Pat Burrell had a big contract in 2008 and he’s going to have a big contract in 2009. He’s not much of a defensive player, but does he produce offense at levels similar to other highly paid hitters? In 2008, Burrell made $14.25 million and posted an OPS+ of 125. Using the salary data that you can access here, I compared his OPS+ to 40 non-pitchers who made $12 million or more in ’08.
Some problems with this, including: 1) it ignores defense 2) even if Burrell is as good an offensive player as the other guys making a lot of money they could all be overpaid. Nate McLouth, for example, made $425,000 in 2008 and was arguably a more productive offensive player than at least 30 of the 41 players on the lists below and 3) I’m comparing the OPS+ of National League players to the OPS+ of American League players. That’s a problem as the formula for OPS+ compares a player’s on-base percentage and slugging to the on-base and slugging percentages for their league rather than for both leagues combined. I have put the OPS+ for AL players in red.
All that said, here it is:
|
Made at least $12M in ’08 but OPS+ lower than Burrell |
|||
Player |
Salary |
AB |
OPS+ |
| Carlos Guillen | 12.0 | 420 | 114 |
| Jose Guillen | 12.0 | 598 | 96 |
| Paul Konerko | 12.0 | 438 | 102 |
| Ivan Rodriguez | 12.379 | 398 | 87 |
| Mike Lowell | 12.5 | 419 | 103 |
| Troy Glaus | 12.5 | 544 | 124 |
| Garrett Anderson | 12.6 | 557 | 97 |
| David Ortiz | 13.0 | 416 | 123 |
| Hideki Matsui | 13.0 | 337 | 108 |
| Johnny Damon | 13.0 | 555 | 118 |
| Jorge Posada | 13.1 | 168 | 103 |
| Derrek Lee | 13.25 | 623 | 110 |
| Gary Sheffield | 13.326 | 418 | 90 |
| Adrian Beltre | 13.4 | 556 | 109 |
| Alfonso Soriano | 14.0 | 453 | 121 |
Unlike OPS+, sOPS+ allows us to compare a hitter’s right/left splits to all hitters in the major leagues rather than just other hitters in his league. Burrell’s sOPS+ against righties in ’08 was 132, against lefties it was 144.
Looking at some of the players who were close to Burrell, Carlos Guillen’s sOPS+ right/left splits were 110/111.
David Ortiz’s were 136/110, suggesting that Ortiz was slightly better against righties and worse against lefties. Baseball Reference calculates Ortiz’s runs created at 79 for 2008 compared to 106 for Burrell.
Mike Lowell’s sOPS+ for ’08 were 108/146. A little better than Burrell against lefties. More than a hundred fewer at-bats and fewer runs created.
Damon 128/104. Runs created of 104.
Glaus killed righties but not lefties, 147/97. Soriano was the opposite, 114/182. Both had lower runs created than Burrell.
|
Made at least $12M in ’08 and had an OPS+ better than Burrell |
|||
| Player | Salary | AB | OPS+ |
| Chipper Jones | 12.33 | 439 | 174 |
| Mark Teixeira |
12.5 | 574 | 151 |
| Carlos Lee | 12.5 | 436 | 144 |
| Adam Dunn | 13.0 | 517 | 129 |
| Albert Pujols | 13.87 | 524 | 190 |
| JD Drew | 14.0 | 368 | 137 |
Burrell did have a better runs created than either JD Drew or Carlos Lee, though, because those players had significantly fewer at-bats in ’08 than Burrell. Chipper also had many fewer at-bats but created more runs.
Dunn’s sOPS+ right/left were 143/121.
Here’s the players that made as much or more than the $14.25 million Burrell made in ’08:
|
Made as much or more in ’08 but OPS+ lower than or equal to Burrell |
|||
Player |
Salary |
AB |
OPS+ |
Pat Burrell |
14.25 |
536 |
125 |
Andruw Jones |
14.726 |
209 |
34 |
Miguel Tejada |
14.811 |
362 |
92 |
Richie Sexson |
15.5 |
280 |
89 |
Jim Thome |
15.66 |
503 |
123 |
Bobby Abreu |
16.0 |
609 |
120 |
Torii Hunter |
16.5 |
551 |
110 |
Todd Helton |
16.6 |
299 |
100 |
Ichiro Suzuki |
17.102 |
686 |
102 |
Derek Jeter |
21.6 |
596 |
102 |
Thome’s sOPS+ was 123/142, again worse than Burrell’s 132/144. Created fewer runs than Burrell.
Torii Hunter 118/122.
The lefty Abreu was better against lefties than righties in ’08, 114/146. His runs created were very similar to Burrell’s — the same using the formula that Baseball-Reference is using and better using the formula used by ESPN‘s baseball stats.
These guys made more money than Burrell and put up a better OPS+:
|
Made more money than Burrell and had a better OPS+ |
|||
Player |
Salary |
AB |
OPS+ |
Lance Berkman |
14.5 |
554 |
159 |
Aramis Ramirez |
15.0 |
554 |
128 |
Vlad Guerrero |
15.5 |
541 |
130 |
Rafael Furcal |
15.73 |
143 |
164 |
Magglio Ordonez |
15.768 |
561 |
127 |
Carlos Delgado |
16.0 |
598 |
127 |
Carlos Beltran |
16.0 |
598 |
127 |
Manny Ramirez |
18.929 |
552 |
164 |
Jason Giambi |
23.428 |
458 |
128 |
Alex Rodriguez |
28.0 |
510 |
150 |
Aramis Ramirez comes out on top of Burrell because he pounded right-handed pitching. 163/87. Like Ramirez, Carlos Delgado was better than Burrell, but it was close. Delgado did have a better runs created, but Burrell’s sOPS+ right/left splits are a little better than Delgado’s 133/122. Delgado hit for a higher average, .271 to .250, and outslugged Burrell .518 to .507. He also hit five more home runs (38 for Delgado and 33 for Burrell) and drove in 115 runs to Burrell’s 86.
Burrell created more runs than Furcal, who had just 143 at-bats on the season. He also, however, had a better runs created than Vlad Guerrero (whose sOPS+ right/left were 150/112), Jason Giambi (127/140) or Magglio Ordonez (140/125).
This article points out that Jermaine Dye has a no-trade clause and that the Phillies are one of the teams on his no-trade list.
The Braves are expected to finalize their trade for Javier Vazquez today. This article suggests that the Braves may also offer AJ Burntett a five-year deal and that the Phillies have made an offer to Derek Lowe.