Tag: Andrew Carpenter

Start chart

The Phillies have gone 59-45 in their first 104 games of the season. As you could no doubt guess, their starting pitchers have pitched much better in the games that they’ve won than in the games that they’ve lost. Here are the ERA, ratio and average Game Score for the Phillies starting pitchers for this year in games they won and in games they’ve lost (nothing in this post includes results from last night’s games):

  G IP ERA Ratio Avg GS
Wins 59 359.7 3.78 1.22 53.4
Losses 45 251.7 5.90 1.57 43.5

So in the 59 games that the Phillies have won their starting pitchers have thrown to a 3.78 ERA with a 1.22 ratio and an average Game Score of 53.4.

For each of the ten Phillies pitchers who have made at least one start this season, here’s how many starts they have made and how many of those starts they have thrown to an ERA of 3.78 or better, a ratio of 1.22 or better or a Game Score of 53.4 or better:

  GS ERA Rat GS All 3 % ERA % Rat % GS % all 3
Hamels 21 10 11 11 7 47.6 52.4 52.4 33.3
Moyer 21 7 4 7 4 33.3 19.0 33.3 19.0
Blanton 20 10 12 11 10 50.0 60.0 55.0 50.0
Happ 13 8 8 8 6 61.5 61.5 61.5 46.2
Myers 10 3 4 4 3 30.0 40.0 40.0 30.0
Park 7 2 3 2 1 28.6 42.9 28.6 14.3
Bastardo 5 2 2 2 1 40.0 40.0 40.0 20.0
Lopez 5 3 2 2 1 60.0 40.0 40.0 20.0
Lee 1 1 1 1 1 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
Carpenter 1 0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
                   
Total 104 46 47 48 34 44.2 45.2 46.2 32.7

Even before Happ made his best start of the season last night, he and Blanton had accounted for a large number of the team’s starts when the pitcher threw to all three of an ERA of 3.78 or better, a ratio of 1.22 or better and a Game Score of 53.4 or better. Happ and Blanton had combined to do it 16 times in 33 starts, which is about 48.5% of the time. The other starters on the team combined to make 71 starts and do it 18 times (25.3% of the time).

Finally, it’s a good a time as any to remind that the starting pitching was absolutely atrocious early in the season. As you can see in the table above the Phillies have had a starting pitcher throw to an ERA of 3.78 or better in 46 of their 104 starts and that’s 44.2% of the games. They did it twice in their first 22 games on the year (9.1% of the time). They didn’t have a single start on the year in which the starting pitcher both threw to an ERA that was better than 3.78 and a ratio that was 1.22 or better until the 23rd game of the season. On that day Blanton wasn’t fantastic, but he allowed a run on four hits and a walk over six innings as the Phils beat the Cardinals 6-1. After that day, May 4, they did it four times in the next seven games.

Pedro Martinez struck out 11 in six innings in a start from Double-A Reading yesterday.

Durbin pitched well for Clearwater last night. Romero and Durbin are both expected to make rehab appearances tomorrow.


Streak peek

The Phils rolled off ten wins in a row this month thanks to a fantastic effort all-around. All the fantasticness was enough to make me wonder what group of Phillies it was that had picked things up the most all-around.

Here’s a look at the runs the Phillies scored and allowed during the ten-game winning streak and over the other 82 games of the season as well as the rates the starting and relief pitchers allowed runs per game (nothing in this post includes the results from last night’s game):

  R RA RA SP RA RP
10-game
streak
5.70 2.60 1.80 0.80
Other 82
games
5.33 4.91 3.26 1.66

First of all, whoever it was it wasn’t the hitters. The offense scored more runs per game over the ten-game winning streak, but not by a whole lot. The Phillies were much better at preventing runs as they cut their rate of allowing runs nearly in half.

The starters are relievers were both awesome over the streak. The numbers above make it look like the relievers were a little better because they cut their rate down in the streak more than the starters did. The relief pitchers allowed less than half of their runs per inning. The starters cut the number down a lot as well, but not in half.

I don’t think you want to conclude that it was the relievers who had the bigger impact from that, though, because the fact is that the starters threw a lot more innings per game during the streak than they did over the 10-game winning streak.

The starting pitchers were fantastic. Here’s what they did in their ten starts in the win streak compared to their other 82 starts for the year.

  ERA Ratio
10-game
streak
2.60 0.95
Other 82
games
5.04 1.44

And, for both the starters and relievers, here’s a look at how many innings per game they pitched during the streak and the rest of the season and their rates of runs allowed per inning:

 
Starters

Relievers
  IP per G R per IP IP per G R per IP
10-game
streak
6.23 .29 3.47 .23
Other 82
games
5.75 .57 3.29 .50

There were more innings pitched per game during the streak than there were the other 82 games of the season. For one thing, ten wins means ten times you have to pitch at least nine innings to win the game (if it’s not called early). They also played a 13 inning game against the Cubs and a 12 inning came against the Marlins. The starters were definitely going deeper into games, but the relievers were also called on to throw more innings than they had over the rest of the year. By percentages, the starters threw about 64.2% of the innings during the streak (leaving about 35.8% to the relievers), which is a little higher than the percentage of the innings they pitched during the other games. During the other 82 games the starters had thrown about 63.6% of the innings while the relievers threw about 36.4% of the innings.

Both the starters and relievers were pitching more in the streak than they did outside the streak. For the starters it was a little bit more of a difference. They were throwing about 108.3% of their innings per game compared to 107.4% of the relievers innings per game. It was the relievers, though, that cut their rate of runs allowed per inning more dramatically in the streak. The relievers rate of .23 runs per inning over the ten games is less than half of what it was during the other 82 games of the season. For the starters the rate of runs allowed per inning is also much improved, but not quite cut in half.

So I think the question of who improved more during the streak is still a little up in the air. Before looking into it I would have guessed the starters. Both groups pitched very well and both pitched more than they were used to. The starters gave a few more extra innings and the relievers increased their effectiveness at preventing runs by a little more. The case for the relievers may be a little stronger, though, given that both groups were throwing more innings and the pen cut their rate of allowing runs more dramatically.

The Phillies put Durbin and Romero on the DL and called up Tyler Walker and Andrew Carpenter. The move leaves Scott Eyre as the only lefty in the pen for the Phils. Walker had been designated for assignment on July 17 and was not picked up by another team. He had been assigned to Triple-A on Wednesday.


May days

The Phillies got a brilliant start from Joe Blanton last night as he pitched well and deep into the game. The Phillies needed it badly. The starting pitching has been atrocious this season. Some of the problems seem to have been ironed out in May. Surely the Phils have improved as a group after a terrible April, but by how much?

Here’s what Phillies starting pitchers have done so far in May:

  GS IP H ER BB K ERA Ratio
Hamels 4 25 23 8 5 28 2.88 1.12
Myers 4 26.3 25 11 4 17 3.76 1.10
Blanton 5 31 29 16 12 28 4.65 1.32
Moyer 5 24.3 38 26 10 11 9.62 1.97
Park 4 18 21 14 12 11 7.00 1.83
Happ 1 6 4 2 0 4 3.00 0.67
Carpenter 1 4.3 8 5 3 4 10.38 2.54
                 
Total 24 135 148 82 46 103 5.47 1.44

Hamels and Myers have both been fantastic. After last night’s outstanding outing, Blanton’s numbers for the month are around where you would expect them to be. Happ made one start that was very good. Hamels, Myers and Happ have combined to walk just nine hitters in 62 innings during May. Hamels, Myers and Blanton (and Happ in his one start) have all allowed less than a hit per inning for the month. Blanton and Hamels have 56 strikeouts in 56 innings.

Still, 10 of the 24 starts the team has made in May have gone to Moyer, Park or Carpenter. Those guys simply haven’t pitched well. As a group, the three pitched 46 2/3 innings in those ten starts with an 8.68 ERA and a 1.97 ratio. Two problems there, one is an 8.68 ERA is really bad and the other is that averaging about 4.7 innings per start leaves a lot of frames for the bullpen to throw.

Here is what the starting pitchers have done as a group for April, May and over the entire season:

  G IP ERA Ratio H/9 BB/9 SO/9
Season 44 242.7 5.86 1.55 10.83 3.08 7.01
April 20 107.7 6.35 1.68 12.04 3.09 7.19
May 24 135 5.47 1.44 9.87 3.07 6.87

So the good news is that they have been better in May. The walk rate is just about the same and they’ve struck out fewer hitters than they did in April, but they’ve been much better at preventing hits and runs.

The bad news is that even in May they have a 5.47 ERA and a 1.44 ratio. And that’s awful. In 2008, for example, the Pirates had the worst starting pitching in the NL by ERA. Their starters threw to a 5.36 ERA for the year. The ratio for Pittsburgh starters for ’08 was 1.62, but they were just one of four teams (along with the Nationals, Reds and Rockies) who had their starters put up a ratio that was worse than 1.44.

Barring an injury I expect that Hamels, Myers and Blanton are going to be fine at the top of the rotation. Better than fine. The problem as I see it is that you can’t expect JA Happ is going to hold down the last two spots in the rotation for the rest of the year. I’m not even sure it’s reasonable to expect that he’ll hold down one spot at the bottom of the rotation for the rest of the year. The bigger problem is that I don’t see an easy solution — it may look like no more starts for Park and Carpenter is going to solve the Phillies’ problems. It’s not. The fact that those guys are making starts in the first place is a symptom of the lack of depth and options that they Phillies have at the bottom of their rotation. The names may change, but I’m not as sure about the results. A return to form by Moyer would surely help a lot, cause it looks like the Phillies have a number of eggs in the Moyer-being-usable-all-season-long basket. If it doesn’t come the Phillies are going to have to get creative.


Weekend at Washington turns out to be a little like Weekend at Bernie’s except the Nats don’t show quite as much life as Bernie did

The Washington Nationals are a really bad baseball team. The Phillies aren’t, but they came into a four-game set over the weekend playing pretty bad baseball. They took advantage of the opportunity to use the lifeless Nats to jump-start themselves.

With the exception of a much-needed great start by Myers, the rotation didn’t to much of the jump-starting. The bullpen threw almost as many innings as the rotation in the series. Blanton, Andrew Carpenter and Park combined to throw 10 1/3 innings in the three starts that they made. Park clearly beat Happ straight up for the fifth starter job out of spring training, but that’s not going to help him keep it much longer if he doesn’t turn things around soon. Four of the seven starts he has made on the year have now been very poor. Yesterday’s was probably the worst of the group, and given the fact that he allowed five runs on five hits and four walks over 1 1/3 innings that fact that you have to throw “probably” in there isn’t a good sign.

Finally, Raul Ibanez, who went 9-for-18 with three home runs and nine RBI in the series, is making Ruben Amaro look like a mad genius. After 36 games, Ibanez leads the National League in OPS, slugging, total bases and extra-base hits. He’s tied for second in RBI and fifth in batting average.

The Phillies swept the miserable Washington Nationals in a four-game set over the weekend. After winning four in a row they are 20-16. Four games above .500 ties them for their high-mark on the season — they were 14-10 after being the Cards on May 5.

The Phillies won game one of the series 10-6 in 12 innings. Howard delivered a three-run homer in the top of the seventh to put the Phillies up 6-4. The Nats sent it to extra-innings with two runs off of Lidge in the bottom of the ninth. Condrey and Happ were fantastic after that, keeping Washington off the board for three innings. The Phils scored four runs in the top of the twelfth with Ibanez putting them ahead to stay with a two-run single after Kip Wells walked the bases loaded.

The teams played a day-night double-header on Saturday. Myers was huge in game one, keeping the pen in the pen and holding the Nats to two runs over seven innings. Ibanez had a huge day, driving in four with a pair of home runs. The Phils took an 8-2 lead into the bottom of the eighth where Madson gave up three runs to make it 8-5, which was how it ended.

The Phillies won the second game of the double-header, which was stopped due to rain in the bottom of the sixth and not restarted, 7-5. Andrew Carpenter made the first start of his career after Happ, who was scheduled to pitch, had to throw two innings in game one of the series on Friday night. Carpenter wasn’t good, he allowed five runs over 4 1/3, but the Phillies’ offense was. The top four hitters, Rollins, Utley, Ibanez and Howard, combined to go 9-for-12 with six RBI.

The Phils completed the sweep with an 8-6 win yesterday. Park was terrible. The Phils gave him an early lead with three runs in the top of the first, but Park gave that right back and didn’t make it out of the second inning. The bullpen was fantastic, though, holding Washington to a run over 7 2/3 innings. The Phillies tied the game at 5-5 with two runs in the top of the fourth. Down 6-5 in the eighth with men on first and second, Feliz put down a pretty bunt. The pitcher Jesus Colome fielded and threw to first, where Anderson Hernandez must not have seen the ball because he looked like he made no effort to catch it. Both runners scored and Feliz came in to score when Bruntlett delivered a pinch-hit double two batters later. Eyre started the bottom of the ninth with two lefties due to hit to start the inning, but Lidge, pitching for the fourth straight day, came in to induce a double-play to get the last two outs of the game.

The Phillies threw 35 innings in the four-game set, pitching to a 5.66 ERA and a 1.54 ratio. In 35 innings they walked 20.

Myers made a very good start in game two, but otherwise the starting pitching was terrible. The four starters combined to throw 17 2/3 innings with an 8.15 ERA and a 2.04 ratio. They walked 15 in 17 2/3 innings. Blanton, Carpenter and Park combined not to get an out in the sixth inning and the bullpen had to throw 17 1/3 innings in the set, just 1/3 of an inning less than the starters. It should have been worse — the rain that ended game three was a gift for the Phillies and their bullpen.

Blanton got the start in game one and allowed four runs over five innings on five hits and six walks. He has a 6.86 ERA for the season.

Myers started the first game on Saturday and pitched very well in a situation where the Phillies really needed him. He allowed two runs on two solo homers over seven innings while striking out eight. He gave up just three hits in the game and walked two.

Andrew Carpenter made the first start of his career in game three, the night game of Saturday’s double-header. He allowed eight hits and four walks over 4 1/3 innings and was charged with five runs. One of the runs scored on a triple that Condrey allowed to Ronnie Belliard in the fifth inning after Carpenter had left the game.

Carpenter took Miguel Cairo’s spot when he was called up to start the game. Cairo was designated for assignment. Sergio Escalona took Carpenter’s roster and was active for Sunday’s game with Carpenter going back to the IronPigs.

Chan Ho Park started yesterday and was ten pounds of suck in a five-pound bag. Five runs on five hits and four walks over 1 1/3 innings. His ERA is 7.08 for the season.

With the exception of Myers, the starters were terrible and the bullpen bailed them out. The pen threw 17 1/3 innings to a 3.12 ERA and a 1.04 ratio. They struck out 16 and did not allow a home run.

Happ was expected to start the second game of Saturday’s double-header, but was pressed into action in game one. He entered with the score tied at 6-6 in the bottom of the eleventh and got the job done, throwing two scoreless frames and getting the win with the help of a four-run top of the twelfth from the offense.

Taschner took over for Park with the bases loaded in the bottom of the second in game four after Park walked in a run to put the Phillies down 4-3. He hit the first man he faced, forcing in another run to make it 5-3, but got Josh Willingham to hit into a huge double-play to get out of the jam. He came back and threw a scoreless third and a scoreless fourth.

Eyre started the seventh in game one after Howard gave the Phils a 6-4 lead with a three-run shot in the top of the inning. He got the only two men he faced before Madson took over to face the righty Austin Kearns.

He threw a 1-2-3 eighth in game four with the Phils up 8-6. With two lefties due to leadoff the bottom of the ninth and Lidge having pitched three days in a row, Eyre started the bottom of the ninth. He got Adam Dunn before walking Willie Harris before Lidge relieved him to pitch to the righty Willingham.

Sergio Escalona made his major-league debut yesterday in the bottom of the seventh with the Phillies down 6-5. He allowed a one-out single to Anderson Hernandez, but got the next two hitters.

Fantastic job by Escalona to keep the Phillies in the game.

Durbin came on for Blanton in the bottom of the sixth in game one with the Phils down 4-3. He hit Nick Johnson with two outs, but got the next hitter.

Yesterday he took over for Taschner in game four in the bottom of the fifth with the score tied at 5-5. He threw a scoreless fifth and came back to start the sixth. In the sixth he allowed back-to-back singles to the first two batters he faced before Ryan Zimmerman delivered a sac fly that put the Nats up 6-5. Durbin got the next two to avoid further damage.

Durbin hasn’t allowed a home run in May after giving up three in April.

Condrey threw a 1-2-3 tenth in game one with the score tied at 6-6. Impressive showing for Condrey, pitching on one day’s rest after throwing 40 pitches on Wednesday against the Dodgers.

He entered in the bottom of the fifth in game three, relieving Carpenter in the second game of Saturday’s double-header. He came into the game with one out and a man on first with the Phillies up 7-4. The first man he faced, Belliard, delivered an RBI-triple, but Condrey struck out the next hitters.

Madson entered game one with two outs in the bottom of the seventh and the Phils up by two with the bases empty. He got Austin Kearns to end the inning. He came back to throw a scoreless eighth.

After going more than an inning on Friday, Madson entered in the bottom of the eighth in game two with an 8-2 lead. He gave up three runs on four hits. Madson shouldn’t have been in the game with a six-run lead in the first place. Taschner, who had thrown 38 pitches on Wednesday, seems like he was the obvious choice.

Lidge came on to try and save game one with a 6-4 lead in the bottom of the ninth in game one. The Nats tied the game against him on a walk, a single and a two-run double by Willie Harris.

He got another chance to close in game two of the series. He entered with an 8-5 lead and kept Washington off the board, allowing one hit, a single.

Yesterday, in game four, he entered the bottom of the ninth with an 8-6 lead with one down and a man on first. He was pitching for the fourth day in a row. On his second pitch, Willingham hit into a double-play to end the game.

The Phillies scored 33 runs in four games in the series.

Rollins was 7-for-18 with a triple and two walks in the series. 222/268/320 for the year. His on-base and slugging percentages are highs for the season. He went 1-for-4 on opening day, but that was the only day of the year he ended the day with an average better than .222.

Victorino was dropped to sixth in the order for games three and four. 5-for-17 with a double in the series. 256/304/417 for the season.

Utley hit second in the order in games three and four when Victorino dropped to sixth. He didn’t start game two of the series against the lefty Olsen. Bruntlett played second. He went 4-for-9 with five walks and three doubles in the series. 291/443/590 for the year.

Howard had an enormous at-bat in game one. With the Phils down a run in the top of the seventh, the slumping Utley and slumping Howard were due to hit. Utley struck out, but Howard delivered a three-run blast to center. 5-for-17 with a double and two home runs in the series. 266/346/517.

Werth didn’t start gave three with Stairs in right against the righty Daniel Cabrera. 5-for-15 with two walks and a homer in the series. 294/396/540 for the year. He’s hitting .340 in May.

Ibanez hit sixth in the first game of the series, but third in every other game. 9-for-18 with three home runs, two walks and nine RBI in the series. 357/425/714 for the year. If he slugs .714 for the whole season it would be a career-high.

Feliz did not start game three with Cabrera on the mound for Washington. 7-for-14 with two doubles in the set. 308/380/425 for the season.

Ruiz went 3-for-12 with three singles and three RBI in the set. 255/397/340. Coste started game two against Olsen.

Coste started game two. He went 3-for-6 with a double in the series. 236/333/400 for the year.

Bruntlett made another appearance as the Phillies’ top right-handed bat against a lefty in game one. Again it did not work. With two outs and runners on first and second, Dobbs hit for Blanton with righty Garrett Mock on the mound. The Nats brought in lefty Ron Villone, Bruntlett hit for Dobbs and Villone got Bruntlett to pop to shallow center. Bruntlett may be the Phillies’ best option off the bench against a left-handed hitter, but he’s not good enough to consistently burn Dobbs’ bat as teams have done time and again.

He started at second in game two of the series against the lefty Olsen with Utley on the bench. 1-for-6 with a double in the series. 138/206/276. His double yesterday is his only hit in May.

Dobbs started game three with Cabrera on the mound. 0-for-3 in the series. 125/200/125 for the year. 4-for-32 with four singles.

Stairs started game three in right with the righty Cabrera on the mound for Washington. 0-for-3 with two walks in the set. 318/500/636 in 22 at-bats for the year.

Cairo went 0-for-1 on Friday before being designated for assignment on Saturday when Carpenter came up. 118/118/118. 2-for-17 with two singles. Despite his right-handedness, he was never a good match for this team. There’s a bunch of other people in the world who are right-handed and aren’t a good match, either. Me, for example.


Carpenter complex

Turns out that the remaining issue of spring training for the Phillies isn’t who fills out the last two spots on the roster so much as whether Andrew Carpenter should be made the fifth starter or traded for A-Rod. It’s an issue intelligent people can disagree about, so maybe they can make him the fifth starter for a while and then trade him for A-Rod.

Brett Myers and prospect Andrew Carpenter shutout the Yankees on four singles yesterday as the Phils improved to 12-15 with a 4-0 win.

Myers got the start and went five innings in his final spring tune up. He struck out three while allowing two singles and two walks to drop his ERA to 1.13. Carpenter followed Myers and struck out six in four innings, allowing a pair of singles and two walks.

Andrew Carpenter is a 22-year-old righty the Phils took in the second round of the 2006 draft. He was really good at Single-A Clearwater in 2007, going 17-6 in 27 games, 24 of which were starts. He threw to a 3.20 ERA with a 1.25 ratio. In 163 innings he gave up 150 hits and walked 53 while striking out 116.

Article about him here. A lot of people think his name is Drew Carpenter, but Phuture Phillies got to the bottom of that one and some other issues in an interview earlier this month.

Jenkins was 3-for-4 with a double for the Phils. He has his spring average up to .254. Burrell had two singles in three at-bats to raise his average to .275. Rollins drove in two runs with a bases-loaded single, he was 1-for-3 on the day with a stolen base. Utley returned after missing some time for personal reasons and went 0-for-4. Werth was 0-for-4 and struck out twice, dropping his average to .159. Taguchi was 1-for-1 with a double, he’s hitting 371/488/457 in 43 spring plate appearances.

The Phillies play Detroit today.

This article says that Benson may still be back in May. It also says that Davey Lopes feels good after prostate surgery and that there is still a possibility the Phils will get Jimmy Rollins fan and left-handed pitcher Steve Kline.

This suggests that the efforts to trade for Kline fell through, that JD Durbin thinks his chances to make the team don’t look good and that Helms has an advantage over Snelling if the Phils carry a 14th hitter. Over the last couple of days several articles have suggested it’s Snelling that would have the edge over Helms. And there’s always the good chance that neither of them make the team.

Update: This suggests the Phillies put JD Durbin on waivers.

Update again: David Murphy says Travis Blackey cleared waivers and was sent to Triple-A.


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