If there is one, let’s just hope it’s for the Phils and not St Louis.
Cole Hamels faces lefty Jaime Garcia this afternoon in game three in St Louis.
Hamels went 14-9 for the Phils with a 2.79 ERA and an 0.97 ratio. He was second in the NL in ratio and in the top ten in ERA, strikeouts and innings pitched. He allowed just 169 hits in 216 innings — that’s about 7.042 per nine innings, which was second-best in the league behind Clayton Kershaw.
Righties hit just 204/251/326 against the lefty Hamels for the season. Lefties 249/286/376.
Hamels had the best year of his career preventing home runs in 2011, allowing just 19 in 216 innings. He allowed a lot more homers towards the end of the year. Over his first 17 starts of the year through the end of June he threw 116 innings and allowed just six home runs. That’s 0.47 home runs per nine innings. From the start of August to the end of the season he allowed 11 home runs in 64 innings (1.54 per nine). In the 38 innings he threw in September, Hamels allowed nine home runs (2.13 per nine).
He made one start against St Louis this year, allowing four runs in seven innings on September 18. The Phils lost that game 5-0. Hamels struck out nine in seven innings, but allowed pair of two-run homers in the game. Pujols hit one in the first and Allen Craig got him in the sixth. Blanton gave up a run in relief in the eighth and Chris Carpenter threw eight shutout innings against the Phils.
Pujols is just 4-for-23 for his career against Hamels, but with a double and two home runs. Berkman 7-for-21 with seven singles. Theriot seems like a good bet to start at second, he’s 7-for-21 with two doubles and a homer against Hamels. Furcal 2-for-10. Craig 2-for-6 with a homer. Molina 4-for-18 with two doubles.
Hamels was named the most valuable player of the 2008 World Series and the 2008 NLCS. In six playoff starts in ’08 he threw to a 2.16 ERA with an 0.94 ratio. Overall he has made 12 playoff starts for his career, throwing to a 3.33 ERA with a 1.03 ratio. Last year he threw a complete-game shutout against the Reds in game three of the NLDS, allowing four singles, a double and no walks as the Phils won 2-0.
Lefty Jaime Garcia, 13-7 with a 3.56 ERA in the regular season, goes for the Cardinals.
The 25-year-old Garcia was better against righties than lefties this year, holding righties to a 264/309/388 line while lefties hit 308/352/418 against him. He was also a lot better at home than on the road, throwing to a 2.55 ERA with a 1.11 ratio at home and a 4.61 ERA with an ugly 1.54 ratio in his 17 starts on the road.
Garcia is good at keeping the ball in the yard. Over the last two seasons he has allowed 24 homers in 358 innings (0.60 per nine).
He made two starts against the Phillies this year and was very good, holding them to two runs (one earned) over 15 innings.
On May 17 he held the Phils to an unearned run over eight innings as the Cards topped the Phillies 2-1. St Louis went up 1-0 with a run off of Oswalt in the fourth on a walk and two singles. Rollins reached on a dropped popup by Tyler Greene in the eighth and scored on a sac fly by Polanco to tie the game at 1-1, but Baez started the ninth and allowed the first three men he faced to reach on singles, which loaded the bases. Berkman singled off of Romero to give the Cards a walkoff win.
On September 16 he allowed a run over seven innings in Philadelphia as the Cards won 4-2. The Cards jumped out to a 1-0 lead in the second with a run off of Worley on three walks and a single. Back-to-back doubles by Polanco and Mayberry tied the game up at 1-1 in the bottom of the inning, which is the only earned run the Phillies scored charged to Garcia this year. Molina homered off of Bastardo in the eight to put the Cards up 2-1, but the Phils tied the game at 2-2 when Corey Patterson dropped a fly ball from Ruiz with two outs in the ninth, allowing Martinez to score from second. St Louis scored two runs charged to Schwimer in the top of the eleventh to get the win.
Pence is the Phillies with the most career at-bats against Garcia. He’s 3-for-15 against Garcia with a double, a triple and a home run. Howard 2-for-12 with a home run (one of just nine HR on the year that Garica allowed in 163 1/3 innings in 2010), Utley 0-for-6, Rollins 1-for-11, Polanco 2-for-11 with a double, Victorino 2-for-9.
Garcia will be the first lefty that the Phillies have faced in the post-season. Ibanez was 1-for-3 against Garcia this year and Mayberry 3-for-6 with a double.
Garcia will be making his first post-season appearance.
This suggests that Mayberry will start in left instead of Ibanez. Ibanez is 3-for-8 with a home run and four RBI in the first two games of the series. I think Mayberry is the better choice.


October 4th, 2011 on 10:55 am
Please, please, PLEASE let me see Mayberry in left fielder over the corpse of Raul Ibanez!
October 4th, 2011 on 11:27 am
I actually am a little more torn than I would have guessed I would be going into the first lefty of the series in game three. Huge home run for Ibanez in game one before going 1-for-4 with two strikeouts in game two. Still gotta be Mayberry, though. I do think it’s kind of an issue that it means Mayberry won’t be available to hit off the bench late in the game. Presumably Ibanez will hit for him against a righty at some point, which also means worse defense in left unless Ibanez gets pulled for Francisco late.
October 4th, 2011 on 11:44 am
It makes me feel better that all of our starters have a history of coming up big in the postseason. Perhaps Cole can find the zeroes that Cliff could not, and have a number less than 3 if he has to put up a non-zero number.
+1 on Mayberry over Rauuuuul. Howard isn’t looking as bad now as he did at the end of the regular season.
October 4th, 2011 on 11:50 am
I agree about the starters. I really think the Phils are going to have a lot of trouble without not just good but great pitching from their starters in the post-season. That’s a lot of pressure on three guys. Halladay was great in game one after giving up the early three-run shot to Berkman, but so far the starters have a 5.13 ERA in the series for the Phils.
I feel good about Hamels’s chances at finding some 0s. I think the Phils could be in trouble if he can’t find a lot of ‘em, though.
Howard has been great so far this series. Let’s hope he keeps it up against the lefty. I like that he hit a homer off of Garcia in 2010.
October 4th, 2011 on 12:05 pm
I’d also like to see someone other than Victorino hit 5th. Doesn’t seem like its his spot.
October 4th, 2011 on 12:50 pm
I agree. 3-for-8 in the series so far and he had a big hit in game one, but he still doesn’t seem right to me. I would rather see Pence hitting behind Howard with Victorino second and Utley third.
I think Manuel wants to break up Utley and Howard three and four and put his best hitter against lefties behind Howard.
The Phillies need Victorino and Pence tonight against the lefty, but especially Victorino, who hit 308/424/608 against lefties this season. It would be a great time for righties Polanco and Ruiz, combined 0-for-16 in the series so far, to come through, too.
Rollins, Victorino, Utley, Howard, Pence, Mayberry, Polanco, Ruiz would be my lineup tonight. A lot of problems there with two lefties back-to-back three and four in the order followed by four right-handed hitters in a row. Still, I’m not sure how scared we need to be of Rzep or Rhodes coming in to face Utley and Howard in the same two-batter span.
October 4th, 2011 on 12:56 pm
I like the top 4 as-is.. I would put Mayberry 5.
I would also drop Polly below Chooch, with the way he’s playing now..
October 4th, 2011 on 1:00 pm
I think Pence behind Howard prevents a pitch-around of Howard more than Mayberry does. I also like Pence behind Howard more for later in the game when the lefty starter is out and replaced by a lefty. If Mayberry is five and Ibanez hits for him it’s three lefties in a row.
October 4th, 2011 on 2:27 pm
Lineup posted. Same lineup as past several days, except Mayberry in 6 hole.
October 4th, 2011 on 2:47 pm
At least Mayberry is in the lineup. Hopefully Victorino can do some damage against the lefty.
October 4th, 2011 on 8:26 pm
Ok. I can breathe now. Big ben. Who woulda guessed.
October 5th, 2011 on 8:57 am
That was quite a game. The decision to intentionally walk Ruiz ahead of the pitcher’s spot was absolutely atrocious. Wow. Huge at-bat for Francisco.
Pen still terrifies me and they didn’t look real good last night. Huge pitch for Madson to get the double-play to end the eighth, though.
October 5th, 2011 on 9:12 am
Too much micromanagement on the ‘pen. I would have let Bastardo continue the 8th. His end-of-season problems seem to be gone, and at some point his .181 BAA vs R and .182 BAA vs L have to count for something.
October 5th, 2011 on 10:31 am
I’m hanging onto they-shoulda-put-herndon on the roster and not letting go. Just cause he threw to a 1.55 ERA over his last 22 appearances and is really good at getting right-handed hitters out. Madson can’t pitch every day and can’t pitch when they’re up five runs like he did in game one.