A recent post looked at the combined WAR for Phillie starting pitchers over the past five years. This post will look how the core of the Phillie rotation, Halladay, Lee and Hamels, compare to other elite pitchers across both leagues in terms of cumulative WAR for pitchers over the past five seasons.
Spoiler alert — they compare really well.
The table below shows pitchers who have 1) made more than 100 starts over the past five seasons and 2) have a Baseball-Reference calculated WAR per game started better than .125:
| Pitcher | GS | # Relief appearances | WAR | WAR/GS |
| Roy Halladay | 155 | 1 | 30.0 | .194 |
| Cliff Lee | 155 | 0 | 28.9 | .186 |
| Josh Johnson | 115 | 0 | 21.0 | .183 |
| CC Sabathia | 164 | 0 | 27.0 | .164 |
| Clayton Kershaw | 149 | 2 | 23.7 | .159 |
| Justin Verlander | 168 | 0 | 26.7 | .159 |
| Felix Hernandez | 165 | 0 | 24.1 | .146 |
| Zack Greinke | 160 | 0 | 23.0 | .144 |
| Cole Hamels | 160 | 1 | 21.4 | .134 |
| Jon Lester | 161 | 0 | 21.1 | .131 |
| John Danks | 133 | 0 | 17.2 | .129 |
| Jared Weaver | 160 | 0 | 20.7 | .129 |
| Adam Wainwright | 119 | 0 | 15.2 | .128 |
| Chris Carpenter | 103 | 1 | 13.0 | .126 |
| Matt Cain | 165 | 0 | 20.8 | .126 |
Again, the table above displays the total WAR accumulated from 2008 through 2012, then divides that total by the number of games that the pitcher started. So pitchers who accumulated WAR in relief appearances get a tiny advantage over pitchers who did not, although the entire group of 15 pitchers in the table above has combined to make just five relief appearances since the start of 2008.
Halladay is the key thing to focus on here and just how good he was from 2008 through 2011. He stays atop the chart despite his miserable 2012.
Here’s what Halladay’s numbers look like if you break them down from 2008-2011 and 2012 separately.
| GS | # Relief appearances | WAR | WAR/GS | |
| Halladay 2008-2011 | 130 | 1 | 29.3 | .225 |
| Halladay 2012 | 25 | 0 | 0.7 | .028 |
| Total | 155 | 1 | 30.0 | .194 |
So, again, even with the ugly 2012 performance from Halladay, he still finds himself above the chart of elite pitchers at the top of the post.
By WAR, 2010 and 2011 were the best years of Halladay’s career. He spent both of them with the Phillies. In those two seasons, he had a combined Baseball-Reference calculated WAR of 16.8 over 65 starts, which is about .258 per start.
Lee also fares very well on the top table, second only to Halladay. Like Halladay, his 2012 wasn’t as good as his previous four years, although it was a lot better than Halladay’s. Here’s the same chart for Lee, broken up into 2008 through 2011 with an individual entry for 2012:
| GS | # Relief appearances | WAR | WAR/GS | |
| Lee 2008-2011 | 125 | 0 | 24.7 | .198 |
| Lee 2012 | 30 | 0 | 4.2 | .140 |
| Total | 155 | 0 | 28.9 | .186 |
Like Halladay, Lee’s mark for 2012 was worse than 2008 through 2011, although not nearly as dramatically.
Hamels’s two best years for WAR were 2010 and 2011. His numbers for the last five years combined are dragged down by his ugly 2009 season in which he threw to a 4.32 ERA over 32 starts with an ERA+ of 97, posting a WAR for the year of 1.7.
Here’s how his numbers look if you break them down by ’08 and ’09, ’10 and ’11 and 2012:
| GS | # Relief appearances | WAR | WAR/GS | |
| Hamels 2008-2009 | 65 | 0 | 5.7 | .088 |
| Hamels 2010-2011 | 64 | 1 | 11.5 | .180 |
| Hamels 2012 | 31 | 0 | 4.2 | .135 |
| Total | 160 | 1 | 21.4 | .134 |
So Lee and Hamels were about the same in 2012 in terms of WAR per game started, with Lee having been a lot better over the past four years.
Even if you take out Hamels’s ’09 season, that leaves him at 19.7 WAR over 128 starts in ’08 and ’10 through ’12. That’s about .154 WAR per game started, which is very good, but still not as good as Lee’s 2008 through 2011.
The Reading Phillies (Double-A) are getting a new name, which will be revealed on November 17.

