Archive for January, 2009

Gleeful Amaro may finally be willing to reveal secret Even Ultimater Zone Rating data showing Burrell’s glove as a full-time DH will cost the Rays 17 runs in 2009

Compared to other full-time DHs, of course.

Pat Burrell signed with the Rays. But the show must go on.

In 2008, Phillies starting pitchers threw 966 2/3 innings and were charged with 489 runs.

For each of the seven starting pitchers the Phils used, here’s how many innings they threw as a starter, how many runs they allowed, the percentage of the innings that they threw for all Phillies starters, the percentage of the runs they allowed for all Phillies starters and the difference between the percentage of the innings they pitched and the runs they allowed:

Player IP RA % IP % RA Diff
Hamels 227.3 89 23.5 18.2 5.3
Moyer 196.3 85 20.3 17.4 2.9
Myers 190 103 19.7 21.1 -1.4
Blanton 70.7 36 7.3 7.4 -0.1
Kendrick 154.7 102 16.0 20.9 -4.9
Eaton 104 68 10.8 13.9 -3.1
Happ 23.7 6 2.4 1.2 1.2

If you order those guys from best difference to worst, the list looks like this: Hamels, Moyer, Happ, Blanton, Myers, Eaton, Kendrick.

The Phillies signed 30-year-old right-handed hitting second baseman Marcus Giles to a minor league deal, which will give him a chance to renew his friendship with Carlos Ruiz. On August 24, 2007, Ruiz’s absurd slide into Giles at second base touched off a bench-clearing incident between the Phils and Padres. That’s a great signing for the Phils, who have had a bad couple of weeks. Giles has a career 277/353/429 line in about 3,000 at-bats in the major leagues.

This article suggests that the Phillies were unaware of at least some of what was happening with Romero and his hearings regarding banned substances.

The Chan Ho Park signing was completed. Amaro says that Park will compete for a spot in the rotation.

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Chanward Ho

As a group, Phillies relievers combined to throw 483 innings in 2008 and were charged with 191 runs.

Here’s how many innings each pitcher threw in relief, how many runs they were charged with, the percentage of the team’s relief innings that were thrown by that pitcher, the percentage of the relief runs allowed by that pitcher and the difference between the percentage of innings he threw and the runs he allowed:

Player IP RA % of IP % of RA Diff
Chad Durbin 87.7 33 18.2 17.3 0.9
Ryan Madson 82.7 29 17.1 15.2 1.9
Brad Lidge 69.3 17 14.4 8.9 5.5
Clay Condrey 69 26 14.3 13.6 0.7
JC Romero 59 18 12.2 9.4 2.8
Rudy Seanez 43.3 24 9.0 12.6 -3.6
Tom Gordon 29.7 19 6.1 9.9 -3.8
Scott Eyre 14.3 3 3.0 1.6 1.4
Les Walrond 10.3 7 2.1 3.7 -1.5
JA Happ 8 7 1.7 3.7 -2.0
RJ Swindle 4.7 4 1.0 2.1 -1.1
Adam Eaton 3 3 0.6 1.6 -0.9
1 0 0.2 0.0 0.2
Kyle Kendrick 1 1 0.2 0.5 -0.3

If you arrange the group by the difference between their percentage of innings thrown and runs allowed from best to worst, the list goes like this: Lidge, Romero, Madson, Eyre, Durbin, Condrey, Carpenter, Kendrick, Eaton, Swindle, Walrond, Happ, Seanez, Gordon.

If Durbin, Madson, Lidge, Condrey and Romero were all to throw the same number of innings in relief in 2009 as they did in 2008, that would put the Phillies at 367 2/3. Eyre threw just 14 1/3 innings for the Phils in 2008 — he seems sure to give them more this year. Over the past three seasons, he’s thrown about 46 innings a year on average. That puts the Phillies at about 413 2/3 innings for the year. It leaves, if the Phillies as a team were to throw the same number of innings in relief in 2009 as they did in 2008, with about 69 1/3 innings that will be need to be thrown by someone else. Again, if everyone stays healthy, Chan Ho Park seems like the guy the Phillies will be going into the season hoping to pitch those innings, picking up many of the ’08 innings thrown by Seanez and Gordon.

Sounds like a plan, if everybody stays healthy. They won’t, of course, so the biggest challenge for the Phillies pen might be figuring out what to do once they don’t.

First day of arbitration filing for those eligible, including Phillies Hamels, Howard, Werth, Victorino, Madson, Blanton, Durbin and Dobbs. The filing period ends January 15 and the hearings will be held between February 1 and February 21.

This suggests the Rays will sign Pat Burrell to a two-year, $16 million contract. This suggests that Burrell turned down two years, $22 million from the Phillies at the end of October.

Update 1/6/09: News from late last night suggests that Romero will be suspended 50 games for use of a banned substance. Romero denies wrongdoing.

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