Here’s today’s guess on who starts the year with the Phillies.
First the hitters. If everybody is healthy, I think these 11 guys are on the team to start the year:
| 1 | Ruiz |
| 2 | Schneider |
| 3 | Howard |
| 4 | Utley |
| 5 | Rollins |
| 6 | Polanco |
| 7 | Ibanez |
| 8 | Victorino |
| 9 | Francisco |
| 10 | Gload |
| 11 | Valdez |
| 12 | |
| 13 |
I think the last two spots are wide open. At least one of the two, if not both, needs to go to an outfielder, assuming you don’t believe Valdez or Gload can play the outfield. Mayberry and Brown and my guesses to fill those spots at this point. That said, I have no idea. If you told me they were going to go to Robb Quinlann and Delwyn Young (or just about anybody), I wouldn’t feel real comfortable arguing for Mayberry and Brown instead.
Also, I know that’s not how you spell Robb Quinlan’s name. Just amusing myself.
I think we know these ten pitchers will start the year with the Phils, barring injury:
| 1 | Halladay |
| 2 | Lee |
| 3 | Oswalt |
| 4 | Hamels |
| 5 | Blanton |
| 6 | Madson |
| 7 | Lidge |
| 8 | Baez |
| 9 | Contreras |
| 10 | Romero |
| 11 | |
| 12 |
For better or worse, I think Baez is here to stay, despite getting hammered in a B-game on Saturday.
Assuming the Phils go with 13 hitters and 12 pitchers, that leaves two spots to fill with relievers with Romero as the sole lefty in the pen so far. I see Kendrick, Worley, Herndon and Bastardo as the front-runners for those spots. Forced to guess now I would go with Kendrick and Bastardo, despite the problems that Bastardo has had with illness and his elbow to start spring training. Kendrick’s probably a much safer guess there than Bastardo.
So here’s the final guess for today. Hitters (13): Ruiz, Schneider, Howard, Utley, Rollins, Polanco, Ibanez, Victorino, Francisco, Gload, Valdez, Mayberry and Brown. Pitchers (12): Halladay, Lee, Oswalt, Hamels, Blanton, Madson, Lidge, Baez, Contreras, Romero, Kendrick and Bastardo.
The Phils are 2-2 in spring training after falling to the Tigers 6-2 yesterday afternoon. Lee started the game and allowed two runs over two innings. He hit one batter, walked another and gave up an RBI-triple to Will Rhymes. Kendrick followed Lee with two scoreless innings before Eddie Bonine allowed four runs in the fifth and sixth. Zagurski and Meyer pitched scoreless frames. Baez bounced back from Saturday’s ugliness with a scoreless eighth, although he did allow a two-out double to Robert Brantley.
Second appearance for Zagurski in official games. He’s allowed a hit and a walk in two scoreless frames.
Josh Barfield doubled with one out in the third and came in to score when Rollins followed with a single for the first run for the Phils. Ibanez singled to start the sixth and came in to score on a ground out by Francisco for the other run.
After a 2-for-3 day, Barfield is now 4-for-5 with a double in the early going. Domonic Brown went 0-for-3 with two more strikeouts, making him 0-for-12 with eight strikeouts in official spring action.
Oswalt is expected to pitch this afternoon as the Phils play Baltimore.
Utley is hitting, but not running hard.


March 2nd, 2011 on 2:08 pm
I would bet the Rule 5 pick (that’s Young, right?) gets a spot.
I also have no faith that Bastardo will be ready, and we’re like as not to see Zagurski.
March 2nd, 2011 on 3:05 pm
I think there’s a good chance you’ll be right about Zagurski. I would definitely guess Bastardo if he’s healthy, but that’s seeming kind of iffy. It sure seems like there’s an opportunity for Dan Meyer if he pitches well, too, but he’s not really a lefty specialist.
The Phillies took Michael Martinez in the Rule V draft. He’s 28 and can’t hit so much — he sports a .315 on-base percentage in the minor leagues. Chances seem good they will be offering him back to the Nats.
http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20101209&content_id=16289978&vkey=news_phi&c_id=phi
March 2nd, 2011 on 3:38 pm
I have a fear that they will keep Martinez as another infielder with Valdez, and pretend Gload is an outfielder. Based upon performance to this point, I’m guessing Mayberry is the “fifth” outfielder with Brown in AAA. I’m nearly positive that Martinez will make the team if Utley starts the season on the DL.
My guess is Bastardo if healthy, Zagurski if not for the other lefty and Kendrick as the last man in the pen. They almost have to keep one of Worley or Kendrick in AAA as the emergency starter/Blanton trade replacement.
March 2nd, 2011 on 4:15 pm
Of the four open spots, Kendrick in one of the pitching slots is the one I feel most confident about. I agree about Bastardo if healthy, Zagurski if not, too.
I’m going to sad if Martinez starts the year with the team, regardless of the health of Utley. Today he played CF and homered, which doesn’t seem like a good sign.
March 2nd, 2011 on 5:06 pm
I really, really do not like Zagurski. Every time I saw him last year he got lit up like a pin ball machine.
March 4th, 2011 on 10:26 am
I wonder about how much Zagurski can help, too. He’s definitely gotten hammered in his limited time with the Phils — the 6.99 ERA goes a ways towards demonstrating that. Even in the minors, though, he still has a monster walk rate. 103 walks in 242 minor league innings. That’s too many. It’s not really getting better, either — over the last two seasons it’s gotten a little worse in the minors.