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March 27 2007

The Phillies made some significant moves yesterday, but we're still a ways away from knowing who will be on the 25-man roster when they open the season against the Braves on Monday.  The Phils sent Fabio Castro and Eude Brito to their minor league camp and told Joe Bisenius that he wouldn't be making the opening day roster.  If there is no trade before opening day it looks like the Phils will go into the season with Matt Smith as the lone lefty in their pen.

I think there's a good chance there's a trade coming.  If not before opening day, in the first few weeks of the season.

Here's my best guess about how things look for the Phillies as they try to set their roster.  Players that have been dealing with an injury are in red text.

 

Hitters Pitchers
1 R Howard 1 J Lieber
2 C Utley 2 B Myers
3 J Rollins 3 F Garcia
4 W Helms 4 J Moyer
5 A Nunez 5 C Hamels
6 P Burrell 6 A Eaton
7 A Rowand 7 T Gordon
8 S Victorino 8 G Geary
9 J Werth 9 R Madson
10 R Barajas 10 M Smith
11 C Ruiz 11
12 12
13

And here are the guys I would guess have the best chance for the remaining jobs:

 

K Garcia A Alfonseca
G Dobbs C Condrey
C Coste J Warden
M Bourn  

Of the injuries, the ones that look like most likely to impact the opening day roster are Lieber and Ruiz.  This article calls Lieber a lock to start the season on the DL.

Garcia seems like a good bet for one of the hitter's spots.  If the health of Ruiz is still a question next week, and it looks like it will be, it seems the Phils would have to carry Coste if he's healthy enough to play.  If Ruiz starts the season on the DL it would open up a slot for both Dobbs and Coste.

On the pitching side, barring a trade the Phils are in a lot of trouble.  For better or worse, you have to give Alfonseca one of the two open spots and I would give Condrey better chance to win the final job than Warden.  Things don't sound real promising for Lieber, though, so the Phillies may have three spaces available rather than two.

JA Happ and Zack Segovia are still with the team, but you have to think either of them would have a tough time making the team to start the year.

The Marlins traded Yusmeiro Petit for Jorge Julio and cash.  Julio will close for the Marlins.  But probably not for long.

Duaner Sanchez is out for a while.

The Phils lost to the Yankees yesterday, falling 5-1 to drop to 9-16 in spring training.

The Phillies got on the board with an RBI-single from Werth in the third.  He was 1-for-5 on the day.

Helms was 1-for-2 with a double and two walks.  Dobbs was 1-for-1 with a single.  Aaron Rowand returned and was 0-for-1 with a walk and was hit by a pitch.

Burrell was 0-for-3 and is hitting .178.

Zack Segovia got the start for the Phils and went 4 2/3 innings, allowing five runs on three hits and two walks.  Only four of the runs were earned due to an error in the first by Rollins.  Alex Rodriguez hit a three-run homer off of him in the first.  Segovia shut down New York for the next three innings and started the fifth down 3-1.  Walk, double, and a two-run double from Doug Mientkiewicz made it 5-1.  Segovia got the next two and with lefty Bobby Abreu at the plate Manuel called on Matt Smith.  Smith got Abreu to fly to left and end the inning.

Smith returned for the sixth and set down A-Rod, Giambi and Matsui 1-2-3.

Ryan Madson pitched a 1-2-3 seventh to drop his spring ERA to 1.86.  Alfonseca pitched the eighth, allowing a walk but keeping New York off the board.

Phillies pitchers held New York to just three hits on the day -- a three-run homer and two doubles.  Three Phillies relievers combined to go 3 2/3 scoreless innings, allowing just a single walk while striking out four.

The Phils play the Reds tonight.

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