Comments on: Sprechen sie ut oh?

By: egrissom

egrissom — Tue, 23 Oct 2012 13:40:48 +0000

It seems like there is an enormous opportunity for Tyson Gillies and that he’s not going to be able to take advantage of it. You have to think the Phillies are tiring of him at this point — no matter how good his results on the field last year.

He’s another guy the Phillies shouldn’t be counting on. The problem seems to be that unless they add a bunch of players, there are so many guys they shouldn’t be counting on that is looks like they’re going to have to count on some of them.

The list of guys who could help in CF next year is very small. The fact that Tyson Gillies is on it and perhaps near the top at this point, is not good news for the Phillies.

By: Greg

Greg — Tue, 23 Oct 2012 12:54:31 +0000

While we’re sighing about possible kids helping in 2013, Tyson Gillies put up solid numbers in his first week in Venezuela, but has missed the last week and a half with a hamstring injury. I swear that kid is made of glass.

By: Greg

Greg — Tue, 23 Oct 2012 12:49:31 +0000

It’s probably because you’ve blocked it out of your memory. I have very little hope that Galvis will ever be better than a .300 OBP guy in the majors. If the rest of your team is posting .800+OPS’s and you have a sub .600 OPS and bat 8th with great defense, I’m OK with that. The Phillies aren’t that team though.

By: DaMannse

DaMannse — Tue, 23 Oct 2012 01:51:35 +0000

Sigh on Asche. I had this fantasy.

I saw Galvis’ numbers, too. Seemed high. Seemed hard to believe in or trust.

By: egrissom

egrissom — Mon, 22 Oct 2012 20:48:54 +0000

Ruf is 4-for-7 with two home runs in the last two days, so I don’t think we need to hit the panic button too hard at this point.

Truly hoping for the best on Asche, but even if he’s going to be good, I agree he’s still going to need a lot more time in the minors. 263 AB above A-ball so far. I agree he’s not going to help the Phillies in 2013. I truly think the Phillies are going to struggle to fill 3B with the options they currently have in the organization.

Galvis is good at defense. He’s gonna need to hit .425 for los Aguilas del Zulia for a lot longer than 40 at-bats to make me think he’s more than that. Nice to see him hit three homers so far, though. I think it would be a mistake to think Galvis might be non-terrible offensively, what with his .292 on-base percentage and .321 slugging percentage in the minors.

I also feel like I never devote enough time to remembering that the Phillies gave him 200 plate appearances in 2012 and he on-based .254. .254?

By: Greg

Greg — Mon, 22 Oct 2012 20:34:03 +0000

For what it is worth, I did some more research on Asche defensively (because it beats working). At first blush, his .950 fielding percentage is passable (I’m using only his AA numbers from Reading for this season). Dig a little deeper and you see he had a Range Factor of 2.30 (meaning he got to 2.3 balls per 9 innings). That was good enough for 11th out of the 12 “regular” third basemen in the Eastern League.

Frandsen posted a Range Factor of 2.26 at third this year (and also ironically a .952 fielding percentage) so I suppose the two are fairly comparable. Asche won’t be Greg Dobbs bad (consistently below 2) but he won’t be Mike Schmidt either (career range factor of 3).

What does it all mean? I really don’t know other than to say he will likely be below average, but not horrible at third. It’s possible in the game Keith Law saw he just had a REALLY bad day. Many of the other reports I’ve seen on his defense point to his being adequate, which is probably the best we can hope for. Long story short, he isn’t a real viable option for 3B in 2013.

By: Greg

Greg — Mon, 22 Oct 2012 14:03:06 +0000

Not sure if I should mention this or not, but Galvis (in the same league as Ruf) is hitting .433/.452/.833 so far in 30 at bats. Maybe going off of the juice helped him?

By: Greg

Greg — Mon, 22 Oct 2012 13:59:35 +0000

Ruf isn’t hitting particularly well, but 2 of his three hits have been home runs (the other is a double). The league he is in is a much tougher environment to play in than the Arizona Fall League. Much better competition. Still, would be better if he was hitting better.

Asche is hitting well in a great hitters league. Everything I have seen or heard of him to this point has questioned his defense, so this really isn’t anything new for him. Think Greg Dobbs at third. He may be able to improve with more practice, but who really knows for sure.

By: DaMannse

DaMannse — Fri, 19 Oct 2012 23:23:19 +0000

Greg, I’m seeing that Asche is really hitting well. Ruf terribly.

But Asche’s lateral movement is not good, huh? Is this new or have you seen it before?

By: DaMannse

DaMannse — Fri, 19 Oct 2012 21:40:57 +0000

Like you said, they sure better come.