Cole Hamels made 31 starts last year in which he threw 213 innings, or 6.87 innings per start. Rotation-mates Roy Halladay and Cliff Lee each went more than seven innings a start — 7.30 innings per start for Halladay and 7.27 for Lee.
So, should we be worried that Hamels isn’t going as deep into games? Not so much.
First of all, Halladay and Lee are workhorses who were at the top of the innings pitched list in the NL in 2011. Halladay was second in the NL in innings pitched with 233 2/3 and Lee was fourth with 232 2/3. Hamels himself was tied for ninth with 216 innings.
The other issue is that Hamels is a whole lot younger than either Halladay or Lee.
Table below shows, for Halladay, Lee, Hamels and Oswalt, the number of starts each of the four pitchers got by age and the average number of innings they threw per start that year:
| Hamels | Hamels | Lee | Lee | Halladay | Halladay | Oswalt | Oswalt | |
| Year | GS | IP/GS | GS | IP/GS | GS | IP/GS | GS | IP/G |
| 21 | 2 | 7.00 | ||||||
| 22 | 23 | 5.75 | 18 | 5.80 | ||||
| 23 | 28 | 6.55 | 2 | 5.17 | 13 | 4.67 | 20 | 6.38 |
| 24 | 33 | 6.89 | 9 | 5.81 | 16 | 6.44 | 34 | 6.82 |
| 25 | 32 | 6.05 | 33 | 5.42 | 34 | 7.04 | 21 | 6.06 |
| 26 | 33 | 6.32 | 32 | 6.31 | 36 | 7.39 | 35 | 6.74 |
| 27 | 31 | 6.87 | 33 | 6.08 | 21 | 6.33 | 35 | 6.90 |
| 28 | 16 | 6.08 | 19 | 7.46 | 32 | 6.86 | ||
| 29 | 31 | 7.20 | 32 | 6.88 | 32 | 6.61 | ||
| 30 | 34 | 6.81 | 31 | 7.27 | 32 | 6.52 | ||
| 31 | 28 | 7.58 | 33 | 7.38 | 30 | 6.04 | ||
| 32 | 32 | 7.27 | 32 | 7.47 | 32 | 6.58 | ||
| 33 | 33 | 7.60 | 23 | 6.04 | ||||
| 34 | 32 | 7.30 | ||||||
| Through age 27 | 180 | 6.44 | 125 | 5.93 | 140 | 6.57 | 145 | 6.65 |
Or, for those of you who prefer your data harder to understand, here’s a picture (points are plotted for years in which each of the pitchers started at least ten games):
During his age 27 season, Hamels went about 6.87 innings per start. That mark is higher than Halladay (6.33 over 21 starts at age 27) or Lee (6.08 over 33). It’s about the same but a little worse than Oswalt. In 2005, Oswalt made 35 starts for the Astros in which he threw 241 2/3 innings, which is about 6.91 innings per start.
I do want to acknowledge that the squiggly line graph is nearly incomprehensible. One thing I think it does illustrate, though, is that after their age 27 seasons, the innings pitched per start numbers for Halladay and Lee generally went up. Oswalt was a different story. He topped out in innings per start during his age 27 season and has been generally downwards since then.
The other thing is that Hamels has made a lot more starts through his age 27 season than the rest of the group has. Having just completed his age 27 season, he has 180 career starts. Through their age 27 seasons, Oswalt led the group of Halladay, Lee and Oswalt with 145. In terms of innings pitched per start through age 27, Hamels has thrown more innings per start than Lee, but a little bit less than Halladay or Oswalt.
The biggest point for the day, though, is that Hamels doesn’t have any problem with not throwing enough innings per start. He does throw fewer innings per start than Halladay or Lee, but so does pretty much everyone else in the world. In 2010, for example, Lee made 13 starts with the Mariners in which he threw 103 2/3 innings, which is a silly 7.97 innings per outing.
Phils beat Florida State 6-1 yesterday. Pete Orr made a couple of defensive miscues in the top of the seventh on a ball through his legs and a bobble of a mighta-been double-play as Florida State scored a run to tie the game a 1-1. Orr led off the bottom of the seventh with a double, though, and the Phils went on to score five times in the frame. Hector Luna hit a two-run shot in the rally. Hunter Pence doubled and walked in two plate appearances. Mayberry started at first and went 0-for-3 with five men left on base.
Austin Hyatt started for the Phils and struck out three in two perfect innings.
This says that Ryan Howard will be sidelined indefinitely after a procedure on Monday “to clean an infection from his surgical wound.” I’m not a medical expert or anything, but I think this might mean it’s okay to call it a setback now.
Erik Kratz says that Phillippe Aumont is a bulldog in this article. I don’t think he’s being literal. I think we would need to start to seriously consider the effectiveness of the scouting process if the fact that Aumont was a bulldog rather than a baseball player had somehow slipped through the cracks before trading for him.



March 1st, 2012 on 5:09 pm
Does anyone remember last year at this time that we were dreaming about four 20 game winners? Comparisons to the stellar Oriole staff were rife.
Results, after the most wins on Phillies’ history? Na da. And Hamels won a sparkling 14 games, tied for his second all time best.
I imagine he will pitch more innings as he gets older. One hopes he might actually win a few more games as he gets older too. If he actually gets his 22 million a year, or whatever, one might hope he would, anyway.
March 1st, 2012 on 6:49 pm
I think a big part about Hamels’s record is that the Phillies just don’t score any runs in the games he starts.
In 2011, the Phillies averaged 4.40 runs per game overall and scored 3.84 runs per game in the 31 games that Hamels started. That was the lowest mark of any Phillie starter.
In 2010, they scored an average of 4.77 runs per game overall and 3.76 per game in Hamels’s 33 starts. That was the lowest mark of any starting pitcher except Nelson Figueroa and he only started one game (in which the Phils scored three runs).
March 1st, 2012 on 7:56 pm
Uh huh. All I am saying is that at some point, if you want to actually be an ace, you better be able to win more than 14. He wasn’t playing for a last place team. I’m just hoping the Phillies keep him and that he eventually produces the wins he ought to be able to produce. I know that in today’s games, “metrics” are all the rage. I’m old; I want to see someone win 20.
March 2nd, 2012 on 10:17 am
Out of curiosity… are the numbers available for R/G scored for Carlton when he was winning 20 while the team in total won 40?
March 2nd, 2012 on 10:47 am
In 1972, Carlton went 27-10 for the Phillies in a year the team was 59-97.
In 156 games, the team scored a total of 503 runs. That’s about 3.22 runs per game.
In the 41 games that Carlton started, the Phillies scored 154 runs or an average of 3.76 runs per game.
In the 115 games that Carlton did not start, the Phillies scored 349 runs or 3.03 runs per game.
So they scored a lot more for him in ’72 when he won 27 games.
That’s part of the issue when it comes to wins, no doubt, but if you want to win 27 games I’d go with starting 41 before trying to get the offense to play a little better for you. Carlton threw 346 1/3 innings that year. If Cole Hamels got 41 starts and threw 346 1/3 innings in 2012, he would win a whole lot more than 14 games. Not sure that’s the way to go, though.