Point for today is that Domonic Brown has been an atrocious defensive outfielder over the past two seasons. In 2010 his UZR/150 was -37.9 and in ’11 it was -26.0. How bad is that? In 2011 there were 62 NL players who played at least 450 innings as an outfielder — Brown’s -26.0 was the worst mark of those 62. In 2010 he only played he only played 112 defensive innings, but his UZR/150 of -37.9 was 185th-best of the 192 players across both leagues who played at least 100 innings in the outfield.
FanGraphs has UZR data starting in 2002. Among Phillie outfielders who played at least 100 innings in each of the last ten seasons, here’s who posted the best and worst UZR/150 and the number of innings they played that year:
| Year | Best | UZR/150 | Innings | Worst | UZR/150 | Innings |
| 2011 | Mayberry | 9.4 | 474 1/3 | Brown | -26.0 | 451 |
| 2010 | Victorino | 2.8 | 1265 1/3 | Brown | -37.9 | 112 |
| 2009 | Francisco | 12.6 | 181 1/3 | Mayberry | -22.6 | 127 |
| 2008 | Werth | 28.5 | 966 | Burrell | -12.3 | 1198 1/3 |
| 2007 | Werth | 30.5 | 575 2/3 | Burrell | -29.6 | 1028 1/3 |
| 2006 | C Roberson | 24.6 | 103 2/3 | Abreu | -16.9 | 848 |
| 2005 | J Michaels | 32.8 | 635 1/3 | E Chavez | -8.9 | 185 |
| 2004 | R Ledee | 51.1 | 175 1/3 | M Byrd | -18.4 | 753 1/3 |
| 2003 | J Michaels | 25.4 | 179 2/3 | R Ledee | -19.0 | 491 |
| 2002 | D Glanville | 8.7 | 891 1/3 | R Ledee | -21.5 | 371 2/3 |
And you thought you might go your whole day without thinking about Chris Roberson or Ricky Ledee even once, didn’t you?
In 2007, Pat Burrell put up an UZR/150 of -29.6 while stumbling about in left field for the Phils. That’s the only outfielder for the team, though, that played 100 innings in the outfield in a season over the past ten years and posted a mark worse than the -26.0 that Brown put up over 451 innings in 2011. No outfielder on the team over the past ten seasons has played at least 100 innings for the Phils with an UZR/150 worse than his -37.9 in 2010.
Over the last ten years combined, the Phillies have 15 players who played at least 500 innings in the outfield. Of those, Brown’s combined UZR/150 of -27.8 is fifteenth. By a lot. Ricky Ledee has the second-worst mark at -8.8.
Notably, Burrell, the poster boy for awful defensive outfielders in recent Phillie history, has an UZR/150 of -8.0 over 8,140 innings as an outfielder with the Phils since the start of 2002, considerably better than Brown, but also better than Ibanez (-8.6) or Ledee (-8.8) and the same as Francisco (-8.0). Unlike Brown, whose defensive numbers early in his career have been hideous, Burrell’s defensive numbers weren’t awful early in his career but got bad when he got older. From 2002 to 2004, his age 25, 26 and 27 seasons, Burrell played 3,629 2/3 innings in the outfield for the Phils with an UZR/150 of -0.1.
Ibanez, while we’re on the subject, also had a terrible UZR/150 of -21.8 while playing left field for the Phillies in 2011 (topped in defensive feebleness on the list above only by Brown (twice), Burrell in 2007 and Mayberry in 2009, although Mayberry did a whole lot less damage being terrible in 127 innings in 2009 than Ibanez did in 1,196 2/3 in 2011).
Since the start of 2002, there are 242 NL players that have played at least 500 innings in the outfield. Brown’s combined UZR/150 of -27.8 tops only one of them (Lucas Duda of the Mets).
The Phils traded Wilson Valdez to the Reds for 26-year-old left-handed reliever Jeremy Horst. In the linked article, Amaro mentions Michael Martinez and Freddy Galvis as players who give the Phils utility depth, but also suggests that Galvis will start the year at Triple-A. Valdez should be pretty replaceable, but trying to replace him with Michael Martinez sure seems like a move that would make the Phillies worse. The article also mentions Pete Orr, Kevin Frandsen and Hector Luna as options.
The Valdez era ends with Valdez having hit 254/300/351 in 663 plate appearances with the Phils in 2010 and 2011 combined. Valdez got at least 300 plate appearances with the teams in each of those years. Prior to coming to the Phillies, he had never gotten 150 plate appearances in a season.
On October 6, 2010, Valdez started at third for the Phils in game one of the NLDS against the the Reds, which was somehow overshadowed by Halladay throwing a no-hitter. On October 23 of the same year, he was the pinch-runner at second for Polanco when Brian Wilson struck Howard out looking to end game six of the NLCS with the Giants having topped the Phillies 3-2 to take the series.
Three Phillie pitchers made MLB.com’s list of the top 100 pitching prospects. Righty Trevor May was 54th, lefty Jesse Biddle 78th and righty Brody Colvin 80th.
I think this says that Larry Bowa will be shocked if the Phillies don’t go to the World Series. Hoping for the best, but I will not be shocked if the Phils don’t go to the World Series.
This suggests that Brad Lidge and the Nats have agreed to a deal.


January 26th, 2012 on 1:36 pm
You know whats funny, is it just me or am I the only one who didnt even realize that Brown played roughly 50 games worth of outfield last season?
So long Lidger. 2008 was a thing of beauty for you. I will never forget where I was when you K’d Hinske.
January 26th, 2012 on 2:01 pm
Somewhat promising to me is that Mayberry was on the worst list in 2009 and the best list in 2011. Perhaps Brown can improve. My guess is that it would be hard not to.
I blame Valdez being at second base for Howard’s strikeout. He must’ve distracted Ryan. That’s probably why they traded him, just took them a year. I also can’t believe his start has been overshadowed in history by Halladay’s no-hitter. The nerve of that guy to not give up, like, one hit so that Wilson will be remembered.
Best wishes Brad.
January 26th, 2012 on 2:14 pm
I was surprised at how many innings Brown has played in the outfield as well. And especially surprised that there are only 14 guys over the last 10 years for the Phils who have played more defensive innings in the OF for the Phils than he has. Couple of guys don’t miss the 500 inning mark by much — Pence has 482 2/3 and Dellucci 467 2/3. Dellucci worse defensive numbers than Ledee, but still a lot better than Brown.
Lidge was amazing in 2008. Phils wouldn’t have done it without him.
I agree about Mayberry. Especially for guys who don’t have a lot of innings, the defensive numbers jump around a lot. Per the above points, though, Brown is getting to the point where he has a lot of innings and all of the data on his defense is pretty ugly.
Remember when Juan Castro made the final play of Halladay’s perfect game? Maybe he just flourishes with UT guys playing third. In 100% of his post-season starts with Valdez starting at third, Halladay has thrown a no-hitter. You’ve got to look for an advantage anywhere you can find it.
January 26th, 2012 on 3:27 pm
Ricky Ledee. Time warp.
Will be seriously weird seeing Lidge come out of the pen in the 8th (9th??) at The Bank. Wearing that dumb “W”.
January 26th, 2012 on 4:06 pm
It WILL be weird seeing Lidge with the Nats but also good since I’m pretty sure anything resembling the guy’s best days are behind him. I doubt they’ll let him close.
Hey, only way Brown can go is up, basically. Unless the field turns into lava and he dies. I know ANYTHING is possible but that’s pretty unlikely.
January 26th, 2012 on 4:16 pm
At least he and Werth can relive their ’08 glory. They were both rather impressive in the post-season that year.
I think if Lidge is healthy enough to get on the field you should be looking for him around the seventh or so with Washington.
January 26th, 2012 on 4:52 pm
I hate to say it, but I hope they both embarrass themselves this year. And in years to come for Werth. Does that make me a bad person?
January 26th, 2012 on 5:00 pm
Who could hate Werth and Lidge? What about the nifty facial hair?? And, oh yeah, helping the Phils win the World Series??!
January 26th, 2012 on 5:08 pm
On the prospect talk (because I feel I need to) the mlb.com list is all over the place. I’m VERY surprised to see Colvin on the list after his season last year. I would suspect that “respected” prospect sites (Baseball America, Baseball Prospectus, etc.) will have vastly different lists.
I don’t hate Werth and/or Lidge. I’ll still root for Lidge, but something about what Werth did just rubs me the wrong way. The Phillies at least still wanted him.
I do like the stat of Valdez starting and Halladay’s no-hitters. Maybe the plan is to send him to the enemy and see what damage he can cause there.
Here’s hoping that Brown can improve to at least adequate in 2012. I’d settle for a Pat Burrell type career at this point.
January 26th, 2012 on 7:50 pm
I don’t hate these guys… tho I am no longer fond of Werth… but I want them to do very poorly from here on in. They aren’t wearing red pinstripes any longer.
January 26th, 2012 on 8:00 pm
I don’t feel at all ready to give up Brown yet. I love Burrell, but I think Brown can still be better than him, but offensively and defensively. He’s got some work to do, though.
I agree it does seem a little generous with Colvin after allowing so many hits and walks both last year. Maybe worse than that was that his strikeout rate dropped so much. Will be interesting to see what he does in 2012.
January 27th, 2012 on 11:49 am
As far as prospects go, I think we’re seeing a bit of the effect being a perennial contender has on the media. Namely, any and everything Phillies gets hyped and overhyped. See New York and Boston.
January 27th, 2012 on 11:57 am
I think you might be right about that, especially with some of the pitchers. I hope they’re as good as people think, but we’ll see. I’m not sure that’s the case about Brown, though. I think there’s legit reason to be excited about him no matter what team he was on.
January 27th, 2012 on 12:07 pm
Juan Pierre. Catch the fever!
January 27th, 2012 on 12:08 pm
Juan Pierre. Minor league contract with invite. As long as he doesn’t have to keep someone stretch a base.
January 27th, 2012 on 2:03 pm
If nothing else, maybe the Phils can come up with a time machine so Pierre and Scott Podsednik can go back to 2005 and race. That would be some good entertainment. What would not be some good entertainment is is if Pierre wound up as OF #5 for the Phils. I would say he’ll never see the field, but that’s what I thought about Wilson Valdez about 650 plate appearances ago.
January 27th, 2012 on 2:45 pm
Over the last two years, Pierre has gotten 1,445 plate appearances in which he has slugged .322. Really. He hit .277 over those two years, giving him an isolated power of .045. Valdez, by comparison, in his last two years with the Phils, hit .254 and slugged .351, giving him an isolated power of .097.
I also find it fantastic that Pierre is still just 34. It seems like he’s been around for a long, long time.
January 27th, 2012 on 3:33 pm
Hunter Pence signs a 1 year deal.
January 28th, 2012 on 10:55 am
Oswalt to Cards. Kinda lost respect for Little Roy. Who knew his name was accurate. I still cannot believe that he went home and got hurt last year, cashed $16 million worth of checks despite his lousy performance due to a non baseball injury, and then went somewhere else. I thought he was a guy who lived by higher values – like loyalty – than how much he makes.
January 28th, 2012 on 1:30 pm
I was never a fan of the Oswalt deal to begin with.. I think I’d still rather have Happ.
January 30th, 2012 on 9:30 am
On prospects, I think that the Phillies are pretty much the anti-Boston/New York. This team seems to go to great lengths to throw a wet blanket over any prospect hype that may be out there. Still having three pospects in the top 100 is about average (30 teams means 3.33 prospects per team is average), which all in all isn’t too bad when you consider all of the trades this team has made. It does say something to me that they would never trade Brown in any of the moves they’ve made to this point. So far, the only prospect they’ve moved that really seems ready to bust through is Travis D’Arnaud (I’d rather have Roy Halladay). There are some others that show some great promise, but are still really far away.
I’m all up for a trip back to 2005 to see Podsednik and Pierre in a foot race. We should look into what it will take to get that done. While we’re at it, can we go back to the 2007 Chase Utley and Ryan Howard?
I think if the Phillies wanted to sign Oswalt, they could have.
January 30th, 2012 on 1:00 pm
Yeah. I think we did ok getting Halliday.
January 30th, 2012 on 4:29 pm
I give Oswalt a lot of credit for wondering out loud how big the animal running across the field had to be before the pitch didn’t count. I didn’t know he had it in him.
http://sports.yahoo.com/blogs/mlb-big-league-stew/skip-schumaker-baseball-card-features-rally-squirrel-not-190252048.html
I agree the Phillies could have signed Oswalt if they wanted to.
I kinda miss Jason Donald, at least if Michael Martinez is the other choice. Not enough not to get Lee the first time, though.