Tag: BJ Upton

So at least somebody in town has a running game

Last week’s posts were about things the Phillies used to be great at, outfield defense and outfield offense, and suddenly aren’t. Today’s is about base running — something the Phillies have been great at in recent history, but were just pretty good at in 2012.

Here’s the base running total (runs above average) for the Phillies over the past six years as calculated by FanGraphs and how it compares to the other MLB teams (base running includes stolen bases and caught stealing, while UBR does not):

Year Base running MLB Rank
2007 16.0 1
2008 17.8 1
2009 11.6 5
2010 4.4 10
2011 -1.4 15
2012 4.5 11

So the Phils were best in baseball at the statistic in 2007 and 2008. They had dropped to the middle of the pack in 2011, but came back a little to eleventh across both leagues in 2012.

In 2007, across all players in both leagues, the Phillies had two players in the top 20 in base running. Rollins was second at 11.2 and Victorino was 18th at 6.9.

In 2008, they led the league again in the category with two guys in the top ten. Rollins was third at 10.5 and Victorino ninth at 8.4.

Victorino isn’t on the team anymore, but Jimmy Rollins can’t shoulder much of the blame for the Phillies’s drop from their spot as the best team in baseball in the category. In 2012, Rollins’s 8.3 base running runs above average was second best among all players in baseball, behind only Mike Trout of the Angels.

Juan Pierre appears to be headed to the Marlins on a one-year, $1.6 million deal.

Darin Ruf homered yesterday, giving him ten home runs in 120 at-bats in Venezuela. This article suggests he probably won’t hit ten more to tie the league record, cause he’s headed back to the US later this week and probably won’t return to the league for the second half.

This suggests that BJ Upton, who has already visited the Phillies and Braves, will also visit at least three other teams, which may include the Nationals and Giants. Rotoworld suggests Upton is likely to get about five years and $75 million. If he gets it from the Phillies, let’s hope he proves to be a whole lot better than Shane Victorino, who seems likely to get a lot less than five years, $75 million.


And not just that, some of those guys haven’t even ever been on Hawaii Five-0

More today on eight of the potential center fielders whose names will be thrown about this off-season as the Phillies try to finalize their outfield. The table below shows their Baseball-Reference calculated oWAR per 600 plate appearances over the past three years and over their career as well as their FanGraphs calculated UZR/150 at center for their career and for any of the last three seasons in which they played at least 500 innings in center:

2010-2012 Career Career 2012 2011 2010
oWAR per 600 PA oWAR per 600 PA UZR/150 CF UZR/150 CF UZR/150 CF UZR/150 CF
Hamilton 5.19 4.51 -9.6 -26.3 <500 <500
Hunter 3.70 2.84 -0.5 <500 <500 -6.4
Upton 3.09 2.81 3.9 -3.2 1.6 1.9
Pagan 2.99 2.65 -0.8 -0.1 -16.1 13.3
Victorino 2.15 2.57 3.1 -2.4 5.7 2.8
Bourn 2.51 2.01 10.7 22.5 -6.2 20.6
Cabrera 3.22 1.97 -7.3 <500 -9.7 -25.2
Mayberry 1.75 1.56 -15.9 <500 <500 <500

Hamilton, Hunter, Cabrera and Mayberry really shouldn’t be getting too many defensive innings in center field.

Hunter has only played 8 2/3 innings in center field since the end of 2010. From 2006 to 2010, he played at least 800 innings in center field for five straight seasons, posting a negative UZR/150 at the position in each of the five seasons.

Hamilton sure can hit, but he’s posted a negative dWAR in four of the last five seasons. His career UZR/150 in left of 8.5 is a whole lot better than his career UZR/150 of -9.6 in center. Last year he put up a -26.3 in 687 innings in center for the Rangers.

Mayberry’s UZR/150 in center last year was -20.7.

Cabrera didn’t play an inning in center field in 2012, making 106 appearances in left for the Giants and 11 in right. He was bad defensively for the Royals in 1,265 2/3 innings in center in 2011 and terrible for the Braves in 385 innings in 2010.

Cabrera’s offensive production over the last three years is a lot better than it has been for his career. 3.22 oWAR per 600 plate appearances for the last three years, 1.97 for his career and 0.98 for his career before the start of the 2010 season. For 2005 to 2009, Cabrera got 2,148 plate appearances in which he combined for a total oWAR of 3.5 ((3.5/2148)*600=0.98).

Hamilton and Hunter could obviously help the Phillies at a corner outfield position, which is a place where the Phillies could use some help. I think that’s really, really unlikely given the combination of how much they are going to cost and the presence of Brown, Ruf, Schierholtz, Mayberry and Nix.

Bourn is the best defensive center fielder of this group by a wide margin. Upton and Victorino are way behind him. Pagan may have the strangest UZR/150 numbers of the group — he was great for the Mets in center in 2010, terrible for the Mets in center in 2011 and then put up a -0.1 for the Giants in 2012.

Compared to the previous post, Upton looks like a much better offensive player than Michael Bourn. The previous post looked at the numbers for four years, 2009 through 2012, while the first oWAR column in the table above reports on three years, 2010 through 2012. In 2009, Bourn hit 285/354/384 in his best offensive season in the last four years while Upton had his worst offensive season of the last four years, posting a 241/313/373 line.

Bourn’s career .201 oWAR per 600 plate appearances is a little frightening. He was just miserable offensively from 2006 to 2008, hitting 237/299/313 over 658 plate appearances for the Phils and Astros. Since the end of 2008, his oWAR per 600 plate appearances has been 2.66 over 2,708 plate appearances.

Here are the Baseball-Reference and FanGraphs calculations of total WAR for the last three years for each of the eight players:

bWAR ’12 bWAR ’11 bWAR ’10 bWAR ’10-’12 fWAR ’12 fWAR ’11 fWAR ’10 fWAR ’10-12
Hamilton 3.4 3.5 8.4 15.3 4.4 4.1 8.4 16.9
Hunter 5.5 3.4 2.7 11.6 5.3 2.6 3.7 11.6
Upton 2.6 2.8 1.0 6.4 3.3 4.1 4.1 11.5
Pagan 4.0 1.0 5.1 10.1 4.8 0.9 5.4 11.1
Victorino 2.4 5.2 2.8 10.4 3.3 5.9 3.8 13.0
Bourn 6.0 3.0 5.3 14.3 6.4 4.1 4.7 15.2
Cabrera 4.7 4.1 -0.5 8.3 4.6 4.2 -1.1 7.7
Mayberry 0.5 1.6 0.2 2.3 0.4 2.5 0.2 3.1

So here’s how the list of cumulative WAR over the past three seasons for those eight players goes using Baseball-Reference’s calculation:

  1. Hamilton, 15.3
  2. Bourn, 14.3
  3. Hunter, 11.6
  4. Victorino, 10.4
  5. Pagan, 10.1
  6. Cabrera, 8.3
  7. Upton, 6.4
  8. Mayberry, 2.3

And here’s the list using the FanGraphs calculation of WAR:

  1. Hamilton, 16.9
  2. Bourn, 15.2
  3. Victorino, 13.2
  4. Hunter, 11.6
  5. Upton, 11.5
  6. Pagan, 11.1
  7. Cabrera, 7.7
  8. Mayberry, 3.1

Those lists have some things in common:

  • Using both the Baseball-Reference and FanGraphs calculation, Hamilton is first, Bourn is second and Mayberry is eighth of the eight players in combined WAR for 2010-2012. Mayberry obviously played a lot less than the other seven guys, giving him less chances to accumulate WAR, but I think it’s also relevant that top table shows him at the bottom on oWAR per 600 plate appearances for the last three years and for his career and with the worst UZR/150 at center for the group
  • Both have Hunter and Victorino third and fourth, with Baseball-Reference showing Hunter ahead of Victorino and vice-versa for FanGraphs
  • Both lists think Victorino had a monster 2011 — his ’11 season is third-best on the FanGraphs list and fourth-best on the Baseball-Reference list
  • Both have Pagan, Cabrera and Upton in slots 5-7 with the players ordered differently. Pagan, Cabrera, Upton for Baseball-Reference and Upton, Pagan, Cabrera for FanGraphs
  • Both agree that the best of the seasons in the last three years was Hamilton’s 2010 and both agree the worst was Cabrera’s 2010

The bottom line for me is that four of those eight guys, Hamilton, Hunter, Cabrera and Mayberry, need to be disqualified from any search for a center field because they aren’t or shouldn’t be center fielders. That leaves four — Bourn, Upton, Pagan and Victorino. Of those four, WAR calculated by Baseball-Reference and FanGraphs suggests that, over the last three years, Bourn has been the best overall player and Victorino has been second-best. The sites disagree about Upton and Pagan — FanGraphs has Upton slightly ahead of Pagan in WAR for the three-year period while Baseball-Reference has Pagan with a big advantage over Upton over the last three seasons.

Biggest thing that came out of the post for me is that Shane Victorino might have been a little better than we thought. Sure, it was a little tough to appreciate his greatness while he was hitting 229/296/333 against righties last year, but maybe it was there.


If it was Upton to me

A brief break from pitcher WAR to talk about free agent center fielders Michael Bourn and BJ Upton, a pair of players some Phillies fans have their sights set on this off-season. Despite their needs in center field, I don’t think the Phils are likely to bring on either player. Just in case, though, I thought it might make sense to look at some of the differences between the two. The highlights:

  • Bourn is left-handed
  • Upton is right-handed
  • Bourn will turn 30 in December
  • Upton turned 28 in August
  • They are very different offensive players — Upton is a low average slugger while Bourn hits for a higher average with less power. Despite the differences in their offensive strengths, though, there is not a huge difference in the amount of offense they have produced over the last four years.
  • Bourn is an outstanding defensive player — in two of the last three seasons, he has been one of the best in the game. Upton is not.

Here’s are the lines for each of them over the last last four seasons, as well as their Baseball-Reference calculated WAR, oWAR and dWAR for each of those years:

Age PA AVG/OBP/SLG WAR oWAR dWAR
Bourn ’12 29 703 274/348/391 6.0 3.2 3.0
Bourn ’11 28 722 294/349/386 3.0 3.2 0.0
Bourn ’10 27 605 265/341/346 5.3 2.1 3.5
Bourn ’09 26 678 285/354/384 4.7 3.5 1.4
Bourn ’09-’12 2708 280/348/378 19.0 12.0 7.9
Upton ’12 27 633 246/298/454 2.6 3.1 -0.2
Upton ’11 26 640 243/331/429 2.8 3.6 -0.4
Upton ’10 25 610 237/322/424 1.0 3.0 -1.6
Upton ’09 24 626 241/313/373 0.8 0.8 0.3
Upton ’09-’12 2509 242/316/420 7.2 10.5 -1.9

Here’s some numbers for the two as calculated by FanGraphs:

Age PA FanGraphs WAR wOBA Innings in CF UZR/150 in CF
Bourn ’12 29 703 6.4 .326 1340.1 22.5
Bourn ’11 28 722 4.1 .325 1359.0 -6.2
Bourn ’10 27 605 4.7 .308 1189.1 20.6
Bourn ’09 26 678 4.9 .330 1326.0 9.9
Upton ’12 27 633 3.3 .323 1254.2 -3.2
Upton ’11 26 640 4.1 .333 1326.1 1.6
Upton ’10 25 610 4.1 .328 1301.2 1.9
Upton ’09 24 626 2.4 .306 1228.2 7.5

If you had asked me who walks more, Bourn or Upton, I would have said Bourn. But I would have been wrong. Upton has walked more over the past four years, walking in about 9.57% of his plate appearances compared to about 9.05% for Bourn. Over their careers, the difference has been even more dramatic. Bourn was walked in about 8.8% of his plate appearances while Upton has walked in about 10.6% of his.

Both of them have a pretty solid walk rate. Across both leagues, hitters walked in about 8.0% of their plate appearances in 2012.

Most people think of Upton as a low on-base percentage guy with good reason. He’s on-based .316 over 2,509 plate appearances over his last four years. It makes it easy to forget he excelled at getting on base earlier in his career — in 2007 and 2008 combined, he on-based .384 over 1,188 plate appearances.

Over the last four years, Bourn has hit for a higher average than Upton and walked less with less power. Bourn has 32 points of on-base percentage on Upton and Upton’s isolated power is eighty points higher than Bourn’s (.178 for Upton and .098 for Bourn).

Bourn’s total oWAR for the last four seasons is 12.0 in 2,708 plate appearances. If you adjust that to give him the same 2,509 plate appearances that Upton has, Bourn comes out at 11.12, a little higher than Upton’s 10.5.

There seems to be a case to be made that Upton has more offensive upside or potential for an explosive offensive season. His career best oWAR is 4.8 in 2007. Bourn has never been above 3.5 (2009). Upton is more than a year younger and has had five seasons with an oWAR better than three. Bourn has posted an oWAR better than three in three seasons.

By wOBA, the two are nearly tied over the past two years, with Bourn up .003 in 2012 and Upton up .008 in 2011. Upton’s wOBA for 2010 was .020 better than Bourn’s and Borun’s .330 in 2009 was .024 better than Upton’s. Over the past three years, two have been near ties and Upton has a sizeable advantage in the other.

But, if you compare their WAR as calculated by Baseball-Reference (bWAR) or FanGraphs (fWAR) over the last four years, it’s not close. Bourn has a huge advantage.

Year bWAR fWAR
2012 Bourn +3.4 Bourn +3.1
2011 Bourn +0.4 Tie
2010 Bourn +4.3 Bourn +0.6
2009 Bourn +3.9 Bourn +2.5

The difference is mostly about defense, not offense. While Bourn and Upton are very different offensive players, the amount of offense they are producing as measured by Baseball-Reference’s oWAR and wOBA are similar.

Bourn is an elite defensive player. Baseball-Reference and FanGraphs agree he was exceptional defensively in both 2010 and 2012. In 2012, his Baseball-Reference calculated dWAR was third-best across both leagues. In 2010 his dWAR of 3.5 was second.

Looking at the dWAR in the top table of the post, Bourn’s cumulative dWAR over the past four years is 7.9 and Upton’s is -1.9.

In 2012, Bourn’s UZR/150 was first among the 24 players who played at least 700 innings in center field. Upton’s was 18th of 24.

In 2010, Bourn’s 20.6 was second of 23 and Upton’s 1.9 was 13th.

Finally, while UZR/150 suggests that Bourn was an elite defender in 2012, Upton’s numbers suggest his defense has taken a dive over the past few years. From 2007 to 2009, Upton’s UZR/150 at center field ranged from 7.0 (2007) to 8.4 (’08). They have been below two every year since 2009, finally going negative in 2012 at -3.2. 2012 was also the third straight season in which Upton had posted a negative dWAR.


Everybody, no, seriously, everybody, hits

Whoohoo.

The Phillies went 13-3 to end the regular season and now, after winning game four of the World Series in a blowout, have gone 10-3 on a memorable playoff run. If they can win one more game there isn’t going to be anyone left to beat. There are so many Phillies playing well it’s hard to keep track of all of them. I’ll give it a try.

Joe Blanton was outstanding last night. He held the Rays to a pair of runs on four hits over six innings and became the first pitcher since 1974 to hit a home run in the World Series. Ryan Howard looked a little lost coming into the World Series. He doesn’t anymore. Howard put the Phils up 5-1 with a three-run blast to the opposite field in the fourth inning and added a titanic shot out to right in the bottom of the eighth to put things out of reach at 10-2.

Lost in the heroics of Howard and Blanton will be the offensive production the Phillies are getting out of the top of the order. After coming into game three of the World Series without a hit, Rollins has gone 5-for-his-last-9. Over the last two days, Rollins and Werth have combined to go 8-for-15 with three walks. Last night they combined for three doubles and a home run.

Just about everything sets up perfectly for the Phillies in game five. The Rays are struggling in so many different areas and the Phils are coming in waves now. Cole Hamels, just about perfect in the playoffs, takes to the mound tonight with a chance to put an end to the season. The Tampa Bay bullpen had a long night in game four. But if there’s any team that should know it’s not over till it’s over, it’s the Phillies. The Rays didn’t win 97 games and the AL East because Carlos Pena and Evan Longoria never get a hit and their bullpen gives up five runs in four innings. In part because everything sets up so well for the Phils, the momentum shift for Tampa Bay if they can find a way to win game five and send the series back to Florida would be huge. So here’s hoping that Hamels and the bats can come up with one more big night. And then they can finally rest.

The Phillies beat the Tampa Bay Rays last night, winning 10-2 to take a three games to one lead in the World Series.

Joe Blanton got the start for the Phillies and went six innings, allowing two runs on four hits and two walks. Two of the hits went for extra-bases, both home runs. He struck out seven.

Blanton faced a Tampa Bay lineup that went (1) Akinori Iwamura (2B/L) (2) BJ Upton (CF/R) (3) Carlos Pena (1B/L) (4) Evan Longoria (3B/R) (5) Carl Crawford (LF/L) (6) Dioner Navarro (C/S) (7) Ben Zobrist (RF/S) (8) Jason Bartlett (SS/R). Zobrist plays right after Baldelli started in right in game two against Myers.

The Rays started the game with six players on their bench: Michael Hernandez (R), Fernando Perez (S), Willy Aybar (S), Gabe Gross (L), Eric Hinske (L) and Rocco Baldelli (R). Cliff Floyd was removed from the roster with a shoulder problem and the lefty Hinske added prior to the game.

Iwamura led off the game and blasted a 3-2 pitch to left, but Burrell took it at the wall for the first out. Not exactly inspiring, but it got better from there. Upton struck out looking at a 1-2 fastball on the outside corner. Pena swung at the first pitch and popped to Ruiz in foul territory to set the Rays down.

Blanton threw 13 pitches in the first inning.

He struck Longoria out swinging 1-2 to start the second with the Phillies up 1-0. Crawford was next and Blanton got him swinging 1-2 as well. Navarro bunted an 0-1 pitch foul before he singled into right with the count full. Zobrist swung at the first pitch and flew to Victorino in shallow center to end the frame. Blanton threw 15 pitches in the second to put him at 28 for the game.

Bartlett struck out swinging for the first out in the third. Sonnanstine was next and he lined a 2-1 pitch into left for a single. Iwamura chopped a ball to short, but hit it too slowly for the Phils to turn two. Rollins took it and threw to second to get Sonnanstine for the second out. Upton grounded to short for the third out. Blanton threw 14 pitches in the inning to put him at 42 for the game.

He started the fourth up 2-0. Pena led up and struck out swinging 2-2 for the first out. Longoria hit a 1-0 pitch in the hole between short and third. Rollins fielded and made a strong throw to nip him for the second out. Nice play by Rollins. Blanton got ahead of Crawford, but Crawford popped a 1-2 pitch just out to right to cut the Phillies lead to 2-1. Navarro swung at the first pitch of his at-bat and grounded to Rollins, who fielded behind second and threw to first for the third out. Twelve pitches in the inning had Blanton at 54.

Blanton had a 5-1 lead when he started the fifth. Zobrist got ahead 2-0, but Blanton pumped two strikes over before Zobrist flew to center on a 2-2 pitch for the second out. Bartlett was next and hit a 1-1 pitch back up the middle. The ball went off of Blanton’s leg and rolled toward third. Feliz made a fantastic play, barehanding the ball and throwing to first to get Bartlett. Great play by Feliz and it saved the Phillies a run, cause Hinske hit for the pitcher Andy Sonnanstine and blasted a 2-1 pitch way out to center. Hinske’s solo shot cut the lead to 5-2. Iwamura grounded back to the pitcher for the third out. After 15 pitches in the inning, Blanton was at 69 for the game.

He started the sixth up 6-2, thanks to his own fifth-inning home run off of Edwin Jackson. Upton got ahead 2-0, but flew to right on a 2-2 pitch for the first out. Blanton walked Pena on a 3-2 pitch, but struck Longoria out looking at a 1-2 pitch on the outside corner for the second out. Crawford was next and Blanton hit him in the foot with an 0-1 pitch, putting men on first and second for Navarro. Blanton got behind 1-0, but then got the call on a pitch that looked outside for strike one. With the count 2-1, Blanton got another call with Navarro again looking at a ball that may have been outside. Navarro swung out swinging at a high 2-2 pitch to leave both runners stranded.

Long inning for Blanton — 24 pitches had him at 93 for the game.

He came back to start the seventh still up 6-2 and walked Zobrist on a 3-2 pitch to start the inning. Durbin came in to pitch to Bartlett and got him to fly to center on a 1-1 pitch for the first out. Willy Aybar hit for the pitcher Edwin Jackson and singled to right, moving Zobrist to second. Eyre came in to pitch to the lefty Iwamura. He almost lost him, getting behind 3-1 before Iwamura lined to Bruntlett, now the left fielder, for the second out. Madson came in to pitch to the righty Upton. Upton got ahead 3-1, but fouled off the next pitch and swung and missed at a 3-2 changeup to end the frame with both runners stranded.

Huge out for Madson to get Upton — otherwise he likely would have been facing the lefty Pena as the tying run. Romero was the other choice, but I don’t think Manuel would take Madson out of the game still needing to get seven outs to win. Eyre getting Iwamura was a big out as well.

Madson came back to start the eighth. Pena went down swinging hard at a 2-2 fastball for the first out. Longoria blasted the first pitch he saw from Madson way out but foul. Madson struck him out swinging two pitches later. Crawford grounded an 0-1 pitch softly to second for the third out.

Nice job by Madson against the 3-4-5 hitters of the Rays, which looked more important before the Phils blew the game open in the bottom of the eighth.

Romero started the ninth with the Phils up 10-2. Navarro led off and grounded a ball back to the mound. Romero fielded, but his throw to first was in the dirt and Howard couldn’t handle it. Navarro was safe and Romero was charged with an error. Zobrist was next and he hit a ground ball to Utley. Utley threw to Rollins to force Navarro for the first out without a relay to first to try to get Zobrist. Bartlett was next and struck out looking at a 2-2 fastball on the inside corner. Baldelli hit for the pitcher Trever Miller with two outs and a man on first. Romero struck him out with a high 2-2 fastball to end the game.

The Phillies pen went three scoreless innings in the game, allowing one hit, the single by Aybar off of Durbin in the seventh. They struck out five and didn’t walk a batter. They have been charged with one run in 8 2/3 innings in the series. Romero threw 19 pitches, Madson 16. All four of the relievers that the Phillies used in game four were also used in game three, so all four of them would be pitching for the third straight game if they pitch tonight. Romero and Madson both threw 15 pitches in game three while Eyre and Durbin both threw six.

The Tampa Bay pen went four innings in the game and allowed five runs. In the set they have now allowed eight runs in 12 1/3 innings. Jackson threw 32 pitches, Wheeler 22 and Miller 10.

After combining to go 0-for-7 in game four, Longoria and Pena have now combined to go 0-for-29 with 15 strikeouts in the series.

The Phillies lineup against righty Andy Sonnanstine went (1) Rollins (2) Werth (3) Utley (4) Howard (5) Burrell (6) Victorino (7) Feliz (8) Ruiz.

The Phillies started the game with six players on their bench: Bruntlett (R), Taguchi (R), Coste (R), Dobbs (L), Stairs (L) and Jenkins (L).

Rollins led off the first and pulled a 3-1 pitch past a diving Pena and into right field for a double. Werth followed and hit a 3-1 pitch to right deep enough for Rollins to tag and go to third. Utley walked on four pitches, putting men on first and third for Howard. Howard hit a ground ball back to the mound. Sonnanstine probably would have had an inning-ending double-play if he had gone to second, but he had Rollins caught off third and ran at him. Sonnanstine chased Rollins back to third but threw late and Rollins was called safe sliding into the bag. Replays showed that Longoria tagged him and he should have been out, but the Phils had the bases loaded with one out. Burrell was next and drew a walk on a 3-1 pitch outside, forcing in Rollins to put the Phils up 1-0. Victorino dribbled an 0-1 pitch out in front of the mound. Sonnanstine made a nice play, charging, fielding and making a glove-hand flip home to force Utley for the second out. Feliz flew softly to center to leave the bases loaded.

Just one run for the Phils after loading the bases with one out.

Ruiz flew to right for the first out in the second. Blanton struck out swinging 1-2 for the second out. Rollins lined a 2-2 pitch into right center for another hit, this one a single. Rollins was 4-for-his-last-6. Werth popped a 1-1 pitch into shallow right for the third out.

Utley led off the third with a ground ball that Iwamura booted, having the ball go off the heel of his glove, for an error. Howard was next and ripped an 0-1 pitch into right for a single, sending Utley to third. Burrell got ahead 3-1 and watched a hugely hittable breaking pitch over the heart of the plate for strike two. He popped the 3-2 pitch to Bartlett in shallow left-center for the first out. Victorino popped a 1-2 pitch up to Bartlett as well, this time closer to third base, for the second out. Victorino had left five men on base through 2 2/3 innings. Feliz picked both of them up, though, lining a 1-1 pitch into left for a single. Utley scored to put the Phils up 2-0. Ruiz chopped a ball back through the middle, but Iwamura moved to his right and fielded it behind second base. Iwamura didn’t make a throw, but kept the ball in the infield and kept Utley from scoring. With the bases loaded and two outs, Blanton fouled out to Pena to end the inning.

Burrell still hitless as he fails to bring Utley in from third with nobody out. Victorino can’t bring the runner in from third with less than two outs for the second time in the game.

Sonnanstine had thrown 69 pitches through three innings and had just one strikeout — Blanton in the second.

Rollins led off the fourth with a ground ball under the glove of Iwamura and into right. Rollins was given a hit initially, but the call was changed and Iwamura given an error (either way, Iwamura should have made the play). Werth followed and walked on four pitches, putting men on first and second for Utley. Utley struck out on three pitches, swinging at an 0-2 slider inside for the first out. Howard got ahead 2-1 and blasted a pitch out to left for a three-run homer that put the Phils up 5-1. Howard finally hits the ball to the opposite field and he knew it was gone, watching the ball for a little longer than he usually does. Burrell fouled out to the catcher for the second out. Victorino popped to third to end the inning.

Righty Edwin Jackson started the fifth with the Phillies leading 5-2. Feliz swung at the first pitch of his at-bat and fouled out to Navarro. Ruiz grounded to third for the second out. Blanton was next and laced a 2-1 fastball out to left to make it 6-2. Rollins grounded to second for the third out.

First career extra-base hit for Blanton. First time since 1974 that a pitcher has homered in the World Series. In game four of the 1974 World Series, Oakland’s Ken Holtzman homered off of the Dodgers’ Andy Messersmith to put the A’s up 1-0 in the third. Oakland won the game 5-2 and won the series four games to one.

Blanton was 2-for-26 with two singles in his career coming into the game. 0-for-5 in the post-season and 0-for-2 in this game. That’s 2-for-33 (.061).

Werth led off the sixth with Jackson still on the mound and doubled off the wall in left. Jackson struck Utley out looking at an inside fastball 2-2 for the first out. Howard was walked intentionally, putting men on first and second for Burrell. Burrell hit a slow ground ball to short. Bartlett charged, fielded and threw back to second. The relay got Burrell to complete the inning-ending double-play.

No run for the Phils after the leadoff double.

Righty Dan Wheeler started the seventh for Tampa Bay. Victorino led off and blooped a ball into right. Zobrist charged and made a sliding catch for the first out. Feliz hit a ground ball to third that was stopped by a diving Longoria, but the ball came out of his glove and Feliz had an infield single. Ruiz was next and lined to second on a nice catch by Iwamura, picking the ball near the ground. Iwamura threw to first and Pena made a fantastic catch as his body tangled up with Feliz as Feliz scurried back to the bag.

With Wheeler still on the mound, Stairs hit for Madson to start the eighth and struck out swinging at a 2-2 fastball. Rollins jumped on Wheeler’s first pitch and blasted it high off the wall in right, missing a home run by less than a foot. He settled for a double. Werth was next, and with the count full he lined a ball out to left field for a two-run homer, putting the Phils up 8-2. Trever Miller came in to pitch to Utley and walked him. Howard was next and crushed a 1-0 pitch way out to right. 10-2. Bruntlett grounded to short for the second out. Miller got Victorino to fly to left-center for the third out.

Rollins was 3-for-5 with two doubles. He’s 5-for-19 (.263) in the series.

Werth 2-for-4 with a double, a walk and a home. 6-for-15 (.400) with three doubles, a home run and four walks.

Utley was 0-for-2 with two walks. 3-for-15 (.200) with two home runs in the series.

Howard was 3-for-5 with two home runs, a walk and five RBI. 6-for-17 (.353) in the series. Three home runs in the last two games.

Burrell 0-for-3 with a walk and an RBI. 0-for-12 with five strikeouts in the series. Phils could use him tonight against Kazmir.

Victorino 0-for-5 and left five men on base. 4-for-16 ( .250) with four singles in the series.

Feliz was 2-for-4 with an RBI. Big two-out hit in the third inning after it looked like the Phils were going to fail to bring a runner in from third yet again. Big defensive play ahead of the Hinske homer saved the Phils a run. 4-for-14 (.286) in the series.

Ruiz 1-for-4 in the game and 5-for-12 (.417) in the series.

Cole Hamels (14-10, 3.09) faces lefty Scott Kazmir (12-8, 3.49) tonight in game five. These pitches met in game one of the series in Tampa Bay and the Phillies won the game 3-2. Hamels was fantastic, holding the Rays to two runs over seven innings while improving to a perfect 4-0 in the post-season. Kazmir struggled badly early, but kept the Phillies from breaking the game open.

Utley hit a two-run shot off of Kazmir in the first inning of game one. Crawford homered off of Hamels in the fourth to cut the Philadelphia lead to 3-1.

Ad: TicketCity has Phillies World Series tickets.


Phils counting on Philadelphia World Series crowd to perform coming off 5,483 days of rest

Although rain could give the crowd that much-needed 5,484th day, allowing them to go on their regular schedule. Could be critical.

Jamie Moyer (16-7, 3.71) faces righty Matt Garza (11-9, 3.70) in game three.

The 24-year-old Garza came to the Rays in a trade from the Twins in November of last year and has pitched very well for Tampa Bay this post-season, going 2-1 with a 3.32 ERA and a 1.32 ratio. He was the MVP of the ALCS, holding the Red Sox to a run on two hits and three walks over seven innings while striking out nine in game seven.

Opponents hit .245 against Garza this season, and he fared well against both righties (.245) and lefties (.244). Lefties walked at a slightly higher rate and slugged .410 against him compared to just .347 for righties. He didn’t strike out a huge number of hitters, just 128 in 184 2/3 innings, but yielded just 19 home runs on the season. He struck lefties out at a higher rate than righties, striking out about 15% of the righties he faced and about 19% of the lefties.

He was much better at home this season than away from it. In 15 starts at home he went 7-3 with a 2.89 ERA and a 1.18 ratio. In 15 starts away from home he was 4-6 with a 4.53 ERA and a 1.30 ratio.

Matt Stairs is the only Phillie to have faced Garza. He’s 1-for-10 with two walks against him.

Moyer comes off of miserable starts back-to-back in the post-season. After going just four innings and allowing a pair of runs against Milwaukee in the NLDS, Moyer got bombed by the Dodgers in game three of the NLCS. He was charged with six runs in 1 2/3 innings to puff his post-season ERA for the year to 13.50. The Phillies have lost three games in the post-season and Moyer has started two of them.

Moyer was far better away from Citizens Bank Park this year than he was at it. 4.61 ERA with a 1.47 ratio at home and 2.92 ERA and a 1.20 ratio away.

Some of the Rays have seen him a lot with good results. Pena 10-for-20 (500/545/950) with three doubles and two home runs. Crawford 9-for-19 (474/474/632) with a double and a triple. Upton 3-for-5 with three singles. Baldelli 1-for-10. In case you forget that Moyer’s old, Wade Boggs was 21-for-55 (382/414/527) with two doubles and two home runs against him. There’s a chance that Boggs won’t even be a factor in game three.

It’s not really what you’d call a dream matchup on paper for the Phils. Moyer had a fantastic year in 2008, though, and despite the miserable results in the post-season has come up huge for the Phillies in several big games over the last two years. In game three of the playoffs last year he was fantastic, holding the red-hot Rockies to a run on five hits over six innings. Twice in the last two seasons he’s come up with a huge start against the Nationals at the end of the regular season to pitch the Phillies into the playoffs — in those two starts he allowed one earned run in 11 1/3 innings.

Citizens Bank Park is going to be a tough place for the young Rays to hit (or pitch, think, throw or hear) in game three. You hear people say over and over that the key to hitting against Moyer is to be patient. For better or worse, the Rays have more than their share of hitters who love to be aggressive early in the count. Here’s a look at some of the key Tampa Bay hitters, how many plate appearances they’ve had this season that ended in one pitch, how many total plate appearances they had and the percentage of those plate appearances that ended in one pitch (some key Phillies are included below the Rays):

Player 1-pitch PA Total PA % 1-pitch
Iwamura 66 707 9.3
Upton 77 639 12.0
Pena 84 607 13.8
Longoria 44 508 8.7
Crawford 88 482 18.3
Navarro 43 470 9.1
Bartlett 74 494 15.0
       
       
Rollins 51 625 8.2
Werth 17 482 3.5
Utley 51 707 7.2
Howard 81 700 11.6
Burrell 70 645 10.9
Victorino 73 627 11.6
Feliz 88 463 19.0
Ruiz 33 373 8.8

Feliz is the king of the group at putting the ball into play on the first pitch, but Bartlett, Crawford, Pena and Upton all went after the first pitch aggressively this season.

And if it’s true that you have to be patient to get to Moyer, that’s a problem for Tampa Bay.

Sadly, though, there’s this: When opponents’ hitters had their plate appearance end on one pitch this year, they hit .293 and slugged .480 against Moyer. When they didn’t, they hit .257 and slugged .393. That trend has been even more dramatic if you look at his numbers over his entire career (or at least the part of his career for which Baseball Reference has splits on first pitch plate appearances) — on plate appearances that ended after one pitch, opponents have hit .331 and slugged .523 against Moyer.

In 2008, after Moyer got ahead 0-1 opposing hitters hit .214 with a .321 slugging percentage.

What I think Moyer’s career numbers suggest is that what you can’t do against the wily veteran is not swing at the first pitch but take strike one. So hopefully nobody tells the Rays hitters that what they need to do is go up there and be impatient.

No matter what they do, though, Jamie Moyer didn’t win 246 games because he doesn’t know how to pitch. Whether the Rays go after him early in the count or not, there’s a Moyer that carves up hitters regardless of their approach. Despite his recent absence, Phillies fans have seen a lot of him in big situations over the past two seasons. Just because he’s shown up more often than not when the Phillies have needed him so far, I think there’s a good chance he’s in the building whenever game three gets played.

Matt Garza ended the 2008 regular season with 19 career wins. If he wins 15 games a season forevermore, he would pass Jamie Moyer in career wins in 2024 (assuming Moyer does not get any more wins).

Ad: TicketCity has Phillies World Series tickets.


Hamels hoping they send him to the Galaxy Series next after Earth people prove to be amusing but a bit weak and ineffectual

I guess there’s not much to do but wait to hear from the mother ship. The waiting is the hardest part.

It sure seems like if Cole Hamels pitched enough games in the post-season one of them would have to be bad. That’s probably the case, but it hasn’t happened yet. With another brilliant start last night, Hamels pitched the Phillies to an early lead in the World Series. He’s thrown to a 1.55 ERA while going 4-0 in four starts against some of baseball’s best teams this post-season.

The Phillies needed him to be just about perfect. Their offense failed time and time again build on the slim lead Chase Utley gave them with his first inning home run. Ryan Howard had a game at the plate that stuck out like a sore thumb, and that’s saying something given that Jimmy Rollins went 0-for-5 and left five men on base.

Hamels exited after seven strong innings with the Phils clinging to a one-run lead, but they handed that lead off to the steadiest of hands. If there’s anyone on the Phillies who have been as good as Hamels this post-season, it’s the late-inning combo of Ryan Madson and Brad Lidge. After two more perfect innings last night, the pair has now been charged with two earned runs in 18 1/3 innings (0.98 ERA) in the playoffs while striking out 19.

The Phillies beat the Tampa Bay Rays last night, winning 3-2. They lead the World Series one game to none.

Hamels got the start for the Phillies and went seven innings, allowing two runs on five hits and two walks. Two of the hits went for extra-bases, a double and a home run. He struck out five.

He faced a Tampa Bay lineup that went (1) Akinori Iwamura (2B/L) (2) BJ Upton (CF/R) (3) Carlos Pena (1B/L) (4) Evan Longoria (3B/R) (5) Carl Crawford (LF/L) (6) Willy Aybar (DH/S) (7) Dioner Navarro (C/S) (8) Ben Zobrist (RF/S) (9) Jason Bartlett (SS/R). The Rays lineup pretty much stays the same one through five for righties and lefties, which means against left-handed starters they have three hitters in the first five that are weak against lefties plus Upton and Longoria. Bartlett is very good against lefties and hits ninth. Zobrist starts in right after appearing there in just two games in the regular season.

The Rays started the game with five players on their bench: Michael Hernandez (R), Rocco Baldelli (R), Fernando Perez (S), Cliff Floyd (L), Gabe Gross (L).

Hamels started the first with a 2-0 lead. Iwamura led off and hit a 3-2 pitch to first. Howard fielded it deep and Iwamura beat him to the bag for an infield single. Hamels was a little slow to cover first and Howard ran to the bag himself. Howard probably should have tossed the ball, but they may not have gotten Iwamura anyway. Upton was next and checked his swing 1-1 and hit a ground ball to second. Utley took and the Phils turned two easily to clear the bases. Pena grounded to Rollins to end the inning.

Eleven pitches in the first for Hamels.

Longoria struck out swinging 1-2 for the first out of the second. Crawford flew to center on a 2-2 pitch for the second out. Hamels struck out Aybar swinging 1-2 for the third. Fourteen pitches had Hamels at 25 for the game.

Navarro popped to first for the first out of the third. Zobrist was next and hit a 2-1 pitch past a diving Feliz for a single. Bartlett was next and he drew a five-pitch walk that put men on first and second. Iwamura singled into right on a 1-2 pitch to load the bases. Upton smashed a 1-2 pitch, but Feliz took it at third and started the double-play to end the inning. Nineteen pitches for Hamels, 44 for the game.

Very nice play by Feliz at a big time on a ball hit hard by Upton.

Second double-play in two at-bats for Upton.

Hamels started the fourth up 3-0. Pena swung at the first pitch of his at-bat and grounded to first. Longoria grounded an 0-2 pitch to third for the second out. Crawford was next and he jumped on Hamels first pitch to him, hitting it out to right to cut the lead to 3-1. Aybar flew to center for the third out. Nine pitches in the inning had Hamels at 53.

Navarro led off the fifth and struck out trying to check his swing on a ball in the dirt. Zobrist grounded to third on a 3-2 pitch for the second out. Hamels then walked Bartlett for the second time in the game and Bartlett stole second as the count went 3-1 on a high fastball to Iwamura. Iwamura delivered a double into left-center that rolled to the wall, scoring Bartlett to make it 3-2. Upton was next and he popped a 1-2 pitch foul that Howard caught reaching into the stands to end the inning. I’m guessing you probably won’t see Carlos Pena reaching into the second row to catch the ball in any of the games in Philadelphia. Nice play by Howard, though. Thirty pitches in the inning for Hamels put him at 83 for the game.

Two RBI in the game for the Rays come from two left-handed hitters, Crawford and Iwamura, hitting off of the lefty Hamels. The Phillies handled the big righties in the Rays lineup as Longoria and Upton combined to go 0-for-8, strike out four times and hit into two double-plays.

Pena was again swinging at the first pitch to start the sixth. He hit a ground ball to first that Howard booted. He recovered and threw to Hamels covering, but not in time. Pena was safe and Howard was charged with an error. With Longoria at the plate, Pena took off for second but left too early. Hamels threw to first and Howard delivered a strong throw to second. Pena would have been safe at second, but Rollins put down a fantastic tag, sweeping Pena’s leg off the base for a big first out. Huge play in the game. Hamels’ move to first was very close to a balk (it was a balk, but the Phils got the call). Howard made a great throw to second, a play he’s had an awful time with this year. Great tag by Rollins got the Phils an out. Longoria struck out looking at a 2-2 pitch on the inside corner for the second out. Crawford grounded softly to second for the third out. Just eight pitches for Hamels in the inning. Ninety-one for the game.

Aybar popped to short on a 1-2 pitch to start the seventh. Navarro waived at a 2-2 pitch for the second out. Zobrist grounded back to the mound to end the inning. With 11 pitches in the inning, Hamels was at 102 for the game.

Madson started the eighth with the Phils still up 3-2. Bartlett was first and popped a 2-1 pitch up to Howard in foul territory for the first out. Madson got ahead of Iwamura 1-2 and then delivered two straight changeups in just about the same place outside. Iwamura fouled off a pitch and then flew softly to right for the second out. Madson threw an 0-1 fastball past a swinging Upton before striking him out 2-2. Upton is right on top of the plate and is going to have to be moved if he proves unwilling to continue to strike out and hit into double-plays.

Madson fantastic again.

Lidge started the ninth up a run. Pena struck out trying to check his swing 0-2. The Phillies got the call on the appeal to third. Longoria struck out trying to check his swing 1-2 for the second out. Lidge got ahead of Crawford 1-2, but delivered two balls to run the count full. Crawford fouled off two pitches before he hit a high foul ball down the third base line. Feliz chased and took it by the Phillies bullpen, nearly falling near the warm-up home plate, to end the game.

Lidge and Madson combine to go two perfect innings for the Phils, striking out three. Madson threw 18 pitches, Lidge 15.

The Tampa Bay pen threw three scoreless innings, allowing two hits and two walks while striking out five. Balfour threw 27 pitches and Howell 19. Wheeler and Miller were both under six.

Kazmir did well to stay in the game after being on the ropes time after time. The Phils did have a bunch of bloop hits against him, but threatened to chase him early several times and failed to do so. They still force the cream of the Rays’ pen to throw three innings in a game Tampa Bay was trailing.

The Phillies lineup against lefty Scott Kazmir went (1) Rollins (2) Werth (3) Utley (4) Howard (5) Burrell (6) Victorino (7) Feliz (8) Coste (9) Ruiz. Burrell stays in left with Coste getting the nod at DH over Bruntlett or Taguchi. Victorino hits sixth with Werth in the two-hole. The switch-hitter Victorino breaks up what would have been five righties in a row for the Phils if Werth was hitting sixth.

The Phillies started the game with five players on their bench: Bruntlett (R), Taguchi (R), Dobbs (L), Stairs (L) and Jenkins (L).

Rollins took the first pitch of the game for a strike on the outside corner before lining the next offering to right for the first out. Werth got ahead 3-0, then took two called strikes before Kazmir delivered ball four. Utley was next with the Rays playing a huge shift that had nobody at third. Utley tried to bunt the first pitch of his at-bat and popped it up foul. He swung at strike two before Kazmir delivered two straight balls. Utley hit the 2-2 pitch just out to right, putting the Phils up 2-0. Howard grounded to second for the second out and Burrell went down looking at an 0-2 pitch on the inside part of the plate.

Big home run for Utley in his first World Series at-bat — Kazmir had allowed just seven extra-base hits (and just one home run) to lefties during the regular season.

Victorino started the second and hit a 2-1 pitch back through the middle. Iwamura got a glove on it behind second base, but didn’t field it cleanly and wouldn’t have gotten Victorino if he had. Feliz walked on five pitches, putting men on first and second with nobody out for Coste. Victorino was nearly picked off second on a very close play before Kazmir delivered his first pitch to Coste. Coste flew softly to right and the runners held. A walk to Ruiz loaded the bases with one out. Rollins was next and he hit a fly ball into shallow center. Upton caught it and Victorino tagged and came home. Upton’s throw was good, it reached home plate on one hop a little up the third base line. Navarro tagged out a sliding Victorino to complete the double-play.

No problem with sending Victorino there, it took a strong throw from Upton and a nice tag from Navarro to get him. Coste being unable to move the runners up with nobody out hurt the inning. Kazmir had thrown 40 pitches through two innings.

Werth led off the third and dumped a ball over Pena’s head and down the right field line for a double. Utley moved Werth to third with a ground out to second. He was stranded there, though. Howard struck out trying to check his swing 1-2 for the second out. Burrell struck out swinging 1-2.

Howard can’t bring the man in from third with one out. After failing to score with men on first and second with nobody out in the second, no run for the Phils in the third after putting a man on third with one out.

Victorino started the fourth and blooped a single into center. Upton charged but failed to glove the ball, but he was backed up nicely by Zobrist. Feliz swung at an awful 1-2 pitch before he singled into center, sending Victorino to second. Coste tried to bunt but fouled the pitch off. Victorino was running as Coste hit a slow grounder to first. Both runners moved up and the Phils had men on second and third with one out for Ruiz. Ruiz grounded a 1-1 pitch to short. Victorino scored to put the Phils up 3-0 as Feliz held second with two down. Kazmir struck Rollins out on three pitches to end the frame.

Coste did move the runners up that time and it helped the Phillies score a run. Good no-strikeout by Ruiz.

Another long inning for Kazmir, who was up to 71 for the game.

Werth flew to center to start the fifth. Utley popped a 1-2 pitch to short for the second out. Howard was next and drew a walk in a nine-pitch at-bat. Burrell was next and he had a long at-bat of his own, dribbling a 3-2 pitch towards first base. Kazmir hopped off the mound to field it with Burrell storming down the inside part of the first base line. Kazmir tossed to first, but the ball went off the heel of Pena’s glove for an error on the first baseman that put men on first and second with two outs. Victorino swung at the first pitch of his at-bat and grounded to second to leave both men stranded.

Feliz started the sixth with another bloop hit, this one into right-center. Coste popped up a 2-2 pitch to second for the first out. Five men left on base for Coste through 5 1/3 innings. Ruiz flew softly to left on a 1-0 pitch for the second out. Rollins got ahead 2-1 and lined to center, giving him five men left stranded as well.

Lefty JP Howell started the seventh for Tampa Bay and struck Werth out on four pitches for the first out with the Phils up 3-2. Utley singled back through the middle and stole second. Howell’s 1-2 delivery to Howard was wild, allowing Utley to go to third. Howell struck Howard out swinging 3-2 for the second out. The lefty Howell stayed in to pitch to the righty Burrell with two outs and a man on third. Burrell drew a walk, looking at a 3-2 pitch that was just outside. Bruntlett ran for Burrell at first. Righty Grant Balfour came in to pitch to Victorino and overpowered him, striking him out swinging 2-2.

More offensive misery from the Phils as Howard can’t bring the runner in from third with less than two outs. Fortunately for him, strikeouts don’t matter.

Running for Burrell as the run that puts you up 5-2 in the seventh is awful. Howell is great against righties, but I still think it’s a mistake to let Howell pitch to Burrell. Especially if you’re bringing a righty for the next batter anyway.

Balfour returned for the eighth and set the Phils down in order. Feliz flew to right. Coste shattered his bat grounding back to the mound. Ruiz lined an 0-2 pitch to right, but Zobrist took it there to set the Phillies down.

Balfour was back at it to start the ninth and struck out Rollins on three pitches, with Rollins going down swinging at a very high fastball. Werth was next and looked sure to strike out as well, getting behind 1-2 but then lining a 3-2 pitch into right. The ball landed near the line and bounced into the stands for a ground-rule double. The righty Balfour stayed in to walk the lefty Utley intentionally with lefty Trever Miller warming in the pen. Miller came in to pitch to Howard with one down and men on first and second. Howard saw four pitches, trying to check his swing on first offering but failing and then looking at a ball followed by a pair of strikes. Dan Wheeler came in to pitch to Bruntlett. Wheeler got ahead 0-2 and delivered a ball in the dirt as Utley and Werth pulled off a double-steal. Bruntlett popped to second for the third out.

It’s almost indefensible not to pinch-hit Dobbs or Stairs for Bruntlett against Wheeler. Don’t know what you’re saving them for. Taguchi can play left in the ninth or Jenkins can play right with Werth moving to left. Bruntlett is a career 221/286/310 hitter against righties and you’re winning by one run with a runner in scoring position. The only argument for keeping him in the game is that he is vastly superior to the other options in left, which I don’t believe is the case.

Curious that it was Miller and not lefty wunderkind David Price to pitch to Howard.

Rollins was 0-for-5, struck out twice and left five men on base. The tag he put on Pena in the sixth after Pena got picked off was a big defensive play for the Phils.

Werth was 2-for-4 with two doubles to the opposite field and a walk.

Utley 2-for-4 with a two-run homer and a walk. Stole two bases.

Howard was terrible. 0-for-4 with three strikeouts and four men left on base, failing multiple times to bring a runner in from third with less than two outs. Made an error in the field, but also made two nice defensive plays. He reached into the stands to get the Upton foul ball and made a nice throw to second after Hamels’ non-balk picked off Pena.

Burrell was 0-for-3 with a walk and two strikeouts. Looked worse than that against the lefty starter.

Victorino was 2-for-4 and left four men on base.

Feliz 2-for-3 with a walk. First World Series hits for Feliz, who went 0-for-5 in the ’02 series when his Giants played the Angels.

Coste 0-for-4 with five men left on base. Coste looked awful, but was given a tough task after getting just one at-bat this month coming into the game. Hopefully he can find his swing and give the Phils the right-handed bat off the bench they need.

Ruiz 0-for-3 with a walk and an RBI. Nice job to make contact and bring in Victorino with a ground ball in the fourth.

The Phillies drew nine walks in the game. Four in the six innings that Kazmir pitched and five in the three innings thrown by the pen.

Brett Myers (10-13, 4.55) faces righty James Shields (14-8, 3.56) tonight in game two.

Shields doesn’t walk many hitters, surrendering just 40 walks in 215 innings on the season. Righties and lefties hit about the same against him, .253 for righties and .255 for lefties. He allowed 24 home runs on the year, 12 that were hit by righties and 12 that were hit by lefties. He both struck out and walked lefties at a slightly higher rate than righties in 2008.

His strikeout rate shrunk as the season progressed. He struck out about 7.2 batters per nine innings through June and about 6.1 batters per nine innings in his starts in July, August and September.

He has made three post-season starts for the Rays and hasn’t allowed more than three earned runs in any of them. In 19 1/3 innings he’s thrown to a 3.72 ERA with a 1.40 ratio. His most recent start was the worst of the three. In game six of the ALCS he allowed four runs, only three of them earned, on nine hits and three walks over 5 2/3 innings. The Red Sox hit a pair of doubles and a pair of home runs off of him.

Matt Stairs has faced Shields a lot without good results. Stairs is 3-for-20 with a home run and two walks against him. Nobody else on the Phillies has more than three at-bats against Shields.

Myers has made two starts in the post-season, pitching well against the Brewers but getting hit hard by the Dodgers. Overall he’s thrown to a 5.25 ERA with a 1.25 ratio. He’s walked seven in 12 innings.

Righties hit him hard than lefties this season. Lefties hit just 235/317/423 against Myers, righties 293/341/494. Despite the fact that righties hit him harder than lefties, Myers walked lefties at a higher rate than righties. Myers walked about 10% of the left-handed batters he faced and about 6% of the right-handed batters he faced.

Cliff Floyd has seen him a ton, going 12-for-33 (364/400/697) with two doubles and three home runs. Willy Aybar is 2-for-6 against him.

Ad: Check out Phillies World Series tickets at TicketCity.


  • Calender

    August 2014
    M T W T F S S
    « Apr    
     123
    45678910
    11121314151617
    18192021222324
    25262728293031
  • Online Marketing
    Add blog to our blog directory.



    Web Directory

    Blogging Fusion Blog Directory

  • Copyright © 1996-2010 Philliesflow.com. All rights reserved.
    iDream theme by Templates Next | Powered by WordPress