basing .200 against lefties for the year.

Byrd 1-for-5 with an RBI. 2-for-his-last-17.

Brown 1-for-3 and walked twice. On-basing .529 against righties for the year. 7-for-his-last-14 with four walks.

Hernandez 1-for-3 with a walk to up his average to .375 (3-for-8 with a double).

Asche 1-for-3 with a walk. 3-for-18 since a 3-for-4 day on Opening Day.

Roberto Hernandez (1-0, 3.38) faces righty Matt Garza (0-1, 1.13) tonight. Hernandez allowed just three hits and a walk over 5 1/3 innings while holding the Cubs to two runs in his first start of the year. Garza had fantastic numbers in his first start as he allowed a run on two hits and a walk over eight innings while striking out seven Braves.

And it’s all your fault. Yes, you. Next you’ll probably ask Howard to hit lefties, and who knows what might happen then.

In a recent post I pointed out that Darin Ruf walked in 11.3% of his plate appearances in 2013, which was the best rate of any Phillie by a lot. But that’s not what this post is about. This post is about the guy who finished second in that category. Among the Phillies with at least 35 plate appearances in ’13, the second-best walk rate on the team belonged to Jimmy Rollins.

Remember this? Earlier this year, before the start of the 2013 season, I pointed out that after years of fans pleading with him to improve his walk rate, Jimmy Rollins had done exactly that. He walked in about 7.2% of his 6,512 plate appearances from 2000 to 2009 and in about 9.3% of his 1,724 plate appearances from 2010 to 2012. That trend continued in 2013 — here’s what the numbers look like now:

2000-2009 6512 7.2
2010-2013 2390 9.2

In each of the past four seasons, Rollins has walked at a rate that’s better than league average:

2010 8.5 10.2
2011 8.1 9.2
2012 7.9 8.9
2013 7.7 8.9

The problem is he walked more from 2010 to 2013 and became a worse hitter. From ’00 to ’09 he hit 274/329/439 and from 2010 to 2013 he hit 254/323/389. More walks, but a lot less hits over the last four seasons and with less power. His isolated power from 2000 to 2009 was .165 and over the last four years it’s been .135. In 2013, it dropped to .097, which is the first time he’s had an isolated power under .100 in any season in which he got 100 plate appearances.

Rollins was best offensively from 2004 to 2008. Here’s some of what he did offensively in those years, from 2000 to 2009 and from 2010 to 2013:

Years PA Line H% 1B% 2B% 3B% HR% BB or HBP%
00 to 09 6512 274/329/439 25.0 15.9 5.4 1.5 2.2 7.7
04 to 08 3618 286/342/468 26.1 16.3 5.6 1.7 2.5 8.1
10 to 13 2390 254/323/389 22.8 15.6 4.5 0.5 2.2 9.4

His walks are up over the past four years, but his hits are way down. He hit .274 through the end of 2009 and has hit .254 since the start of 2010. His rate of hitting singles isn’t off that terribly, 15.9% of plate appearances from ’00 to ’09 and 15.6% over the last four years, but his extra-base hits have dropped dramatically. He delivered extra-base hits in about 9.1% of his plate appearances through 2009 and about 7.2% since. His home run rate has stayed about the same, but with a third of his ’00 to ’09 rate for triples over the past four seasons while his double rate has dropped from about 5.4% to 4.5%.

The Phillies traded Erik Kratz and left-handed pitcher Rob Rasmussen to the Blue Jays for 28-year-old right-handed pitcher Brad Lincoln. Lincoln was the fourth pick of the 2006 draft and has a 4.66 ERA and a 1.39 ratio over 97 major league appearances, 22 of which have been starts. The Phils acquired the 24-year-old Rasmussen from the Dodgers in the Michael Young deal in early September. I think it’s a good deal for the Phils. Lincoln has upside and has been better over the last two years, throwing to a 3.76 ERA with a 1.29 ratio while striking out 113 in 119 2/3 innings. He walked way too many hitters last year, holding opponents to a .233 average, but with a .366 on-base percentage as he walked 22 in 31 2/3 innings.

The Phils also signed 36-year-old right-handed catcher Wil Nieves and Nieves will presumably backup Ruiz. Nieves had the best offensive year of his career last season, hitting 297/320/369 with one home run in 206 plate appearances with the Padres. He’s had a negative bWAR for six straight seasons and it’s a little tough to get excited about the move. I think Kratz is better than Nieves even if Rasmussen turns out not to be a contributor for anyone. So let’s hope things work out with Lincoln.

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